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Sandown
20 Jul 10 12:54
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Date Joined: 06 Dec 01
| Topic/replies: 3,665 | Blogger: Sandown's blog
So, the Levy Board forecasts that its expenditure for 2010/11 will be £70m (for the present) versus £94.5m in 09/10 (D.Mail July 20).

(It was as high as £115m in 07/08 and you have to go back to 01/02 for the figure to be as low as next year's f/c when it was £72.9m. In 99/00 it was £59.4m)

And the reason for this decline? Look no further than the quote from Victor Chandler in the same article. He is quoted as saying that horseracing now represents only 8% of his revenues compared with 100% 20 years ago.

He goes on to say that it is the only sport where is revenues are in decline.

The contribution that BF makes to the levy is a red herring. At £7m the figure is in line with BF's share of the market, as one would expect with the use of the same formula based on gross profits.

It seems to me that the levy is now returning to historic levels after the boost to returns due to an increase in meetings. That can now be seen for what many said at the time of Saville, i.e. a short-term fix with long-term consequences.

Those consequences have now kicked in. The sport survives on the largesse of a few Arab owners to maintain bloodstock price levels. It is losing media support rapidly. How long before cards are restricted to one or two only in the dailies? How long before Ch4 gives up the ghost? Without the subsidy it receives from Dubai, it surely will.What then for horseracing, with little media support? I can only foresee a continuing decline in revenue via the levy.

Perhaps the crisis will force the powers to be to act decisively and bring the sport into the 21st century. A proposed cut in meeting numbers suggests that the nettle may be about to be grasped. But Mr Roy seems to be targetting the wrong villain of the piece. It is not the exchanges that have caused this situation but racing itself by being so dysfunctional.

A crisis may just be what is needed for proper deep-rooted action to be taken. And I don't mean the superficial change proposed by RFC.

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Replies: 435
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 12:58
NB D.Mail July 14.
By:
brendanuk1
When: 20 Jul 10 13:05
its a bent industry that leaches off other sports for funding and exposure.

Not sure why anyone under 40 would care if it went bust completely
By:
birch2
When: 20 Jul 10 13:54
sandown

agree BF is a red herring, but they will go down any avenue for extra funding.

I dont know what powers the Levy/BHA have, but after that 8% quote from VC, I would be straight down to his office to investigate!
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 14:12
The Horsemen's Group submission is a laugh in that it justifies a "reasonable" contribution as £130-150m from the levy, its case based on its "needs" and through international comparisons. It attacks exchanges for their role and views the world through the prism of "entitlements" which our culture has now become dominated by and the racing industry is no exception. It is amazing how even top consultants advice can be distorted through the prism of self-interest. There is not a single sentence which looks from the other end of the telescope.

http://www.britishhorseracing.com/resources/media/publications_and_reports/50th_Levy_Scheme_Submission.pdf
By:
Rider
When: 20 Jul 10 14:40
Many people who have followed racing for years are being frozen out by the sport, the levy system through bookmakers means serious followers of racing are treated like scum, RUK are poor too despite going the suibscription model, other sports win hands down, in every respect and so VC's figures though probably massaged are almost certainly in decline for racing.
By:
heynoodles
When: 20 Jul 10 14:55
Good article from Greg Wood on the Guardian site. The BHA seemed to have achieved the incredible feat of even horseracing supporters believing them to be in the wrong over the levy and taking the side of the bookmakers.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2010/jul/19/
levy-board-bookmakers-racing
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 15:07
heynoodles

Experienced horseplayers have to learn how to balance arguments for and against to arrive at a sound judgement. It is what makes us skilled at weighing up a myriad of factors. We may differ in our final opinions but we have learned the hard way that the only thing that matters in the end is "good judgement." This is true of politicians in particular, who don't seem to recognise the fact they history judges on how good someone's judgement was. (Let's leave Blair & Iraq, Brown & the economy)) and concentrate on our narrow neck of the woods. Going for volume of meetings was a major error of judgement.  Not recognising that bookmakers are no longer dependent on horseracing is another.Ignoring their core market in attempt to buy a new younger market is another. Not seeing that racing should be operating at perhaps half its current bloated size is another.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 20 Jul 10 18:21
I believe Victor Chandler's 8% figure, but it's not necessarily an indication of declining horse-racing turnover.

