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Lusitano71
06 Nov 09 11:39
Joined:
Date Joined: 28 Oct 07
| Topic/replies: 6,288 | Blogger: Lusitano71's blog
Well i'll give it a go, the only difference from schalke (i think) is that i wont place a bet and let it die there, i'll trade out when i feel like it, i can enter @1.15 and trade out @1.10

i´ll start with €10 and have no daily profit minimum or maximum and no from/to objective

i must say that in October i made from €10 to €400+ just betting unders/overs but risking a lot more (in theory ;) ) than this

I cant say i'm very sure of the outcome of this but why not give it a try

wish me luck
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Report crediter November 6, 2009 12:03 PM GMT
yep always interesting...goo luck m8.
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 12:07 PM GMT
thx m8
Report GASHWAN November 6, 2009 12:12 PM GMT
lol
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 12:21 PM GMT
GASHWAN you're one class act aren't you
Report Mully November 6, 2009 12:35 PM GMT
What about .16's?
Report 1.01 Layer November 6, 2009 12:35 PM GMT
I'll be waiting ;-)

GL, mate.
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 12:43 PM GMT
look Mully i´m only doing this tbh as a fun thing, seriuosly doubt it'll ever get anywhere but on the other hand i normally only bet on football and most of the time on the unders/overs markets, with this i might start betting other markets and other sports, so no worries

if by any chance this builds up into something, great i'll take it
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 1:34 PM GMT
bet#1 Soccer / Lokomotiv Mezdra v Montana : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 12:30 06-Nov-09 14:19 0.48
(in@1.07/out@1.02)
bet#2 Soccer / Lokomotiv Mezdra v Montana : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 12:30 06-Nov-09 14:19 0.69
(in@1.07/--------)

Bank: €11.17
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 1:49 PM GMT
if by any chance anyone is curious about my 10€ to 400€ last month here is the thread title

" from €12.69 to "whatever" but "most" prob 0 :) "
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 2:57 PM GMT
bet#3Football / Pandurii v Gloria Bistrita : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 14:00 06-Nov-09 15:51 0.86
(in@1.10/out@1.02)
bet#4Football / Pandurii v Gloria Bistrita : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 14:00 06-Nov-09 15:51 0.53
(in@1.06/out@1.01)
bet#5Football / Pandurii v Gloria Bistrita : Over/Under 2.5 goals 06-Nov-09 14:00 06-Nov-09 15:51 0.64
(in@1.06/--------)

Bank: €13.21
Report GASHWAN November 6, 2009 3:19 PM GMT
please take this to another forum FFS
Report I.quit.my.job November 6, 2009 3:32 PM GMT
thats 30% profit in a day............can u do the same with £150 or better still £300 bank EVERY DAY forever? If you can you will be Lusitano Magnifico....................forget about compounding to millionaire...........there is only so much you can put in the markets........aim for £50 a day..........sounds simple, makes me wanna start trading again..........nah better not - I'l blow the bank on Trap1 just because a price went against me
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 3:34 PM GMT
go and see a doctor you sorry excuse of a man

go and infect some other place with your miserable existence
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 3:35 PM GMT
^^^^aimed at GASHWAN^^^^
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 3:41 PM GMT
I.quit.my.job

i guess we will see

im not claiming that i will do it but im sure going to try, you never know

this could be over on the next bet

And yes i've there before, i know when stakes get higher the decision process always gets more complicated
Report paddys revenge November 6, 2009 3:54 PM GMT
GASHWAN...if you dont want to read it, then dont....
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 5:46 PM GMT
bet#6Football / Odra Wodzislaw v Zaglebie Lubin : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 16:45 06-Nov-09 18:38 1.88
(in@1.15/--------)

