How many times have Man utd scored 4 or more away this season. The answer is 0%. The key here is that unqoted in the game against Birmingham was 8.4 to lay at ko.
How many shots on Goal do Man Utd Average per game?
Answer 8.
What % of the shots on goal (SOT) do they convert away?
Answer 0.25 so the average is 2 goals per every 8 shots on target.
How many shots on goal do they need to average to score 4 away?
Answer 16.
How many times have they had more then 10 shots on goal in a game this season.
Answer
0%.
At home their average is higher at just over 0.3. They have managed to score 4 goals or more in only one game. 7-1 v Blackburn.
On average this still means that they would require 13 shots on goal to get an average of 4 goals in a game.
The only game that went against this was against Blackburn where they had 9 SOT and scored 7.
Last night against BIRMINGHAM they had 4 shots on goal and scored the expected ONE goal.
i will be looking at tonights game later.
It is possible to trade games In running with the shot expectation and SOT expectation and actual shots and SOT as a game progresses.
Man UTD average 15 shots per game
how many shots did they have last night?
Answer 14.
so in summary they did their average number of shots (nearly) but fell short in their number of average shots on target.
If there is anyone out there that is trading the markets based on SOT and shots on goal then please contact me if you dont mind sharing information.
jonnyg Date Joined: 04 Jul 00 Add contact | Send message When: 23 Jan 11 21:10 2-1 x 2 when spain 1-1 ht this season home
villa 5 v 1
2-1 was 8-2 and 9-2
so could end as similar profile
2 things of interest (maybe)
1) 2nd goals score both in the 90th minute 2) 1 of the games a team had a man sent off
jonnyg Date Joined: 04 Jul 00 Add contact | Send message When: 23 Jan 11 21:10 2-1 x 2 when spain 1-1 ht this season home villa 5 v 12-1 was 8-2 and 9-2so could end as similar profile2 things of interest (maybe)1) 2nd goals score both in the 90th min
saw 1-1 ht villa tehn goes 2-1 and fits teh 1-1 ft profile like a glove so i am not laying 1.25 even though villa are AMBER
over to last commvillareal got a new filter-looking at profiles of gamessaw 1-1 ht villa tehn goes 2-1 and fits teh 1-1 ft profile like a glove so i am not laying 1.25 even though villa are AMBER
valencia v espanyol and zara v soc and villareal tonight
all 1-1 ht
all ended 2-1 ft
and sot exactly the same 9/2 8/2 8/1 and they are teh only games this season taht have ended 2-1 from 1-1 ht spain.
say you just layed 2-1 ft as it does not happen very often
valencia v espanyol and zara v soc and villareal tonightall 1-1 htall ended 2-1 ftand sot exactly the same 9/2 8/2 8/1 and they are teh only games this season taht have ended 2-1 from 1-1 ht spain.say you just layed 2-1 ft as it does not happen very
Soccer Showing 1 - 11 of 11 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:46 23.87 milan red lay 1.5 and under Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Match Odds 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:40 9.55 sot data Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Half Time Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 20:37 28.65 milan red lay 1.5 and under Soccer / Real Madrid v Mallorca : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 18:00 23-Jan-11 19:51 6.37 Soccer / Blackburn v West Brom : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 16:00 23-Jan-11 17:53 -6.00 Soccer / Zaragoza v Deportivo : Match Odds 23-Jan-11 16:00 23-Jan-11 17:53 32.47 Soccer / Bologna v Lazio : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 14:00 23-Jan-11 15:59 16.24 Soccer / Sampdoria v Juventus : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 14:00 23-Jan-11 15:57 -3.00 Soccer / G Furth v Union Berlin : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 12:30 23-Jan-11 14:22 9.55 Soccer / FSV Frankfurt v Oberhausen : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 12:30 23-Jan-11 13:45 5.73 Soccer / Udinese v Inter : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 11:30 23-Jan-11 13:28 6.68
Soccer: £130.11 | Tote: | Total P&L: £130.11 Soccer Showing 1 - 11 of 11 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:46 23.87 milan red
Soccer / Villarreal v Sociedad : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 20:00 23-Jan-11 21:52 3.34 swerve lay amber but should have made for a profile 2-1 ft game. Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:46 23.87 Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Match Odds 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:40 9.55 Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Half Time Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 20:37 28.65 Soccer / Real Madrid v Mallorca : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 18:00 23-Jan-11 19:51 6.37 Soccer / Blackburn v West Brom : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 16:00 23-Jan-11 17:53 -6.00 Soccer / Zaragoza v Deportivo : Match Odds 23-Jan-11 16:00 23-Jan-11 17:53 32.47 Soccer / Bologna v Lazio : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 14:00 23-Jan-11 15:59 16.24 Soccer / Sampdoria v Juventus : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 14:00 23-Jan-11 15:57 -3.00 Soccer / G Furth v Union Berlin : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 12:30 23-Jan-11 14:22 9.55 Soccer / FSV Frankfurt v Oberhausen : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 12:30 23-Jan-11 13:45 5.73 Soccer / Udinese v Inter : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 11:30 23-Jan-11 13:28 6.68
Soccer / Villarreal v Sociedad : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 20:00 23-Jan-11 21:52 3.34 swerve lay amber but should have made for a profile 2-1 ft game.Soccer / AC Milan v Cesena : Correct Score 23-Jan-11 19:45 23-Jan-11 21:46
what would the ft score (per profile) if Villa got on and have another 4 or 5 sot on until the end?
