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The One That Got Away
06 Aug 09 21:11
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 2,869 | Blogger: The One That Got Away's blog
Hi All,

After such a successful C/S Laying thread for the 08/09 season i thought it may be time to open up a new thread for the forthcoming season.

I have been eagerly counting down the days until the 09/10 season kicks off and it is finally less than 24 hours away.

I havent had many bets in the pre-season and have decided to kick off this new season with a Correct Score Laying £1000 bank.

I shall be using 2 x banks of £250 with a back up 'pot" of £500 incase the first banks go BUST!! Initially i will be using the nail biting 'All In' staking system!!.

Im going to post a few thoughts on the Middlesborough v Sheff Utd match and will welcome al thoughts.

Hopefully together we can have yet another succesful season, but most of all...... PROFITABLE!!!!!!
Pause Switch to Standard View *Laying Correct Score Market 09/10"
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Report DFCIRONMAN July 26, 2010 7:28 PM BST
So far so "good" MPCool
===========================================
GAME 672
Fixtures 26 July / Bray v Villarreal / Half Time Score 0 - 0 Lay  26-Jul-10
19:25    4.3 15.00  4.3 26-Jul-10 19:25 
==============================================================
BRAY should have better match fitness...but VR should be too sharp for them....though they do have a fixture against SPURS in a few days ...and that game will mean more to them....so this is probably a warming up game. Hopefully a goal can be scored 1st half by either.

My guess on final score is 1-4.

GL with bets
Report johnizere July 26, 2010 7:45 PM BST
Bray v Villarreal - Correct Score
Lay 0-1/1-1 liab 36.00 to win 5.86
0 - 1 11 £3.60 £39.60 £36.00 
Ref: 11618837584 Bet placed: 19:43 26-Jul-10
1 - 1 14.93 £2.57 £38.37 £35.80 
Ref: 11618837585 Bet placed: 19:43 26-Jul-10
Report PJMASTER July 26, 2010 8:20 PM BST
Fixtures 26 July / Keflavik v Grindavik / Correct Score    2 - 2    Lay    11618973184    26-Jul-10
19:55         14    £12.00        14    26-Jul-10 19:58   

Keflavik have 2nd best defensive record in the league, but along with their opponents they have the joint worst attacking record, so I thought 14 looked a little short for a 2-2
Report DFCIRONMAN July 26, 2010 8:52 PM BST
GAME 673

Fixtures 26 July / Keflavik v Grindavik / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay  26-Jul-10
20:49    17.5 12.00  17.5 26-Jul-10 20:49
============================================================================Hi PJ .....looks a tricky game...but away team appear to concede goals and can score some too.....but suspect home team will win 2-1.

GL with bets.
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 10:40 AM BST
Shimizu v C-Osaka
Lay 0-0/0-1 liab 59.00 to win 8.48

0 - 0     12.5     £5.13      £64.13 £59.00
Ref: 11621554824 Bet placed: 10:37 27-Jul-10
0 - 1     16.5     £3.80     £62.70 £58.90
Ref: 11621554825 Bet placed: 10:37 27-Jul-10
Report I.quit.my.country July 27, 2010 11:21 AM BST
good guess on OB game DFC...spot on

I was looking for a mystic to lay on thread but fortunately you posted whilst I was at work

MM you say stay away from dansk match (could be tight game). Surely this creates betting opportunities like unders, draw, away team with a goal, etc.

Brøndby win on Sunday btw @2.1 bet 5pts. I have had a good few months so I will be overstaking big time. Woop woop
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 11:41 AM BST
Shimizu v C-Osaka 1-0 Silly

I quit......if you're looking for a mystic to oppose, look no further. Laugh
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 4:31 PM BST
Omonia v Red Bull Salzburg
lAY 1 - 0     7.2     £5.32      £38.30 £32.98
Ref: 11624751098 Bet placed: 16:27 27-Jul-10

Omonia fancied to win this, warm weather factor (30+ in Cyprus this evening?).. and they're a pretty good outfit too. Red Bull ought to score, that's why I've gone for the 1-0, my guess is 1-1/2-0/2-1 ft. gl.
Report MMisapr1ck July 27, 2010 5:04 PM BST
Wheres dfc today
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 7:24 PM BST
Sparta Prague v Lech Poznan
Lay 0-0/0-1 liab 56.00 to win 9.17

