General Betting
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A Starting bank of 2000 euro.
1 point equal to 100 euro.
To-night Liverpool to beat villa 2.5 on the exchanges. 2 point win.
Aim to make 30 points before seaason end.
1 point equal to 100 euro.
To-night Liverpool to beat villa 2.5 on the exchanges. 2 point win.
Aim to make 30 points before seaason end.
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GL...think you are on to a bad start there though :)
Late but 3 points in the bank. Ill deduct commission at end of every month. Thats 2300 so far. Bets will be selective and not just for the sake of it. Profits to be slow and steady. Enjoy and follow.
Hope you are good staking 10% of bank.
Good luck mate.
Good luck mate.
Bet for wed. Hearts v Motherwell
1 point win hearts. rougly 2 on the exchanges.
Hearts have lost their last two and will be keen to make amends. Motherwell have notwon in six. As the form guide says this fixture has been won by the home side. I think evens is agood bet here. Expected them to be less. Good luck
1 point win hearts. rougly 2 on the exchanges.
Hearts have lost their last two and will be keen to make amends. Motherwell have notwon in six. As the form guide says this fixture has been won by the home side. I think evens is agood bet here. Expected them to be less. Good luck
Sorry first mistake Won their last two. Meant to say Motherwell lost their last two.
Thats another point in the bank. A good start 23 points so far. Will deduct comission at end of jan. Was 2.04 but will leave it at two. A good start.
Selection for the Second of Jan.
Sevilla to win at Athletico Madrid. 1 point win 2.66 at the moment.
Athletico are having a poor season and have lost their last two at home. They recovered last time to get a draw away at Teneriffe. Sevilla have been having a good season and had won their two previous before a home loss to getafe . Altough this is a tricky one 2.66 is excellent value for a team in third playing a team who lie 15th, and have lost the last two at home .
No Fa cup bets. Could not see any value.
Sevilla to win at Athletico Madrid. 1 point win 2.66 at the moment.
Athletico are having a poor season and have lost their last two at home. They recovered last time to get a draw away at Teneriffe. Sevilla have been having a good season and had won their two previous before a home loss to getafe . Altough this is a tricky one 2.66 is excellent value for a team in third playing a team who lie 15th, and have lost the last two at home .
No Fa cup bets. Could not see any value.
GSB
Are you taking account of AFRICAN players probably won't be available for SEVILLA....and AM likely to have both of their top strikers in team and they need to win this.
Also SEVILLA play BARCA a few days away in COPA , whereas AM are in relegation zone and are likely to be giving 100% to win........
GL with bet if sticking with it.....but looks likely to lose IMO.
HNY
Are you taking account of AFRICAN players probably won't be available for SEVILLA....and AM likely to have both of their top strikers in team and they need to win this.
Also SEVILLA play BARCA a few days away in COPA , whereas AM are in relegation zone and are likely to be giving 100% to win........
GL with bet if sticking with it.....but looks likely to lose IMO.
HNY
,'' he said. "It is what we expect. We have to pull ahead and get Atletico Madrid into the position it deserves.''
He added: "We have to give everything in order to gain three points on Saturday.
"To win against Sevilla we have to concentrate for the whole game to avoid mistakes. We have great quality in the offensive part of the team.''
Tomas Ujfalusi and Juanito are both suspended for the hosts, while Sergio Aguero and Pablo Ibanez are doubtful.
However, Sanchez Flores is boosted by the return to fitness of Maxi Rodriguez, who had been struggling with an injury over the Christmas period.
Jose Reyes missed the final match of 2009 against Tenerife due to a neck problem, but is fully recovered and is in contention to face his former club.
The Utrera-born 26-year-old said: "I've overcome the injury that I suffered and I feel pretty good.
"I've already done some headers and I didn't feel any pain, which is important, and proof that I've fully recovered.
"It's a special game for me, which is nice to play in. I like playing Sevilla, but obviously the most important thing is to win for me, for the club and for the supporters.''
Reyes spent a decade with Sevilla, coming through the youth ranks and then spending five years in the first team before joining Arsenal in 2004.
"If I score I won't celebrate it, out of respect for the club where I grew up,'' he vowed.
"Sure, it's always important and one likes scoring regardless of who it's against.
"The truth is that I don't get obsessed about scoring; the truly important thing is for the team to win. If we win, whoever scores, I'll go home happy.''
Sevilla have failed to win any of their last three matches at home, picking up just two points with draws against Real Valladolid and Malaga, before going down 2-1 to Getafe on December 19.
That hugely disappointing haul has seen the Andalusians slip off the pace in the title race. Three wins would have put Sevilla in joint second, just two points behind leaders Barcelona.
They will probably be glad to play away from the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, even though they will face an Atletico side determined to turn their season around.
Adriano and Lolo should be fit for the visitors after recovering from injuries, but goalkeeper Javi Varas is out following a collision with Abdoulay Konko in training
====================================================
Looks like I am wrong on Sergio Aguero being in team......but he still might be in it.....not sure .....
There were 4 Africans in the last team that played for SEVILLA.......when they lost.........No mention in above "report" re- whether they will be available to play tonight........but nevertheless , if they do play, will they give 100% with such a tournement approaching??????
I've layed SEVILLA and covered with a few CSs with them winning just in case they win!!!!
Gl with game.
He added: "We have to give everything in order to gain three points on Saturday.
"To win against Sevilla we have to concentrate for the whole game to avoid mistakes. We have great quality in the offensive part of the team.''
Tomas Ujfalusi and Juanito are both suspended for the hosts, while Sergio Aguero and Pablo Ibanez are doubtful.
However, Sanchez Flores is boosted by the return to fitness of Maxi Rodriguez, who had been struggling with an injury over the Christmas period.
Jose Reyes missed the final match of 2009 against Tenerife due to a neck problem, but is fully recovered and is in contention to face his former club.