not likely to happen as 10/5 was a 3-1 profile and barca did a 3-1 5/2 profile
johnnywhat would the ft score (per profile) if Villa got on and have another 4 or 5 sot on until the end?not likely to happen as 10/5 was a 3-1 profile and barca did a 3-1 5/2 profile
1) Re 2-1 fts profile ....1 of the games had a sending off - so don't you discard this? 2) The 2-1ft from 1-1ht per profile ,,,,what would happen if team a or b ...changed its profile with a lot of late sots...I know from 49mins onwards you felt it was a classic 2-1
it was a couple of points in truth1) Re 2-1 fts profile ....1 of the games had a sending off - so don't you discard this?2) The 2-1ft from 1-1ht per profile ,,,,what would happen if team a or b ...changed its profile with a lot of late sots...I know
think most of chaps on forum work for betfair like frog so it is not easy for the rest of us.
i hope i can have the last post.thanks again chaps.i appreciated all the costructive comments.think most of chaps on forum work for betfair like frog so it is not easy for the rest of us.
uncanny how many short prices get beat. let's hope my net is big enough. liquidity will never be a problem.. there will always be someone chasing a correct score back to get out of trouble.
uncanny how many short prices get beat. let's hope my net is big enough. liquidity will never be a problem.. there will always be someone chasing a correct score back to get out of trouble.
this is for scotbet and i hope this will drive forward your love for stats.
Do you remember last night when i was looking at Spain 1-0 and said getfae could lose because Espanyol had more shots on target in the first half and this fit the profile of losing home teams.
Well, i looked at SEVILLA V GETAFE NOV 27 2010
In both games the home side go 1-0 up ht.
IN BOTH GAMES THE HOME SIDE HAD 17 SHOTS...WITH GETAFE LAST NIGHT 5 SHOTS ON TARGET AND SEVILLA 6.
THE AWAY TEAMS THAT SCORED 3 SECOND HALF GOALS HAD 12 AND 13 SHOTS AND BOTH HAD 6 SHOTS ON TARGET.
THEY BOTH SCORED SECOND HALF GOALS IN THE SAME TIME FRAME... 53' 60' AND 57' 59'
there is one difference which is sevilla had more sots in the first half but ended 6/6
this is for scotbet and i hope this will drive forward your love for stats.Do you remember last night when i was looking at Spain 1-0 and said getfae could lose because Espanyol had more shots on target in the first half and this fit the profile of l
most number of sots for home team when 0-0 ft in la liga is 5 without scoring with the exception of 2 games where tow home teams had 10sots and did not score, and i will look at the games later to see if i can see anything.
away the figure is up to and including 7sot without scoring(with the away 0-0 ft average much lower)
Predicting 0-0 ft in La liga?most number of sots for home team when 0-0 ft in la liga is 5 without scoring with the exception of 2 games where tow home teams had 10sots and did not score, and i will look at the games later to see if i can see anythin
ok i one of the 10sot game the away side had a red card so that explains that one.
and sevilla at home second game of season should have scored but did not- just one of them days.
ok i one of the 10sot game the away side had a red card so that explains that one.and sevilla at home second game of season should have scored but did not- just one of them days.
with your pre-match stats you are creating a 'picture' of how the match and scoreline may finish.
with the in-play stats the actual 'picture' of the match is being created.
part 1'The picture system' by jonnygwith your pre-match stats you are creating a 'picture' of how the match and scoreline may finish.with the in-play stats the actual 'picture' of the match is being created.
