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General Betting
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What if you lay the draw on below 5 odds ( match has to have solid favourite ).Before match starts back H-T 0-0.
If 0-0 at H-T you will your win H-T correct score, back and trade draw for loss.Hopefully your correct score win would outweigh losses.
If favourite scores, odds should double to cover losses on H-T correct score stake.
Only downside is outsider scoring first, the draw odds will not move enough to cover loss on H-T 0-0 stake.
How often do outsiders score first in first 45 minutes?
Any thoughts,improvements on this system.
If 0-0 at H-T you will your win H-T correct score, back and trade draw for loss.Hopefully your correct score win would outweigh losses.
If favourite scores, odds should double to cover losses on H-T correct score stake.
Only downside is outsider scoring first, the draw odds will not move enough to cover loss on H-T 0-0 stake.
How often do outsiders score first in first 45 minutes?
Any thoughts,improvements on this system.
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Replies: 15
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The only improvement is not to bother.
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explanation, why tiger?
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Try it for a few games.You will see.
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how about something a bit more constructive, such it might not work because losses outweigh gains or i have tried it and it doesn't work because of XY AND Z.
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Lay the draw below 5 - Do you have an edge ? NO
Back HT 0-0 - Do you have an edge ? NO |
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maybe plain english tiger,
i,m bit brain dead. any good ideas for systems tiger |
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Isnt this a variation on the football cash generator system that was doing the rounds a few years back?
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maybe, will try it on Australia v Germany game.
odds draw 4.1 (lay) and H-T 0-0 2.96 (back). Trade for profit or loss on first goal or half time whichever comes quicker. |
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If it was that easy, we'd all be doing it.
I've a feeling the prices you hope for won't happen and any profit would probably be wiped out by outsiders scoring |
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Rocket is,of course,quite correct.
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What if you lay the draw on below 5 odds ( match has to have solid favourite ).Before match starts back H-T 0-0.
If 0-0 at H-T you will your win H-T correct score, back and trade draw for loss.Hopefully your correct score win would outweigh losses. Which of the two bolded events do you think is systematically mispriced. Why do you think it's mispriced despite soccer being the most analysed sport on Betfair. If they are BOTH mispriced, why aren't other soccer markets mispriced, such as u/o 2.5 goals (The prices of which are basically botlinked to the other markets anyway). If those are also mispriced, why not back those too. Why did you pick the two markets you did, rather than just betting twice as much on one of them and lowering commission? I'm not sure I really understand why you came to the conclusion that this system would be efficient but I'm excited about the prospect of being told. |
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Please I am new on betfair and would like to know what happens when a bet is placed on a team to win but the match ends as a draw. Are the bets returned or taken ?
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That's a tough question. Is this in the DNB or AH markets?
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How often do outsiders score first in first 45 minutes?
It depends on the price as outsiders can be anything from 3/1 upwards, so as to how often do they score first, it would be commensurate with price. In fact, success in any betting system depends on prices. |
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Try googling the FCG system as this is basically what you're doing.It's a perfectly decent base to work off in principle but you'll need to tweak and work your own modus operandi in a workable format with get out stategies etc
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