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Owen1981
29 Dec 09 09:43
Joined:
Date Joined: 09 Oct 07
| Topic/replies: 344 | Blogger: Owen1981's blog
going to do a £10 to £2321 challange on my blog http://2betsaday.blogspot.com/ follow along or comment,I will put updates here as well but mainly will be on my blog - here is the gist of it, whats your thoughts...?

Ok , so a couple of days ago I said that I was going to try a new system and here it is. Using compound interest I aim to turn £10 into £2321 in 60 bets over 30 days. It is quite a simple system where I put my entire bank on a 1.1 (1/10) bet and repeat the process. I have made a balance table shown below to show the progress over the days. Without the betfair commission this figure would be £3044 but as there are more markets/liquidity and generally better odds at betfair I will stick to the site. The table is from an excel file I created where the initial stake/odds and bets numbers can be changed and new results are shown using calculations and excel sums. If you would like the excel file for your own personal use send me a comment on the blog and I will send it to you. I will still post 2 bets a day but they will either be smaller odds such as 1.1 or trades where i will advise to back at a higher price and lay at a lower price maybe with a different stake so the bet is hedged and the same amount of money is returned whatever the result, this is particularly good in in play horse racing. At first there is not much risk as I am only risking my initial stake of £10 and it is not until bet 26 that I have exceeded £100, anyway lets see how it goes

I will have a look at todays markets and post my first 2 bets shortly

initial stake odds Bets Result without commission

10 1.1 60 3044.82

Results table with 5% commission

10 1.1 60 2321.48

for full day by day profit table visit the blog :D
Pause Switch to Standard View £10 to £2321 in 60 1.1 bets
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Report ChrisWidge December 29, 2009 9:48 AM GMT
Good luck, but I hope you can keep your nerve when the money gets bigger, unless your a degenerate and don't care. ;)
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 10:12 AM GMT
ok, here are the first 2 bets for this challange

Bet 1 - Leop - 2pm - BACK Solwhit £10 odds 2.18 with an in race LAY at 1.96 for £11.10

Bet 2 - Newb - 2.30pm - LAY Big Bucks £11 liability odds 1.5 with in race BACK at 1.59 for £20.80
Report Five By Five December 29, 2009 10:35 AM GMT
you wont pay over £700 commission on profits of £3k.
Report Five By Five December 29, 2009 10:41 AM GMT
nevermind your taking commission off per bet so less to roll over.. stupid forum wouldnt let me post.
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 11:11 AM GMT
sorry , big bucks is at 2.40pm newb
Report stevies5_mufc December 29, 2009 11:12 AM GMT
best of luck mate, i know NOTHING about horses but ill follow this with interest :) love these sorts of threads, tried them before myself on football... never worked LOL
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 11:20 AM GMT
thanks mate, just a bit of fun and at least you know, I don't know a huge amount about horses compared to a lot on the horse forum but I think the inplay odds will go just enough ticks over than what i need to make a good trade, I think in play footy would be good as well but i will try and put my bets up in the morning

you are only risking a tenner and then rest is a bonus, thought this would be a good place to post updates rather than the horsey/footy forum, there is another post i have seen on here that i will follow with interest - supernappy £20 - over 100k, I saw a really good blog a couple of years ago where the guy went from 1k to 100k in a year but didn't post his bets as he was trading on each horse race and hedging before the race started, :D
Report NAGS TO RICHES December 29, 2009 1:44 PM GMT
il try a tenner for fun with you just to see how long i can last
Report NAGS TO RICHES December 29, 2009 1:57 PM GMT
each time (if) i can double my stake i will bank 25% and continue with the remaining 75% until that is doubled and so on.

cant see bolton v hul producing too many goals so the 1st bet is at 1.33 - under 3.5 goals
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 3:52 PM GMT
a good start with Solwhit and Big bucks winning and and respective lay/back bets getting matched making 20% profit today
Report supernani December 29, 2009 3:58 PM GMT
gl owen
Report altobelli December 29, 2009 4:14 PM GMT
Do many punters on here do these 1.10+ bets?? I would think pre event trading would be the best way to make it work at those prices.
Report Video_Lounge December 29, 2009 4:29 PM GMT
A fan of these threads.

The very best of luck mate

:D
Report chemical_spill December 29, 2009 4:45 PM GMT
tricky but good fun

gl
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 6:00 PM GMT
thanks for the support, bit friendlier around here than the footy forum where everyone with a different opinion gets called a Mug :)

if you stop by the blog don't be shy about giving the ads a couple of clicks please, i have been posting some good tips of late and the ad revenue while not much can help towards these kind of challenges,


onwards and upwards :)
Report Owen1981 December 29, 2009 7:19 PM GMT
Day 1 results

bet 1 - Solwhit 2pm Leop 29/12/09 - £10 BACK 2.18 - £11.10 LAY 1.96 - NEW BANK- £11.08
bet 2 - Big Bucks 2.40pm Newb 29/12/09 - £22 LAY 1.50 (£11 liability) BACK £20.80 1.59 NEW BANK £12.29
Report Marsh Warbler December 29, 2009 8:54 PM GMT
Hope you don't mind if i can stick my bets in here, will mostly be shorties(all sorts of sports) and see how far i can get..ALL IN

Starting Bank: £9:13

Bet 1:
Fixtures 29 December / Bolton v Hull / Match Odds
The Draw Back 9768132567 29-Dec-09
21:43 1.41 9.13 1.45 29-Dec-09 21:43

New Bank: £13.03
Report Marsh Warbler December 30, 2009 8:59 AM GMT
Bet 2:
Market Selection Type Bet ID Bet
placed Persistence Odds
req. Stake
(£) Cancel ?

