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tobermory
11 Jun 26 19:50
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Date Joined: 01 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 63,834 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
5.8 Spain 65 Colombia 390 Scotland 1000 Curacao
5.9 France 70 Japan 440 Canada 1000 New Zealand
9.4 England 85 USA 450 Australia 1000 Tunisia
9.8 Portugal 90 Switzerland 570 Czechia 1000 Cape Verde
11 Brazil 100 Uruguay 580 South Korea 1000 Saudi Arabia
12 Argentina 100 Ecuador 660 Egypt 1000 Iraq
18 Germany 100 Turkey 670 Algeria 1000 Jordan
21 Netherlands 130 Senegal 690 Paraguay 1000 DR Congo
40 Norway 140 Croatia 840 Ghana 1000 Uzbekistan
46 Belgium 270 Austria 860 Bosnia 1000 Panama
60 Morocco 300 Ivory Coast 1000 Qatar 1000 Iran
60 Mexico 310 Sweden 1000 Haiti 1000 South Africa

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Replies: 178
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 26 19:58
Norway look good at 40 to me.

Also..

backed: Argentina, Germany, Japan, Ecuador, Uruguay, Croatia, South Korea, Egypt

layed: Spain, England, Portugal, Netherlands, Morocco, Colombia, Mexico, USA, Turkey
By:
The Dragon
When: 11 Jun 26 20:34
what about france  no bet?
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 11 Jun 26 20:38
im big red on every team from norway down, including norway. the heat will get to them
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 26 20:43
No bet yet Dragon, I think I will be a backer of France though
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 26 20:46
In the last 4 world cups a 1 or 2 big nations have gone out in the group stage.

Though it looks hard to get knocked out of this one.
By:
tobermory
When: 15 Jun 26 19:05
not seen anything for Norway to worry about so far
By:
tobermory
When: 16 Jun 26 21:06
They may as well give Norway the trophy now
By:
tobermory
When: 16 Jun 26 21:06
They may as well give Norway the trophy now
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 16 Jun 26 22:18
I'll sleep better tonight after the second half from France.
By:
mesmerised
When: 16 Jun 26 22:21
Tober, put your rod away Laugh
By:
tobermory
When: 16 Jun 26 23:48
no rod, most of my bets so far are backs of Norway
By:
mesmerised
When: 17 Jun 26 00:28
I thought Norway would actually top the group as I fancied them to outscore France against Iraq and Senegal, now that France have scored 3 past Senegal not as likely. If the do finish 2nd, they'll probably come through a Ecuador or Ivory Coast, but then it's probably Brazil in the next round who would probably have found form by then, whilst anything can happen in a one off game, when you look at clubs all these Norweigans are actually playing for outside of the front 3, it's like a mid table Premier League side at best, against an elite CL level side, don't see where the confidence in them comes from unless you're expecting a sort of Maradonna dragging an average Argentina side to World Cup glory in 86 esque type run, because that'd be the equivilent. Good luck anyway, but can't see it myself.
By:
duffy
When: 17 Jun 26 04:01
Argentina are ahead on points out of the teams we've seen so far, quick passing and moving between the lines, all the players look comfortable, France have individuals but this Argentina look like a "team".

At twice the price that is where the value looks to be at the moment.
By:
tobermory
When: 17 Jun 26 23:12
Some possible challengers to Norway are emerging
By:
tobermory
When: 17 Jun 26 23:15
England very good, one of my bigger reds, had to back them a bit @7.8, think that could drop a few ticks in the next couple of hours
By:
Angela Rebecchi
When: 17 Jun 26 23:17
England should be favourites
By:
abba21
When: 17 Jun 26 23:17
Cant believe the price of argentina
By:
tobermory
When: 17 Jun 26 23:21
I think Spain and England will flip in the order so I'll tale 7.6 too
By:
mesmerised
When: 17 Jun 26 23:26
Out of all the teams I've seen so far disregarding opposition, the most impressive I've seen so far in attack and defence, is Argentina.
By:
duffy
When: 17 Jun 26 23:36
England just won a chaotic game, not really controlled, it remains to be seen how they perform against a technically superior team, Argentina were very comfortable on the ball and were able to play the ball into tight spots and maintain possession, England can't do that and it is precisely how we lost the first goal tonight.

If tonight is a template of how we win it, i.e. we turn games into typical EPL games then we will need a lot of luck against the more technical sides as playing open football against them will see us getting picked off.