Twenty years ago, when he says the figure was 100%, Chandler was a rails bookmaker/punter whose off-course credit operation was a service for those clients he had cultivated on the racecourse itself.

Since then he has moved offshore, actively expanded into the Far Eastern football markets and benefited like all his competitors from an online casino.

It's entirely possible horse racing could now be 8% of his turnover, yet still provide more revenue than it did in 1990.
By:
Feck N. Eejit
When: 20 Jul 10 18:52
Agreed screaming. He's lumping in the puny stakes he takes on horse racing with the massive sports bets he's probably taking from high rolling mugs in the far east.
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 18:57
screaming

VC said ".. it is the only sport where revenues are in decline" so he is doing less now than before. If VC was typical - which he isn't with no LBO's - then horseracing could find itself in a Mexican standoff with bookmakers if the BHA pushes too hard. If BM's stopped taking bets on horseracing who would come off worst?
By:
heynoodles
When: 20 Jul 10 19:08
Sandown I dont have any answers it's all too complex for me. But still think horseracing is v important to bookmakers, otherwise they wouldnt have backed down over Turftv.
By:
Rider
When: 20 Jul 10 19:19
cakes/slices lol, its declining, the only question is rate
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 19:54
The horseracing industry is in denial. I expect that the Govt. will settle this one but given the austerity measures being imposed in the economy at large I can't see them coming down on the side of a £150m settlement.So, BM's win again.
By:
heynoodles
When: 20 Jul 10 19:56
The fact the BM's are paying big money to 'racing' via media rights doesn't look good for the BHA.
By:
cornubia
When: 20 Jul 10 20:16
UK total horseracing betting turnover in Euro to IFHA figures (latest 2008):

2004 15.67B
2006 15.48B
2008 11.07B (a 28% fall)

Horse racing is now about 45% of all UK sports betting.
It is still a huge sum but definitely dropping rapidly.
We have not had a 28% drop in fixtures.
By:
gus
When: 20 Jul 10 20:50
Watching the ATR coverage of jump racing at Ballinrobe this evening where there are big fields and exciting (if somewhat scary) races, makes me wonder what's the difference between the funding of Irish Racing and UK Racing that makes Irish racing appear, at least to this uninformed viewer, so healthy?

Its a genuine question. I suppose if i wasn't so lazy i could rsrearch  the funding arrangements  of Irish racing for myself, but someone on here probably knows already.
By:
heynoodles
When: 20 Jul 10 21:09
They've got their own worries I think. Government funding under pressur ein current climate. Irish forum would know more. Also in a dispute with betfair over their contribution.
By:
Sandown
When: 20 Jul 10 21:41
The whole essence of the case presented by the Horsemens Group (racing) is that horseracing warrants a take from bookmakers as enshrined in law, that this "take" is expected to be "reasonable" i.e. to both sides, and given the increase in training costs, inflation and the cost of extra fixtures, that racing has an increased "need" for more money, and that bookmakers unfairly are continuing to deny racing a reasonable return. "Racing" believes that its product is still no. 1 and that because it can be the reason why punters are atrracted to shops in the first place, racing warrants a take not just on the racing returns but on the whole amount gambled through bookmakers. Not just in the UK but on overseas racing as well.Oh, and as for exchanges, well there are people conducting business on the exchange who are regular winners (as demonstrated by BF imposing the PC)so they should contribute to the levy. And as exchanges don't take the risk that BM's take their levy payment should be higher than 15%.

I rather like the idea that someone can take a look at someone else's profits and say they should pay more. BF is being hoisted by its own petard on this.

Racing has yet to regsister that betting on horses is on its way down, fast. Neither does it recognise that it is punters who end paying the levy through worse margins. And it can't see that exchanges peaked in the horserace betting market some time ago for all the reasons we know.
By:
Avocado
When: 21 Jul 10 05:06
Horse Racing is bent and also boring to watch.
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Jul 10 09:40
Who is my customer and what are his /her needs and wants, and how can I satisfy them ?