0 - 0       10.5       £5.89       £61.85 £55.96
Ref: Bet matched:
0 - 1     15.5     £0.15     £2.32 £2.17
Ref: Bet matched:
    16.5     £3.61     £59.57 £55.96
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 8:19 PM BST
I think I'm going to be extremely lucky to survive this one.. Sparta haven't had a sniff of a chance at scoring yet, and |I doubt they will in the second half. Lech have had the better of them so far, and I wouldn't be surprised if they pinch it 0-1.
Report johnizere July 27, 2010 9:01 PM BST
1-0 Sparta Laugh
Thought it was dead in the water!
Report LEEROV July 27, 2010 11:31 PM BST
Hi John,good work, I layed the 0-0 as well. I was panicking at 9! I've managed a return on investment of 74% so far by laying the full time score. I think this seems to be the most reliable way of betting.
Report Bridgeboy July 27, 2010 11:32 PM BST
Wheres DFC ???
Report MMisapr1ck July 28, 2010 12:05 AM BST
I asked that earlier, looks like hes not on today
Report johnizere July 28, 2010 9:44 AM BST
Hi Leerov, good returns so far then!
Stick up a few of your picks, join the fun.

Layed Nagoya 1-1 @ 9.4, as yet unmatched.

Nagoya v Shonan - Correct Score
1 - 1
Ref: 11630850493     Total bet     9.4     £6.54     £61.48 £54.94
      Unmatched     9.4     £6.54     £61.48 £54.94
Ref: 11630850493 Bet placed: 09:42 28-Jul-10
Report johnizere July 28, 2010 9:45 AM BST
Matched.
1 - 1       9.4       £6.54       £61.48 £54.94
Report MMisapr1ck July 28, 2010 4:12 PM BST
Wow i hope DFC hasnt done his bank on something
Report johnizere July 28, 2010 7:24 PM BST
Young Boys v Fenerbahce - Correct Score
Lay 1-1 liab 55.00 to win 6.87
1 - 1       8.4       £5.84       £49.06 £43.22
Ref: Bet matched:
    8.6     £1.39     £11.95 £10.56

Was going to lay 1-0.. missed it by seconds Cry
Report johnizere July 28, 2010 7:57 PM BST
Young Boys 1-2 Happy
Report Bridgeboy July 28, 2010 10:15 PM BST
Day 2 with no DFC big loss to the thread if he doesnt return. . .
Report MMisapr1ck July 28, 2010 10:28 PM BST
Think he has done his bank in, Biggest player on here no offence to John but its a bit boring without him
Report al 1 arm July 28, 2010 10:37 PM BST
DFC is a chaser for sure, but I doubt he's done his bank in, mind you when the chases get big it doesn't take much.
Report MMisapr1ck July 28, 2010 10:42 PM BST
Yeah its weird, hes usually on here like clock work and makes this thread what it is
Report 'MonTheRovers July 28, 2010 10:46 PM BST
Time to get this started again i thinkHappy
I'll just continue with my CS bank from the other thread, currently at £22.68.

I know it's risky laying 0-0 in a copa Lib game but Sao paulo will Probably concede at least one, i can see a 1-1 or 2-1 here

Lay       Backer's Odds     Backer's Stake     Payout Liability
0 - 0      12              £2.06             £24.72 £22.66
Report LEEROV July 28, 2010 10:49 PM BST
How do you put your bets up here? I've made 74% of my original bank but how do I upload this?

