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General Betting

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THE CATT
26 Apr 10 15:25
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 1,716 | Blogger: THE CATT's blog
Ok, here is what i am going to try..

If match odds have the teams above evens i will be dutching

1-0
2-0
3-0
0-1
0-2
0-3

If the match odds have a team below evens i will be dutching.

1-1
2-2
3-3
2-1
3-1
3-2
1-2
1-3
2-3

i am starting with £1000 and will be dutching 5% of my balance, this is a long term thing so will be going through the world cup and next season..


Bet 1

C.Palace v West brom

£50 staked, +£89.83 profit if wins -%5 comm -£50 if loses.

Only need 30% S/R to make a profit but i think i will achieve that easy enough, we will see.. :)

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Replies: 134
By:
buzzer
When: 26 Apr 10 15:26
Have you returned to work now THE CATT? Haven't seen you around for a while
By:
Video_Lounge
When: 26 Apr 10 15:27
GL

Didn't you try something like this a while back? how did that end up
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:30
No buzzer not returned to work , still ducking and diving..thanks for asking

I tried dutching correct scores from a predictor before not like this..
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:30
^ V.L
By:
Haslam
When: 26 Apr 10 15:32
sounds interesting Catt,have you followed this for a while on paper?
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:37
I have had a look at recent results but not long term.. i am trying it as i think correct scores are always priced up wrong... how can you predict a price accurately ?? i think there is a bit of money to be made ... we will see..
By:
Video_Lounge
When: 26 Apr 10 15:39
so you are dutching the 1st set of scores in this game then CATT...

good luck with this I hope you do well
By:
Haslam
When: 26 Apr 10 15:40
me too Catt,good luck
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:40
Thats correct, thankyou..
By:
Wedged
When: 26 Apr 10 15:40
The price/scores selections seem completely random to me! I can't imagine there is any correlation there. Prove me wrong CATT.
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:42
Wedged, they are not random.. if a team is odds on you get better odds for both teams to score and better odds for one team to score if above evens.. i am simply going against the grain...
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 15:43
0-0s and unquoted are not on any bets..
By:
Wedged
When: 26 Apr 10 15:46
I know, but allowing one team to just get one goal or more and ruin the whole system seems rather brave.
By:
Trevh
When: 26 Apr 10 17:57
Catt, I tend to go against the grain too, I checked your method against a random week (1st to 8th Feb) of in-play match results, and the odds against matches showed a 28% s/r, the odds-on matches showed a 44% s/r. Results would have been better if 3-0 0-3 was not included, but that's only 1 weeks results.

When I get more time I'll check out some more weeks, GL.
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 18:24
Cheers Trev, we really do need more than a weeks results.. we need a few hundred games at least....
By:
kenilworth
When: 26 Apr 10 18:37
GL CATT.
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:09
cheers Ken..
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 26 Apr 10 20:12
No sarcastic comments Ken?
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:19
1-0 palace ooohhh
By:
Maurice365
When: 26 Apr 10 20:22
catt - how do you chose what matches are palyed?
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:23
bet 1- £50
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:24
maurice, what ever games are available, its the odds that dictate what you do.. next bet coming up..
By:
Maurice365
When: 26 Apr 10 20:25
what i mean is there are dozens of corr score games most days. are you going to be able to play them all?
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:27
no you cant play them all unless you have different ladders going at the same time... im sticking to one ladder..next bet tommorow as there are no more matches tonight
By:
Maurice365
When: 26 Apr 10 20:27
what do you mean by 'different ladders'?
By:
LAMBETH WALK
When: 26 Apr 10 20:28
1-1...goodnight
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:33
Thanks for your input Lambeth....

Maurice, ladders are individual running sequences that run after one another, you could have 3 on the go

the next match is going to be the Darlington v Notts Co match tommorow night.. Darlo are not expected to score..
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 20:34
Current position

0% s/r

Balance £950
By:
Trevh
When: 26 Apr 10 20:46
The sample I gave was for 155 matches Catt. Btw, I play every match, so at weekends I'll often have about 10 to 15 matches on the go at once, which can take a bit of handling lol.
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 26 Apr 10 20:49
is that 10 to 15 correct score dutch matches?
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 26 Apr 10 21:03
Catt - games with both teams above evens, both teams score and your bet's down.

Can't quite see the thinking behind this, (but I know you'll have your reasonnig!)

Good luck anyway.

I have always enjoyed following your threads in the past.... :)
By:
ebasson61
When: 26 Apr 10 21:05
Hi Catt

I like dutching the CS market also. I look for games with low goal expectation and tend to dutch

0-0
1-0
2-0
3-0
2-1
3-1
1-1
0-1
0-2

This generally returns between 25-30% of the stake. Good luck with yours, but the scores you have chosen makes it look a little unbalanced.
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 21:09
trev sorry mate...
By:
THE CATT
When: 26 Apr 10 21:14
sweetchild, sorry i dont understand,

cheers raspberry..

ebasson, my picks are to do with both teams scoring or not..
By:
Trevh
When: 26 Apr 10 21:14
Scom, no not dutches, but I manage each c/s market in-play. An interesting stat for last 4 weeks is that there's been a freak run of 0-0's that would have paid around 3.5k profit backing at £10 stakes, and simply backing each current score after a goal would have paid over 5k profit.
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 26 Apr 10 21:17
Are you talking massive stakes there, Trev?
By:
Trevh
When: 26 Apr 10 21:23
No lol, as I said that's profit to £10 stakes. There's been a freak run of few early goals and few total goals, whether that's down to end of season matches I don't know, but I think it's more likely just a freak run of selected in-play matches by BF.
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 26 Apr 10 21:43
Trev, there was a bloke on here in the last couple of weeks who said he was backing the "next two possible scores" in-running. Not sure about his staking or greening-up/trading but he claimed to be doing well.

Think his name was stanislav or stanilasky
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 26 Apr 10 21:44
BTW sorry never spotted that you mentioned the £10 stake stuff.... :~
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