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thread will be over within a week nap
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we'll see.
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No offence, but why do people think they can make 5% a week just because they say they want to? It's a gamble and gamblers don't make 5% a week rigid, its ups and downs and unless you relly know what you are doing will end with losses long term.
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Dude, I'm under no illusions of the tough task I have set myself and the fact that I will some times be negative for the week and may go 7/8 bets on the bounce losing out but hopefully with some clever trading I can maximise profits whilst eradicating losses.
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Are you betting to a target of, say 5% ? If so, I think you will fail, as targets don't work for reasons that are obvious to me.
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The reason being that you look for bets that aren't there, and overstake to reach the target
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I have not set 5% in stone, last week I improved my bank by 12%, this week I might be down 10% that's life. I doubt anyone in their right mind doesn't think 'I want to win, but have no idea how much' and goes in blind, comes out with a profit in the long run.
This is simply to record my profit and loss and accept constructive crtique where I have messed up. |
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DCM, as above, I will not be looking for bets that are not there for 5% if I am down, then I am down and if I am up, then I'm up. My bets will be based on whether I think there is value in them or not.
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of course he will do it. he has been betting for 5 days and hasn't told us what his bets have been. easy to win that way.
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FFS give him a chance
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Fixtures 21 February / Almeria v Atl Madrid / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 10170735586 21-Feb-10
18:14 C 10 1.00 10 1.00 Fixtures 20 February / Guadalajara v Puebla / Match Odds Guadalajara Lay 10165638778 21-Feb-10 00:46 C 1.6 0.02 1.6 (0.01) Fixtures 20 February / Guadalajara v Puebla / Match Odds Guadalajara Back 10165637847 21-Feb-10 00:45 C 1.57 2.00 1.57 1.14 Fixtures 20 February / Guadalajara v Puebla / Match Odds Guadalajara Lay 10165635683 21-Feb-10 00:45 C 1.59 1.96 1.59 (1.16) Fixtures 20 February / Guadalajara v Puebla / Match Odds Guadalajara Lay 10165635597 21-Feb-10 00:45 C 1.59 1.97 1.59 (1.16) Fixtures 20 February / Guadalajara v Puebla / Match Odds Guadalajara Back 10165634020 21-Feb-10 00:44 C 1.57 2.00 1.57 1.14 Fixtures 20 February / Corinthians v Rio Branco / Next Goal No Goal Lay 10164749997 20-Feb-10 21:58 C 11 1.00 11 (10.00) Fixtures 20 February / Inter v Sampdoria / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 10163820181 20-Feb-10 20:07 C 8.4 1.50 8.4 (11.10) Fixtures 20 February / Guimaraes v Leixoes / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 10163455722 20-Feb-10 19:27 C 8.6 2.41 8.6 2.41 Fixtures 20 February / VVV v AZ Alkmaar / 1st Goal No Goal Lay 10162771296 20-Feb-10 18:20 C 14.5 1.39 14.5 1.39 Fixtures 20 February / Portsmouth v Stoke / 1st Goal No Goal Lay 10162375152 20-Feb-10 17:37 C 9.4 1.97 9.4 1.97 Fixtures 20 February / Genoa v Udinese / 1st Goal No Goal Lay 10161508343 20-Feb-10 16:38 C 12.5 1.36 12.5 1.36 Fixtures 20 February / Nurnberg v B Munich / 1st Goal No Goal Lay 10157648997 20-Feb-10 13:14 C 21 0.75 21 0.75 Fixtures 20 February / Everton v Man Utd / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 10157337416 20-Feb-10 12:50 C 11 1.31 11 1.31 Fixtures 20 February / H Rostock v Augsburg / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 10154736030 20-Feb-10 01:04 C 12.5 1.10 12.5 1.10 GB / Ling 19th Feb / 12:55 1m4f Sell Stks Magnitude Lay 10147802320 19-Feb-10 12:19 C 3.95 2.02 3.95 (5.96) GB / Ling 19th Feb / 12:55 1m4f Sell Stks Magnitude Back 10147802319 19-Feb-10 12:19 C 4 2.00 4 6.00 Fixtures 19 February / Fortuna Dusseldorf v Rot-Weiss Ahlen / Total Goals 1 goals or more Back 10147587142 19-Feb-10 11:44 C 1.07 11.90 1.07 0.83 Group A / Barclays Dubai Tennis (W) / Winner Venus Williams Lay 10146817525 19-Feb-10 08:10 C 2.1 5.36 2.1 (5.90) Fixtures 18 February / Alianza Lima v Estudiantes / Total Goals 4 goals or more Back 10146236840 19-Feb-10 01:14 C 1.2 10.00 1.2 2.00 Juts played with the 1 goal market when I was trying out the challenge in the footy forum... the bets on the Guadalajara game cost me 5p but I was playing with geekstoy. The tennis match was backed on Bet365 for £6 win, again, just trying out arbing. |
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The one goal thing is ongoing and will be my downfall. But my bets will revolve around small multi's and match odds markets, aswell as horse backing and laying.
I also won £10.25 on a multi on over/under 2.5 goals which I posted in the 7 evens bets thread. |
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Pulled out of the 1+ goal market for a max loss of 95p.