That is THE question. The first and most important question that any business must ask. Get the answer right, act on it, and you have a chance of succeeding.

Herein lies the problem for the horseracing industry.It doen't have a single answer.

Breeders regard owners and trainers as their customers, trainers regard owners as their customers,courses regard racegoers as their customers, bookmakers regard punters as their customers, newspapers regard readers as their customers and TV channels regard viewers as their customers.

There are some people who appear in every category whilst most if not all are in more than one category, but this is never recognised seemingly withing the industry.

The result is that intelligent people who say belong to the Horsemans Group see no further than the people who pay their bills. They have no regard for the people at the end of the line, the punters and enthusiasts, who not only provide most of the funding either directly or indirectly but who also make the atmosphere, create the interest and help to keep the media involved. You will find hardly any mention of let alone understanding of this fact within the submission the THG submitted.

Instead, they see life as an adversorial match with bookmakers from whom they need to wrench as much money as possible using the law as their most potent weapon but also using the most flimsy justifications.

Until such time that the industry can see itself through the telescope from the ultimate customers point of view it will never be able to solve its problems.
By:
REM
When: 21 Jul 10 10:10
Racing has an identity crises. Much like cricket and much to my sadness. It's an existential thing and they really need to understand their own essence and role in the world. Go stand in the cold at a Larkhill ptp and the world seems sane again.
By:
I am the one and only223
When: 21 Jul 10 10:18
Horse Racing and Greyhound Racing used to be just about the only thing that people could bet on legally and because of that both attracted huge crowds.  If Joe Public fancied having a bet, it would probably be on a horse he had little or no knowledge about.  Now if Joe Public fancies a bet, he can bet on what colour dress the queen will be wearing at Ascot.  In fact now he is likely to have a bet on stuff that interests him and he has some knowledge of.  He might not know how good Richard Hannon's latest 2 year old is, but he thinks he has a fair idea about who is going to be relegated from the Premier League this season.

Horse Racing is going to go the way of Greyhound Racing, and who watches that now?
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Jul 10 10:48
I am the one and only223  0

The point you make is spot on and probably is the single most important reason why why someone who bets - without any real interest in horseracing - will migrate to other sports, especially if they believe that they have more chance of winning, or its easier to work out or just because they prefer to bet on something that interests them.

From THG submission, it seems that whilst there has been huge growth in other sports betting - so reducing the share held by racing from 42% of the gross take to 28% over the period 2002 to 2008, the actual amount of take from horseracing has risen by 22%.Of course, this as always depends on where you start and if the figures were taken from 2003 there would have been a decline of 12%. Given Victor Chandlers comment quoted in my original post, we shouldn't be surprised to find that this decline will become ever more noticeable.
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Jul 10 11:09
There are a couple of interesting claims made by THG. One is that exchanges (BF) don't contribute enough to racing. The other is that because racing is an "anchor" product to LBO,s, the levy should be related to the total sports take and racing should have a share of the additional take from other sports.

Using a back of an envelope, the anti-exchange stance doesn't hold up. The BF 2009 Review said they had a gross take (commission) of £300m, 49% of which was earned overseas which leaves c.£150m from the UK. The total gross take in the UK market is £3000m so BF have 5% of the total. Assuming that proportion holds for horseracing then BF's take on UK horseracing is 5% of £1000m = £50m. A 15% levy amounts to £7.5m. They paid £7m last year. Where's the problem? Why can't the flaw in racing's argument be seen? Of course, there is also the issue of BF players conducting a business and therefore should contribute to the levy. BF have opened the door on this through the PC so we shall see what we shall see.

As to the argument that racing is an "anchor" product and gets punters through LBO doors, so if used as a loss leader racing would be getting less than its fair share, I would say that this is a very mute point. It could just as easily be turned on its head these days with the argument that its the machines which get the punters through the doors, not racing.
By:
heynoodles
When: 21 Jul 10 12:07
Paul Roy and co dont seen to understand who they are after on the exchanges. Ive seen in running players at the track, bots and huge layers all mentioned. As Mark Davies said in his blog (a very good read imo) its not fair to go after successful gamblers on betfair but not successful gamblers who bet elsewhere. And the only reason they could come after betfair customers is because bf record people's bets (hope havent misquoted him there).