I can't be bothered to type them all out
Report 'MonTheRovers July 28, 2010 10:51 PM BST
Just copy and paste from your current bets
Report LEEROV July 28, 2010 10:53 PM BST
Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Benfica v Sunderland : Correct Score 27-Jul-10 21:15  27-Jul-10 23:08  8.52
Soccer / Reading v Wolves : Correct Score 27-Jul-10 20:00  27-Jul-10 21:52  5.30
Soccer / Sparta Prague v Lech Poznan : Correct Score 27-Jul-10 19:30  27-Jul-10 21:20  12.35
Soccer / Dinamo Kiev v Gent : Correct Score 27-Jul-10 18:00  27-Jul-10 19:55  4.94
Soccer / Spain U19 v England U19 : Correct Score 27-Jul-10 15:00  27-Jul-10 16:50  7.52
Report LEEROV July 28, 2010 10:56 PM BST
Soccer / Brazil v Chile : Correct Score 28-Jun-10 19:30  28-Jun-10 21:20  16.54
Soccer / Argentina v Mexico : Match Odds 27-Jun-10 19:30  27-Jun-10 21:22  75.22
Report 'MonTheRovers July 29, 2010 3:58 AM BST
Internacional 1-0 Sao paulo

Had to wait on another late goal to save the day again[:p]
New bank £24.69
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 6:17 AM BST
Last known sighting of DFC, as far as I can see, was on Prem. div. table in 'your competitions'. I'm sure there's a perfectly logical reason why he's not been seen since, lost connection, pc gone bang or something.. just hope he's not seriously ill.
I doubt he's gone bust, been at this game too long, and cs is a sideline away from the horses.

DFCIRONMAN   28 Jul 10 13:29 
4.55 Redcar - Northern Flyer
Report buzzer July 29, 2010 11:25 AM BST
DFC has said previously he sometimes has to 'work'
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 1:09 PM BST
I miss DFC Cry
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 3:26 PM BST
DFCIRONMAN
29 Jul 10 13:37 
4.05 Stratford -  Dancewiththedevil

The plot thickens!
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 3:30 PM BST
Hmm something isnt right at all Shocked  Maybe he has done his bank in? Perfect time for him and his scores with european games all week
Report 'MonTheRovers July 29, 2010 4:20 PM BST
Calm down lads, i'm sure he will turn up soon. He's probably just concentrating on the horses for a while.
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 6:41 PM BST
All gone then for this thread?
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 7:08 PM BST
Nope!

Put some selections up lads, [;)]
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 7:18 PM BST
Olympiakos v Maccabi Tel Aviv
lay 1-1 liab 55.00 to win 4.75
1 - 1     11.5     £5.00      £57.50 £52.50
Ref: 11647071964 Bet placed: 19:17 29-Jul-10
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 7:23 PM BST
I would but im under the £2 mark [:x] mucking about with a tenner
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 7:30 PM BST
No probs. Take a punt at overs/unders?
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 7:42 PM BST
Maritimo v Bangor City
lay 1-0 liab 48.00 to win 4.14
1 - 0       12       £4.36       £52.32 £47.96
Ref: 11647071993 Bet placed: 19:39 29-Jul-10
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 8:33 PM BST
Well, Maritimo 2-0 so far, that's one out of the way.
Tel Aviv winning 1-0 in Athens at half time. Got a feeling this could end 1-1 Plain
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 8:49 PM BST
Right until my bank is big enough to be over the £2 mark which im doing under ill just post my lays without how much

Layed shamrock 2 Juventus 2
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 8:56 PM BST
theres the 1-1 at Olympiakos.. 67 mins gone. Everybody on their knees and pray for another goal! [>o]
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 8:57 PM BST
Dodgy bet there MM! Laugh
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 9:00 PM BST
YEah im doing things which have no chance of happening now after blowing £250 on shortie odds
Report johnizere July 29, 2010 9:10 PM BST
2-1 Olympiakos Silly ... was genuinely worried about that one!

Well great oaks etc.. MM.
I've done that as well, got stuffed laying shorties, longies, midi's.. you name it!
At least laying shorties is ok if you balance the staking, I found trying for a level profit, say a fiver a match/race goes well at times. Gl.

Still no sign of DFC?
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 9:28 PM BST
Thanks Johnn, Yeah no idea where dfc is usually hes on here like clockworks. Very weird
Report john310 July 29, 2010 11:16 PM BST
Interesting thread, I check in most days.

