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tobermory
11 Jun 26 19:50
Joined:
Date Joined: 01 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 63,605 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
5.8 Spain 65 Colombia 390 Scotland 1000 Curacao
5.9 France 70 Japan 440 Canada 1000 New Zealand
9.4 England 85 USA 450 Australia 1000 Tunisia
9.8 Portugal 90 Switzerland 570 Czechia 1000 Cape Verde
11 Brazil 100 Uruguay 580 South Korea 1000 Saudi Arabia
12 Argentina 100 Ecuador 660 Egypt 1000 Iraq
18 Germany 100 Turkey 670 Algeria 1000 Jordan
21 Netherlands 130 Senegal 690 Paraguay 1000 DR Congo
40 Norway 140 Croatia 840 Ghana 1000 Uzbekistan
46 Belgium 270 Austria 860 Bosnia 1000 Panama
60 Morocco 300 Ivory Coast 1000 Qatar 1000 Iran
60 Mexico 310 Sweden 1000 Haiti 1000 South Africa
Pause Switch to Standard View WORLD CUP OUTRIGHT
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Report duffy June 23, 2026 5:44 PM BST
Argentina still ahead on points, a team, it'll be x rated stuff for Brazil's midfield as soon as they come up against a decent side, Morocco showed what it'll be like in their first half against them.
Report DBLyourmoney June 23, 2026 11:58 PM BST
"Until they face a complete anti-football display, there's no telling how they'll get on." Well, we've just seen how they got on. Are they double figured price yet? Laugh
Report tobermory June 24, 2026 12:04 AM BST
Yeah England created nothing, out to 4th in the betting.
Report tobermory June 24, 2026 7:33 PM BST
So Norway start off at 40, after 2 games they are the 2nd highest scorers of 48 teams, Haaland is running amok, and their price is.... 40

Plain
Report tobermory June 24, 2026 7:52 PM BST
After everyone played 2 games

5.3 France 60 Colombia 440 South Korea 1000 Qatar
6.8 Spain 65 Belgium 460 Uruguay 1000 Saudi Arabia
7.4 Argentina 85 Mexico 480 Ecuador 1000 South Africa
8.6 England 110 Switzerland 570 Ghana 1000 Cape Verde
12 Portugal 220 Croatia 680 Scotland 1000 Curacao
16.5 Germany 260 Ivory Coast 760 Paraguay 1000 Iraq
18.5 Brazil 260 Senegal 960 Algeria DR Congo
19.5 Netherlands 270 Canada 1000 Iran
34 USA 330 Egypt 1000 Uzbekistan
40 Norway 360 Sweden 1000 Bosnia
48 Morocco 400 Austria 1000 New Zealand
50 Japan 410 Australia 1000 Czechia
||
Report tobermory June 24, 2026 8:05 PM BST
103 France 252 Colombia 963 South Korea 97 Qatar
292 Spain 337 Belgium 297 Uruguay 97 Saudi Arabia
50 Argentina 209 Mexico 285 Ecuador 97 South Africa
136 England 23 Switzerland 503 Ghana 97 Cape Verde
207 Portugal 189 Croatia 547 Scotland 97 Curacao
210 Germany 111 Ivory Coast 650 Paraguay 97 Iraq
252 Brazil 367 Senegal 97 Algeria 97 DR Congo
272 Netherlands 467 Canada 97 Iran
533 USA 552 Egypt 97 Uzbekistan
2,874 Norway 140 Sweden 97 Bosnia
119 Morocco 137 Austria 97 New Zealand
237 Japan 547 Australia 97 Czechia
||
Report tobermory June 26, 2026 1:39 PM BST
The market seems to fail to anticipate predictable outcomes. Japan yesterday were in all probability set to be 2nd in the group and play Brazil in the round of 32, and they were priced at 46.