However, Ralph Topping might understand the issue more and he mentions a "limited number of people on betfair who are acting as big bookmakers" today.
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Jul 10 12:53
There is no doubt that racing has got its tail between its teeth and it is giving itslef a good old chase.

It seems to have said to itself that becaue a big chunk of racing's income comes through the levy on bookmakers, then horseracing is in the business of providing a product to bookmakers. From that "insight" came the view that increasing the number of meetings was a "good thing" because it would increase the gross take and therefore increase the income that racing receives.

In fact,as it is now finding out, it does not follow that people will bet more because there are more meetings (especially lower grade meetings - remember banded racing?).

Racing now appears to be obsessed by the finances of gambling and bookmaking so much does it now see itself as a by-product of the gambling industry - a feed product on which bookmaking depends. This relationship has determined the strategy that racing has adopted and it overwhelms its thinking.

If racing were to concentrate instead on what the public thinks and wants it might find that the position might be reversed and it would be bookmaking adopting its strategies to fit in with the demand created by the horseracing business. A perhaps subtle distinction but one with huge ramifications for the future of racing in this country.
By:
frog2
When: 21 Jul 10 13:25
The increase in the levy in the early 2000s was due to the change in tax from turnover to gross profits. This resulted in a massive increase in turnover on racing betting and levy. The government used to get over 6% of turnover and racing around 1%. Now racing gets 10% of gross profits and the government 15%. A 6:1 ratio down to a 1.5:1 ratio. Racing did very well out of the tax change.

The problem is that this boosted papered over the cracks. Without the change racing would only be on about £30m levy now.
By:
frog2
When: 21 Jul 10 13:30
Also the tax change led to FOBTs being feasible. 6% turnover tax on 2.7% turnover profit roulette would have not worked. So racing had a short term boost that is being eroded as these games and other low margin products take hold.
By:
REM
When: 21 Jul 10 13:37
Agree that in many ways less is more. Special events (witness the world cup) are much more alluring than everyday events. The closer real horse racing gets to mimicking virtual horse racing, the nearer it will get to its demise.
By:
Sandown
When: 21 Jul 10 14:47
frog2

Valid point. The GPT demonstrated its superiority in revenue raising terms over a direct tax on stakes/profit. The s/t boost has diminished for sure.

rem

Phil Bull was forever pointing out that what makes horserace betting so different was its blend of skill and chance. Reduce the game to races every 5 mins and it becomes nothing other than a spin of the roultette wheel. By giving bookmakers what they wanted racing has killed the skill element for many people. If an increasing number of punters want that, then so be it, racing doesn't have to follow suit especially as it can nver beat the machines on the issue of volume. Quality in racing terms and in betting terms should be the route. It may lead to a reduction in numbers employed, bred,meetings but it would be a better product to promote and for people to enjoy. Smaller is better. Less is more.
By:
AussiInUK
When: 21 Jul 10 16:54
It's pretty simple "COME RACING", get people hooked on it by letting them see it first-hand.

But absolutely stupid entry prices, stupid food and drinks prices make it such a bad experience.

You are not going to get people punting until you get them oncourse and see just what happens.

Also the corruption that is rife throughout the sport needs to be knocked on the head, it must really put players off who want a bet. Get rid of the gaff tracks, hammer the felons, get it as straight as possible.
By:
Gitmo
When: 21 Jul 10 17:19
hammer the felons, get it as straight as possible

Agreed Aussie.

In fact this is where I would start as it should not cost as much as other changes probably would. It is horrifying to see how much of the Levy money is supposedly spent on this and yet no-one believes it is doing a damn bit of good.
By:
Zola's Back Heel
When: 21 Jul 10 17:33
I LIVE in Cheltenham but I rarely go to the races as I feel I'm being fleeced at every turn just for the privilege of wanting to be there.

