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NonShy..
12 Aug 08 21:26
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Date Joined: 22 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 4,987 | Blogger: NonShy..'s blog
Continuing from last season.... can't bring old thread back up but have saved results from last season.

Bet 1: Milan/Man U @ 2.08 - WON 3-0
Bet 2: Colon/River Plate @ 2 - LOST 0-0
Bet 3: Viikingit/KooTeePee @ 1.91 LOST 0-1
Bet 4: West Ham/Bolton @ 2.2 - WON 3-1
Bet 5: West Brom/Barnsley @ 2.01 - WON 7-0
Bet 6: Arsenal/Chelsea @ 2.39 - LOST 1-1
Bet 7: Real Madrid/Seville @ 2.23 - WON 3-2
Bet 8: Tottenham/Everton @ 2.26 - WON 1-3
Bet 9: Spartak Moscow/Celtic @ 2.36 - LOST 1-1
Bet 10: FC Haka/Midtjylland @ 2.3 - WON 1-2
Bet 11: Metalurgs Liep/AIK @ 2.28 - WON 3-2
Bet 12: Portsmouth/Bolton @ 2.28 - WON 3-1
Bet 13: Blackpool/Bristol City @ 2.26 - LOST 1-1
Bet 14: Birmingham/West Ham @ 2.28 - LOST 0-1
Bet 15: West Ham/Wigan @ 2.24 - LOST 1-1
Bet 16: Everton/Blackburn @ 2.3 LOST 1-1
Bet 17: Shakhtar Dnk/Salzburg @ 2.14 WON 3-1
Bet 18: Slavia Prague/Ajax @ 2.08 WON 2-1
Bet 19: AC Milan/Seville @ 2.24 WON
Bet 20: Norway/Greece @ 2.54 WON 2-2
Bet 21: Finland/Poland @ 2.54 LOST 0-0
Bet 22: Charlton/Leicester @ 2.06 LOST 2-0
Bet 23: Fulham/Man City @ 2.48 WON 3-3
Bet 24: Blackburn/Birmingham @ 2.16 WON 3-0
Bet 25: Sunderland/Blackburn @ 2.32 WON 1-2
Bet 26: Celtic/Milan @ 2.48 WON 2-1
Bet 27: Besktas/Porto @ 2.6 LOST 0-1
Bet 28: PSV/Fenerbahce @ 2.2 LOST 0-0
Bet 29: Chester/Wycombe @ 2.41 WON 2-2
Bet 30: Blackburn/Liverpool @ 2.26 LOST 0-0
Bet 31: Carlisle/Leeds @ 2.24 WON 3-1
Bet 32: Northampton/Southend @ 2.12 LOST 0-1
Bet 33: Swindon/Doncaster @ 2.1 WON 1-2
Bet 34: West Ham/Bolton @ 2.42 LOST 1-0
Bet 31: Carlisle/Leeds @ 2.24 WON 3-1
Bet 32: Northampton/Southend @ 2.12 LOST 0-1
Bet 33: Swindon/Doncaster @ 2.1 WON 1-2
Bet 34: West Ham/Bolton @ 2.42 LOST 1-1
Bet 35: Scotland/Italy @ 2.66 WON 1-2
Bet 36: Ukraine/France @ 2.44 WON 2-2
Bet 37: Birmingham/Portsmouth @ 2.3 LOST 0-2
Bet 38: Man City/Reading @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 39: Fulham/Blackburn @ 2.22 WON 2-2
Bet 40: Man U/Sporting Lisbon @ 2.32 WON 2-1
Bet 41: Celtic/Shaktar @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 42: Blackburn/Villa @ 2.2 WON 0-4
Bet 43: Aston Villa/Arsenal @ 2.26 WON 1-2
Bet 44: Sunderland/Derby @ 2.22 LOST 1-0
Bet 45: Blackburn/Newcastle @ 2.12 WON 3-1
Bet 46: Wigan/Man City @ 2.26 LOST 1-1
Bet 47: AC Milan/Celtic @ 2.94 LOST 1-0
Bet 48: Newcastle/Arsenal @ 2.1 LOST 1-1
Bet 49: Anderlect/Tottenham @ 2.34 LOST 1-1
Bet 50: Norwich/Sheffield United @ 2.14 LOST 1-0
Bet 51: Newcastle/Birmingham @ 2.1 WON 2-1
Bet 52: Rangers/Lyon @ 2.3 WON 0-3
Bet 53: Wycombe/Morecambe 2.28 LOST 2-0
Bet 54: West Ham/Everton @ 2.32 LOST 0-2
Bet 55: Olympiakos/AEK Athens LOST 1-0
Bet 56: Atlanta/Palermo @ 2.06 WON 1-3
Bet 57: Siena/Napoli @ 2.28 LOST 1-1
Bet 58: Bordeaux/Marseille @ 2.38 WON 2-2
Bet 59: Blackburn/Arsenal @ 2.12 WON 2-2
Bet 60: Ajaccio/Niort @ 2.48 WON 2-1
Bet 61: Cardiff/Sheff United @ 2.2 LOST 1-0
Bet 62: Reading/Sunderland @ 2.08 WON 2-1
Bet 63: Boro/Birmingham @ 2.30 WON 3-0
Bet 64: Wigan/Newcastle @ 2.12 LOST 1-0
Bet 65: Portsmouth/Arsenal @ 2.16 LOST 0-0
Bet 66: Sheff Utd/C Palace @ 2.28 LOST 0-1
Bet 67: Bradford/Hereford @ 2.18 WON 1-3
Bet 68: Morecambe/Peterborough @ 2.1 WON 3-2
Bet 69: Oldham/Walsall @ 2.34 LOST 0-2
Bet 70: Macclesfield/Rochdale @ 2.18 WON 2-2
Bet 71: Plymouth/Stoke @ 2.16 WON 2-2
Bet 72: Wigan/Aston Villa @ 2.2 WON 1-2
Bet 73: Derby/Blackburn @ 2.52 WON 1-2
Bet 74: St Johnstone/Dundee @ 2.06 LOST 1-1
Bet 75: Newcastle/Man City @ 2.42 LOST 0-2
Bet 76: Burnley/Arsenal @ 2.8 LOST 0-2
Bet 77: Mansfield/Wycombe @ 2.28 WON 0-3
Bet 78: Zaragoza/Santander @ 2.22 LOST 1-1
Bet 79: Ath Bilbao/Espanyol @ 2.42 LOST 1-1
Bet 80: Barnsley/Norwich @ 2.1 WON 1-3
Bet 81: Brentford/Chesterfield @ 2.22 WON 2-1
Bet 82: Cheltenham/Bournemouth @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 83: Bolton/Blackburn @ 2.42 WON 1-2
Bet 84: Ath Madrid/Valencia @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 85: Nigeria/Ivory Coast 2.58 LOST 0-1
Bet 86: Mali/Benin @ 2.28 LOST 1-0
Bet 87: Shef Wed/Derby LOST 1-1
Bet 88: Bristol Rovers/Fulham @ 2.06 LOST 0-0
Bet 89: Hull/Coventry LOST 1-0
Bet 90: Sheff United/Watford LOST 1-1
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4
Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2

