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doubleagent,
So you think that sports markets that attract a lot of money are almost perfectly efficient? Absolutely not the case. I make my living from betting almost exclusively on top flight football (EPL, Serie A, Spanish Primera Division, etc). The greater the volume, the better as far as I'm concerned. |
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Good luck to you mate well done.I just feel that sports with such high exposure you are betting against a lot of guys that really know their stuff.Pickings must be slim.Profit over a year must depend on being 1/2% more accurate than thousands of others!
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Yeah but you're also betting against thousands of folk who don't have a clue and who only come on betfair for the big EPL games...
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Don't really agree with you Rocket.Let's face it it's two teams against each other with fully exposed form.Where are the secrets? There's easier things to bet on.
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The Betfairy 29 Dec 09:47
Plechy, an excellent read, thanks for posting. Just a few of points from me: Finally: don't fall into the trap of thinking that successful betting is only about statistical analysis and pricing; there are other ways. I'm a great believer in "gut feeling", or in-depth working knowledge. Detailed knowledge presents opportunities which statistics never even see. I totally agree with this. This 'edge' that people speak of, does not neccesarily mean research about teams on the day. I believe that my 'edge' is ME. But it took years of hard work and study and practice to gain that edge. As Betfairy says, I can now spot things during and before a match which I would never have noticed when I first started on BF. It doesn't gurantee success but with the usual discipline, good strategy etc, it can make you profitable. |
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in play football markets often have value odds available, even more so in the less liquid games where people are desperate to close positions at the first available price offered after a goal/sending off
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