(i actually go to the course often - but to run round it when no events are on!)
By:
Sandown
When: 22 Jul 10 10:54
Sandown was buzzing last night as it was one of those band events evenings with racing tacked on as an appetizer. I guess the crowd might have been 2 or 3 times the usual mid-week crowd for low grade racing.Cost more to get in, mind you. I can't blame the course for wanting to attract more people and in the s/t I hope it was profitable. It might help attract the younger crowd to racing (I guess it was 75% below 40 age group) and 50% below 30) but I wonder. To my eye, the pre-parade had about the same number as usual and the main paddock maybe more but not lots.

According to the Horsemen's Group report, racecourses have been having a poor time of it with profits dropping considerably. Take out the short-lived high from ATR contribution and the trend is down. The increase in meetings has cost money and these would run at a loss without the levy. So who wants them then? The prospect for courses is not good given the new age of austerity with demand expected to be down for attendances and non-racing events.

I know that everyone believes prices to be too high and food & drink over-charged but I wonder what the alternative is other than a much bigger subsidy from the levy, and that's not on with the levy due to fall. There is always the chance that low entrance fees might produce the crowds, and the Towcester model is worth trying elsewhere, but I can't help but feel that the problem is much more deep-seated than the price of entry.

The truth is that the public is losing interest in the sport both as an entertainment and as a gambling platform. There is a profound need to re-create interest amongst the public and it if this was a simple business/market issue I would say that it is in dire need of a highly creative advertising and marketing effort sustained over a long period. There is so much in racing's history, such a story to tell, such opportunities being missed. To position it as an alternative to the spin of a roulette wheel is ludicrous and self-defeating.
By:
Sandown
When: 22 Jul 10 13:27
It's obvious that by not having full control over a major source of income, racing is unable to push the buttons and pull the levers that might be able to increase that income. Having to rely on a negotiated deal with another industry that pays a proportion of its profits over to racing means that the racing industry is dependent on the strategies and competence of the bookmaking industry and if that industry sees no real longterm future for racing and intends to grow its business elsewhere, there is very little that racing can do about it apart from shouting "unfair."

After 50 years of the levy its an indictment of the racing industry that it hasn't found a better method.

The failure of the Tote to build its competitive business reflects on the flaw in the Pool system when competing with the bookmaking model so obviously preferred by punters.Even if bought by Racing one wonders whether it can be made a success of.

Developing the Tote by taking control is one obvious solution but optismn is kept in check wnen considering that even if the Tote had developed the betting exchange model (vastly superior to Pool betting) even Betfairs current profits after 10 years would still be no more than one third of what racing requires if the levy were to be replaced. It would only be financially beneficial therefore if the income from an exchange was on top of the levy. In any event bookmakers cannot be excluded from having access to the racing product (they would soon find a way round any restriction).

If income is to be maximised through bookmakers I wonder if it is possible to open up the negotiations to individual meeting/course negotiation. How much is Royal Ascot worth or the Cheltenham Festival say compared to a winter of racing at Wolverhampton or Southwell? If a meeting is not worth much then it wouldn't receive subsidy from the levy. It would then be up to the course to decide if they want to still put it on. Just a thought.
By:
REM
When: 22 Jul 10 14:59
Racing is in a muddle. The control of the race program actually limits the number of meetings/types of race that courses can offer to the public, much to the annoyance (even detriment) of racecourses. Unrestricted scheduling by racecources would create a competition that would result in an explosion of meetings competing for money and against each other that could appear chaotic to the racing public and a nightmare for trainers and jockeys - probably resulting in a two tier system and many courses going to the wall.

If money is all racing desires then they must step into the market place - where a rude awakening awaits.

The most basic question that can be asked is: what is horse racing? Does anyone actually know the answer?
By:
AussiInUK
When: 22 Jul 10 16:30
The BHA and the GC have made a castle built on pillars of sand.

They have created an empire that had no life, they were expecting the impossible, riding on the gravy-train for far too long, whilst ignoring the glaring problems.