How are you guys finding/ researching these bets if at all!!??
Report MMisapr1ck July 29, 2010 11:21 PM BST
Soccerway i use to work out whos likely to win first of all and then base my selection on what i see as value in the market
Report MMisapr1ck July 30, 2010 4:19 PM BST
Bye Bye thread
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 5:54 PM BST
For the record......

France U19 v Spain U19
0 - 0     13.5     £4.39      £59.26 £54.87
Ref: 11655637475 Bet placed: 17:53 30-Jul-10
1 - 0     15.5     £3.79     £58.75 £54.96
Ref: 11655637476 Bet placed: 17:53 30-Jul-10
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 6:19 PM BST
1-0 17 mins. Silly
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 6:19 PM BST
0-1 you fool Laugh
Report MMisapr1ck July 30, 2010 6:25 PM BST
Lol i layed 2-1 in the spain game
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 6:31 PM BST
should be ok, Spain the much better side.
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 6:37 PM BST
Next bet will be Standard Liege game. Last time I saw Liege play they were awful, but the Belgian football is very poor to say the least. Even so, Liege SHOULD win this... might go for the 1-1 lay @ 8's... Confused
Report 'MonTheRovers July 30, 2010 7:12 PM BST
I think the 1-1 is quite risky imo. good luck though. I'm going to lay the 0-1

Lay       Backer's Odds     Backer's Stake     Payout  Liability
0 - 1      17.5             £1.49             £26.08  £24.59
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 7:19 PM BST
yes, 1-1 is risky.. stand to lose 12.70 on the 0-0, and 48.70 on the 0-1.
Odds suggest a win to nil for Standard, and can't see why 1-1 is so low.. or do THEY KNOW??

gl anyway.

0 - 1     17.5     £3.05      £53.38 £50.33
Ref: 11656905129 Bet placed: 19:15 30-Jul-10
1 - 1     8     £2.25     £18.00 £15.75
Ref: 11656905131 Bet placed: 19:15 30-Jul-10
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 7:22 PM BST
*stand to lose 12.70 on the 1-1 that should be.
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 7:42 PM BST
OMG MM... 2-1 France!..
They've played really well this second half, hope there's another goal for you!
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 7:50 PM BST
Bad luck MM.
Report MMisapr1ck July 30, 2010 7:52 PM BST
CryCryCryCryCryCryCryCryCryCryCry that will be all
Report 'MonTheRovers July 30, 2010 8:05 PM BST
Oh dear 0-1 Zulte Plain
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 8:18 PM BST
1-1 won't be so bad for me, but I can't see Liege scoring... if anything, Zulte look more likely to score, so here's hoping!
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 9:17 PM BST
1-1 Standard... small loss instead of a big loss, Plain
Report 'MonTheRovers July 30, 2010 9:28 PM BST
Unlucky johnizere, i felt sure i was going to take a hit there[:p]
Bank now £26.11Grin
Report johnizere July 30, 2010 9:52 PM BST
Nice one 'Mon.. the red card put paid to Zulte scoring a second, which imo was likely. I said before ko that Liege were cr@p.. and haven't changed my mind. Staying away from this league from now on.
Layed Unquoted in the Benfica match (at 7.2).. will trade for a bit of profit. gl.
Report 'MonTheRovers July 30, 2010 11:24 PM BST
I hope you traded out johnizere, AU didn't look possible at half time[smiley:crazy]
I'm going to lay 1-0 in the Portuguesa game, Sao Caetano should score imo

Lay       Backer's Odds     Backer's Stake     Payout  Liability
1 - 0       10               £2.90        £29.00      £26.10

Good luck all
Report 'MonTheRovers July 31, 2010 12:23 AM BST
I've bottled out of the 1-0 lay[:p] lost 6p in the trade so my CS bank is now £26.05
AU looks like a better lay @9.4

Lay         Backer's Odds     Backer's Stake     Payout  Liability
Any Unquoted       9.4            £3.10         £29.14      £26.04
Report Bet of the Decade July 31, 2010 12:25 AM BST
Portugaesa v Sao Caetano.

0-0 Lay.

£9 at 16.5

Good Luck.
Report Bet of the Decade July 31, 2010 1:38 AM BST
Landed.