Bank: €15.09

*close call this one was stuck in it since minute 9 right before 1st goal :)
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 8:09 PM GMT
bet#7 Soccer / Wisla Krakow v Legia Warsaw : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 19:00 06-Nov-09 21:04 2.01
(in@1.15/out@1.01)
bet#8 Soccer / Wisla Krakow v Legia Warsaw : Over/Under 2.5 goals 06-Nov-09 19:00 06-Nov-09 21:03 0.56
(in@1.05/out@1.01)

Bank: €17.66
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 8:26 PM GMT
bet#9 Football / Leverkusen v Frankfurt : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 19:30 06-Nov-09 21:21 0.50
(in@1.03/--------)

Bank: €18.16
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 8:49 PM GMT
bet#10 Football / Derby v Coventry : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 19:45 06-Nov-09 21:46 0.52
(in@1.05/out@1.02)

Bank: €18.68
Report terry27 November 6, 2009 9:03 PM GMT
Go for it Lusitano71 at least your being realistic, I wish you the very best of luck.
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 9:22 PM GMT
thx m8
Report Lusitano71 November 6, 2009 9:25 PM GMT
bet#11 Football / Belenenses v Pacos Ferreira : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 20:15 06-Nov-09 22:09 1.42
(in@1.09/out@1.01)
bet#12 Football / Belenenses v Pacos Ferreira : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 20:15 06-Nov-09 22:09 1.01
(in@1.14/out@1.08)

Bank: €21.11
Report stevies5_mufc November 6, 2009 11:11 PM GMT
good luck mate, will keep having a look back now and again in here to see how your doing :)
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 12:00 AM GMT
thx stevies

bet#13 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Ipatinga : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 23:00 07-Nov-09 00:55 1.21
(in@1.14/out@1.08)
bet#14 Soccer / Sao Caetano v Ipatinga : Over/Under 2.5 goals 06-Nov-09 23:00 07-Nov-09 00:55 1.21
(in@1.13/out@1.07)

Bank: €23.53
Report sidewinder November 7, 2009 9:54 AM GMT
can anyone help me with the name of the programme used for automated betting, say for example i want to back the first horse that trades at 1.15 in running . thanx
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:01 AM GMT
sorry sidewinder cant help you

dont use any programme and dont bet horses :)

open a topic, im sure you'll get an answer
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:59 AM GMT
ok been doing this for 1 day and already have to change my previous rules because im seeing a lot of opportunaties lost because of the 1.15 limit so...

New upper limit 1.20 (so that i can accommodate de "1 or more goals" from time to time)
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 11:06 AM GMT
bet#15 Soccer / Al-Ittihad v Pohang Steelers : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 10:00 07-Nov-09 11:52 0.67
(in@1.06/out@1.03)
bet#16 Soccer / Al-Ittihad v Pohang Steelers : Total Goals 07-Nov-09 10:00 07-Nov-09 11:52 4.25
(in@1.19/--------)

Bank: €28.45
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 1:11 PM GMT
bet#17 Football / FSV Frankfurt v Bielefeld : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:00 07-Nov-09 13:52 1.36
(in@1.17/out@1.12)
bet#18 Football / FSV Frankfurt v Bielefeld : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 12:00 07-Nov-09 13:52 1.36
(in@1.19/out@1.14)
bet#19 Football / FSV Frankfurt v Bielefeld : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:00 07-Nov-09 13:52 1.98
(in@1.20/out@1.15)&(in@1.04/out@1.01)

Bank: €33.15
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 3:10 PM GMT
£50.