1st 30:

+8.49.
Average price: 2.26.
17 winners, 13 losers


2nd 30:

+7.43.
Average price: 2.28.
17 winners, 13 losers


3rd 30:

-4.24.
Average price: 2.24.
12 winners, 18 losers (losing streak of 7)


Overall: +17.71

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Replies: 165
By:
NonShy..
When: 12 Aug 08 21:26
anyone know a good bookie for placing multiples on these?

Thanks
By:
azza1989
When: 12 Aug 08 21:31
betfair of course
By:
NonShy..
When: 12 Aug 08 21:33
i can't find the goals market on the multiples.... just match odds

i managed it last season but just had a look and not there
By:
azza1989
When: 12 Aug 08 21:35
yes...just match odds for now

over/under 2.5 is normally available closer to the match like a few hours before
By:
NonShy..
When: 17 Aug 08 23:07
backed west ham game this week but not including it as didn't post before kick off.

next weekend: b/burn v hull... stoke v villa... tot v sund... fulham arsenal

will research later in week and see what prices are kicking about before make final decisions
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 18 Aug 08 11:34
NONshy, what bank did you start off with for the above? or are u paper trading it?

I see you have made about 17pts profit or so, just wandered if it was £10 per point or something like that?
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 18 Aug 08 11:36
You should of tried the 11.22.33 system with this as i see you have never lost more than 5 bets in a row
By:
NonShy..
When: 18 Aug 08 17:49
I lost 7 in a row at one point!!