+£8.55
Report 'MonTheRovers July 31, 2010 3:03 AM BST
3-1 ft [smiley:crazy] my AU lay sqeezed throughLaugh

Bank now £29 exactlyCool
Report johnizere July 31, 2010 6:53 AM BST
No, I didn't trade the benfica match, I was too greedy... I could have taken 3.00 just before the 2-1 score, then the odds went way too low, and never recovered. Down 45 quid on the night, thats over half the weeks profit gone, and I was doing so well. Onwards and upwards [;)]
Report MMisapr1ck July 31, 2010 9:43 PM BST
Guess this is done with DFC must of done his bank in, time for the new seasons one now screw this one has ended on a bad note
Report MMisapr1ck July 31, 2010 9:43 PM BST
Guess this is done with DFC must of done his bank in, time for the new seasons one now screw this one has ended on a bad note
Report johnizere July 31, 2010 10:01 PM BST
I wouldn't say it's a bad note, MM, just a bit of a mystery, that's all. Look forward to the new season, and good luck with it!
Report freddiewilliams August 1, 2010 11:21 AM BST
come back dfc
Report jimbobjones August 2, 2010 2:03 PM BST
Only 2weeks to go until the new season :)

Lets get ready to rumble.................
Report DFCIRONMAN August 2, 2010 2:19 PM BST
STARTING BANK was £2,000, but I used this plus profits plus an input of extra £1,000 approx to cover position when a number of games being played roughly at same time etc.

I don't go "all-in" ....but was prepared to use up to £5,000 exposure on some games where I felt there was a strong chance bet would "win". WAS restricting liability GENERALLY to max limit of £1,750 on any one event.

As from WEEK 18 have changed STAKING drastically, and GENERALLY will, at start of day's betting, just go for 0.01% of that day's starting bank as profit target per game. This will substantially reduce the level of liability risked on most games. If I lose on a CS LAY, then I will substantially INCREASE STAKES witha view to recoup the loss on previous lay, BUT ONLY IF I FEEL STRONGLY ON CS LAY'S CHANCES OF WINNING FROM IT.

I might not go for all the amount lost on CS LAY, and might spread it over 2/3/4 CS LAY bets, but the objective will be to recover the loss and to end up with an average profit per game bet on of 0.01% after commission IT WILL NOT BE AN AUTOMATIC INCREASE IN STAKING, BUT BE BASED ON MY EXPECTATIONS THAT THE BET WILL WIN. I MIGHT JUST GO FOR THE NORMAL PROFIT PER GAME OF 0.01% ON THE NEXT MATCH, IF I THINK IT IS NOT A STRONG BET ETC.



======================================================



CUMULATIVE PROFIT B/F FROM END WEEK 8 .............£ 5,924.23

PROFIT FOR DAY 57(SUNDAY).................................. 482.49
PROFIT FOR DAY 58(MONDAY)................................. 304.60
LOSS FOR DAY 59(TUESDAY)................................. )
LOSS FOR DAY 60(WEDNESDAY)............................... )
PROFIT FOR DAY 61(THURSDAY)...............................468.99
PROFIT FOR DAY 62(FRIDAY)...................................330.47
LOSS FOR DAY 63(SATURDAY)................................ )

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 63 DAYS.......................£ 5,350.89 END OF WEEK 9

PROFIT FOR DAY 64(SUNDAY)....................................929.85
PROFIT FOR DAY 65(MONDAY)...................................211.11
PROFIT FOR DAY 66(TUESDAY).................................. 295.29
PROFIT FOR DAY 67(WEDNESDAY)............................. 511.45
PROFIT FOR DAY 68(THURSDAY)............................... 334.13
PROFIT FOR DAY 69(FRIDAY)................................... 233.15
PROFIT FOR DAY70(SATURDAY)............................. 990.09

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 70 DAYS.......................£ 8,855.96 END WEEK 10

WEEK 11
PROFIT FOR DAY 71(SUNDAY).................................. 90.61
PROFIT FOR DAY 72(MONDAY)................................... 410.36
PROFIT FOR DAY 73(TUESDAY)................................. 68.69
LOSS FOR DAY 74(WEDNESDAY)............................... )
PROFIT FOR DAY 75(THURSDAY)................................ 162.20
PROFIT FOR DAY 76(FRIDAY)................................... 709.45
PROFIT FOR DAY 77(SATURDAY)............................... 240.59

