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jimk
06 Jan 11 12:16
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 327 | Blogger: jimk's blog
I'm having to hang up my betfair boots soon, as I'm off to retire to Turkey.  Unfortunately, you can't access exchanges over there.

I've been making a fair whack IR on the horses over the last few years.  I'm going to post my selections for the last few weeks.  Hopefully I can help a few of you out.  I'm in bed with a bad spell of sciatica today, so it will also help me pass the time.

I'll post 5-10 minutes before each race. 

There will be a combination of backs, lays and trades.
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Report Rocket to the FACE January 6, 2011 12:20 PM GMT
Good luck with Turkey. Sounds like a country on the brink of third worldness to me.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:34 PM GMT
12:35
Arabella Boy
Lay £100 IR @ 1.3
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:36 PM GMT
12:40
Patrick Dee
Lay £20 IR at 7.0
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:40 PM GMT
12:50
Lets Move It
Lay £50 at SP
IR back £50 at 9.0
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:41 PM GMT
Thank you rocket.

It's quite nice if you know where you're going.
I'm off to Hisaronu.
Report Homer Jay Simspon January 6, 2011 12:49 PM GMT
Excellent stuff so far jimk - well done
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:55 PM GMT
For the sake of this thread, I will post profits -5% commission.

The bet will only stand if £100+ is matched at the desired odds (or higher/lower depending on if it's a back or lay).

Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
Report jimk January 6, 2011 12:56 PM GMT
Thank you, Homer.
Hope you make some money!
Report Homer Jay Simspon January 6, 2011 1:00 PM GMT
Well I'm an outright layer myself but I like to follow the action IR anyway. Bit unlucky there with Lets Move It, almost got the race!
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:01 PM GMT
13:05
Let Yourself Go
Lay £50 IR at 2.2


No bet 13:10
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:03 PM GMT
Do you have much success Homer?  What sort of odds do you target to lay? 

Would have been +£150 on the race.  Very close!
Report Homer Jay Simspon January 6, 2011 1:09 PM GMT
I do ok jimk, it pays the bills! I only lay under 8.0 and always pre-off, my average lay price is just over 5.0 over last 500 bets.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:15 PM GMT
Fair play, Homer!

13:20
Punching
Back £50 at SP
Lay £50 at 5.0
Lay £50 at 2.2
Report Homer Jay Simspon January 6, 2011 1:19 PM GMT
Where do you use for research jimk? I've tried a few databases in the past but settled on Dataform last year and it's been pretty good so far.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:24 PM GMT
Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
4.    Let Yourself Go  £50 lay at 2.2   Yes        Won              +47.5              +161.5
5.    Punching      £50 back at 9.92    Yes        Won              +446
                    £50 lay at 5.0      Yes                         -200
                    £50 lay at 2.2      Yes                         -60
                                                               Race = +176.7          +338.2
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:27 PM GMT
I make fairly extensive notes on every race, it all goes into my 'money book'. 
I combine that and the racing post to get my selections.

There's a fair few today.  I've been in bed for three days now, so I've had a lot of time!
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:33 PM GMT
13:35
Bonoman
£50 lay at 2.2

13:40
Quintus
£50 lay at 2.2

13:50
no bet

14:05
no bet
Report Homer Jay Simspon January 6, 2011 1:33 PM GMT
Lovely bet on Punching, very well done again.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 1:50 PM GMT
Thanks.

Bonoman nearly matched (2.5ish)
Quintus not matched.

No P/L for those races.
Report duncan idaho January 6, 2011 1:53 PM GMT
Do you essentially study running styles and race shape jimk or would that be a simplification? Nice going, anyway. Enjoy yr retirement!
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:03 PM GMT
Duncan, that's a good summary, yes.
It gives me an edge, because it's not something you can find in a form book.
Will do, thanks.