1. AUSSIE R/U £50 @ 1.03
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 3:19 PM GMT
2. aston villa i/p 51-43 @ 1.04
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 4:01 PM GMT
bet#20 Football / B Munich v Schalke : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 14:30 07-Nov-09 16:22 1.26
(in@1.11/out@1.04)

bet#21 Football / Aris Thes. v Kavala : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 14:45 07-Nov-09 16:44 2.21
(in@1.11/out@1.07)

Bank: €36.62
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 4:03 PM GMT
come on guernseyw lets go for it ;)
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 4:09 PM GMT
;)
3 . federer i/p 53-39 @ 1.07
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 5:00 PM GMT
bet#22 Soccer / Silkeborg v OB Odense : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 16:00 07-Nov-09 17:55 2.79
(in@1.08/--------)

Bank: €39.41
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 5:08 PM GMT
just got it on in time

4. arsenal i/p 56-94 @ 1.19
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 5:10 PM GMT
Arsenal Back 9390027839 07-Nov-09
18:07 1.19 56.94 1.19 07-Nov-09 18:07
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 5:14 PM GMT
nice one, good timming :^0
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 5:26 PM GMT
bet#23 Football / Lombard Papa v Ferencvaros : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 16:30 07-Nov-09 18:22 3.75
(in@1.17/out@1.07)

Bank: €43.16
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 5:27 PM GMT
traded out arsenal @ 1.01

5. N Zealand to beat wales i/p 56-94 @ 1.19
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 5:55 PM GMT
traded out N.Z @ 1.04
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 6:04 PM GMT
bet#24 Football / Getafe v Deportivo : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 17:00 07-Nov-09 18:59 2.25
(in@1.09/out@1.03) (stake was still €39.41)

Bank: €45.41
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 6:15 PM GMT
6. Barca i/p 65-25 @ 1.08
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 6:31 PM GMT
6. Barca i/p 65-25 @ 1.08

added arsenal winnings

barca i/p 74-50 @ 1.11av
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 6:46 PM GMT
bet#25 Football / Vitesse v VVV : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 17:45 07-Nov-09 19:39 4.75
(in@1.20/out@1.09)

Bank: €50.16
Report guernseyw November 7, 2009 7:00 PM GMT
out of bet 6 for a 5-23 all green

off out to watch the boxing then into work

good luck with the rest of the night m8y



new balance £80-23
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 7:04 PM GMT
well done

see you m8
Report I.quit.my.job November 7, 2009 8:00 PM GMT
are you watching these games?
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 8:05 PM GMT
no, i never watch any game
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 8:07 PM GMT
only watch the big games, like final stages of CL and Uefa cup

and my own club and country games
Report JAILER November 7, 2009 8:27 PM GMT
Lusitano71 07 Nov 11:59
ok been doing this for 1 day and already have to change my previous rules because im seeing a lot of opportunaties lost because of the 1.15 limit so...

New upper limit 1.20 (so that i can accommodate de "1 or more goals" from time to time)
================================================

Good move. Never limit yourself. If there's an opportunity to safely expand your parameters then why not.
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 8:43 PM GMT
yes JAILER but there's a fine line to this

i did it because late odds movement is just to slow

above 1.15 my exit point is much earlier with less exposure in terms of time, if i see that i need to go up again, i will

but im not only betting with the method of this thread, im still doing my normal betting with higher stakes at higher odds
Report JAILER November 7, 2009 8:59 PM GMT
There's always a fine line. The secret is that you know where it is and try not to cross it too often, or at all. Take your time though and keep your discipline.
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 9:16 PM GMT
thx JAILER thats what i try to do every day, keep greed and discipline always in check
Report paddys revenge November 7, 2009 9:23 PM GMT
wise words gents...good to see :-)
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:18 PM GMT
bet#26 Football / Guimaraes v Braga : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 21:15 07-Nov-09 23:11 2.15
(in@1.17/out@1.12)
bet#27 Football / Guimaraes v Braga : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 21:15 07-Nov-09 23:11 5.25
(in@1.12/out@1.01)

Bank: €57.56
Report brucemcc11 . November 7, 2009 10:20 PM GMT
Lusitano71, when do you back the under/over market before k/o, IR or near end of game?
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:28 PM GMT
almost never before KO, after that i dont have a fixed rule

what i do have is one plus year of always betting just unders and i get a feeling of things, also have my league stats always up to date and i never see the games because you start to see chances in every swing of the game and that has a tendency to paralise your bets

hope i answered your question
Report brucemcc11 . November 7, 2009 10:38 PM GMT
yes you have.