The Utrera-born 26-year-old said: "I've overcome the injury that I suffered and I feel pretty good.
"I've already done some headers and I didn't feel any pain, which is important, and proof that I've fully recovered.
"It's a special game for me, which is nice to play in. I like playing Sevilla, but obviously the most important thing is to win for me, for the club and for the supporters.''
Reyes spent a decade with Sevilla, coming through the youth ranks and then spending five years in the first team before joining Arsenal in 2004.
"If I score I won't celebrate it, out of respect for the club where I grew up,'' he vowed.
"Sure, it's always important and one likes scoring regardless of who it's against.
"The truth is that I don't get obsessed about scoring; the truly important thing is for the team to win. If we win, whoever scores, I'll go home happy.''
Sevilla have failed to win any of their last three matches at home, picking up just two points with draws against Real Valladolid and Malaga, before going down 2-1 to Getafe on December 19.
That hugely disappointing haul has seen the Andalusians slip off the pace in the title race. Three wins would have put Sevilla in joint second, just two points behind leaders Barcelona.
They will probably be glad to play away from the Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, even though they will face an Atletico side determined to turn their season around.
Adriano and Lolo should be fit for the visitors after recovering from injuries, but goalkeeper Javi Varas is out following a collision with Abdoulay Konko in training
====================================================
Looks like I am wrong on Sergio Aguero being in team......but he still might be in it.....not sure .....
There were 4 Africans in the last team that played for SEVILLA.......when they lost.........No mention in above "report" re- whether they will be available to play tonight........but nevertheless , if they do play, will they give 100% with such a tournement approaching??????
I've layed SEVILLA and covered with a few CSs with them winning just in case they win!!!!
Gl with game.
Atletico Madrid forward Sergio Aguero and defender Pablo Ibanez will miss Saturday's match at home to third-placed Sevilla due to injury.
"Pablo won't make it as he has been suffering from stiffness all week and (Aguero) would have only made it just in time and we are not going to force things," coach Quique Sanchez Flores said.
Sevilla coach Manolo Jimenez still considers Atletico a direct rival despite the Madrid club's poor start to the season and their slump to 15th out of 20 in the standings.
"They are a magnificent team, one of the greats of Spanish football, but football is football and there are things that defy explanation," Jimenez said.
"I see them as a direct rival and we have to take them very seriously because they won't be down there at the end of the season."
Sevilla will be without strikers Frederic Kanoute and Luis Fabiano and midfielder Didier Zokora but goalkeeper Andres Palop should be fit, Jimenez said
===================================================
Two top strikers missing for SEVILLA by looks of it!
"Pablo won't make it as he has been suffering from stiffness all week and (Aguero) would have only made it just in time and we are not going to force things," coach Quique Sanchez Flores said.
Sevilla coach Manolo Jimenez still considers Atletico a direct rival despite the Madrid club's poor start to the season and their slump to 15th out of 20 in the standings.
"They are a magnificent team, one of the greats of Spanish football, but football is football and there are things that defy explanation," Jimenez said.
"I see them as a direct rival and we have to take them very seriously because they won't be down there at the end of the season."
Sevilla will be without strikers Frederic Kanoute and Luis Fabiano and midfielder Didier Zokora but goalkeeper Andres Palop should be fit, Jimenez said
===================================================
Two top strikers missing for SEVILLA by looks of it!
La Liga - Sevilla's Sergio Sanchez has heart condition
Reuters - Fri, 01 Jan 19:03:00 2010 Buzz Up!
Sevilla defender Sergio Sanchez has a heart condition which requires him to cease all physical activity for the time being.
Spanish players called for improvements in screening procedures for heart problems following the death of Espanyol defender Dani Jarque in August, two years after Sevilla midfielder Antonio Puerta collapsed during a game and later died after a prolonged cardiac arrest.
Reuters
As i said dfc its a tricky one . still the value is excellent. Will be staying on it. Remember the pressure is on madrid two points from relegation zone.
LAYED SEVILLA/SEVILLA ....will be expensive if this happens......don't mind you getting DRAW/SEVILLA :D GL
Could have backed SEVILLA in HT market to guarantee a profit ......but was "greedy" and got what was likely to happen.....a goal about 2/3 mins from HT :(
SO , on 1st half performance SEVILLA look likely to win by maybe 2 goals.......AM very poor indeed...without SERGIO A....
Your bet looks "good" now. wd
SO , on 1st half performance SEVILLA look likely to win by maybe 2 goals.......AM very poor indeed...without SERGIO A....
Your bet looks "good" now. wd
I went on the "Charlie Chase"...and stood to lose a heavy amount by laying 0-1.....a very jammy goal by AM ......but a chance I might even m,ake a profit ...a good one IF Am take lead ...unlikely though.
GL GSB ...even if SEVILLA score ...i should be at least break-even....
I lost count a weebit on position....a goal for either team gives a good profit .....So still GL...you never know SEVILLA could still win this ...
A bit like that late goal at HT.....out of a stupid defensive push in back by SEVILLA defender.....I thought Scotland defenders were thickoooooooossssssssss......that guy is up to thickoooooooo standard
The sending off made it difficult.
A good game to watch though ...Better luck on next one GSB
G N the nooooooooooo
The sending off made it difficult.
A good game to watch though ...Better luck on next one GSB
G N the nooooooooooo
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Half Time/Full Time 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:57 45.74
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Correct Score 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:56 92.45
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Match Odds 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:55 17.04
Luckily that late goal gave me an over all £5 profit on day from football.......
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Half Time/Full Time 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:57 45.74
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Correct Score 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:56 92.45
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Sevilla : Match Odds 02-Jan-10 21:00 02-Jan-10 22:55 17.04
Luckily that late goal gave me an over all £5 profit on day from football.......