I just thought it was because Japan were that respected. But now they are actually playing Brazil they are at 70 with 75 quite matchable.
Report Clarky9 June 26, 2026 4:09 PM BST
Your book is woeful
Report tobermory June 26, 2026 4:17 PM BST
It's not very balanced so far is all, as Norway too big to lay much. It's hardly started as a betting event really.
Report mesmerised June 26, 2026 4:30 PM BST
find it hard to tell the difference between the green text and red, maybe bolding them might help

France v Norway tonight will really tell where this Norway team are at.
Report tobermory June 26, 2026 5:18 PM BST
98 France 342 Belgium 547 Egypt 552 Scotland
298 Spain 209 Japan 292 Uruguay 102 Saudi Arabia
45 Argentina 120 Mexico 498 Ghana 102 South Africa
115 England 162 Switzerland 503 Paraguay 102 Iraq
173 Portugal 233 Ecuador 870 Bosnia
217 Brazil 184 Croatia 1,365 South Korea
277 Netherlands 372 Senegal 102 Algeria
275 Germany 400 Ivory Coast 102 Iran
538 USA 472 Canada 102 Uzbekistan
2,693 Norway 102 Austria |102 DR Congo
124 Morocco 135 Sweden 102 New Zealand
22 Colombia 102 Australia 102 Cape Verde
||
Report tobermory June 26, 2026 5:20 PM BST
98 France 342 Belgium 547 Egypt 552 Scotland
298 Spain 209 Japan 292 Uruguay 102 Saudi Arabia
45 Argentina 120 Mexico 498 Ghana 102 South Africa
115 England 162 Switzerland 503 Paraguay 102 Iraq
173 Portugal 233 Ecuador 870 Bosnia
217 Brazil 184 Croatia 1,365 South Korea
277 Netherlands 372 Senegal 102 Algeria
275 Germany 400 Ivory Coast 102 Iran
538 USA 472 Canada 102 Uzbekistan
2,693 Norway 102 Austria 102 DR Congo
124 Morocco 135 Sweden 102 New Zealand
22 Colombia 102 Australia 102 Cape Verde
||
Report duffy June 26, 2026 5:25 PM BST
mes must be colour blindGrin
Report mesmerised June 26, 2026 5:44 PM BST
I am actually colour blind, cannot tell the difference between the browns and greens on a snooker table either, so probably just me, I had to press ctrl+ to increase screen size just to tell the difference to post in the graphic below

Report mesmerised June 26, 2026 5:45 PM BST
that's for me and my fellow colour blind comrades
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 5:59 PM BST
what happened to France price, I backed at 1.63, now 1.45. Not complaining mind. vs Norway
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 6:01 PM BST
is Haaland injured or what?
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! June 26, 2026 6:05 PM BST
Haland RESTED
Devil
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 6:07 PM BST
1.64 to 1.43 in less than 2 hours, that's a helluva plunge. Is something up in the Norway Camp?
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 6:08 PM BST
is that confirmed, i'msolucky?
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 6:12 PM BST
Haaland to start on bench according to "sources", whoever they are.
Report Leano June 26, 2026 6:15 PM BST
Norway resting all players, inside info have lumped on France and laid the **** out of norway
Report Des Pond June 26, 2026 6:17 PM BST
yep. me too, at 1.63 I'm happy to say. Grin
Report SirNorbertClarke June 27, 2026 9:04 AM BST
The Argies.
Report PorcupineorPineapple June 27, 2026 9:08 AM BST

Jun 22, 2026 -- 8:53PM, PorcupineorPineapple wrote:


As it stands, here are the likeliest knock out opponents for Argentina:R32 - Cape VerdeR16 - BelgiumQF - ColombiaA back at 7.8 now feels like an absolute gift and it would take a miracle not to lock in a decent profit.And the Yanks have a very favourable likely draw and are still overpriced.


"

Report tobermory June 28, 2026 12:46 AM BST
England now right back to their tournament SP
Report stu June 28, 2026 12:08 PM BST
Nice pick PP - Argies tournament to lose from here IMO, should be favourites.
Report tobermory June 28, 2026 5:18 PM BST
Before round of 32

