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mesmerised
16 Apr 25 15:20
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 41,219 | Blogger: mesmerised's blog
Over 1.5 : Wallsall > Leyton Orient > Wrexham > Dag & Red > Hereford > Dorking           
Over 0.5: Stoke > Reading > Weston Super Mare

Happy Easter

Kind Regards.
Pause Switch to Standard View I've found a Good Friday winner @ 41/1
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Report Foinavon April 16, 2025 5:36 PM BST
A bit fishy but I hope you hook a winner.
Report Capt__F April 16, 2025 9:10 PM BST
He has Risen
Report mesmerised April 17, 2025 11:57 PM BST
maybe it's time I gave a bit of reasoning for these accas as they're not randomly put together and plucked out of thin air.

The Over 1.5's

Walsall - at Home, 1.5 to win, 4 points off the top with a chance to win the title but at the same time, need to win to stay in the automatic promotion places, as they're only in that 3rd spot on goal difference, they're playing Harrogate, who are 9 points ahead of Carlisle who currently occupy the last relegation spot with 4 matches left, they're pretty much safe.

Leyton Orient - at Home, 1.66 to win, they are just out side the play off spots in 7th place, 3 points adrift of Reading in 6th, 6th place is the last spot left up for grabs as Charlton in 5th are too far ahead, Orient have to win against Barnsley who realistically have no chance of making the play offs being 12 points off of Reading with only 12 points left to play for. Barnsley are further demotivated as they are also well clear of relegation.

Wrexham - at home, 1.42 to win, they are second in the league, they're are only 2 automatic promotion spots in League and they have Wycombe breathing down their necks in third, just 1 point behind them but Wycombe's Goal Difference is + 3 better, Bristol Rovers do have their own motivation, they are fighting against Relegation but look too weak to put up a fight, they've lost 6 in a row.

Dag & Red - at home, 1.53 to win, they are 5 points adrift of safety with 12 points left to play for, they have a chance, Ebbsfleet are already relegated with nothing to play for at all, they've conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 away games, Dag and Red are not big scorers but they more than 1 against this rabble.

Hereford - at home, 1.5 to win, they are clinging on to a play off spot in the National League North in 6th place on 73pts, 7th place is the last play of spot occupied by Kings Lynn on the same number of points and exactly the same goal difference, Curzon a point further back in 8th, Buxton 2 points further back in 9th with even Spennymoor having a chance in 10th on 69pts, they have to win and win well against a team in Leamington who are in no mans land with nothing to play for, currently 14th with no chance of a play off place or dropping through the trap door.

Dorking - at home, 1.28 to win against Hampton and Richmond, their odds for scoring 2 or more were 1.57 which I backed it at, it's not 1.36. Dorking are currently in 5th place in the National League south on 79 points - 4 points off of top with 3 matches left and 5 points ahead of Maidstone who are in 7th just outside the last play of place available in 6th, a lot of motivation whereas Hampton are 10 points clear of the relegation zone with 9 points left to play for.

The Over 0.5's


Stoke - at home, favs at 2.25, just 5 points clear of the drop but they have Leeds and Sheffield United after this game, which is against Sheffield Wednesday, and then finish the season against Derby away who are fighting for survival themselves, Stoke have to get something out of this game, should score 1 goal at least, and they need to, Sheff Wednesday are 11 points clear of the drop and are practically safe and 10 points off of the plays which is realistically out of reach with only 12 points left to play for.

Reading at home, favs at 2.2, they are in the last Play of spot in 6th place in League 1 with 69 points, just 3 points ahead of Leyton Orient and Bolton with Huddersfield a couple of points further back on 64, sixth place is again, realistically the only spot up for grabs in the play offs in this league with Charlton in 5th seven points ahead of Reading with 4 matches left. They are playing Lincoln on 55 points in 14th place, no hope of the places, no chance of relegation.

Weston Super Mare - away at 1.55, the only away team in this 9 leg acca, they are playing Chippingham Town. Weston Super Mare are in the very last play off spot in 7th place on 75 points, just 1 points ahead of Maidstone in 8th, the team in 9th and beyond, have no chance of top 7. Chippingham are playing for nothing in 16th place, 12pts above the drop with 3 matches left.

9 teams - all faves, 8 at home, all highly motivated against teams with no motivation, bar Bristol Rovers, who look far inferior to Wrexham chasing automatic promotion to the Championship.


Kind Regards.
Report SirNorbertClarke April 18, 2025 7:39 AM BST
mes, these explanations, it looks like you're now copying Clarky9
Report mesmerised April 18, 2025 5:02 PM BST
lost, 5 winners, 4 losers who all needed 1 more goal each, but it lost, no Easter Miracle but I enjoyed my chocolate egg. Kind Regards.
Report Emitdeb April 18, 2025 6:17 PM BST
36 and 0... Can I suggest, you stop describing these selections as "winners".... Crazy
Report Capt__F April 18, 2025 6:41 PM BST
Happy are those that have not seen yet believe
Report lurka April 18, 2025 11:56 PM BST
Why don't you just say I've found a x/1 loser for all these threads? Be honest
Report mesmerised April 19, 2025 10:41 AM BST
As a trained solicitor, does your endless positivity extend the courtroom Lurka? "you've got no chance mate, I'm just representing you cos I have to "Laugh
Report Foinavon April 19, 2025 10:43 AM BST
Like Schroedinger's cat, he doesn't know whether it will win or lose at the time of posting so perhaps the word "potential" would be in order. For example "I have found a potential 500/1 winner" would be more accurate and should satisfy any detractors.
Report DIE LINKE April 19, 2025 11:28 AM BST
caught soliciting more like
Report lurka April 20, 2025 12:33 AM BST
LINKE reported. Scurrilous, outrageous, lascivious allegation
Report Capt__F April 23, 2025 12:45 PM BST
next time messy

k res
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