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Return on Investment what percentage per week.

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Replies: 149
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Apr 10 19:21
I didn't mean of course 1 million K a year ( if only ), I meant 1 million pa.
By:
jimmy69
When: 02 Apr 10 19:24
Tobes

Not sure exactly but I reckon I was about 10K down.
By:
tobermory
When: 02 Apr 10 19:28
Well thats not too bad over 5 or 6 years but a big tunaround since.Did you change Sports Jimmy , or your methods?
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:33
ROI being considered a weekly thing is a laugh for one

I already posted my Standard Deviation figures. What's yours? I think that 2.9 times my avg profit is probably slightly safe and that most people would be above that, but I also suspect that many people are A LOT below that.
At 2.9, an average weekly ROI still makes a fair amount of sense.


but 10% on 10k a week[the lowest rate] is just silly.


What's silly about winning £1k a week with a £10k roll?

That's a perfectly sensible average win rate off a roll that large on Betfair alone. Obviously you can increase that if you take in more options.

I guess you're just not going to accept the reality of the situation so there's no point continuing the debate.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:34
why on earth don't you scale up to 100 K of capital and make 1 million K per year

As already posted, I don't deal in markets where scaling up would help me in the slightest. Investor is very good at getting all his marbles into play, so he scales up.
For me, a lot of the markets I trade, I'm already taking 70-100% of the available action. Scaling up wouldn't mean I get any more money matched.

Not only that, but I have to eat and pay bills and stuff and expenses pretty much equals income, so scaling up would be impractical.
By:
brendanuk1
When: 02 Apr 10 19:35
Lori's numbers dont seem that out to me. No point getting hot under the collar about it though.

Different styles/markets/sports who knows what is "right"
By:
jimmy69
When: 02 Apr 10 19:39
Both Tobes. I play in a hell of a lot more markets now and a lot more sports...some of which I don't know a great deal about.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:40
and fwiw catfloppo is right.

I'd rather win 21000 a year off 100k than 20000 a year off 2k.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:40
*ignoring bank interest rates I guess, but you get the point.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:51
To win 10% a week, and forgetting the impact of any compounding which isn't what we're talking about of course:

If a typical bet is about 3% of the bank with an edge of 2%, you'd only need 1670 or so bets a week, that's basically 250 a day.

As usual there's a lot of definitions at play here, but say you're laying a correct score market in soccer. There's 17 bets in play at once and as you're making a market, you can probably lay a bit more than 3% of your bank. Not only that but 2% seems reasonable in that instance.

Soccer correct scores is no longer really my thing, but if we say 100 bets is a conservative number for one match, your 250 is easily reached.

After typing this I thought I'd check how many bets Ive had since midnight on April 1 (the start of april ) and the number is 208, of course that number would be higher over the weekend and lower over mondays etc. I've also been taking it easy because I do my monthly stats at the start of a month and I finally got Twin Peaks season 2 after waiting many years.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:53
*108
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 02 Apr 10 19:57
Not the first time recently that someone's put up a seemingly innocent little question then gone totally awol
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 19:58
lol starfish, too true.

Thankfully, even if the OP is fishing , plenty is often learned in the aftermath anyway.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Apr 10 20:01
AS I say Lori, the bookies don't make what you're claiming to make, return wise. Small or large scale, no matter.
Why is that ?
In fact there is no financial entity, institution, hedge fund, investor ( certainly not Warren Buffet, George Soros) anywere in the world to my knowledge making 100's % pa return on capital consistently and recurringly.
And yet you seemingly are, quite easily in fact.
Seems a bit hard to believe, don't you admit that at least ?.
If you can do what you say you can, then I think you're wasting your talents a bit by not trying to be more ambitious.
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:07
Yes ,10% is possible ,it must be .

I manage 8.7 % personally and am no-where near 100% efficient
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:08
wd by the way Jimmy .

you ARE a pc payer then ? ;)
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:15
The reason I don't find it hard to believe (other than the fact that I'm telling the truth) is that I'm just not anywhere close to the top of the tree.

There simply must be people making £1m+ from bankrolls of under £1m on this site for instance, and that's the kind of stuff us mortals can only dream of, but it's still around 2% a week.

Is it that much of a stretch to say that getting their best 1% of bets matched would result in 5 times that amount?
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:17
Lori ,the people making more than a grand a week on here must be in single figures
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:18
I can't be doing with that Coach.

I would be almost certain that there's more than single figures making a million a year, let alone 50k
By:
jimmy69
When: 02 Apr 10 20:18
Not yet I'm not Coach...
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:21
No way Lori , absolutely impossible
By:
LMansini
When: 02 Apr 10 20:21
Coachbuster 03 Apr 03:17
Lori ,the people making more than a grand a week on here must be in single figures


no way in the world
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:22
Jimmy, not too long to go then . :)
By:
brendanuk1
When: 02 Apr 10 20:25
how much does that swedish company make?
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:26
OK ,if folk are making that sort of money CONSISTENTLY , how come there arent hundreds more making tens of thousands a year ,and by the same token ,why then arent there many more making a mere thousand every week.