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 77 DAYS.......................£ 10,454.50 END WEEK 11

WEEK12
PROFIT FOR DAY 78(SUNDAY).................................. 452.64
LOSS FOR DAY 79 (MONDAY).................................... 385.81 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 80(TUESDAY)................................. 450.01
PROFIT FOR DAY 81(WEDNESDAY).............................. 602.53
PROFIT FOR DAY 82(THURSDAY)................................ 491.64
PROFIT FOR DAY 83(FRIDAY).................................. 429.37
PROFIT FOR DAY 84(SATURDAY)................................ 659.29

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 84 DAYS.......................£ 13,154.57 END WEEK 12

WEEK 13
PROFIT FOR DAY 85(SUNDAY).................................. 648.07
PROFIT FOR DAY 86(MONDAY)................................... 287.87
LOSS FOR DAY 87 (TUESDAY)................................... 418.36 )
LOSS FOR DAY 88 (WEDNESDAY).............................. (.978.88 )
LOSS FOR DAY 89 (THURSDAY).................................. )
PROFIT FOR DAY 90(FRIDAY).....................................578.06
LOSS FOR DAY 91 (SATURDAY)................................( 2,702.00 )


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 91 DAYS.......................£ 7,845.55 END WEEK 13

WEEK 14
PROFIT FOR DAY 92( SUNDAY).................................2,166.02
PROFIT FOR DAY 93(MONDAY)................................... 659.48
PROFIT FOR DAY 94(TUESDAY).................................. 245.38
PROFIT FOR DAY 95(WEDNESDAY)............................. 605.01
PROFIT FOR DAY 96(THURSDAY)............................... 589.87
PROFIT FOR DAY 97(FRIDAY)................................... 394.54
PROFIT FOR DAY 98(SATURDAY)............................... 972.91

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 98 DAYS.......................£ 13,482.76 END OF WEEK 14

WEEK 15
LOSS FOR DAY 99(SUNDAY)................................... ( 617.75 )
TOOK A HOLIDAY ON DAY 100 (MONDAY)........................ 0.00
PROFIT FOR DAY 101(TUESDAY)............................... 384.87
LOSS FOR DAY 102(WEDNESDAY).............................. )
PROFIT FOR DAY 103(THURSDAY)................................ 9.72
LOSS FOR DAY 104(FRIDAY)................................. 2,035.38 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 105(SATURDAY)............................. 1,059.68


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 105 DAYS.£ 12,075.26 END OF WEEK 15

WEEK 16
LOSS FOR DAY LOSS FOR DAY 106(SUNDAY)........( 112.50 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 107(MONDAY)................ 386.80
PROFIT FOR DAY 108(TUESDAY)................129.43
PROFIT FOR DAY 109(WEDNESDAY)..............412.57
PROFIT FOR DAY 110(THURSDAY)............... 290.11
PROFIT FOR DAY 111 (FRIDAY)................ 249.48
PROFIT FOR DAY 112(SATURDAY)............... 504.38


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 112 DAYS..£ 13,935.53 END WEEK 16

WEEK 17
LOSS FOR DAY 113 (SUNDAY)..........( 550.23 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 114(MONDAY)........... 244.69
PROFIT FOR DAY 115(TUESDAY).......... 116.04
LOSS FOR DAY 116(WEDNESDAY).........( 333.77 )
LOSS FOR DAY 117(THURSDAY).........(2,466.94 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 118(FRIDAY)........... 462.23
PROFIT FOR DAY 119(SATURDAY).......... 78.82   


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 119 DAYS  £ 11,486.37 END WEEK 17
==========================================================

NEW METHOD OF STAKING APPLIED FROM START OF WEEK 18
CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 119 DAYS..b/f  £ 11,486.37