Todays Bets: 1. Multi Stake £4 Odds 2.3 Valencia v Getafe Over/Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals Back 346979926 22-Feb-10 Rotherham v Shrewsbury Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals Back 346979927 22-Feb-10 2. Multi Stake £4 Odds 3.09 Unirea Urziceni v CFR Cluj Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals Back 347097026 22-Feb-10 14:11 - 1.52 - Matched Kaiserslautern v St Pauli Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 Goals Back 347097027 |
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1. Multi Stake £4 Odds 2.3 Profit £4.94
Valencia v Getafe Over/Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals Back 346979926 22-Feb-10 2-1 Rotherham v Shrewsbury Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals Back 346979927 22-Feb-10 1-1 2. Multi Stake £4 Odds 3.09 Profit £11.94 Unirea Urziceni v CFR Cluj Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.5 Goals Back 347097026 22-Feb-10 0-1 14:11 - 1.52 - Matched Kaiserslautern v St Pauli Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.5 Goals Back 347097027 3-0 For the Sceptics: Uni Urziceni v CFR Cluj / Total Goals / 1 goals or more -1.0 Lay 1.12 10.00 Lost (1.20) Uni Urziceni v CFR Cluj / Total Goals / 1 goals or more -1.0 Back 1.08 10.95 Won 0.88 2010-02-22 14:11 Transfer To Multiples, Multiples Bet Id 12761798 - - - (4.00) 2010-02-22 09:40 Transfer To Multiples, Multiples Bet Id 12758902 - - - (4.00) 2010-02-22 21:45 Transfer from Multiples, Multiples Bet Id 12758902 - - - 8.94 2010-02-22 21:04 Transfer from Multiples, Multiples Bet Id 12761798 - - - 11.94 Thats me done for the day. Yesterdays total = £102.74 Todays = £119.30 (+16.12%) |
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Sorry, calculated that wrong! +12.23% £7.94 on the second multiple not £11.94.
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Just lost £2.41 on a horse race. Back in the game. Don't think there'll be much betting tonight, nothing really stands out.
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Loss of £0.57 today. Not going to percentage that up.
Messed up a back to lay on the fav to lose £2.14 won a 20p lay on 9 corners or less in the utd game (just a mess about) and bet on their being 1 goal in the benfica and mk dons games. |
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23rd Feb. Did a late night bet to break even, quickly traded the over 4.5 market for £1.02 profit.
Week Start Bank - £102.74 Yesterdays Banks - £115.30 Current Bank - £115.70 (daily % increase of 0.35) (weekly % inc of 12.61) (total % inc of 27.14) |
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Bit of a long hard slog ahead, mate but good luck with it.
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Keep it going LWaugh !!
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Tonights Update:
P&L Football: £5.03 Total P&L: £5.03 Football / Angers v Clermont : Correct Score 26-Feb-10 19:00 26-Feb-10 20:57 2.24 Football / Duisburg v Oberhausen : Correct Score 26-Feb-10 17:00 26-Feb-10 18:50 1.15 Football / Universitario v Libertad : Match Odds 26-Feb-10 02:20 26-Feb-10 04:17 0.25 Football / Once Caldas v Sao Paulo : Correct Score 26-Feb-10 00:10 26-Feb-10 02:03 1.39 (daily % increase of 4.18) (weekly % inc of 21.89) (total % inc of 37.61) Current Bank = £125.23 Reduced my risk on the one goal market banking £10.50. |
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Tonights Update:
P&L Football: £10.00 Total P&L: £10.00 £21.63 - Boca Juniors v Estudiantes (Lay 0-0 @ 26.5) + £0.81 £22.44 - Burnley v Portsmouth (Lay 0-0 @ 11) + £2.13 £24.57 - Young Boys v FC Zurich (Lay 0-0 @ 21) + £1.16 £25.73 - Stoke City v Arsenal (Lay 0-0 @ 13.5) + £1.95 £27.68 - Olympique Lyon v Nice (Lay 0-0 @ 14) + £2.01 £29.69 - Willem II v VVV Venlo (Lay 0-0 @ 15.5) + £1.94 £31.63 (daily % increase of 7.98) (weekly % inc of 31.62) (total % inc of 48.6) Current Bank = £135.23 It's a massive risk that Im running and you could say Im not in a situation to claim a 31.62% increase, although Im going to, because currently that's the situation I find myself in. I re-staked the £10.50 because I knew this would leave me in a position to make a faster gain on a day where I could bet on plenty of games. Now I have banked £10 guaranteeing myself a gain of at least 10% on the week if it fails tomorrow (although I'll be out for most of the day playing American Football). |
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Tonights & The Weeks Update:
P&L Football: £14.28 Total P&L: £14.28 ### BANKED £10.63 ### 20. £21.00 - Juventus v Palermo (Lay 0-0 @ 12.5) + £1.73 21. £22.73 - Sporting Lisbon v Porto (Lay 2-0 @ 3.9) + £7.44 22. £30.17 - Estudiantes Tecos v CF America (Lay 0-0 @ 16) + £1.91 23. £32.08 - Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate (Lay 0-0 @ 10.5) + £3.20 24. £35.28 - (daily % increase of 10.56) (weekly % inc of 45.52) (total % inc of 64.29) Current Bank = £149.51 Aiming for £40 and then will bank a further £10. My weekly increase has been secured at 11.12% due to this mornings banking of £10.63. The weeks over then. Hopefully next week will be profitable (although similar results are certainly not expected). |