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kenniky
12 Feb 07 17:19
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Date Joined: 14 Nov 04
| Topic/replies: 146 | Blogger: kenniky's blog
My greeat system is based on the Fibonacci's numbers. It s not a martingale. You only need to win 36% of your bets to make a profit. I usually use it for unders/overs and it works. You will simply follow a series of predetermined amount. These amount are : 1 - 2 - 3 - 5 .8,5 - 14 - 23 - 39. The odds must be in the range from 1,80 to 2.00.
Example : Your first bet is 10. You Win. Add 8-10 to your bankrool and start an other series. Your first bet is 10. You lose. Next bet must be 20. You win. add 8-10 to your bankroll and start another series. If you have lost your first 2 bets, you will move up 1 series amount after each loss and down 1 series amount after each win until you win 2 bets out of any 3.When you have reached this goal you have a profit and start new seies. WHAT DO YOU THINK ?

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Replies: 352
By:
zilzal1
When: 12 Feb 07 17:25
What happens after 39 then???
By:
niceone
When: 12 Feb 07 17:26
62
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:27
Naturally you have no profit...but it's impossible to lose 8 bets in a row.
By:
zilzal1
When: 12 Feb 07 17:28
try going on a roulette wheel then. runs of 11 = are not that uncommon
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:29
Footbal is not like a roulette.
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:31
If you pick the right matc with this sistem you can t lose.
By:
GEOFFDECHEF
When: 12 Feb 07 17:34
kenniky oh yes it is easy to lose 8 in a row
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:39
Probably on roulette
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:41
If you study the form of the 2 teams..it s not difficult to predict a result
By:
Owmybrainhurtz
When: 12 Feb 07 17:46
If it's that easy to predict a result, then why do you need Fibonnacci or martingale? You should be doing well at level stakes.

There's no difference between an even money chance at roulette than an even money chance in any other market.
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 17:50
That s your opinion
By:
green willow
When: 12 Feb 07 18:12
You got the Fibonacci numbers wrong Kenniky. 1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34 etc. If you base the system on 7/4 + shots then you will eventually show a profit, but with any system involving increasing stakes, you will eventually run out of money, I reckon.
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 18:21
I have modified in Kenniky s numbers
By:
green willow
When: 12 Feb 07 18:27
I did think about Fibonnacci's numbers for tennis matches, but you do get tournaments where say 10 favs in a row win and by then I'd be betting sums that I couldn't afford.
By:
kenilworth
When: 12 Feb 07 18:32
The inevitable losing run will beat you, as always the case with staking plans that increase stakes after a loser.
By:
Slicer
When: 12 Feb 07 18:38
Any System must work to level steaks FACT!

That will be 70 guineas please!

Dr Aristotle Slicer PhD MB BS B Pharm MRCVS DRCOG Cert BHD
Consultant in The Psychology and Statisticology of Gambolling
By:
luckylucas.
When: 12 Feb 07 19:26
SYSTEM WORKING WELL!



....SEND MORE MONEY ;)
By:
the optimist
When: 12 Feb 07 19:33
Too much of this system will result in working in MacDonalds, not living on steaks.
By:
Don No1
When: 12 Feb 07 19:55
This system could be revolutionary to the betting industry
By:
wee buns
When: 12 Feb 07 20:16
Mystic Meg is here, any predictions for tomorrow mate
By:
wee buns
When: 12 Feb 07 20:19
Only jokin mate
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 20:58
no bet for tomorrow
By:
itv2
When: 12 Feb 07 21:58
3 years ago i had a system for overs. i thought it was the holy grail for 4 months, until i lost 9 in a row. take notice of slicer, he is right.
By:
kenniky
When: 12 Feb 07 22:08
what about this system for overs ?
By:
REM
When: 13 Feb 07 08:04
If you study the form of the 2 teams..it s not difficult to predict a result