4.6 France 38 Colombia 170 Ecuador 670 Australia
5.2 Argentina 44 USA 190 Senegal 720 Ghana
8.4 England 44 Norway 270 Croatia 900 Algeria
8.8 Spain 70 Belgium 280 Ivory Coast 960 Bosnia
17 Portugal 70 Morocco 450 Canada 1000 Paraguay
17 Brazil 75 Mexico 510 Sweden 1000 Cape Verde
20 Netherlands 80 Japan 510 Austria 1000 DR Congo
25 Germany 90 Switzerland 550 Egypt 1000 South Africa
Report tobermory June 28, 2026 5:52 PM BST
23 France 82 Colombia 206 Ecuador 422 Australia
67 Argentina 238 USA 70 Senegal 471 Ghana
139 England 2,501 Norway 157 Croatia 130 Algeria
145 Spain 44 Belgium 373 Ivory Coast 843 Bosnia
85 Portugal 87 Morocco 90 Canada 618 Paraguay
222 Brazil 93 Mexico 108 Sweden 130 Cape Verde
134 Netherlands 12 Japan 170 Austria 130 DR Congo
372 Germany 190 Switzerland 863 Egypt 130 South Africa
Report mesmerised June 28, 2026 6:34 PM BST
FFS
Report SirNorbertClarke June 28, 2026 6:43 PM BST
It's not often I'm speechless.
Report The Dragon June 28, 2026 7:10 PM BST
looks like france v argentina final as it stands
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! June 28, 2026 7:20 PM BST
De ja VUE!!!

Laugh
Report differentdrum June 28, 2026 8:16 PM BST
If 8/1 is a fair reflection of England's chances then World football must be at rock bottom. That probably explains the 'success' of Southgate as well.

It looked a very easy Group. I didn't see the first game, but 4-2 result against Croatia didn't look that wonderful; they were dire in next match, and not that much better last time, where two very ordinary goals saved the blushes.
Report wondersobright June 28, 2026 9:05 PM BST
its the only bet I've had dd a lay of eng outright
a truly shocking tournament lauded as elite level sport
Report tobermory June 29, 2026 7:10 PM BST
Happy to lay Brazil @21 while 0-1 second half.
Report tobermory June 29, 2026 7:28 PM BST
That didn't work out well Sad
Report mesmerised June 29, 2026 7:36 PM BST
it will in the long run, this Brazil team is not winning the World Cup
Report tobermory June 29, 2026 7:39 PM BST
Maybe, Japan @95 seems generous as they are above expectations here but a bigger price
Report tobermory June 30, 2026 11:21 PM BST
Well I've been laying the hell out France.  3.15 is way too short. If they just go a goal down at some point they will be bigger.

Still stuck with my Norway bets as bigger price than SP Laugh
Report Des Pond June 30, 2026 11:32 PM BST
ooh, nice.
Report Des Pond July 1, 2026 12:05 AM BST
Unless Spain can put it together and play like they can, I really can't see who can stop France.
Report The Dragon July 1, 2026 7:52 AM BST
yup im all over france- look by far the best team so far
Report abba21 July 1, 2026 7:58 AM BST
Brazil Argentina Colombia can beat France.
Report abba21 July 1, 2026 8:06 AM BST
France have played easy teams so far
Report The Dragon July 1, 2026 8:15 AM BST
so have argentina and all the top teams
Report differentdrum July 1, 2026 1:40 PM BST
I only watched the second half last night. Not surprised at the reaction, it's what you get if you trying to sell the game. How did it take France 45 minutes to score? Even that was terrible defending, surely you should be at least trying to always cover the inside. If he goes outside then the danger is limited. Same for the third goal. In the second half the Swedish midfield may as well have got the deckchairs out. They were literally just standing around watching. You might be outclassed, but you can at least make it look like you are trying. I didn't see a lot of the Group games, but Sweden in that second half looked the worst side I have seen. Even then they managed a couple of chances. I would have thought the blueprint against France is to convert one of those chances, and then defend an awful lot better than Sweden. The second part shouldn't be that difficult.
Report lurka July 1, 2026 1:47 PM BST
They could have had 3 or 4 in the first half, hit the post twice and dembele missed a good chance
Report lurka July 1, 2026 1:49 PM BST
But yes, it's Graham Potter remember and the Dutch put 5 past them
Report duffy July 1, 2026 2:09 PM BST
Argentina still my favourites and it's looking like mimicking the last WC regarding France and Argentina to me, France the sexy option with all that explosiveness just as they were last time but Argentina very much the complete team capable of absorbing France's firepower and delivering their own, less flashy offensive, but equally as effective threat.
Report tobermory July 1, 2026 7:26 PM BST
England into the last 16 and a bigger price than pre tournament

Likewise Brazil.
Report Clarky9 July 1, 2026 8:06 PM BST
Your book still looks woeful
Report Des Pond July 1, 2026 8:09 PM BST
A harsh assessment of Sweden above, imho. I thought they did as well as they could.
Report tobermory July 1, 2026 8:32 PM BST