Bets 3 jan
West ham 1 point win v Arsenal
Arsenal will field a wekened team here and prob will win but the value of 5.8 on west ham is too good to miss especially in the F.A. cup.
running total 23 points
West ham 1 point win v Arsenal
Arsenal will field a wekened team here and prob will win but the value of 5.8 on west ham is too good to miss especially in the F.A. cup.
running total 23 points
Both the last two bets showed excellent promise both leading at halk time but not getting over the line.
22 points so far.
Bet for tues 5th, Jan
1 point win Villa away at blackburn in the carling cup. 2.62. This is an excellent price on villa. They have the confidence with the weekends performance beating blackburn 3-1. Blackburn been the home side will need to attack to take something to the second leg at villa park. I fancy villa pace up front and think they will win 1-0
22 points so far.
Bet for tues 5th, Jan
1 point win Villa away at blackburn in the carling cup. 2.62. This is an excellent price on villa. They have the confidence with the weekends performance beating blackburn 3-1. Blackburn been the home side will need to attack to take something to the second leg at villa park. I fancy villa pace up front and think they will win 1-0
Bet 6 jan2010
Inter 2 point win away to Chievo
1.95 is excellent value here on the Italian league leaders .
running total 22 points with the Villa game been of
Inter 2 point win away to Chievo
1.95 is excellent value here on the Italian league leaders .
running total 22 points with the Villa game been of
Inter traded up to 2.14 before kick off. Prob due to eto missing. I got on at 2 and will leave it at that for the figures.
Agood bet 24 points profit so far
Agood bet 24 points profit so far
Friday 8th, Jan.
1 point win Notts forest away at west brom 4.4 on exchages.
Second v third here. west Brom in excellent form However these wins have come against peterborough and scunthorpe with a cup win against hudersfield. Before this they drew at home to QPR and lost to Cardiff. So somewhere in between lies their true form.
Notts foresthave not lost since the 19 sept. They have not conceded in their last six plus an impressive draw in the cup with in form Birmingham.
At 4.4 this is a value bet to say the least.
1 point win Notts forest away at west brom 4.4 on exchages.
Second v third here. west Brom in excellent form However these wins have come against peterborough and scunthorpe with a cup win against hudersfield. Before this they drew at home to QPR and lost to Cardiff. So somewhere in between lies their true form.
Notts foresthave not lost since the 19 sept. They have not conceded in their last six plus an impressive draw in the cup with in form Birmingham.
At 4.4 this is a value bet to say the least.
Bet for 9 Jan.
In the draw no bet market 1 point win Birmingham to beat united 4.4.
Not much liquidy at the moment but will improve.
Great win by Forest. I got on at 4.4 but was 4.2 just before kick off. for account purposes we will take 4.2.
We began with a bank of2000. We now have a running total of 2720.
20 point bank now at 27.2. Not bad if I do say so myself.
In the draw no bet market 1 point win Birmingham to beat united 4.4.
Not much liquidy at the moment but will improve.
Great win by Forest. I got on at 4.4 but was 4.2 just before kick off. for account purposes we will take 4.2.
We began with a bank of2000. We now have a running total of 2720.
20 point bank now at 27.2. Not bad if I do say so myself.
Bet 12 jan Birmingham 2 point win v Forest.
Birmingham drew at the weekend saving our bet and at roughly evens on the exchanges this is excellent value with them been at home and in such fine form.
Still at 27.2 at the moment
Birmingham drew at the weekend saving our bet and at roughly evens on the exchanges this is excellent value with them been at home and in such fine form.
Still at 27.2 at the moment
Birmingham do the job. I got on at 2.02 but will leave it at 2 for account purposes. This brings out total to 29.2 points. On days when there is no bet I will not post. All bets will be at least 2 hours before kick off.
Starting bank 2000 euro or 20 points
Current bank 2920 euro or 29.2 points
Starting bank 2000 euro or 20 points
Current bank 2920 euro or 29.2 points
bet 14 jan
Aston villa 2 points win against Blackburn.
Gave this bet before for one point but weather led to cancellation. will make it a 2 point bet as Blackburn are low in confidence after their defeat at city. For villa this is a chance of a wembley trip and at 2.5 this is excellent value in my opinion.
Aston villa 2 points win against Blackburn.
Gave this bet before for one point but weather led to cancellation. will make it a 2 point bet as Blackburn are low in confidence after their defeat at city. For villa this is a chance of a wembley trip and at 2.5 this is excellent value in my opinion.
Another 3 points in the bag. One nil to villa. Would have to say luck was on my side with this one. Blackburn deserved the draw. Anyway a win is a win and this takes my total to 32.2 points from a 20 point starting bank.
Cant see any value at the moment for Friday so its back on Saturday with Everton and stoke my early considerations but not sure yet. Feedback would be nice. Its lonely on this thread.
Cant see any value at the moment for Friday so its back on Saturday with Everton and stoke my early considerations but not sure yet. Feedback would be nice. Its lonely on this thread.
Sooo many threads to follow mate. I'm reading yours. I nearly backed Villa yesterday but was worried about it being a 2 legged affair. Layed Blackburn in the end. Waiting for news on tomorrows games. Stay lucky
No bet to-day but do think the ivory coast just above evens represents good value. wont be playing my-self as i dont like these tournaments at group stage.
Tomorrows bet is Back Liverpool at 2.22 to beat Stoke. 2 point win
Every tipster I look at is saying this is stokes to win. Altough Liverpool will be short on the ground with Gerrard and Torres missing, they still have adequate replacements. Stoke have not won in four and lost three games before drawing with Wigan. Liverpools last league game was an away win at Villa. Liverpool are at 2.22 which to me is excellent value. stoke have slipped to 3.95 which for me is not enough. Would have needed to be over 5 to represent value. Also remember benitez has a habit of winning when he looks in trouble. 2 point win here.