PROFIT FOR DAY 120(SUNDAY)................. 385.69
PROFIT FOR DAY 121(MONDAY)................. 212.74
PROFIT FOR DAY 122(TUESDAY)................ 161.49
PROFIT FOR DAY 123(WEDNESDAY).............. 431.35
LOSS FOR DAY 124 (THURSDAY)...............( 694.46 )
PROFIT FOR DAY 125(FRIDAY)..................510.50
PROFIT FOR DAY 126(SATURDAY)................470.01


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 126 DAYS .....£  12,963.69 END OF WEEK 18

WEEK 19
PROFIT FOR DAY 127(SUNDAY)................. 498.15
PROFIT FOR DAY 128 (MONDAY)................. 412.85
PROFIT FOR DAY 129 (TUESDAY)................ 344.43
PROFIT FOR DAY 130 (WEDNESDAY).............. 395.7
PROFIT FOR DAY 131 (THURSDAY)............... 228.55
PROFIT FOR DAY 132 (FRIDAY)....................4.33
PROFIT FOR DAY 133 (SATURDAY)............... 287.93

CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 133 DAYS .....£  15,135.63 END WEEK 19

WEEK 20
PROFIT FOR DAY 134 (SUNDAY)................ 443.81
LOSS FOR DAY 135 (MONDAY)................ ( 144.30 )
LOSS FOR DAY 136 (TUESDAY)................(. 84.13 )


CUMULATIVE PROFIT AFTER 136 DAYS .....£  15,351.01


SINCE LAST ABOVE UPDATE RESULTS HAVE BEEN


338.85    -704.66    WED    2ND JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
505.56    -303.42    THURS    3RD JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-1065.77    365.15    FRID    4TH JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-2457.04    1241.38    SAT    5TH JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
407.78    551.03    SUN     6TH JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
338.44    142.13    MON    7TH JUNE
           
-370.93    HOLIDAY    TUES    8TH JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
401.79    544.23    WED    9TH JUNE
           
           
           
           
           
           
437.93    231.1    THURS    10 June
           
           
150.25    223.41    FRID    11 June
           
           
           
           
-2327.1    -2627.3    SAT    12 June
           
           
           
           
           
           
482.36    -2179.01    SUNDAY    13 June
           
           
           
           
418.63    -934.37    MOND    14 June
           
           
           
1.34    174.06    TUES    15 June
           
           
           
           
482.46    -396.16    WED    16 June
           
           
           
           
-1898.76    1277.6    THURS    17 June
           
           
           
           
-25.11    -1598.4    FRID    18 June
           
           
           
           
515.3    -137.7    SAT    19 June
           
           
           
           
297.41    -977.87    SUN    20 June
           
           
           
           
364.29    512.37    MON    21 June
           
           
           
           
           
259.29    -808.19    TUES    22 June
           
           
           
           
           
-608.42    615.65    WED    23 June
           
           
           
           
           
283.17    441.41    THURS   
            24 June
           
           
           
           
344.39    -1231.94    FRID    25 June
           
           
           
           
           
-54.85    540.79    SAT    26 June
           
           
           
           
256.72    449.89    SUN    27 June
           
           
           
-747.28    450.62    MOND    28 June
           
           
           
260.66    -1833.37    TUES    29 June
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
772.52    291.21    WED    30 June
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
161.74    -33.41    THURS    01 July
           
           
           
           
           
-205.33    86.56    FRID    02 July
           
           
           
634.91    325.64    SAT    03 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-1294    407.38    SUN    04 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-5.25    441.42    MON    05 July
           
           
           
           
-1118.97    164.56    TUES    07 July
           
           
           
           
           
-1239.37    -1378    WED    08 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
394.29    210.74    THURS    09 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-596.41    -211.78    FRID    10 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
390.69    159.24    SAT    11 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-9.72    1809.56    SUND    12 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
347.99    -93.59    MOND    13 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
95.75    521.44    TUESD    14 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-1059.76    -2889.01    WED    15 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
486.15    531.44    THURS    16 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
315.04    83.37    FRID    17 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
430.1    -1253.17    SAT    18 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
109.21    -500.04    SUN    19 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
272.65    -192.3    MON    20 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
214.78    184.05    TUES    21 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
364.71    -455.3    WED    22 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
198.37    225.78    THURS    23 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
240.85    113.11    FRID    24 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
351.92    190.12    SAT    25 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-213.86    90.42    SUN    26 July
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
-712.78    188.55    MON    27 July




THEREFORE CUMULATIVE PROFIT WAS AFTER 136 DAYS  15351.01


LOSS DURING ABOVE PERIOD ON THREAD            (   6953.08 )

NET PROFIT ON THREAD                             8397.13



The World Cup cost a few thousand ...but still in profit on thread posts.....