Jul 1, 2026 -- 8:06PM, Clarky9 wrote:


Your book still looks woeful


I could be on track for the final to be £300 red on France and £15 green on whoever they are playing

Report tobermory July 1, 2026 8:32 PM BST
unless they are playing Norway Cool
Report tobermory July 1, 2026 8:34 PM BST
cash out offer is currently £0.69 so it's really just getting started for me
Report tobermory July 1, 2026 9:07 PM BST
223 France 20 Colombia 868 Egypt
22 Argentina 233 USA 427 Australia
30 Spain 2,552 Norway 164 Austria
71 England 253 Belgium 24 Paraguay
330 Brazil 329 Switzerland 476 Ghana
123 Portugal 64 Senegal 124 Algeria
101 Morocco 427 Croatia 124 Cape Verde
47 Mexico 84 Canada 848 Bosnia
Report tobermory July 2, 2026 12:07 AM BST
£100 was matched on Belgium @1000
Report tobermory July 4, 2026 6:08 PM BST
Before Last 16

3 France 40 Morocco
5.8 Argentina 42 USA
7.2 Spain 55 Norway
13 England 70 Belgium
14 Brazil 100 Switzerland
17 Portugal 430 Canada
30 Mexico 510 Egypt
30 Colombia 530 Paraguay
Report tobermory July 4, 2026 6:16 PM BST
224 France 99 Morocco
18 Argentina 264 USA
8 Spain 2,583 Norway
75 England 997 Belgium
290 Brazil 327 Switzerland
45 Portugal 126 Canada
58 Mexico 82 Egypt
23 Colombia 66 Paraguay
Report mesmerised July 4, 2026 6:22 PM BST
you still going in hard on NorwayLaugh
Report TheGoddess July 4, 2026 8:02 PM BST
Morocco 36 Surprised Be 10 when France get beat Wink

YHIHF Grin
Report tobermory July 4, 2026 8:08 PM BST
Hope so!

Morocco were 40 at kick off but I could back them @46 when 1-0 up
Report SirNorbertClarke July 5, 2026 3:06 PM BST
Tobermory what's the rationale behind the big red on France?
Report tobermory July 5, 2026 11:36 PM BST
Just that 2/1 seemed too short for anyone to be at Last 16 stage, and, as said above, even if they just go a goal down there is a big chance to reduce the red, even if they ultimately win it.
Report tobermory July 5, 2026 11:37 PM BST
And all reds get reduced when Norway win Cool
Report tobermory July 5, 2026 11:38 PM BST
But I would never go all green at this stage
Report Escapee July 5, 2026 11:40 PM BST
Fantastic play tober.
Report duffy July 5, 2026 11:44 PM BST
You couldn't could you, you're red or practically red on the first three favs.
Report mesmerised July 5, 2026 11:58 PM BST
Well done, did not see them getting this far.

If Mexico beat England, you'll be laughing even more.
Report tobermory July 6, 2026 12:00 AM BST

Jul 5, 2026 -- 11:40PM, Escapee wrote:


Fantastic play tober.


ty

Report tobermory July 6, 2026 12:01 AM BST

Jul 5, 2026 -- 11:44PM, duffy wrote:


You couldn't could you, you're red or practically red on the first three favs.


Cash out offer is 46

Report tobermory July 6, 2026 12:03 AM BST
I'm small green England, about 118 red Mex, but yeah Norway would go a lot shorter.
Report duffy July 6, 2026 12:26 AM BST
I don't think Norway's price would shift much if Mexico win, 20/1 or thereabouts seems short to me with the likelihood that they have to face probably three teams out of England, Mexico, Spain, France and Argentina, you'd think that because the field is narrowing down that they must shorten but in truth only a tiny percentage of the market has been removed so it hasn't narrowed down because all of the teams that can win it are all still there, Norway are unlikely to get a pass which is what you'd want.