We'd probably be better off playing with two tight banks of defence and counter attacking with Madueke, Bellingham, Rashford and Kane.
By:
elisjohn
When: 18 Jun 26 02:22
the best england game ive seen in years fair play,
By:
mesmerised
When: 18 Jun 26 07:38
On a par with England 5-1 Germany 2001 away, 4-1 Holland at Euro 96

But that defence and keeper is Conference level.

Stones is a mostly a right hand-side of defence centre back for City and England, played on the left, Gordon down the left hand side must have had the fewest touches on the pitch as attacks werent not being funneled that way, mostly went out to Madueke, Stones used to playing it the other way, Guehi plays on the left hand side of a centre back pairing, used to passing and receiving the ball in those areas, why is he on the bench. Why is Tuchel obsessed with Stones, brought him to the World Cup un-match fit over Maguire, then actually starts him over Guehi, who's there and match fit.

Drop Stones otherwise England will be KO'd again v the first half decent side in the tournament, probably Brazil in the quarters.

Kind Regards.
By:
second again
When: 18 Jun 26 08:28
I would think England's biggest problem will be playing a top team in the heat.
By:
tobermory
When: 20 Jun 26 01:05
England have now displaced Spain as 2nd favs
By:
lurka
When: 20 Jun 26 01:41
That defence and keeper looks less solid than under Southgate and he played 2 DMs in front of it and had his wingers track back (apart from the last euros when they were exposed and conceded the first goal in the QF SF and final). All 6 goals in the Croatia game were awful from the defending team's point of view. That doesn't make England more likely to beat the top sides imo. But it's only 1 game and Tuchel will likely play a lot like Southgate in the KO rounds.
By:
duffy
When: 20 Jun 26 04:30
Tuchel keeps emphasizing the "go for it" mentality which suggests that they won't be playing pragmatic Southgate type football, rather that they'll try and turn games into a helter skelter EPL style game which will cause its own problems as the better sides will be able to absorb that and play through us.
By:
DBLyourmoney
When: 21 Jun 26 17:54
Spain have now displaced England as 2nd favs.

Market so pathetically fickle.
By:
duffy
When: 21 Jun 26 18:09
Yep, Spain won't be winning, they haven't got enough game breakers to combat organizeation, they'll also be susceptible at the back to the counter attack against better sides.
By:
DBLyourmoney
When: 21 Jun 26 18:54
Whether they win it or not, the point stands it was laughable they were ever displaced by England in the 1st place. 1 game and we're already replacing the 30+ game unbeaten Euro winners, who presumably carried the same insufficient game breakers and defensive susceptibility back then? It's all a silly nonsense.
By:
tobermory
When: 22 Jun 26 20:42
nah I think England should be 2nd favs

The most likely way a favourite goes out is the passing around with 80% possession and you don't get the perfect threaded pass for the early goal, and it just drifts towards penalties.

I can see that happening to Spain and Portugal, but not England as Tuchel wants them to go out on their shields.
By:
tobermory
When: 22 Jun 26 20:43
I find the markets lack of faith in Norway disturbing.

Had to go in again @50
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 22 Jun 26 20:53
As it stands, here are the likeliest knock out opponents for Argentina:

R32 - Cape Verde

R16 - Belgium

QF - Colombia



A back at 7.8 now feels like an absolute gift and it would take a miracle not to lock in a decent profit.


And the Yanks have a very favourable likely draw and are still overpriced.
By:
tobermory
When: 22 Jun 26 21:09
Seemed odd that Portugal started off shorter odds than Argentina, now near double the price.
By:
PorcupineorPineapple
When: 22 Jun 26 21:26
Tale of two legends
By:
mesmerised
When: 22 Jun 26 22:41
Tuchel wants them to go out on their shields.

England going out on their shields, Scotland going out shaking to BrazilLaugh
By:
hulk23
When: 22 Jun 26 23:15
magic sign industry low on scotland to win the world cup.

200/1.  you're spoiling us magic sign, we'd feel bad taking advantage of your unbelievable generosity Laugh
By:
hulk23
When: 22 Jun 26 23:16
200/1 !! 

there's someone on here offering 820.0 and nobody's interested ....
By:
tobermory
When: 23 Jun 26 00:07
Laugh
By:
DBLyourmoney
When: 23 Jun 26 00:13
tobermory, anti-footballing your way to pens doesn't guarantee success. Arsenal can tell you that from their CL final loss. It's 50-50 at the least, with skill&composure tipping it in your favour. England played an ageing Croatia side willing to go man for man and play high up the pitch. Until they face a complete anti-football display, there's no telling how they'll get on.

Investing in Scotland OR England at whatever odds is certain to yield ZERO interest. At least for those backing Scotland their fantasy profits are much bigger.
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