14:10
Cucumber Run
Back £100 at SP
Lay £100 at 1.25

This one should win with a bit in hand imo.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:16 PM GMT
14:20
Volcanic Ash
Back £100 at SP
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.33
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:28 PM GMT
Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
4.    Let Yourself Go  £50 lay at 2.2   Yes        Won              +47.5              +161.5
5.    Punching      £50 back at 9.92    Yes        Won              +446
                    £50 lay at 5.0      Yes                         -200
                    £50 lay at 2.2      Yes                         -60
                                                               Race = +176.7          +338.2
6.    Bonoman       £50 lay at 2.2      No
7.    Quintus       £50 lay at 2.2      No
8.    Cucumber Run  £100 back at 1.7    Yes        Won         Race = + 42.75         +380.95
                    £100 lay at 1.25
9.    Volcanic Ash  £100 back at 2.55   Yes        Won         Race = +11.4           +392.35
                    £100 lay at 2.1
                    £100 lay at 1.33
                    £100 lay at 1.25    Yes
Report jamesdean January 6, 2011 2:32 PM GMT
well done jim, but should that last race not read a loss if you laid twice at odds on ?

1.33 + 1.25 ?
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:33 PM GMT
14:35
Sugar Bullet
£100 back at SP
£100 lay at 3.2
£40 lay at 1.75


14:40
Follow The Sun
£50 lay at 4.2
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:34 PM GMT
james, yes copy and paste error.  thanks for pointing it out.
the 1.25 was for the previous race... cucumber run.

Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
4.    Let Yourself Go  £50 lay at 2.2   Yes        Won              +47.5              +161.5
5.    Punching      £50 back at 9.92    Yes        Won              +446
                    £50 lay at 5.0      Yes                         -200
                    £50 lay at 2.2      Yes                         -60
                                                               Race = +176.7          +338.2
6.    Bonoman       £50 lay at 2.2      No
7.    Quintus       £50 lay at 2.2      No
8.    Cucumber Run  £100 back at 1.7    Yes        Won         Race = + 42.75         +380.95
                    £100 lay at 1.25
9.    Volcanic Ash  £100 back at 2.55   Yes        Won         Race = +11.4           +392.35
                    £100 lay at 2.1
                    £100 lay at 1.33
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:48 PM GMT
Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
4.    Let Yourself Go  £50 lay at 2.2   Yes        Won              +47.5              +161.5
5.    Punching      £50 back at 9.92    Yes        Won              +446
                    £50 lay at 5.0      Yes                         -200
                    £50 lay at 2.2      Yes                         -60
                                                               Race = +176.7          +338.2
6.    Bonoman       £50 lay at 2.2      No
7.    Quintus       £50 lay at 2.2      No
8.    Cucumber Run  £100 back at 1.7    Yes        Won         Race = + 42.75         +380.95
                    £100 lay at 1.25    Yes
9.    Volcanic Ash  £100 back at 2.55   Yes        Won         Race = +11.4           +392.35
                    £100 lay at 2.1     Yes
                    £100 lay at 1.33    Yes
10.   Sugar Bullet  £100 back at 3.85   Yes        Break Even
                    £100 lay at 3.2     Yes
                    £40  lay at 1.75    No
11.  Follow The Sun £50 lay at 4.2      Yes        Won          +47.5                 +439.85
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:50 PM GMT
14:50 no bet
15:05 no bet
Report jimk January 6, 2011 2:59 PM GMT
15:10
Kingmere
Lay £50 at 4.2
Report jimk January 6, 2011 3:10 PM GMT
15:20
Hypnosis
Lay £100 at 2.5

18:10
Maybe a possible bet.

That'll be it for today.
Report ooO{Alpha Centauri}Ooo January 6, 2011 3:19 PM GMT
Worst thing you can do with sciatica is lay in bed all day! whichever doc/quack told you to do that, never see them again. hth
Report jimk January 6, 2011 3:40 PM GMT
Alpha, unfortunately I can't stand up it's that painful.
I normally go through a couple episodes a year.  I'm in bed for 3/4 days, then fine after another week or so.  I'm having therapy for it.