Racing started ...will post thoughts later.

GL with bets today
Report DFCIRONMAN August 2, 2010 2:23 PM BST
Ignore figures on left hand side ....as that was horse racing results.....eg on last day above the profit was 188.55 from CS LAYS etc...the -712.78 was loss on horses
Report Avocado August 2, 2010 2:36 PM BST
What's your strategy for laying the correct scores? What is your criteria etc. for laying them?
Report DFCIRONMAN August 2, 2010 2:39 PM BST
I'm busy with racing A........why don't you list what you think the strategy is based on.......basically "common sense" using stats...and some guesses....

I will post "thoughts2 later re my views on CS LAYS etc
Report DFCIRONMAN August 2, 2010 2:40 PM BST
World Cup was where it is far harder to weigh up what might happen......far easier with league matches....
Report Bet of the Decade August 2, 2010 7:34 PM BST
Good to see you posting again DFC.

Hope you're well and looking forward to the new football season.

Good Luck mate.
Report Bet of the Decade August 2, 2010 7:39 PM BST
Avocado.

If you trawl through the posts on this thread DFC has posted lots of info on his reasons for choosing various CS Lays and readily highlights how he doesn't possess an 'edge'  (although he is in profit over a long period of time of laying CS).

I think the key for CS lays, is to use your judgement, look at some previous results of both teams, look at team selection maybe, look at goals scored and conceded and formulate your own view.

No edge. Just an informed 'guess'.  Then there's staking....another big issue! You'll find yourself laying higher prices which if caught can wipe a lot of your bank/profit.

Good luck anyway.  Looking forward to new season starting!
Report Bridgeboy August 2, 2010 10:17 PM BST
Good to see you back DFC not been the same. . .
Report OldGold August 2, 2010 10:40 PM BST
If a new thread for the season ahead is started and this drops away, I'd just like to say well done to all posters and it has been a great read.
Report Avocado August 2, 2010 11:40 PM BST
This is mugs stuff. The real money is in match odds, backing and laying.
Report Avocado August 2, 2010 11:41 PM BST
The problem with laying correct scores on here is that you can't get the value price that the bookies lay at. The prices are all inflated on here.
Report sevey August 3, 2010 9:51 AM BST
Welcome Back DFC
Report Bet of the Decade August 3, 2010 9:54 AM BST
Avocado..

'The real money is in match odds, backing and laying'.

Do you mean liquidity for the amounts you are wanting to trade or better value to return profit?

I sometimes find 'value' or what I perceive to be 'value' in the HT/FT markets.

GL.
Report REM August 3, 2010 10:08 AM BST
It's a fair point. Most markets are derived from only two factors. Goal supremacy (how much better one team is than the other)and goal expectation (how many goals is the match likely to produce). If either of these are wrong, value will be found and found most easily in match odds or overs/unders, but also in many other linked markets. For a CS to offer value, these other markets will offer value too.

CS prices are not inflated, it's just that bookies are carrying a healthy margin.
Report sevey August 3, 2010 10:09 AM BST
Decade like betting a team double result then if in front at half time lay it back ?
Report Avocado August 3, 2010 5:17 PM BST
Bet of the Decade I mean big punters (not me) make money out of the match odds. Six figure bets on teams to win, that sort of thing.
Report The One That Got Away August 3, 2010 5:31 PM BST
mmmmmm
Report Avocado August 3, 2010 5:48 PM BST
Or big lays of short price favourites.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 18, 2011 11:25 PM GMT
ttt for acornel...the bad losses were from JUNE 2010 throughout World Cup
Report acornel January 18, 2011 11:44 PM GMT
wow, nice to read this thread! really good lessons to learn for me!
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