Bet 84 to 90.
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 18 Aug 08 18:10
Oops, sorry i missed that!
By:
NonShy..
When: 22 Aug 08 09:16
Bet 98: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14
By:
NonShy..
When: 22 Aug 08 11:07
Bet 98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 (inplay 5mins gone)
By:
NonShy..
When: 22 Aug 08 12:54
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4

Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2
Bet98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 WON 0-3


Overall: +18.83

From Bet 91: 4.86
By:
NonShy..
When: 22 Aug 08 22:36
Bet 99: Stoke/Villa @ 2.06
Bet 100: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14
By:
NonShy..
When: 23 Aug 08 12:18
Bet 101: Blackburn/Hull @ 2.12
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 23 Aug 08 12:20
WBA v Everton looks really good at 2.36 Nonshy, alot of people are talking unders here but i fancy a few goals today!
By:
SHAPESHIFTER
When: 23 Aug 08 12:25
The One That Got Away, thought the same thing but injuries on both sides making it look like it's the "first week" for both squads again.

Blackburn; think that will finish 2-0 blackburn

Best of luck with the thread over the nine months.
By:
NonShy..
When: 23 Aug 08 18:29
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4
Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2
Bet98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 WON 0-3
Bet 99: Stoke/Villa @ 2.06 WON 3-2
Bet 100: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14 LOST 1-0
Bet 101: Blackburn/Hull @ 2.12 LOST 1-1

Overall: +17.89

From Bet 91: 3.92
By:
NonShy..
When: 23 Aug 08 18:30
WBA/Everton game would have been a good bet but thought it would be a 0-1... never mind, small loss for today
By:
NonShy..
When: 23 Aug 08 20:36
Bet 102: Man City/West Ham @ 2.4

Great price... Citeh are a different outfit this year... Not as defensive as last season and against a West Ham side who have scored plenty recently and rarely kept a clean sheet (one in last 8 against Peterborough) and they haven't failed to score a goal in last 8 games (18 goals in 8 games)

City took a hammering from Villa last week but still managed to score 2 goals... they have kept two clean sheets in last 8 and failed to score once.

Man City/West Ham games are notorius for being low scoring affairs... the last six games have ALL been unders... SIX goals in total!!

Now you may think I am mad after that statistic but I feel Citeh under Hughes will be more attacking and have completely different tactics to Sven's side.

West Ham's Ferdinand won't be playing... Ashton and Cole up front with a hopeful return of Scott Parker.

Dunne is missing for City as well as Jo and Bojinov...

The price IMO is simply too big... I feel both sides will score and think West Ham may get the win 2-1
By:
NonShy..
When: 25 Aug 08 13:15
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4
Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2
Bet98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 WON 0-3
Bet 99: Stoke/Villa @ 2.06 WON 3-2
Bet 100: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14 LOST 1-0
Bet 101: Blackburn/Hull @ 2.12 LOST 1-1
Bet 102: Man City/West Ham @ 2.4 WON 3-0

Overall: +19.29

From Bet 91: +5.32
By:
NonShy..
When: 25 Aug 08 13:53
Bet 103: Portsmouth/Man United @ 2.32
By:
NonShy..
When: 26 Aug 08 18:10
bet 104 coventry/newc @ 2.2
By:
NonShy..
When: 26 Aug 08 18:11
bet 105: crewe/bristol city @ 2.1
By:
NonShy..
When: 26 Aug 08 18:13
bet 106: southampton/birmingham @ 2.06
By:
NonShy..
When: 26 Aug 08 21:43
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4
Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2
Bet 98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 WON 0-3
Bet 99: Stoke/Villa @ 2.06 WON 3-2
Bet 100: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14 LOST 1-0
Bet 101: Blackburn/Hull @ 2.12 LOST 1-1
Bet 102: Man City/West Ham @ 2.4 WON 3-0
Bet 103: Portsmouth/Man United @ 2.32 LOST 0-1
Bet 104 coventry/newc @ 2.2 WON 2-2
Bet 105: crewe/bristol city @ 2.1 WON 2-1
Bet 106: southampton/birmingham @ 2.06 LOST 2-0

Overall: +19.59

From Bet 91: +5.62
By:
Opportunity Knocks
When: 26 Aug 08 22:11
Are each of your units/stakes quite large for each bet? If you're returning a 17 point profit over a season, then surely you'd have to be staking fairly large to make it worthwhile/profitable?
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 11:01
I started off with £25 (£250 bank) when at uni before posted this thread then increased to £50 (£500 bank)

I have just graduated so looking for full time work... when i have a full time wage i will increase again but at the moment keeping within my means.

It is all relative I suppose

Notts Forest/Sunderland is a nice price at 2.2... will have a look this afternoon when back from golf
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 11:04
Olympiacos v Anorthosis is a ridiculous price for unders BTW...

2/1!

