Forums

We want to share an important update with our Betfair Community users.

Over the coming months, the Betfair Community platform will be winding down. The final active day for the platform will be December 21st. From December 22nd, users will no longer be able to access the platform.

Your discussions, insights, engagement, and, most importantly, feedback have helped shape the platform and guided innovation. Your feedback continues to be important to us, and we will continue to listen via our dedicated feedback channels, as well as through product testing and innovations.

To share your feedback and experience, visit: https://support.betfair.com/app/home

General Betting

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
jepfrog
13 Jun 10 17:52
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 32 | Blogger: jepfrog's blog
What if you lay the draw on below 5 odds ( match has to have solid favourite ).Before match starts back H-T 0-0.
If 0-0 at H-T you will your win H-T correct score, back and trade draw for loss.Hopefully your correct score win would outweigh losses.
If favourite scores, odds should double to cover losses on H-T correct score stake.
Only downside is outsider scoring first, the draw odds will not move enough to cover loss on H-T 0-0 stake.
How often do outsiders score first in first 45 minutes?

Any thoughts,improvements on this system.
Pause • Switch to Standard View lay draw/ h-t 0-0 insurance system
Show More
Loading...
Report TameTheTiger • June 13, 2010 6:01 PM BST
The only improvement is not to bother.
Report jepfrog • June 13, 2010 6:02 PM BST
explanation, why tiger?
Report TameTheTiger • June 13, 2010 6:03 PM BST
Try it for a few games.You will see.
Report jepfrog • June 13, 2010 6:08 PM BST
how about something a bit more constructive, such it might not work because losses outweigh gains or i have tried it and it doesn't work because of XY AND Z.
Report TameTheTiger • June 13, 2010 6:32 PM BST
Lay the draw below 5 - Do you have an edge ? NO
Back HT 0-0          - Do you have an edge ? NO
Report jepfrog • June 13, 2010 6:39 PM BST
maybe plain english tiger,
i,m bit brain dead.
any good ideas for systems tiger
Report drunknstupid • June 13, 2010 6:45 PM BST
Isnt this a variation on the football cash generator system that was doing the rounds a few years back?
Report jepfrog • June 13, 2010 6:52 PM BST
maybe, will try it on Australia v Germany game.
odds draw 4.1 (lay) and H-T 0-0 2.96 (back).
Trade for profit or loss on first goal or half time whichever comes quicker.
Report Rocket to the FACE • June 13, 2010 8:37 PM BST
If it was that easy, we'd all be doing it.

I've a feeling the prices you hope for won't happen and any profit would probably be wiped out by outsiders scoring
Report TameTheTiger • June 13, 2010 8:59 PM BST
Rocket is,of course,quite correct.
Report Lori • June 13, 2010 9:16 PM BST
What if you lay the draw on below 5 odds ( match has to have solid favourite ).Before match starts back H-T 0-0.
If 0-0 at H-T you will your win H-T correct score, back and trade draw for loss.Hopefully your correct score win would outweigh losses.


Which of the two bolded events do you think is systematically mispriced. Why do you think it's mispriced despite soccer being the most analysed sport on Betfair.
If they are BOTH mispriced, why aren't other soccer markets mispriced, such as u/o 2.5 goals (The prices of which are basically botlinked to the other markets anyway). If those are also mispriced, why not back those too.
Why did you pick the two markets you did, rather than just betting twice as much on one of them and lowering commission?

I'm not sure I really understand why you came to the conclusion that this system would be efficient but I'm excited about the prospect of being told.
Report yoyovoke • June 22, 2010 2:08 AM BST
Please I am new on betfair and would like to know what happens when a bet is placed on a team to win but the match ends as a draw. Are the bets returned or taken ?
Report cpfc4me • June 22, 2010 5:20 AM BST
That's a tough question. Is this in the DNB or AH markets?
Report supernap. • June 22, 2010 8:32 AM BST
How often do outsiders score first in first 45 minutes?

It depends on the price as outsiders can be anything from 3/1 upwards, so as to how often do they score first, it would be commensurate with price. In fact, success in any betting system depends on prices.
Report BonViv • June 22, 2010 11:08 PM BST
Try googling the FCG system as this is basically what you're doing.It's a perfectly decent base to work off in principle but you'll need to tweak and work your own modus operandi in a workable format with get out stategies etc
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com