GB / Taun 30th Dec / 13:10 To Be Placed Tito Bustillo Back 9769163153 30-Dec-09
09:57 K 1.17 13.03
(Currently 1.15 but left it ir for 1.17..should get matched pre-race)
Report Owen1981 December 30, 2009 9:44 AM GMT
bet 3 - 12.50 Ling 30/12/09 - LAY Tenacestream £13.40 1.96 in Running BACK £12 2.2

bet 4 14.30 Ling 30/12/09 -BACK Rockys Pride £13 2.26 LAY in Running 2.02 £14.50
Report Owen1981 December 30, 2009 11:54 AM GMT
Huge fall in odds before the off for Tenacestream from evens to 1.38 before the off, I got out at 1.7 and will take a small loss and look at another bet as some one knows something with that fall in odds


did not win in the end so my bet would have been ok but did not want to risk it with such a drop in odds, ended up losing £2.63 on that race, will post another bet to make up the loss
Report Owen1981 December 30, 2009 11:57 AM GMT
laying obe gold for £3 at 4.2 in the 13.20 to get back that losing hedge in the 12.50
Report Marsh Warbler December 30, 2009 12:26 PM GMT
Bet 2: Won(only needed it to be placed)

Bank now: £15.14

ul owen, on the lay!
Report Owen1981 December 30, 2009 12:26 PM GMT
yeah, never mind, should not have been chasing really, lesson learnt and will start again hehe
Report Owen1981 December 30, 2009 12:35 PM GMT
lumped on shillong at 82mins into the game at 1.3 so got that back
Report Owen1981 December 31, 2009 9:38 AM GMT
Yesterdays bets would have both won had I not wanted to hedge a small loss on the 1st race because of the massive drop in odds before the off, add to this my rash decision of making up that loss in the next race by laying the winner I think I need to tweak this system and be more disciplined.

So, starting the 2nd Jan I will bet of 25% of bank - which will start at £20- on odds no higher than 1.1 . This is similar to the system I started but tweaked here so that I am not risking everything on each bet. The compound interest will be slower to build up but it provides a fall back should 1 bet fails.

what do you guys think of the tweaked system..? Not as fun as the other but less risk
Report De La Hoya December 31, 2009 11:25 AM GMT
Owen, I don't think horses are the way to go here.

I used to do something similar with horses before and the odds are just unreadable, even with so called trading software.

I've since done it on football and been much more successful but bets have to be in running really such as betting on goals.
Report Owen1981 January 1, 2010 3:25 PM GMT
yes I agree, will put the 25% of bank on 1 goal or more markets which are usually are around 1.07 - 1.1
Report Owen1981 January 1, 2010 4:44 PM GMT
Doing a value challenge (odds over evens) and higher % lower odds challenge, see the blog for more details

http://2betsaday.blogspot.com/

just for fun, lets see how this goes, gl

Bet 1 - Value Bet - starting bank 100 points

Fulham/Everton/Chelsea/Man U to win - 4 fold odds 2.2 - 2% of bank

(Chelsea and Man U play on Sunday)



Bet 2 - Larger % smaller odds - £20 start bank - 25% of bank on each bet

Reading v Liverpool - 1 goal or more - odds 1.06 - stake £5
Report Owen1981 January 2, 2010 6:49 PM GMT
Bet 2 - Larger % smaller odds - £20 start bank - 25% of bank on each bet

1 goal or more liverpool v reading game won

New bank - £20.29
Report Owen1981 January 2, 2010 9:55 PM GMT
will just put the smaller odds bets on here with 25% of bank - the over evens challenge is on the blog,


Bet 2 - West Ham v Arsenal - 1 goal or more £5 at 1.06
Report Owen1981 January 5, 2010 12:51 AM GMT
bet 3 - £5 1 goal or more Aston Villa v Blackburn - odds 1.09
Report Owen1981 January 6, 2010 10:18 AM GMT
villa game called off, new bet 3

Bet 3-chievo v inter - 1 goal or more 1.1 £5
Report Owen1981 January 6, 2010 11:03 AM GMT
bet 3 won - new bank £21.06
Report Owen1981 January 7, 2010 8:35 AM GMT
bet 4 - £5 at 1.09 Sthl 13.40 Lord Victor to place
Report ibrox January 7, 2010 9:23 AM GMT
whats the donate button for on your blog,is it some charity your involved in m8
Report Owen1981 January 7, 2010 11:06 AM GMT
was just seeing what apps and widgets you can get for the blog, i'd rather people click the advert links though and give any money to charity rather than me
Report Owen1981 January 7, 2010 2:34 PM GMT
bet 4 won new bank £21.49
Report ibrox January 7, 2010 4:45 PM GMT
why would anybody give you money,i dont understand
Report Owen1981 January 8, 2010 11:14 AM GMT
bet 5 - Ling 12.30 LAY Steel City Boy odds 13.5 - £5 liability to win 40p
Report Owen1981 January 9, 2010 8:58 AM GMT
bet 5 won - new bank £21.86

bet 6- Lay Birmingham odds 6.8 - £4.64 liability to win 76p
Report Owen1981 January 10, 2010 12:46 PM GMT
bet 6 won - new bank £22.65

bet 7 - lay Hamilton v Rangers(now in play currently 3-3) layed at odds of 8.4 with £7.40 liability to win £1
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