Obviously you want one or more of the big guns slipping up, in a likely semi final line up Norway would be comfortably a double figure price to win  the World Cup still.
Report tobermory July 6, 2026 12:29 AM BST
Yeah, Norway maybe only drop from 20 to 17 if Mexixo win, but I could see them out to 24/25 if England won well.
Report tobermory July 6, 2026 12:29 AM BST
Yeah, Norway maybe only drop from 20 to 17 if Mexixo win, but I could see them out to 24/25 if England won well.
Report duffy July 6, 2026 12:36 AM BST
Getting a good run for your money though, with Haaland there's always a chance too.

The Argies, Spain or France slipping up is where the price will dive, you're small greens on Morocco and Colombia and a small red on Portugal but in reality those three teams are all big greens for you.
Report Lifter July 6, 2026 2:37 AM BST
What would Norway be in a final against France. 3s?

I think they smash Argentina, so it's just beating England
Report Clarky9 July 6, 2026 4:07 PM BST
Argentina ain't getting smashed by anyone lol
Report tobermory July 6, 2026 8:00 PM BST
Need Spain and Belgium to win tonight.
Report impossible123 July 6, 2026 8:54 PM BST
Looking ahead to Thursday I think France at 1.63 against Morocco is a play. Similarly, England at 6.6 for the competition.

The future:-

England -> Norway -> Argentina -> Final; Egypt, Switzerland and Colombia are unlikely to me.
France -> Morocco -> Spain -> Final; Portugal, Belgium and USA are unlikely to me.

England / Argentina vs France / Spain -> Final. An all European final?
Report SirNorbertClarke July 7, 2026 8:44 AM BST
Now firmly Green.

Don't have a penny on England.
Report impossible123 July 7, 2026 10:19 AM BST
Not a penny on any team. I might before Saturday. So far every free bet has gone down the plug hole.
Report tobermory July 7, 2026 12:06 PM BST
128 France 4 Colombia
84 Spain 329 Morocco
23 Argentina 665 Belgium
92 England 317 Switzerland
1,208 Norway 121 Egypt
Report Lifter July 7, 2026 5:49 PM BST

Jul 6, 2026 -- 4:07PM, Clarky9 wrote:


Argentina ain't getting smashed by anyone lol


They are awful and over confident. Although maybe this current humbling from Egypt will help them in the long run (should they even make it)

Report ImSoLuckyLucky! July 7, 2026 5:55 PM BST
Tired from Cape verdi game
Wouldnt want extra time AGAIN
Laugh
Report Lifter July 7, 2026 6:32 PM BST
Conceded 3 to Egypt LaughLaughLaugh smashed
Report Escapee July 7, 2026 6:37 PM BST

Jul 6, 2026 -- 4:07PM, Clarky9 wrote:

Argentina ain't getting smashed by anyone lol


Report abba21 July 7, 2026 6:38 PM BST
Colombia 14/1 from 65 could make the final now
Report DixieDean60 July 7, 2026 6:42 PM BST
Tommy Tuchel certainly seems to have inherited Sarfgate's "luck of the draw".

Instead of Brazil then the Argies to get to the final it's now Norway followed by Colombia/Switzerland/Egypt.
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK July 7, 2026 6:45 PM BST
Could be huge on my face here, but Colombia 3s to make the semi-final. I think it’s huge.
I can’t get on myself
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK July 7, 2026 6:47 PM BST
Blink of eye
lol
Egypt  defend ong
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK July 7, 2026 6:50 PM BST
By time type it out
Colombia million lol
Report tobermory July 7, 2026 6:54 PM BST
have a much better position on Argentina now than England/Spain
Report Escapee July 7, 2026 7:08 PM BST
A few £k got matched on Argentina around 50's whilst they were 2-0 down to Egypt Whoops
Report DixieDean60 July 7, 2026 7:08 PM BST
Can the mods delete my previous post please Laugh
Report tobermory July 8, 2026 9:24 PM BST
3.1 France 18 Norway
5.1 Argentina 36 Morocco
5.2 Spain 38 Belgium
6 England 42 Switzerland
Report tobermory July 8, 2026 9:28 PM BST
83 France
167 Argentina
71 Spain
109 England
1,083 Norway
317 Morocco
652 Belgium
66 Switzerland
Report The Dragon July 9, 2026 10:39 AM BST
decent that but its going to be a french win i reckon
Report SirNorbertClarke July 9, 2026 11:24 AM BST
There's not too much between France, England and Spain and with the help they've been getting from VAR you can't write off the Argies.

It might well come down to that fine line called luck!
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