Olympiacos need to win 3-0 or better... Anorthosis won't be attacking and hoping to hold out
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 19:06
forest sund

hudd sheff united

tonight
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 21:41
Bet 91: Egypt/Angola @ 2.2 WON 2-1
Bet 92: Ivory Coast/Egypt @ 2.12 WON 1-4
Bet 93: Everton/Reading @ 2.1 LOST 1-0
Bet 94: Coventry/Cardiff @ 2.08 LOST 0-0
Bet 95: Colchester/Preston @ 2.14 WON 2-1
Bet 96: Slavia Prague/Tottenham @ 2.14 WON 1-2
Bet 97: Fenerbahce/Sevilla @ 2.14 WON 3-2
Bet 98: Belgium/Brazil @ 2.12 WON 0-3
Bet 99: Stoke/Villa @ 2.06 WON 3-2
Bet 100: Fulham/Arsenal @ 2.14 LOST 1-0
Bet 101: Blackburn/Hull @ 2.12 LOST 1-1
Bet 102: Man City/West Ham @ 2.4 WON 3-0
Bet 103: Portsmouth/Man United @ 2.32 LOST 0-1
Bet 104: Coventry/Newcastle @ 2.2 WON 2-2
Bet 105: Crewe/Bristol City @ 2.1 WON 2-1
Bet 106: Southampton/Birmingham @ 2.06 LOST 2-0
Bet 107: Nottingham Forest/Sunderland @ 2.2 LOST 1-1
Bet 108: Huddersfield/Sheffield United @ 2.12 WON 1-2

Overall: +19.71

From Bet 91: +5.74


Quite profitable night after spotting Olympiacos game offering unders at better than 2/1 and Anorthosis to qualify at 1.59 after winning first leg 3-0!!!
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 27 Aug 08 21:45
Well done nonshy, ever thought of martingale your selections, i see you could of profited very well from this method also?!
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 22:04
thanks TOTGA... i did go through a run of 7 losers so that would have been expensive. I have been having a quick look at your thread and some very good consistent selections there!!

there was another guy who claimed he would never pick 8 losing "over" bets in a row and cost him a few thousand... can't remember his name!

i do think there is something I could do with staking system to improve returns
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 27 Aug 08 22:09
Hi Nonshy, yeah ive looked at martingaling overs/unders before and made about 50 selections and the worst i got was 4 losers on the bounce, i realise that 50 is nowhere near enough to make a fair consumption to see if it can continue!

Ive also looked at Baseball, laying teams that are odds against in poor recent form and have a weaker pitcher, so far over about 32 nights of betting i have never lost all 3 martingale bets on the bounce, not a bad way to achieve some extra profit if laying to achieve say £25 per match??

Also, the Financial markets is a good way of getting good lays for even shots, i suppose i have been looking alot at laying (martingale), guess there is always the chance you could lose but maybe if i had a cut-off of say three bets then it should be easy to achieve profit over a period of time?
By:
The One That Got Away
When: 27 Aug 08 22:30
Hey Nonshy, was wondering if i could join you on this thread and just kp track of a martingale system im goin to use for overs/unders, promise not to clof up too much of the thread though?!
By:
NonShy..
When: 27 Aug 08 22:44
feel free mate... be nice to see some other selections and bets up instead of my own drivel all the time!!
By:
mary_mungo_midge
When: 28 Aug 08 11:21
Afternoon NonShy,

Could I be so rude as to join in the thread and post my bets?

I used to back overs a few years back and did ok, I have been following the thread and like the fact that you keep your discipline and that there is thought behind your selections.

GL
By:
mary_mungo_midge
When: 28 Aug 08 12:07
Ok..I have to go out now so I will post a selection.

Midtjylland v Man City, hopefully Jo will start and I can't see either side keeping a clean sheet.

Bet1) Midtjylland v Man City over 2.5 @ 2.16
By:
NonShy..
When: 28 Aug 08 12:19
Yeah no problem mate... will be interesting to see how people get on and what selections people opt for!

Today though have gone for the same as yourself... Midtjylland/Man City game. The first leg Mid should have scored more than one and feel they will score tonight. Man City impressed on Sunday and feel they will also score... as well as the fact they actually have to in order to progress... 2-1 Man City I fancy.

Also backed Cherno More v Maccabi Netanya... both teams are very capable of scoring goals and with the game balanced at 1-1 feel it could be won by either side... always the worry though that these games are cagey affairs and both side looking for a 1-0 but at the price will take the risk.

Bet 109: Midtjylland/Man City @ 2.1
Bet 110: Cherno More/Maccabi Netanya @ 2.34
By:
NonShy..
When: 28 Aug 08 12:20
York/Torquay is a great bet for unders or even 0-0
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