if 1 goal scored which market woud you go for or is this determined by the time left in the match.
Report buzzer November 7, 2009 10:41 PM GMT
what did you make from your previous thread Lus?
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:45 PM GMT
still alive buzzer ;)

800+


what you mean bruce, i have what??
Report brucemcc11 . November 7, 2009 10:47 PM GMT
answered my question.
have another though. only asking as this is what i do but last 5-10 mins of the games.

if 1 goal scored which market woud you go for or is this determined by the time left in the match.
Report buzzer November 7, 2009 10:47 PM GMT
well done, a nice return from a few euros
Report Lusitano71 November 7, 2009 10:55 PM GMT
thx buzzer


bruce
in this thread not one bet was made before KO all i/r

my normal betting style however i make before KO bets only in one situation, in the under1.5, it´s a very risky speculative type of bet that if no goals in the first 15 to 20 min gives you a all-green both ways bets pretty quickly, you first green on the under1.5 then wait a while and go slowly in packs for the over1.5
Report brucemcc11 . November 7, 2009 11:01 PM GMT
Thanks for the response and advice Lusitano7.
Good luck with the challenge i'll be following.
Report guernseyw November 8, 2009 7:42 AM GMT
bal £80-23

7. aussies to bt injuns £50 @ 1.13
Report guernseyw November 8, 2009 10:58 AM GMT
8. Celtic to bt Falkirk £86-41 @ 1.28

falkirk got a triple injury blow

and the bhoys will be looking for these 3pts going into
the international break to keep the heat up on the pack behind them
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 12:02 PM GMT
bet#28 Soccer / CSKA Moscow v Rubin Kazan : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 11:00 08-Nov-09 12:56 2.74
(in@1.09/out@1.04)

bet#29 Soccer / CSKA Moscow v Rubin Kazan : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 11:00 08-Nov-09 12:56 4.93
(in@1.13/out@1.04)

bet#30 Soccer / CSKA Moscow v Rubin Kazan : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Nov-09 11:00 08-Nov-09 12:56 2.74
(in@1.14/out@1.09)

Bank: €67.97
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 1:15 PM GMT
bet#31 Football / Molde v Aalesunds : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 12:15 08-Nov-09 14:10 3.06
(in@1.19;.18;.17/out@1.12)

Bank: €71.03
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 1:24 PM GMT
guernseyw

not one easy game

roller coaster :D
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 1:48 PM GMT
bet#32 Football / Cottbus v 1860 Munich : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Nov-09 12:30 08-Nov-09 14:24 3.27
(in@1.20/out@1.15)

Bank: €74.30
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 2:43 PM GMT
bet#33 Football / Hull v Stoke : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 13:30 08-Nov-09 15:27 6.34
(in@1.15/out@1.06)

Bank: €80.64
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 4:02 PM GMT
bet#34 Football / Wigan v Fulham : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 15:00 08-Nov-09 16:57 3.83
(in@1.10/out@1.05)

Bank: €84.47
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 5:03 PM GMT
bet#35 Soccer / Djurgardens v Assyriska : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 15:45 08-Nov-09 17:36 4.02
(in@1.08/out@1.03)
bet#36 Soccer / Gijon v Espanyol : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Nov-09 16:00 08-Nov-09 17:55 4.13
(in@1.10/out@1.05)

Bank: €92.62
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 5:25 PM GMT
bet#37 Football / W Bremen v Dortmund : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 16:30 08-Nov-09 18:22 5.29
(in@1.14/out@1.08)

Bank: €97.91
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 5:59 PM GMT
bet#38 Football / AAB v FC Kobenhavn : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Nov-09 17:00 08-Nov-09 18:54 3.73
(in@1.15/out@1.11)

