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no problem....good luck.
...although luck not really a factor....just sound maths and avoiding Greed.....yep. |
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I would love to spend a day getting tuition from a trader. Have so many questions. I usually back football and do ok but would love to capture the horses
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diversion to the mean
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regression
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back to lay i/r every fav today,small stakes just for the crack.
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One of the problems wiyh BF is that it constantly evolves and moves on so what works today may not work in 6 months time. Whatever method you try you are up against some very clever people, very clever technology and of course commission.
It always will come down to having an edge and if you've got an edge you dont broadcast it because once you do you no longer have an edge. |
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i know this system isnt bulet proof but about 2 weeks ago i placed £1000 on betfair woke up about 7 o clock got the racing post went through every race writing the current prices by the horses name. Then come race time went back to the paper and looked at the difference in the market and if something drifted maybe 4 or 5 points i looked at the form of it and if thought it was worth it id lay it for £10 to be honest because im a novice was most races but in the whole week i layed 2 winners and more than doubled my money. I know people my say i was reckless and lucky and i probably was im of the oppinioun that money talks in racing more than it does in any other sport. In my head ive writen off the £1000 that i deposited ive now got £2000 in my acount and what ever i win daily now i withdraw like i say i now its not bullet proof but man im having fun while learning a few leasons any advise would be appreacated.good luck to all thank you
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hi iknownothing
did you have a limit on the odds you would lay at. what made you decide it was worth laying cheers |
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Thats sounds good. It def worth a go.
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i took a few chances at 1 point i layed at 20 for £10 and my liability was obviously £200 but in the morning it was 8.6 and the horse was unplaced 4 times on the heavy and i doubted it would stay 3 miles witch on the ground looked like 3 and a half miles the horse is still running now so that turned out to be a good investment but it was very riskey.So to answer your question no i dont fear the prices things drift for a reason.I wish you all the best and have a happy and profitable new year.Good luck
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Why not post our selections here and continue the thread
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i would mate but i trade in almost every race and it would take forever to do.One thing i will say say to you mate is follow it with no money to see how you do and once youve got the confidence then attack. But the most important thing trust yourself and just as important dont lose your head when things go against you because they will a profit is a profit at the end of the day not half way through the reason i say this because last monday after 12 races i was £120 up and i layed a 10/1 winner so id lost £100 of my money and i wanted to start backing to get my money back. So i turned the computer off for half an hour palyed football with my son cleared my head then went again with the same idea and showed a profit of £90 that day and that was my profit i forgot about he £120 half way through the day
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Thats excellent advice. I would not be one to chase to be honest. Im working in ten euro stakes at present
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How is it going for everyone to-day.
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HAYDEN knows his stuff - ave a Happy and Successful year everywon :)
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Best wishes to and yours,Ivor :)
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Had a good day. Made seven points to level stakes. Altough was lucky as i would have lost five in the last at lingfield. Had layed the horse in second who nearly got up. Laying Mr. Thriller also helped. Anyway happy new year to everyone
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where is this hayden thred plz
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