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smartpunter
18 Jan 25 10:11
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Jul 01
| Topic/replies: 2,265 | Blogger: smartpunter's blog
alexander Isak -over .05 was 2/9 now  1/1 (player shot on  target) £40 maximum also player doesn't start void  betWinkWink
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Report s.kenbo January 18, 2025 2:03 PM GMT
Looking at the stats on 365 (70 mins) it looks as though he hasn’t even had a shot yet?
Report Hayden January 18, 2025 2:14 PM GMT
Just for future reference smartpunter..........

The 2/9 should read 4/9 ( exchange price ) as the bookmakers take the original price to the lowest price possible to exacerbate the offer , so the comparison should be the best available price ANYWHERE vs the enhanced offer price , in this case Evens.

If you assess the offer that way you won't end up taking some of these ludicrous prices camouflaging as enhanced beauties when in reality they're barely an offer.

A good offer but not the enhancement as advertised in the modern world of 100% books.

Sorry for the intrusion but pressed the wrong forum tab and the bold headline caught my attention.
Report The Dragon January 18, 2025 3:43 PM GMT
good point hayden
Report layingisthewayforward January 18, 2025 4:47 PM GMT
The Stoke mob cleaned up with this one.
Report rayniblock January 18, 2025 6:00 PM GMT
Anybody have an estimate how much was lost on this. It was placed 168k times by 11am. I'm guessing a tenner was around the average stake permitted. This is surely one of the most profitable specials ever offered.
Report s.kenbo January 18, 2025 6:37 PM GMT
Let’s say 200k by kick off then. £2m at an average of a tenner a pop. They keep all that. If I’d had landed, most would give it all straight back anyway! No lose!!
Report loui January 18, 2025 6:55 PM GMT
It was a trap anyway, if they all won, they’re banned
Report impossible123 January 18, 2025 7:18 PM GMT
Isak blew a head gasket today. He'd not even manage 1 shot on target. A very damp squib. 'Denise' cleaned up totally.
Report rayniblock January 18, 2025 7:30 PM GMT
Doubt it was a trap. In form striker chasing a scoring record against injury ravaged opposition. Suggests they wanted this to win to give punters a boost. Football results been very bookmaker friendly lately with the City and Chelsea dips. If any journalist is reading this can you investigate how profitable these firms are to be offering a £2 million loss leader on a Saturday morning. Plus why is anyone with half a clue getting heavily restricted when so many others are obviously losing - hence a hard to believe offer like today's.
Report TameTheTiger January 19, 2025 11:57 AM GMT
the odds were heavily in the backers favour for this bet, and everyone lost.what chance of winning long term with the odds always stacked against you ?
Report rayniblock January 19, 2025 1:10 PM GMT
That's what struck me about the offer Tiger. No layer in their right mind would have layed that bet on here. If it was the opening day of the season or the Tuesday of Cheltenham fair enough. But you are willing to drop the guts of £2 million on a January Saturday on a boost that looks more like an effort to put funds into customers accounts. Just how much are punters losing if approximately 200k individual accounts were allowed on is what strikes me about this.
Report fred c dobs January 19, 2025 1:16 PM GMT
It does make you think,with all the involvement of gambling companies in football especially at the higher level,there’s feint smell of performing seals,or is it just me.
Report brassneck January 19, 2025 1:19 PM GMT
and rayniblock only had 3 replies in 14 years.Strange Grin
Report DIE LINKE January 19, 2025 1:35 PM GMT
we haven't been missing much
Report s.kenbo January 19, 2025 1:45 PM GMT
Before yesterday he’d had five PL games (out of nineteen) without a shot on target. Evens was a good boost, expected to win with his current form, but it didn’t happen. 365 are taking punt, but know loads will give it straight back anyway.
Report rayniblock January 19, 2025 4:13 PM GMT
Point taken Kenbo - it wasn't a certainty but the fact they were willing to lay the bet to such volume is striking. A restricted customer wouldn't be allowed have 30 quid on the fav in the Gold Cup,yet how many here were allowed take Evens on at least a 1/2 shot. Can't see how this is fair. Michael Lewis of Moneyball/The Big Short fame seems to be on the case on this at least, doubt this forum will be changing 365's or anyone else's policy.
Report frames January 19, 2025 5:37 PM GMT
Todays boost was Everton/Spurs , both teams to score, both to have a card and over 2 goals in the match ,6/4 out to 11/4.Amazingly Everton managed to score and the bet obliged.Funny old game.
Report sevey January 19, 2025 7:11 PM GMT
Funny old Game Who would think you can back 1/2 Man/Utd to Finish in the bottom half of the Premiership And 4/9 Tottenham the same again Scandalous What's happening to these 2 Great Clubs
Report Latalomne January 19, 2025 7:29 PM GMT
As Kenbo says, they will have had a very good idea of how many of the people who could get on would carry on betting until their dosh was gone (likely more than just the initial tenner).
Report rayniblock January 19, 2025 8:28 PM GMT
What percentage of the 200k customers who got on would be that type of punter do you reckon Latalomne. This is why the figures around the offer are so interesting - to me at least. Not much is known about the company given its status. The info gleaned from this seems to be that dropping at least £2 million on a mundane Saturday is no big deal, plus they've a lot of losing active customers/probably more problem gamblers than ever imagined.
Report Capt__F January 19, 2025 8:43 PM GMT
cant believe £2million liability on these gimmicks
in shop maybe take £20 on similar for bill hill on sat
mind you they might offer a cross sell for the Evil FOBTs
Report Latalomne January 19, 2025 8:51 PM GMT
They reported a pre-tax profit of £596m earlier in the month.  £2m is naff all to them.
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