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7.00 pm ..Zips got a Taxi booked .. taking my family too our fav eating place ... good night god bless .
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or are u both just a couple of 2 yar olds?, from wot ive read of both of your postings, u both do ok, so y not just sgree 2 disagree?
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ive had some sucess recently backing shorteners beore they shorten
if the market is most efficent at the close and these prices are related to probability i am fairly confident that by backing horses at bigger than betfair SP my success will continue |
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I'll give you a hint.
On the other thread, I lay shorteners that fall well below 10 ticks. From my stats you cannot predict the shorteners, but you can improve your odds of predicting them. All shorteners are not value, the biggest percentage shorteners are, if you get in early enough. Historically backing shorteners from say 9/1 to 7/1 is not profitable, even if you get 9/1. However, backing a shortener from $2.70 to $2.30 is, but only if you can get on at $2.60 or better. Look for well fancied shorteners and get on the moment a sniff of a move is presented in the ring. Some will rebound, some will go back up higher, but enough will plummet to provide a decent return. Where there is smoke there is fire as a rule, but where there is no smoke, the odds of a fire are massively reduced. Yarra Valley (Aus) Race 3. Czarpussy $4.00 $5.50 $3.80 $3.60 - matched @ $5.50 WON Gavans Gift $2.70 $2.70 $2.40 $2.50 - matched @ $2.75 average odds LOST Too easy. :D |
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The signal is the third fluctuation of both horses.
Amazingly, the price went up on the exchange on both horses, while the ring price kept falling. |