Bet   Horse         Bet                 Matched    Result of bet    P/L (-5% com)     Running P/l
1.    Arabella Boy  £100 lay at 1.3     Yes        Won              +95               +95
2.    Patrick Dee   £20 lay at 7.0      Yes        Won              +19               +114
3.    Lets Move It  £50 lay at SP (6.0) Yes        Break even
                    £50 back at 9.0     Yes        (Nearly won - came back to 1.21 IR) +114
4.    Let Yourself Go  £50 lay at 2.2   Yes        Won              +47.5              +161.5
5.    Punching      £50 back at 9.92    Yes        Won              +446
                    £50 lay at 5.0      Yes                         -200
                    £50 lay at 2.2      Yes                         -60
                                                               Race = +176.7          +338.2
6.    Bonoman       £50 lay at 2.2      No
7.    Quintus       £50 lay at 2.2      No
8.    Cucumber Run  £100 back at 1.7    Yes        Won         Race = + 42.75         +380.95
                    £100 lay at 1.25    Yes
9.    Volcanic Ash  £100 back at 2.55   Yes        Won         Race = +11.4           +392.35
                    £100 lay at 2.1     Yes
                    £100 lay at 1.33    Yes
10.   Sugar Bullet  £100 back at 3.85   Yes        Break Even
                    £100 lay at 3.2     Yes
                    £40  lay at 1.75    No
11.  Follow The Sun £50 lay at 4.2      Yes        Won          +47.5                 +439.85
12.  Kingmere       £50 lay at 4.2      No
13.  Hypnosis       £100 lay at 2.5     No
Report ZEALOT January 6, 2011 3:45 PM GMT
well done fella .
what does hth mean .?
Report Quincy January 6, 2011 3:48 PM GMT
Tipping 'Happy to help'
Report jimk January 6, 2011 4:35 PM GMT
Thanks.

I'll be back at 6ish for the last one.

So far, 13 selections, 4 bet not matched, 2 break even, 7 winners, +£439.85 to advised stakes.

I'll continue tomorrow, will be aiming for a similar day.
Report duncan idaho January 6, 2011 4:39 PM GMT
good work, jimk. is that a typical day for yourself?!
Report ZEALOT January 6, 2011 4:41 PM GMT
thanks quince []Grin
Report jimk January 6, 2011 6:00 PM GMT
Duncan, a bit better than average.

Of course, there are good days and bad days.

My stakes are bigger than those recommended above. 

I aim for six figures a year and I've been thereabouts the last three years (even though I've been holidaying a lot!)
Report jimk January 6, 2011 6:07 PM GMT
18:10
Blue Nymph
£50 back at SP
£50 lay at 15.0
£50 lay at 5.0
Report jimk January 6, 2011 6:10 PM GMT
sorry...

18:10
Blue Nymph
£50 back at SP
£50 lay at 11.0
£50 lay at 5.0
Report jimk January 6, 2011 6:16 PM GMT
That was a break even race either way.

Apologies, I'm not used to posting for other people, so I need to make an effort with my instructions and provide enough time to sort bets out.
Report jimk January 6, 2011 6:19 PM GMT
Anyway,
14 races, 4 races not matched, 3 break even, 7 winners, +£439.85 to advised stakes.

I'll be back tomorrow with clearer information, posted further in advance.
Report duncan idaho January 6, 2011 6:21 PM GMT
Cheers, jimk. Appreciate the effort.
Report no moves January 6, 2011 7:05 PM GMT
Watch out for those sheeps eyeballs over there.
Report Trevh January 6, 2011 9:19 PM GMT
Jimk, Turkey sounds like a shrewd move, you probably already know investment groups are saying this...


The firm has named Brazil as the number one investment destination in the world, though according to McKenzie it was a "toss up" to choose between Brazil and Turkey, which came a close second. McKenzie explained:

"Both have been completely stabilised and reformed for the better by two terms of excellent governance, both now have stable and rapidly growing economies, and both are seeing growing affluence in the population cause demand for housing to outstrip supply by a large and increasing amount.




http://www.colordarcy.com/wordpress/colordarcy-announces-hottest-investment-destinations-for-2011/425/
Report mginvest January 6, 2011 10:10 PM GMT
Jimk - Nice work today. TBH though if you're getting 6 figure profits every year on here why on earth are you giving it up to move to Turkey? I know the climate will be better but surely making money doing something you enjoy is a better perk?Happy
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:12 PM GMT
Trevh, I've had an apartment there for a few years now. Seeing it as my new home rather than an investment, but it's always nice to know it's increasing in value.

