The guy collecting the commission.

Sorry BETFAIRY; I've forgotten your name.

Nevertheless you appear as one of the more intelligent members.

Maybe in fact the whole question is an oxymoron ?

Brightness as in intelligence does not necessarily equate to being a good punter.

I am not the sharpest tool but I do know that mathematically the probability of each horses
chance in a race can be calculated with enough accuracy to gain a decent edge. After that, maths comes to the
fore again in how you bet and how you manage a bank.

E.G. Reading the forum on here and formites tell how they had X pounds on a horse at X odds and they won
or lost X amount. Doing some quick and easy calculations in excel I can improve there return enough to
cover commission costs on 90% of occasions without getting better odds.

Another point raised is value. Value for a position punter is totally different to value for a trader.
A traders value is in timing, volatility and rapid turnover whereas value to a position taker is in probability. I would go as far to say that a position punter would not make a good trader.

There are a few on here who have the gift of putting pen to paper, aye robot comes to mind with common sense
articles and strategies.

There are those with a maths bent like Lori who have helped with intelligence on things like "Kelly Criterion"  and many others I admire for there work ethic or helpful nature.

We were all newbies at  the start , and if we can help put those new to the game get on the right track
without  scorn or derision all to the good. Some can't be helped as they know it all and think if they can't do it
no one else can.

Most of what I know came from ideas from others, a lot of study, a lot of early losses and much testing.


This game can be won and is won by a select few.

Compound
Good post.
I would just change the last sentence to read ""--- a very select few. "