Also 1 point win Birmingham away at portsmouth. 2.78 .
Would not suprise me if Portsmouth did not win another game this season. In form Birmingham at 2.78 represents excellent value.
Tomorrows bet is Back Liverpool at 2.22 to beat Stoke. 2 point win
Every tipster I look at is saying this is stokes to win. Altough Liverpool will be short on the ground with Gerrard and Torres missing, they still have adequate replacements. Stoke have not won in four and lost three games before drawing with Wigan. Liverpools last league game was an away win at Villa. Liverpool are at 2.22 which to me is excellent value. stoke have slipped to 3.95 which for me is not enough. Would have needed to be over 5 to represent value. Also remember benitez has a habit of winning when he looks in trouble. 2 point win here.
Also 1 point win Birmingham away at portsmouth. 2.78 .
Would not suprise me if Portsmouth did not win another game this season. In form Birmingham at 2.78 represents excellent value.
gstreet- excellent thread so far, i have been following with interest. I also agreed with your Ivory Coast selection but decided to lay Ghana instead!.
I also agree with your Liverpool prediction but would prefer a lay on Stoke, i also have an verwhelming feeling that Kuyt may get a goal tomorrow, only time will tell!
I also agree with your Liverpool prediction but would prefer a lay on Stoke, i also have an verwhelming feeling that Kuyt may get a goal tomorrow, only time will tell!
Thanks appreciate that comment. I always think value is what you have to look for. I very rarely back below 2 as it leads to disater in the long run.
I very rarely back below 2 as it leads to disater in the long run.
Why do you say that ?
Why do you say that ?
First of all apologies on the incorrect info on Stoke. Still does not change my bet. I fill in stats on all teams and for some reason did not fill in Stokes win at home to Fulham.
Why I dont back under 2 is that from personal experience the long term gains are not good. Years ago I lost alot backing odds on in football. To me it does not represent value. Then again its each to their own.
Why I dont back under 2 is that from personal experience the long term gains are not good. Years ago I lost alot backing odds on in football. To me it does not represent value. Then again its each to their own.
Bet 17 jan.
1 point win Bordeaux to beat Marseille .
Top of the league and have won their last six games. At 2 on the exchanges I think this bet is self explanatory.
No luck yesterday. Liverpool played ok and I taught they would hold out and then the Kuyt header. Overall tough the bet was good value.
With the Birmingham portsmouth game off. We have a running total of 30.2 points
1 point win Bordeaux to beat Marseille .
Top of the league and have won their last six games. At 2 on the exchanges I think this bet is self explanatory.
No luck yesterday. Liverpool played ok and I taught they would hold out and then the Kuyt header. Overall tough the bet was good value.
With the Birmingham portsmouth game off. We have a running total of 30.2 points
18 jan
2 points win Newcastle to beat west Brom 2.05 on the exchanges.
Top of the league against third. You wont get a better price on ateam that have not lost at home all season. West brom have not been in the best of form recently and when a real test came against forest they crumpled. I think at over Evens this is a massive price and hence the 2 points
Last night all seemed to be going well with Bordeaux 1 up and then all of a sudden a sending off and Marseille equalise. Anyway you cant use luck as an excuse, A loosing bet is a loosing bet.
29.2 points so far.
2 points win Newcastle to beat west Brom 2.05 on the exchanges.
Top of the league against third. You wont get a better price on ateam that have not lost at home all season. West brom have not been in the best of form recently and when a real test came against forest they crumpled. I think at over Evens this is a massive price and hence the 2 points
Last night all seemed to be going well with Bordeaux 1 up and then all of a sudden a sending off and Marseille equalise. Anyway you cant use luck as an excuse, A loosing bet is a loosing bet.
29.2 points so far.
Down to 27.2 points
Newcatle were lucky to draw. this is 5 points lost in the last 4 games.Thier will be periods like this and its all about disipline. My longets loosing run has been 10 points. Years back I would have paniked and lumped on a short odds team in the hope of re-couping loses not any more. I believe in slow and steady and to deal with the loosing runs without too much emotion,
Bet 19 Jan 1 point win Man City to beat United.2.68 on the exchanges. United will field a strong team but prob. not their strongest. This is huge for city and been at home will be an advantage. Mancini will have learned alot from the Everton game and this represents a real chance to get to wembley. Up to that they had really transformed their season under their new boss. At 2.68 I feel this is good value.
Newcatle were lucky to draw. this is 5 points lost in the last 4 games.Thier will be periods like this and its all about disipline. My longets loosing run has been 10 points. Years back I would have paniked and lumped on a short odds team in the hope of re-couping loses not any more. I believe in slow and steady and to deal with the loosing runs without too much emotion,
Bet 19 Jan 1 point win Man City to beat United.2.68 on the exchanges. United will field a strong team but prob. not their strongest. This is huge for city and been at home will be an advantage. Mancini will have learned alot from the Everton game and this represents a real chance to get to wembley. Up to that they had really transformed their season under their new boss. At 2.68 I feel this is good value.
A change of fortune and a nice 1.7 point profit. I got on a 2.7 so ill leave it at that for account purposes. 29.9 points is our total so far.
Back tomorrow with the possibility of 3 bets. Not sure yet.
Back tomorrow with the possibility of 3 bets. Not sure yet.
Bet for 20 jan.
After much soul searching and deliberation one good make a strong case for a liverpool or spurs win to-night. Spurs or in 4 and in fine recent form however they failed to find the net against Hull and they have one win in six at blackburn in thier last 6 away games.