No moves, lamb brain soup is my favourite!

Mginvest, I've made enough money to now enjoy retirement.  There's no point in working for ever.  There's no shops in the graveyard.
However, yes I do enjoy it.  I'm tempted to carry on in some sort of way, not entirely sure how much involvment though.  Something to ponder.

Racingguru, please explain how to do it.  I'm listening :)


Back/leg is feeling a lot better today.  Walked downstairs this morning.  Going to try and be a bit more active today.
Report buzzer January 7, 2011 12:16 PM GMT
Ok i'll ask the question Silly How old are you jimk?
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:21 PM GMT
Unfortunately we've lost Bangor from the card today.

I've tried to provide clear information today and well in advance.  If the SP bets don't fall into the valid price range, then don't action any bets on the race. 


12:40
Links Drive Lady
Lay £100 at 1.6

13:00
Saintly Lady
Lay £50 at SP (if SP 2.5)
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.6
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:22 PM GMT
Unfortunately we've lost Bangor from the card today.

I've tried to provide clear information today and well in advance.  If the SP bets don't fall into the valid price range, then don't action any bets on the race. 


12:40
Links Drive Lady
Lay £100 at 1.6

13:00
Saintly Lady
Lay £50 at SP (if SP 2.5)
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.6
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:24 PM GMT
12:40
Links Drive Lady
Lay £100 at 1.6


13:00.
Saintly Lady
Lay £50 at SP (if SP 2.5)
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.6

.
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:26 PM GMT
12:40
Links Drive Lady
Lay £100 at 1.6

13:00
Saintly Lady
Lay £50 at SP (if SP 2.5)
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.6
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:27 PM GMT
12:40
Links Drive Lady
Lay £100 at 1.6

13:00
Saintly Lady
Lay £50 at SP if SP less than 4.1
Back £50 at 5.8

13:10
Kipchak
Back £100 at SP if SP greather than 2.5
Lay £100 at 2.1
Lay £100 at 1.6
Report jimk January 7, 2011 12:32 PM GMT
Bets as detailed in last post.  Apparently you can't use greater or less than symbols on this forum.

Trying to confuse everyone already :s

Buzzer, DOB 01/10/1956, but look like I was born in '36.  I've worked damn hard all my life and it's time for me to enjoy what time I have left.
Report buzzer January 7, 2011 12:39 PM GMT
Good luck mate, hopefully plenty of years left in the tank yet to enjoy the sunshine
Report jimk January 7, 2011 1:08 PM GMT
Will do, thanks.

13:30
Straw Bear
£50 lay at 4.2

13:40
It's Dubai Dolly
£50 back at SP if SP greater than 16.0
£50 lay at 11.0
£100 lay at 5.2
Report jimk January 7, 2011 1:40 PM GMT
Looks like it maybe one of those days...



1.  Links Drive Lady.  Not matched.
2.  Saintly Lady.  Break even.
3.  Kipchak.  Did not qualify
4.  Straw Bear.  Not matched (but getting closer)
Report duncan idaho January 7, 2011 1:49 PM GMT
LOL It's Dubai Dolly the first one of got with...your first loser!!
Report duncan idaho January 7, 2011 1:49 PM GMT
first one i've gone with
Report jimk January 7, 2011 1:56 PM GMT
First loser.  Can't all win.
Unfortunate Duncan.

14:00
Broadway Star
£100 back at SP if greater than 3.5
£100 lay at 2.6
Report jimk January 7, 2011 2:00 PM GMT
14:10
Yourelikemefrank
£100 lay at 2.6
Report duncan idaho January 7, 2011 2:17 PM GMT
Cry
Report buzzer January 7, 2011 3:04 PM GMT
early retirement jim
Report the COBRA January 7, 2011 3:31 PM GMT
was just getting ready to sign up to the turkey pensiond fund as well Cry
Report duncan idaho January 7, 2011 3:57 PM GMT
Fair play, best to nip it in the bud when you're having a 'mare.
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