If picking winners is that easy, why mess about with systems?
By:
kenniky
When: 14 Feb 07 01:27
Rem...you can t win all bets...i need only 36% WINNING BETS to have a profit....this system works well
By:
fab
When: 14 Feb 07 02:34
I'm still amazed at the number of people who think
unlikely=impossible
if an event can happen once, it can happen 8 times in a row or even 80 times!
By:
kenniky
When: 14 Feb 07 13:21
Dear fab...if Barcellona plays against Luton 80 times probably wins 80 times...i agree...you can select what you wager..and predict a result for under/over...if you do your homework well can t lose 8 tme in a row..if this happens you are a loser and it s better you go to play darts
By:
zilzal1
When: 14 Feb 07 16:08
Ken just look at any naps table and see the longest losing run sequence then??
By:
kenniky
When: 14 Feb 07 16:29
i know...but in football you have more choice. Not only red or black. You can make a selection...there are hundreds of football match..every week. A team like Feyenord has only 1 under this season...and i m not so stupid to bet on under...do you know what i mean ?
By:
Tommo6
When: 14 Feb 07 16:46
Kenniky - first up, Feyenoord have had 3 league unders this season (home to PSV, home to Excelsior and home to Heracles), but that's irrelevant (in fact, I'd agree that they are usually value on overs because I think the markets don't ever swing out to the extremities that they sometimes should in the over/under market)

The point is, statistics will tell you that any kind of system, however good it is, has the potential to have an enormous run of losers. In my opinion there are two ways around this, a large bank with lots of very small percentage bets (e.g. 1-2% of bank per bet) This won't immunise a profitable system perfectly, but it's a start. Secondly, a good withdrawing plan. If you think your system throws up very few losers (presumably a system that works on short odd gambles) then perhaps you don't wouldn't need to withdraw so regularly. If however, you know there's a fair chance of regular losing runs, I'd say you should be withdrawing profits more regularly (to protect them against the losing run)

If you're calculating the probabilities of outcomes (which I'd argue you should be, as it's the only way of finding value), then you should be able to apply some statistics to them and calculate the likelihood of a losing run that would destroy your system. You can then balance the risk of that happening, with the potential profit if it doesn't. I think....

I just can't see how using Fibonnacci numbers can be beneficial?
By:
kenniky
When: 14 Feb 07 21:39
I risk 2.5% of my bankroll...but probably you don t understand.....is that i.e the number of chance to lose 10 bets in a row are 1/1024 ( 0,097% )...chronicle losers probably can reach this result...if you have some experience you can predict 55% of under/over ...if you are good enough....but i nedd only 36% to make a profit....professional gamblers reach 65%...i am not a pro...but i use a lot of informations and statistics too to make a prediction .This system help me to protect my bankroll in case of bad losing streak and it works
By:
kenniky
When: 15 Feb 07 17:47
My pick for tomorrow : Breda - Sparta Rotterdam OVER (1,91)
By:
kenniky
When: 15 Feb 07 21:20
My picks for Saturday : 15:30 Aachen - Bayern M OVER
17:45 Fc Zurigo - young Boys OVER
20:00 St Liegi - Lierse OVER

My second choice : 15:30 B. Leverkusen - Hannover OVER
20:00 Gba - Brussels OVER
By:
Server73
When: 15 Feb 07 21:32
Nice One Ken... Show the people you system as you put your bets on and your selections.... This will show people who's right and wrong... :)
By:
CatDeeleyIsGorgeous
When: 15 Feb 07 21:35
you have to wait for matches to finish to see whether
you win or not

so 8 matches could take a week

all for 8.10

dont leave the day job just yet
By:
kenniky
When: 15 Feb 07 21:53
10 waa en example...you can wager 100-200 or 1000 if your have a big bankroll
By:
W11
When: 15 Feb 07 21:57
Server73

where have all your posts been lately
By:
kenniky
When: 15 Feb 07 22:10
I forgot Treviso - Brescia.


My picks for Saturday : 15:30 Aachen - Bayern M OVER
17:45 Fc Zurigo - young Boys OVER
20:00 St Liegi - Lierse OVER

My second choice : 15:00 Treviso . Brescia 15:30 OVER B. Leverkusen - Hannover OVER
20:00 Gba - Brussels OVER

Important is to look for odds inn yhe range 1,80 or more
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