That said the quality of opposition has included Everton Villa Arsenal and United.Liverpool have won thier last 2 in the league atb home against wigan and Wolves/ Not the greatest of opponents but still wins. Against them Torres and Gerrard are again missing but with that said I still feel that against stoke they showed good form and played well bar the last 10 min. This is massive for Benitez and his side and a win would see them go 1 point behind spurs. At 2.56 I think they are good value and thats what my betting is about finding value. While it would not suprise me that they loose or draw I still think they are good value at 2.56.
Bet 2 Bolongna to beat Atlanta.
17th v 18th here and Bologna have a good home record while Atlanta have lost their four of thier last 5 on the road. At 2.5 they are good value.
Summary. 1 point win Liverpool to beat spurs. 2.56
1 point win Bologna to beat Atlanta 2.5
After much soul searching and deliberation one good make a strong case for a liverpool or spurs win to-night. Spurs or in 4 and in fine recent form however they failed to find the net against Hull and they have one win in six at blackburn in thier last 6 away games.
That said the quality of opposition has included Everton Villa Arsenal and United.Liverpool have won thier last 2 in the league atb home against wigan and Wolves/ Not the greatest of opponents but still wins. Against them Torres and Gerrard are again missing but with that said I still feel that against stoke they showed good form and played well bar the last 10 min. This is massive for Benitez and his side and a win would see them go 1 point behind spurs. At 2.56 I think they are good value and thats what my betting is about finding value. While it would not suprise me that they loose or draw I still think they are good value at 2.56.
Bet 2 Bolongna to beat Atlanta.
17th v 18th here and Bologna have a good home record while Atlanta have lost their four of thier last 5 on the road. At 2.5 they are good value.
Summary. 1 point win Liverpool to beat spurs. 2.56
1 point win Bologna to beat Atlanta 2.5
Great thread........good luck with it.
Do you not think Lille away to Sochaux represents good value?
Do you not think Lille away to Sochaux represents good value?
Lille are in a fine run of form but Socheaux have been doing ok at home. At 1.94 I think its a fair price but not enough for me. That said it will prob win but not enough value. When backing Football form is important but not the be all and end all. A team like Lille who are on a winning run tempts people at this price and its not bad but the point is if they had maybe drawn their last 2 you would get 2.2 or even higher. If they were that yes they are worth a bet . I always look at previous results and try to equate this to price. I keep an eye on alot of teams. Eg The Liverpool bet. 2.58 on them is to me good value. It has all factors included in the price stars missing, drawing at Stoke, Playing 4th place Spurs. If Torres was playing and they had beaten Stoke It would be prob 2. If Gerrard playing as well prob 1.85-1.9. No value. Liverpool are still a good side and to me 2.58 is value if you get what I mean.
27.7 points is our Running total.
A total of.5 points profit fot the 2 games. Liverpool always looked good as for our Italians well 2 up and it looked good but ended in a draw. Thats how it goes ah well.Back tomorrow if any bets.
A total of.5 points profit fot the 2 games. Liverpool always looked good as for our Italians well 2 up and it looked good but ended in a draw. Thats how it goes ah well.Back tomorrow if any bets.
Its Fa cup weekend and always a competition I like,as the odds are always compiled based on division (prem, champ etc) and based on recent form. As we know the atmosphere is always different and it throws up plenty shocks. I am going for 2 championship sides against two premership sides under new management.
1 point win sheff utd to beat bolton 4.9 on the exchanges
1 point win reading to beat Burnley 2.58
Both under new management and both with uncertain futures. B olton looked shocking once Arsenal came at them and with Sheff utd in form ( only lost 1 in the last 6 away) and in the promotion spots I think the price is huge and fancy them to cause an upset.
Burnley have lost 5 of the last 6 away from home with the only win against the mk dons. Reading will be up for this one and will be inspired by the win at Liverpool. good luck.
.
1 point win sheff utd to beat bolton 4.9 on the exchanges
1 point win reading to beat Burnley 2.58
Both under new management and both with uncertain futures. B olton looked shocking once Arsenal came at them and with Sheff utd in form ( only lost 1 in the last 6 away) and in the promotion spots I think the price is huge and fancy them to cause an upset.
Burnley have lost 5 of the last 6 away from home with the only win against the mk dons. Reading will be up for this one and will be inspired by the win at Liverpool. good luck.
.
got re today at 2.5 one win and one loss. Sheff utd were poor really and in hindsight this was prob the poorest selection so far.
28.2 points so far.
Sunday24 jan
1 point win Stoke to beat Arsenal. 4.4
its my opinion that if wegner had a choice he would gladly accept defeat here. He will field a weakened side and Stoke with a good home record look like exceptional value. May post an extra bet in the morning
28.2 points so far.
Sunday24 jan
1 point win Stoke to beat Arsenal. 4.4
its my opinion that if wegner had a choice he would gladly accept defeat here. He will field a weakened side and Stoke with a good home record look like exceptional value. May post an extra bet in the morning
a 3.4 point profit for the day. I will deduct commision at month end,
Stoke were excellent and as always fa cup weekend provides profit.
In hindsight the sheff united bet was a poor selection, I wanted to put Birmingham up but becuse of my love for everton i let my heart rule my head. anyway Mikel arteta is back and that makes me happy.
Starting bank 2000 or 20 points
current bank 3160 or 31.6 points
Stoke were excellent and as always fa cup weekend provides profit.
In hindsight the sheff united bet was a poor selection, I wanted to put Birmingham up but becuse of my love for everton i let my heart rule my head. anyway Mikel arteta is back and that makes me happy.
Starting bank 2000 or 20 points
current bank 3160 or 31.6 points
bet26 jan.
1 point win west hame 3.1 to beat portsmouth.
Altough west ham have been in poor recent form recently they have now new owners and this will give the place a lift. Portsmouth I believe will go down and the club is in financial crisis. To me this is good value at just over 3.
1 point win west Brom to win at Ipswich.
West brom are excellent away from home winning 4 of the last six and tough Ipswich are finding good form at home I think the 2.48 is good value.
