i hope i can have the last post.

thanks again chaps.

i appreciated all the costructive comments.

think most of chaps on forum work for betfair like frog so it is not easy for the rest of us.

this is for scotbet and i hope this will drive forward your love for stats.

Do you remember last night when i was looking at Spain 1-0 and said getfae could lose because Espanyol had more shots on target in the first half and this fit the profile of losing home teams.

Well, i looked at SEVILLA V GETAFE NOV 27 2010

In both games the home side go 1-0 up ht.

IN BOTH GAMES THE HOME SIDE HAD 17 SHOTS...WITH GETAFE LAST NIGHT 5 SHOTS ON TARGET AND SEVILLA 6.

THE AWAY TEAMS THAT SCORED 3 SECOND HALF GOALS HAD 12 AND 13 SHOTS AND BOTH HAD 6 SHOTS ON TARGET.

THEY BOTH SCORED SECOND HALF GOALS IN THE SAME TIME FRAME... 53' 60' AND 57' 59'

there is one difference which is sevilla had more sots in the first half but ended 6/6

Predicting 0-0 ft in La liga?

most number of sots for home team when 0-0 ft in la liga is 5 without scoring with the exception of 2 games where tow home teams had 10sots and did not score, and i will look at the games later to see if i can see anything.

away the figure is up to and including 7sot without scoring(with the away 0-0 ft average much lower)

removing the 2 10sot games gives sot average home for 0-0 ft la liga at 3.09 and away..3.54.

army get me the data

.
http://proicehockey.about.com/od/learnthegame/a/stats_explained.htm

start here 1st, understand the game ( maybe new thread needed )

.
http://www.behindthenet.ca/

http://www.hockeydb.com/

ching ching

can we predict prem 0-0 ft?

4.266 average v 2.93average EPL FT 0-0

part 2

'spot the difference' by armagnac

Now you have two picture's at full-time if you can find no differences and the picture's are identical, you have cracked it.

jonny, my halftime sot p/l is showing a loss for the last 5 days, while my match and CS p/l are showing healthy profits.

can you have a quick look at yours when you get a chance please and compare your findings.

tyia

army no probs posts yours and i will have a look

yesterday

blackburn lay 0-0 ht won
much lay 0-0 ht won
real lay 0-1 ht won
inter lay 0-0 ht won

i am happy to go through every game with you.

to advise all the ambers red for the whole weekend.

Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Half Time Score     23-Jan-11 19:45     23-Jan-11 20:37     28.65

i missed the other three yesterday

Soccer / Roma v Lazio : Half Time Score     19-Jan-11 19:45     19-Jan-11 20:34     -7.50 lost

my bets will be a lot different to yours so no point studying them hard as i use a more care free approach, i was just curious to see if you and everyone else was making more or less profits in the halftime markets compared to the outright ones, as im struggling a bit.

got my sheet with the 20 games from yesterday and 21/ sat

unlucky?

there were 4 yesterday.

impossible to analyse with any info armagnac so i can do anything.

i will leave it to you to work out if a team are amber and when you should lay the bet.

i am off to look at basketball

bochum red lay 1.5 0-0 ft wins

IR the bolton game didnt adhere to the pre game profile , however should you have used the usual criteria then Bolton amber @ 1.25 ht would have won +4 - comm .

This game was tricky as Bolton were RED in the 2nd half but seeing as chelsea were 4 up do you lay next goal @ 1.5 (Correct score market gone ) , do you lay next goal chelsea @ 3.00 as bolton were RED and chelsea were GREEN ? The rules say yes but the dissonance between the pre and IR running profiles surely says no ?

Ok