Get rid of the crooked and fiddling trainers, owners, and jocks

Get rid of the meetings that need not be there, cull and cull again, who needs Wolves A/W winter tripe

Put a restriction on the breeding, less races, less horses.

Change the rules on the levy. Get rid of the stupid 90k rule

Stop being subservient to the big 3, it's killing racing more than anything.

This is all getting to a "Nero fiddling while Rome burned" type scenario.

Get people in the racecourses, start consulting with us, people who care about racing. Even start employing us, there are many smart people on here, will you actually listen to us? BHA sort yourself out, speak to us, stop being self-serving and actually get us, the people that are paying your wages, to get you to understand what is going on.
By:
Sandown
When: 22 Jul 10 16:34
Just noticed that I used 15% instead of 10% for levy. Don't know why but it deosnt really change anything.

Point is that Racing says it needs up to £150m next year and bookmakers say £70m affordable. Big gap.

Other sports have gate receipts, TV rights, sponsorship from which they make money. Racing has in addition a levy on gambling profits. I can only assume that the Govt 50 years ago agreed to this after 250 years of Racing w/o any levy that Racing empoyewd too many people directly and indirectly to fail. Seems that the figures are areound 18,000 direct the rest indirect. It also pays tax etc. Still, the Govt has made an exception in the case of Racing and its a privilege rather than an entitlement.

Racing would be in the mire without it becasue its business model doen't wor. Costs are too high because its labour intensive and the costs of staging are high.

If horseracing was starting from scratch and presenting its business model to say Dragons Den, would it get support?

Owners want to run their horses and courses want to put on meetings because the public come to watch. Unfortunately, the economics don't work without sponsorship and without a contribution from gambling. Taking gate receipts and gambing payments (inc tv rights) together the public/bookmaking contibutes  54% of income whilst owners cover the rest.As this 54% in 2008 is up against 50% in 2002, its clear that the public/bookmaking is more than matching owners. So where is racing's beef?

To answer your question REM, I don't think that anyone now would put together a horseracing business without control over gambling income. But, at its basic, it's a visiual entertainment, an investment opportunity for speculation in bloodstock, and a gambling platform. And its not profitable. So Dragons Den would give it a miss I think.
By:
General Midwinter
When: 23 Jul 10 09:58
My Local course is Brighton - not a lot of meetings, and I've never been to one, although I bet on horses every day.

Main reason is that I simply never know when a meeting is taking place - I don't get the local rag, and I never hear a TV or radio advert, so the only time I'll know there's a meeting is when I see it as an advance card on the SL website - too late.

So just today I go to the racecourse site: Tickets

* Donation to Great Ormond Street Hospital  1.00  (I kid you not this is top of the menu???)
Champagne Charleys  100.00
Fancy A Flutter     24.00
Fancy A Flutter Upgrade  29.00
G&P Admission  17.00
John Smith's £10 Offer    10.00
Pimms For A Pair  47.00
Premier Admission  22.00

Yup - that's 7 different types of ticket, with virtually no explanation of what I'm getting. The John Smith's offer looks good, I find out elsewhere on the site that it’s for parties of 10 or more. The ‘Bring a mate for a Fiver’ doesn’t apply to this meeting so I can’t do that, and I’ve now spent 20 mins looking around the website without finding any mention of Fancy A Flutter (w optional upgrade), Champagne Charleys or Pimms For A Pair. FFS I JUST WANT TO WATCH SOME HORSES RACE!

Finally I decide to go for the Premier Enclosure, but wait – there’s a problem…

DRESS CODE

In the Premier Enclosure you are not allowed to wear any of the following:

vests
football or rugby shirts
ripped jeans
shorts
trainers

You’re sh1tting me right? No shorts or trainers in the height of summer? IDIOTS!

And this is the other reason I won’t be going – I have the image of racing as top hated knobs patting each other on the back whilst they carve up their enormous subsidy amongst their corrupt old-school-tied mates.

I’m good enough to pay their levy, but apparently not good enough to be seen on the racecourse should I wish to wear something as outré as a pair of trainers. A plague on all their houses.
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