1 point win west hame 3.1 to beat portsmouth.
Altough west ham have been in poor recent form recently they have now new owners and this will give the place a lift. Portsmouth I believe will go down and the club is in financial crisis. To me this is good value at just over 3.
1 point win west Brom to win at Ipswich.
West brom are excellent away from home winning 4 of the last six and tough Ipswich are finding good form at home I think the 2.48 is good value.
2 one all draws bring the total down to 29.6
Did a good bit of looking at the odds for tomorrow nigh and have 3 bets.
1 point Scunthorpe to beat sheff wed 2.66
1 points Wigan to beat Blackburn 4.5
1 Arsenal to beat villa.2.26
Scunthorpe at home in this relegation battle are at a good price for me. They managed to put 2 past City at the weekend and this will help their confidence. wed are in good form winning the last 2 away but I think this is a massive game and have a strong feeling for the home side.
Blackburn should in all honesty win this. However at 2 show no value and with only 2 points seperating these 2 I think wigan are an excellent price.
Arsenal to beat villa.To me arsenal are good value and anytime they over 2 in betting you have to see it as value. If they hit form they can beat any side in the world. At just over5/4 I feel it is excellent value
Did a good bit of looking at the odds for tomorrow nigh and have 3 bets.
1 point Scunthorpe to beat sheff wed 2.66
1 points Wigan to beat Blackburn 4.5
1 Arsenal to beat villa.2.26
Scunthorpe at home in this relegation battle are at a good price for me. They managed to put 2 past City at the weekend and this will help their confidence. wed are in good form winning the last 2 away but I think this is a massive game and have a strong feeling for the home side.
Blackburn should in all honesty win this. However at 2 show no value and with only 2 points seperating these 2 I think wigan are an excellent price.
Arsenal to beat villa.To me arsenal are good value and anytime they over 2 in betting you have to see it as value. If they hit form they can beat any side in the world. At just over5/4 I feel it is excellent value
Scunthorpe shaped well against a reasonable City side, but they are not in the relegation area by accident. This will be a very tough game and I would think Sheff Wed on the back of wins at Barnsley and particularly at Blackpool will be a tough nut to crack. Blackburn somehow seem to manage to win these type of games and although Wigan look a tasty price but I don't feel they will win. Arsenal as you say can beat anyone on their day, but Villa fighting for that all important 4th place will also be hard to beat. No bets on these games for me, so I really hope I am wrong and you get all 3 up. Decent thread this. You can tell that by the lack of replies on it. Good luck tonight.
Great stuff so far gstreet, good luck with your bets this evening, i also think Chelsea Bham draw 6.0, Crystal Palace 6.4 and Sunderland 7.2 represent fairly decent value.
Scunthorpe save the evening and we loose roughly .4 points
Total 29.2.
Wigan were never going to do it and as for Arsenal was not watching any of it so dont know how they went. We started just 1 month ago so we are doing ok. Will see how we go.
Cups I always find profitable and tomorrow nights Spanish cup ties show good oppurtunity.
1 point Mallorca to beat Getafe 3.9
1 point athletico Madrid to beat celta Vigo 2.12
Mallorca are in 4th, place and getafe in 7th, both having fine seasons. Mallorca are 1 down from first leg and will have nothing to loose. The value is excellent at 3.9
Madrid are playing a strugling celta vigo side and will be keen to make up for the first leg against the second division side. Was going to make this a 2 point bet but this is big home game and as we know this can prove difficult for a side expected to win. Good luck if you are following.
Total 29.2.
Wigan were never going to do it and as for Arsenal was not watching any of it so dont know how they went. We started just 1 month ago so we are doing ok. Will see how we go.
Cups I always find profitable and tomorrow nights Spanish cup ties show good oppurtunity.
1 point Mallorca to beat Getafe 3.9
1 point athletico Madrid to beat celta Vigo 2.12
Mallorca are in 4th, place and getafe in 7th, both having fine seasons. Mallorca are 1 down from first leg and will have nothing to loose. The value is excellent at 3.9
Madrid are playing a strugling celta vigo side and will be keen to make up for the first leg against the second division side. Was going to make this a 2 point bet but this is big home game and as we know this can prove difficult for a side expected to win. Good luck if you are following.
Looking at your two Spanish Cup games tonight. Firstly I have a bit of a soft spot this season for Majorca and they are pretty strong at home, so am hopeful they will win for you. The other game looks very tough. I know A. Madrid have the firepower with Aguero and Forlan to win against most teams, however I have been very impressed with Celta Vigo's cup run and if pushed for a bet I would have to side with them. Maybe an overs bet in the latter game for me. Well done with Scunthorpe last night, and from the highlights on MOTD Arsenal looked a little unlucky not to win also. Very little damage on the night, so onwards and upwards hopefully for you.
Only just realised Mallorca are away, couldn't back them to win away.
An excellent night sees us win four points. I got ath at 2.1 and mallorca at 3.9.
Total so far: 33.2 points so far.
Ill post the weekends bets tomorrow.
Total so far: 33.2 points so far.
Ill post the weekends bets tomorrow.
weekend 30-31 jan.
1 bet.
2 points everton to win at Wigan.2.4 on the exchanges.
Everton are on an upward curve and with the injury list getting better they seem to have plenty momentum. At 2.4 they give good value. Altough wigan have been ok lately at home I still fancy Everton for this one.
This will be my only selection this weekend so good luck with it. Im away to-morrow and sunday so wont just put up selections for the sake of it as I dont have time to study it properly.
1 bet.
2 points everton to win at Wigan.2.4 on the exchanges.
Everton are on an upward curve and with the injury list getting better they seem to have plenty momentum. At 2.4 they give good value. Altough wigan have been ok lately at home I still fancy Everton for this one.