Bank: €101.64
Report paddys revenge November 8, 2009 5:59 PM GMT
good day there lusitano :-)
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 6:11 PM GMT
yes paddys going good so far, havent had one single close call so far ;)
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 7:17 PM GMT
bet#39 Soccer / Maritimo v Porto : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 18:00 08-Nov-09 20:10 2.90
(in@1.05/out@1.02)
bet#40 Soccer / Maritimo v Porto : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 08-Nov-09 18:00 08-Nov-09 20:10 3.86
(in@1.08/out@1.04)
bet#41 Soccer / Maritimo v Porto : Over/Under 2.5 goals 08-Nov-09 18:00 08-Nov-09 20:10 5.81
(in@1.15/out@1.09)

Bank: €114.21
Report stevies5_mufc November 8, 2009 7:43 PM GMT
keep it up lustiano mate :)
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 7:49 PM GMT
will try stevies ;)
Report buzzer November 8, 2009 8:15 PM GMT
i take it you managed to avoid the standard and Lyon games Lus ;)
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 8:34 PM GMT
well buzzer if you check my bets you can see that i always choose low scoring games, avoid the big teams and hate to bet on english and german games :D
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 8:36 PM GMT
sorry, mistake there, put almost before always :D
Report buzzer November 8, 2009 8:39 PM GMT
that Lyon game is 3-4 at present, an absolute goal fest
Report buzzer November 8, 2009 8:42 PM GMT
4-4 now!
Report buzzer November 8, 2009 8:55 PM GMT
5-5 ft
Report Lusitano71 November 8, 2009 8:56 PM GMT
:^= what a goal fest
Report I.quit.my.job November 9, 2009 12:01 AM GMT
well done...........good going.............gets interesting now
Report Lusitano71 November 9, 2009 1:58 AM GMT
bet#42 Soccer / Los Angeles v Chivas USA : Over/Under 2.5 goals 09-Nov-09 00:30 09-Nov-09 02:41 4.15
(in@1.04/--------)

Bank: €118.36
Report xxlandofsmilesxx November 9, 2009 6:17 AM GMT
Bad luck donkey but you should bet with your head not your heart.
Report Lusitano71 November 9, 2009 1:32 PM GMT
??????????
Report Lusitano71 November 9, 2009 1:33 PM GMT
bet#43 Football / Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Minyor Pernik : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 09-Nov-09 12:30 09-Nov-09 14:14 0.00
(in@1.15/out@1.09)

Bank: €118.36

*well 1st bet since i started that didnt came in, really lucky i was into the correct score market or this would of had the potential to kill my challenge, first goal on minute 61 then 3 goals in 4 min :0 , finished 3-3
Report Lusitano71 November 9, 2009 3:24 PM GMT
Ok just went BUSTED :(

on the AEK-Larissa game

it was a fair enough run, now going to regroup myself and think what i need to change

one thing is quite obvious to me, the more games in-play the better for this approach, your choice is much bigger and you dont need to force things as much

just regret not cuting my stake in half when i got to €100 but said to myself that would only do it @€150 by 1/3

I'll try again but wont put the thread here because of all the sensitivities around

GL all on your bets
Report paddys revenge November 9, 2009 3:27 PM GMT
Unlucky Lusitano...what was your bet on the AEK game? and when you start again which thread will you start it under, just so I can keep following to see how it goes.. gl
Report buzzer November 9, 2009 3:29 PM GMT
a lot of goals going in today in quick succession
Report Lusitano71 November 9, 2009 3:31 PM GMT
under3.5 near HT

gl paddys
Report xxlandofsmilesxx November 9, 2009 3:42 PM GMT
Lusitano71 09 Nov 14:32
??????????


I was referring to the Guernsey "donkey" bet on Celtic that went t1ts up.
Report JAILER November 9, 2009 4:49 PM GMT
your choice is much bigger
=================

You've hit the nail on the head.
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