I'm sorry folks,but your figures don't add up . Especially since a paltry 1,500 are paying the premium charge to start with (where you only have to win 200 a week to qualify )


April the 1st was yesterday :)
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:27
A LITTLE-KNOWN Swedish company turned over nearly pounds 500 million on betting exchanges, including Betfair and**, in the first six months of 2008, the Racing Post The Racing Post is a British daily horse racing, greyhound racing and sports betting newspaper. It is owned by Sheikh Mohammed and published under a 10 year lease by Trinity Mirror. can reveal.

Stockholm-based Betting Promotion Ltd, which describes itself as a "market maker" who "puts up prices on markets so that customers always have plenty of opportunities", turned over more than pounds 498m in the period from January to June 2008, showing an operating profitOperating profit (or loss)

Revenue from a firm's regular activities less costs and expenses and before income deductions.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

operating profit of around pounds 558,000.


That's the company profit, not their betfair winnings of course.




http://www.thefreelibrary.com/Swedish+'market+maker'+turned+over+pounds+500m+on+the+exchanges-a0186408395
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:28
Most of the really big winners won't be paying PC Coach. it's aimed at us smaller users.
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:33
Maybe they can get round the charge easier Lori, but i still cannot see how BF could sustain too many winners at that level ,there arent enough losers .
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:38
I need to research further before guessing any more at that level I guess

I'd back 1.01 that there's over ten people on 1k/week though
By:
Coachbuster
When: 02 Apr 10 20:51
maybe 12 then ;)
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:51
:^0
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 20:57
and yet you know someone who wins £50k a year on b365 betting entirely on squash matches , and find that perfectly believable?
By:
brendanuk1
When: 02 Apr 10 21:00
http://www.bettingpromotion.se/Nyhet2_eng.aspx?id=26439

Jan - Dec 2009
Betting Turnover Soccer 5,332m SEK (500m GBP)
Net Turnover Soccer (after fees) 30.0m SEK (2.7m GBP)

raking it in :D
By:
The Investor
When: 02 Apr 10 21:01
FINE AS FROG HAIR 02 Apr 20:01
AS I say Lori, the bookies don't make what you're claiming to make, return wise. Small or large scale, no matter.
Why is that ?
In fact there is no financial entity, institution, hedge fund, investor ( certainly not Warren Buffet, George Soros) anywere in the world to my knowledge making 100's % pa return on capital consistently and recurringly.
And yet you seemingly are, quite easily in fact.
Seems a bit hard to believe, don't you admit that at least ?.
If you can do what you say you can, then I think you're wasting your talents a bit by not trying to be more ambitious.


Warren Buffet has been compounding his profit since the fifties. If you stick to a low bank and withdraw the excess there's no reason you couldn't make an average return exceeding 100% per year.

You consider 100's% pa return incredible, but it's actually possible to make an infinite return if you set up a business without putting your own money in, let alone a paltry 100% per year.
By:
The Investor
When: 02 Apr 10 21:04
brendanuk1 02 Apr 21:00
http://www.bettingpromotion.se/Nyhet2_eng.aspx?id=26439

Jan - Dec 2009
Betting Turnover Soccer 5,332m SEK (500m GBP)
Net Turnover Soccer (after fees) 30.0m SEK (2.7m GBP)

raking it in :D


This is the only company / individual I know of that publishes detailed profit figures.
(Full reports available on their website)
Does anyone else know of people operating at a similar scale that publish figures?

The company is valued at tens of Millions £ by the way


We trade and make some money, but if we stop trading the business is dead as there is nothing to sell.
By:
brendanuk1
When: 02 Apr 10 21:19
:( they are pocketing £52k on Football a week. Could only dream of it.

Its still only 10m a week total turnover on football which you could see on one big game. So reckon there are more big players out there.
By:
Lori
When: 02 Apr 10 21:22
There's the lizards for another. (Tony Bloom)
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 02 Apr 10 21:26
brendanuk- i cannot quite get my head around wht they actually do? am i just having a blonde moment or could someone please explain it to me how they are making 50+k per month on football....
By:
brendanuk1
When: 02 Apr 10 21:29
its all on their site

http://www.bettingpromotion.se/

Think they market make but obviously with more sophistication than most.
By:
FINE AS FROG HAIR
When: 02 Apr 10 21:49
Investor
Warren Buffet does NOT and has NEVER made compound returns on investment in the 100's.
Lori
Please just understand that we are just alll understandably jealous of anybody, anywhere who can make returns on capital in the 100's, however they do it ( drug dealers excepted).
I repeat that, to my limited knowledge, it just cannot be done on a consistent, recurring basis.
Maybe somebody has had a one time big hit and if amortised over a long period it might equate to a very large return on investment, but that's all.
It is not doable on a day day out basis imo.
As far as are peoplemaking over 1 K a week, certainly there must be a reasonable number. But probably not as many as you think relative to the number of punters.
You still have to find a true edge, And despite all that is written on here I don't believe many can really do that.
This forum is still basically the home away from home for dreamers and pretenders or people kidding themselves by conveniently excluding facts that don't suit their claims ( perhaps even subconsciously)
Now don't go off the deep end and say that I'm calling you a liar.
I'm just saying that I don't think you are interpreting all your own results correctly maybe.
Of course I could be totally wrong. Only you really know for sure.
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