This will be my only selection this weekend so good luck with it. Im away to-morrow and sunday so wont just put up selections for the sake of it as I dont have time to study it properly.
Bet for 1st, feb.
Stoke to beat Sunderland 3.95 1 point win.
12th v 13th here aqnd for some reason prob home advantage their is a massive difference in the odds. Both teams have been poor recently with Sunderland picking up 6 points in the last 10 games and stoke are 9 from 30.
I like stoke here they have just beaten Arsenal in the cup and drew with Liverpool in the game before. Sunderland have lost to Everton Portsmouth and hammered by Chelsea. Confidence low and at 3.95 I think stoke have a big chance here.
Everton did the business on Sat. giving us a 2.8 point profit.
Total 36 points
Ill deduct commission of 5 % on 16 points which is .8 for month end.
Is this correct would appreciate feed back and will change if not correct.
Starting bank 2000
Current bank 3520
Not bad for a months work.
Stoke to beat Sunderland 3.95 1 point win.
12th v 13th here aqnd for some reason prob home advantage their is a massive difference in the odds. Both teams have been poor recently with Sunderland picking up 6 points in the last 10 games and stoke are 9 from 30.
I like stoke here they have just beaten Arsenal in the cup and drew with Liverpool in the game before. Sunderland have lost to Everton Portsmouth and hammered by Chelsea. Confidence low and at 3.95 I think stoke have a big chance here.
Everton did the business on Sat. giving us a 2.8 point profit.
Total 36 points
Ill deduct commission of 5 % on 16 points which is .8 for month end.
Is this correct would appreciate feed back and will change if not correct.
Starting bank 2000
Current bank 3520
Not bad for a months work.
surely you need to deduct commission on gross winnings , not net .
Bet 2 feb
1 point win Wolves to beat Palace2.9
An excellent price for a premiership team against a championship team .
A nil - nil draw to-night brings us to 35 points and a bad start to the month.
1 point win Wolves to beat Palace2.9
An excellent price for a premiership team against a championship team .
A nil - nil draw to-night brings us to 35 points and a bad start to the month.
33.2 points after Wolves put up a no show last night. Still would not dispute the theory and that brings me to my first 3 point bet of the year. Same theory Premership this time playing League 1.
3 point win spurs away to leeds. evens on the exchanges.
Spurs are a team competing for this years Champions league spots and at evens represent excellent value aagainst a league 1 side. Harry will have them ready as he is a past fa cup winner with pompey and will be able im sure to mentally prepare his troops for this one. I expected this to be about 1.6 but at evens it is an excellent bet
3 point win spurs away to leeds. evens on the exchanges.
Spurs are a team competing for this years Champions league spots and at evens represent excellent value aagainst a league 1 side. Harry will have them ready as he is a past fa cup winner with pompey and will be able im sure to mentally prepare his troops for this one. I expected this to be about 1.6 but at evens it is an excellent bet
Spurs deliever and 36.2 points so far.
I apologise yet again about the commission. I will go back through all the bets and put up the correct points total. Its not far off the above.
Always taught that Spurs would have too much and it proved true. The evens available was too good to miss. I post the odds that I back at myself. Some people might get more some less.
Had no bets for yesterday and to-day. Looked at Santander away to ath. Madrid last night and value was there but could not see santander winning and left well alone .any feedback appreciated on any of the above thanks.
Bet 6 jan
1 point Everton to beat Liverpool 4.7 on the exchanges.
An outside one but not beyond the realms of possibility. Everton in good form. Will play 4-5-1. Will hope to hit on the break and contain Liverpool. Will be tough to break down and without Torres might not happen. Good value and worth a point.
1 point west Ham to beat Burnley .2.92
Burnley have taken 3 points from the last 30 and while West-ham are not exactly in great form I think they are a good price against a team on the way down.
Anyway good luck and apologies about the poor grammar and spelling
I apologise yet again about the commission. I will go back through all the bets and put up the correct points total. Its not far off the above.
Always taught that Spurs would have too much and it proved true. The evens available was too good to miss. I post the odds that I back at myself. Some people might get more some less.
Had no bets for yesterday and to-day. Looked at Santander away to ath. Madrid last night and value was there but could not see santander winning and left well alone .any feedback appreciated on any of the above thanks.
Bet 6 jan
1 point Everton to beat Liverpool 4.7 on the exchanges.
An outside one but not beyond the realms of possibility. Everton in good form. Will play 4-5-1. Will hope to hit on the break and contain Liverpool. Will be tough to break down and without Torres might not happen. Good value and worth a point.
1 point west Ham to beat Burnley .2.92
Burnley have taken 3 points from the last 30 and while West-ham are not exactly in great form I think they are a good price against a team on the way down.
Anyway good luck and apologies about the poor grammar and spelling
Got a great price on spurs there, evens. Not sure what price they went off but I think it was something like 1.80 or even lower, and to be fair, they should have been out of sight by halftime.
Enjoyed reading the analysis and you are getting the results. Well done.
Enjoyed reading the analysis and you are getting the results. Well done.
Well after a dissappointing weekend we return to action to-night and its stoke and ssunderland we will be following.
1 point Stoke to beat wigan 3.55
1 point Sunderland to beat Pompey 3.35
These 2 bets are from from certain but to me represent value and thats what I always look for. While sunderland are not great away Portsmouth are very poor at home and the 3.35 is good value.
Wigan have the second worst home record this season and again the price on stoke is good value.
I would not be suprised if neither went in but I have a feeling it could happen. 34.2 points so far
1 point Stoke to beat wigan 3.55
1 point Sunderland to beat Pompey 3.35
These 2 bets are from from certain but to me represent value and thats what I always look for. While sunderland are not great away Portsmouth are very poor at home and the 3.35 is good value.
Wigan have the second worst home record this season and again the price on stoke is good value.
