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Ttt
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interesting read
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What an absolutely brilliant thread and well done you Mr. GotAway.
Only just seen this thread but hey ! WOW! I don't look in here very often. Okay: You're laying the possibility and going with "probability". and common sense, one might not unreasonably assume that your method really ought to show the profits that you are achieving, the odds that you are laying are big for a reason but that doesn't make them certainties by any means. That's one helluva leap. When I saw this thread my first thought was, I wonder if it might work laying the favourite in the csm and I may just look into that sometime. |
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@ericster
When you look into it remember that the original post was 2008, when liquidity and P to P existed, and the in play market was more robust. Perhaps you could consider dutch laying more than one score which will reduce your liability. For example (not a play), Sevilla tonight (as I type this) 0-0, 0-1, 1-0 are 11.0, 12.5, 7.80 Dutch lay is 3.34 |
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** replace "existed" with "were better in all markets"
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Interesting, as always.
Yes, even at my level I can see that liquidity might be a problem. I would be more inclined to back rather than lay with those prices. Having said that, I often find myself looking at things like the above just to kill an hour three. I enjoy crunching numbers but I certainly would not jump in without watching for a while. Doesn't hurt to shake the odd tree occasionally, see what drops. You've given me something to think about with those prices you put up. Like I said, interesting. |
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@ericster
I hope you didn’t follow Escapee’s selections on the Soccer forum. I know you like “interesting things” – I watched a Peter Webb (Bet Angel) You Tube video the other day about Crossover Points that you may find interesting. I did, not that I am every likely to use it, but it was something I had not heard of before. The demo is Horse Racing, but I can see how the principle would be useful for trading and cashing out in play on Soccer for those so inclined. |