Now you have two picture's at full-time if you can find no differences and the picture's are identical, you have cracked it.
part 2'spot the difference' by armagnacNow you have two picture's at full-time if you can find no differences and the picture's are identical, you have cracked it.
jonny, my halftime sot p/l is showing a loss for the last 5 days, while my match and CS p/l are showing healthy profits.
can you have a quick look at yours when you get a chance please and compare your findings.
tyia
jonny, my halftime sot p/l is showing a loss for the last 5 days, while my match and CS p/l are showing healthy profits.can you have a quick look at yours when you get a chance please and compare your findings.tyia
also would be helpful if anyone else could share there profit details here because i find it hard to believe im the only one struggling in the halftime markets using the sot method.
also would be helpful if anyone else could share there profit details here because i find it hard to believe im the only one struggling in the halftime markets using the sot method.
blackburn lay 0-0 ht won much lay 0-0 ht won real lay 0-1 ht won inter lay 0-0 ht won
i am happy to go through every game with you.
to advise all the ambers red for the whole weekend.
army no probs posts yours and i will have a lookyesterdayblackburn lay 0-0 ht wonmuch lay 0-0 ht wonreal lay 0-1 ht woninter lay 0-0 ht woni am happy to go through every game with you.to advise all the ambers red for the whole weekend.
Soccer / Blackpool v Sunderland : Half Time Score 22-Jan-11 15:00 22-Jan-11 15:48 -3.00 lost Soccer / Cottbus v Bielefeld : Half Time Score 22-Jan-11 12:00 22-Jan-11 12:50 -5.00 lost
Soccer / Blackpool v Sunderland : Half Time Score 22-Jan-11 15:00 22-Jan-11 15:48 -3.00 lostSoccer / Cottbus v Bielefeld : Half Time Score 22-Jan-11 12:00 22-Jan-11 12:50 -5.00 lost
my bets will be a lot different to yours so no point studying them hard as i use a more care free approach, i was just curious to see if you and everyone else was making more or less profits in the halftime markets compared to the outright ones, as im struggling a bit.
my bets will be a lot different to yours so no point studying them hard as i use a more care free approach, i was just curious to see if you and everyone else was making more or less profits in the halftime markets compared to the outright ones, as i
impossible to analyse with any info armagnac so i can do anything.
i will leave it to you to work out if a team are amber and when you should lay the bet.
i am off to look at basketball
unlucky?there were 4 yesterday.impossible to analyse with any info armagnac so i can do anything.i will leave it to you to work out if a team are amber and when you should lay the bet.i am off to look at basketball
IR the bolton game didnt adhere to the pre game profile , however should you have used the usual criteria then Bolton amber @ 1.25 ht would have won +4 - comm .
This game was tricky as Bolton were RED in the 2nd half but seeing as chelsea were 4 up do you lay next goal @ 1.5 (Correct score market gone ) , do you lay next goal chelsea @ 3.00 as bolton were RED and chelsea were GREEN ? The rules say yes but the dissonance between the pre and IR running profiles surely says no ?
IR the bolton game didnt adhere to the pre game profile , however should you have used the usual criteria then Bolton amber @ 1.25 ht would have won +4 - comm . This game was tricky as Bolton were RED in the 2nd half but seeing as chelsea were 4 up d
acornel i understand what you are saying but i have added more filters as i explained to you off betfair forum so amber does not mean lay a bet every time any more.
In the rangers game i predicted 2-0 ft as an example.
i appreciate what you are saying
which games did you lose on?
acornel i understand what you are saying but i have added more filters as i explained to you off betfair forum so amber does not mean lay a bet every time any more.In the rangers game i predicted 2-0 ft as an example.i appreciate what you are sayingw
Missed bristol city as layed 1-0 at 1.1 low when goal was 1.2.
Soccer / Barcelona v Almeria : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 26-Jan-11 21:00 26-Jan-11 22:52 56.17 trade Soccer / Hibernian v Rangers : Correct Score 26-Jan-11 19:45 26-Jan-11 21:41 17.82 profile bet Soccer / Sevilla v Real Madrid : Correct Score 26-Jan-11 19:00 26-Jan-11 20:57 -2.50 amber Soccer / Liverpool v Fulham : Half Time Score 26-Jan-11 20:00 26-Jan-11 20:47 -2.50 amber Soccer / Sampdoria v AC Milan : Correct Score 26-Jan-11 16:30 26-Jan-11 18:29 72.57 predicted final score (profile bet) Soccer / Sampdoria v AC Milan : Half Time Score 26-Jan-11 16:30 26-Jan-11 17:19 9.55 profile bet
here is mineMissed bristol city as layed 1-0 at 1.1 low when goal was 1.2.Soccer / Barcelona v Almeria : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 26-Jan-11 21:00 26-Jan-11 22:52 56.17 tradeSoccer / Hibernian v Rangers : Correct Score 26-Jan-11 19:45
yes jonny, i was finding it very hard to make it pay during the 1st half..all the inicators were flashing but the goals were not coming. I simply put this down to the need to score is not as great in the 1st half as it is in the 2nd half when time is running out.
yes jonny, i was finding it very hard to make it pay during the 1st half..all the inicators were flashing but the goals were not coming.I simply put this down to the need to score is not as great in the 1st half as it is in the 2nd half when time is