I would not be suprised if neither went in but I have a feeling it could happen. 34.2 points so far
quite unlucky at the end in the sund game there.
I know treble
To-days bet. 2 points win Arsenal to beat Liverpool 2.02
Arsenal to me are still agood side and behind the top 2 are far and away ahead of the rest. When they are over evens at home they are to me excellent value. Liverpool did well in the derby but for me they struggle away from home. The top 2 face tricky ties tonight away to Villa and everton and It maybe a chance for arsenal to sneek back in to contenion
To-days bet. 2 points win Arsenal to beat Liverpool 2.02
Arsenal to me are still agood side and behind the top 2 are far and away ahead of the rest. When they are over evens at home they are to me excellent value. Liverpool did well in the derby but for me they struggle away from home. The top 2 face tricky ties tonight away to Villa and everton and It maybe a chance for arsenal to sneek back in to contenion
Nice work gstreet i noticed every time you bet on my boys the hammers we lost can you bet on brum tonight please ;-) GL with your future bets.
good call Gstreet. I didn't think evens was much of a price to be honest - but they got it done nonetheless.
Back to 34.2 after last nights win. To be honest I taught the evens was a good price. What killed me was the everton bet. Was going to include that but was so dissappointed in how they performed against Liverpool that I could not have seen it happen. The price on offer was excellent and def a missed oppurtunity .
no bets to-night looked at santander atl.Madrid game but cant see either win prob a draw I think.
no bets to-night looked at santander atl.Madrid game but cant see either win prob a draw I think.
34.2 points so far.
Sat13 jan.
1 point win newcastle to beat Swansea 2.96
Newcastle of the back of a 3-0 defeat face 5th, place Swansea.
Swansea have the 5 best home record but newcastle have the 4 best away form all season. To me Newcastle will win automatic promotion and are excellent value for this one.
1 point win Southampton to beat pompey. 2.92.
A local derby in the fa cup and by far the value bet on offer. Pompey are fragile both on and off the field and in a home atmosphere against thier biggest rivals they may well feel the pressure . Good value here .
Sat13 jan.
1 point win newcastle to beat Swansea 2.96
Newcastle of the back of a 3-0 defeat face 5th, place Swansea.
Swansea have the 5 best home record but newcastle have the 4 best away form all season. To me Newcastle will win automatic promotion and are excellent value for this one.
1 point win Southampton to beat pompey. 2.92.
A local derby in the fa cup and by far the value bet on offer. Pompey are fragile both on and off the field and in a home atmosphere against thier biggest rivals they may well feel the pressure . Good value here .
unlucky in the pompey game - southampton battered them for a long stretch by all accounts
32.2 points so far after a dissappointing weekend. As treble pointed out we might have taken something from the southampton game. Newcastle were lucky to draw nevermind winning.
Was going to bet on the Charlton bristol match to-night but dont see value in it. Charlton have agood away record but 2.2 is not enough for me. Bristol are ok at home but have lost the last two. and altough a good price I can not back them. An excellent service for anyone following tipsters is football elite (football-elite.co.uk). An excellent profit all season. I dont post any of his selections by the way.
Back with a bet to-morrow
Was going to bet on the Charlton bristol match to-night but dont see value in it. Charlton have agood away record but 2.2 is not enough for me. Bristol are ok at home but have lost the last two. and altough a good price I can not back them. An excellent service for anyone following tipsters is football elite (football-elite.co.uk). An excellent profit all season. I dont post any of his selections by the way.
Back with a bet to-morrow
Bet for 16th, Feb
Man City to win at Stoke 2.5 1 point win
City have had a little dip since the earlier form following Manchinis arrival . They were less than impressive in the cup and struggled at home to Bolton. However I feel they are better than this and for me Stoke are over-achieving this season. I feel at 6/4 city represent good value and can start to drive at the top four positions.
1 point West Brom to win at Cardiff 2.66.
Good value this one West brom have the best away record in the division and at 2.66 to continue in this vain is excellent value. Cardiff are in good form recently however shipped four against chelsea and five away at newcastle. They are better on the road than at home this season. West brom are for me going to win promotion and any time they at these odds they worth a bet
Man City to win at Stoke 2.5 1 point win
City have had a little dip since the earlier form following Manchinis arrival . They were less than impressive in the cup and struggled at home to Bolton. However I feel they are better than this and for me Stoke are over-achieving this season. I feel at 6/4 city represent good value and can start to drive at the top four positions.
1 point West Brom to win at Cardiff 2.66.
Good value this one West brom have the best away record in the division and at 2.66 to continue in this vain is excellent value. Cardiff are in good form recently however shipped four against chelsea and five away at newcastle. They are better on the road than at home this season. West brom are for me going to win promotion and any time they at these odds they worth a bet
30.2 and a loosing run continues. City could not beat Stoke with 10 men and should have lost if not for the ref. No report on the w brom match but another loosing bet.
bet for wed 17 1 point Arsenal to beat porto 3.1 on the exchanges.
Its my humble opinion ( not good lately ) that the english and Spanish leagues are far superior to the rest and here its Arsenal playing Porto. I think the value is excellent and expect Arsenal to win 1-0
bet for wed 17 1 point Arsenal to beat porto 3.1 on the exchanges.
Its my humble opinion ( not good lately ) that the english and Spanish leagues are far superior to the rest and here its Arsenal playing Porto. I think the value is excellent and expect Arsenal to win 1-0
I guess you bet that without seeing the team news, it was very significant in that game. With a full (well no RVP) team I don't think you would even have seen 2.80 let alone 3.10 (or 3.50+ on the night).
I didn't see the thread but I was with you on West Brom, and at that price would back them again. Still i guess from a yield POV you are doing pretty well.
I didn't see the thread but I was with you on West Brom, and at that price would back them again. Still i guess from a yield POV you are doing pretty well.
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