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penzance
11 Aug 24 12:28
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Date Joined: 26 Feb 04
| Topic/replies: 19,212 | Blogger: penzance's blog
Not got it on here,is there one ? Should be up by now with
only 5 days to go.

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Replies: 77
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Aug 24 13:27
Yeah, not sure why they havn't added it yet. It's live on the likes of 356, though.
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Aug 24 13:31
Villa was pretty obvious last year, but I can't find anything that stands out this time, so I likely won't have a bet. Roughly 100 points is the target, so I guess one of the mid-table teams, like fulham with 42 points, outperforms.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 11 Aug 24 14:12
Bot 356

Premier League 24/25 Season Handicap:

Team
   

Handicap
   

Odds

Man City 0
Arsenal 2
Liverpool 9
Chelsea 16
Man Utd 18
Newcastle 19
Tottenham 20
Aston Villa 24
Brighton 32
West Ham 34
Crystal Palace 34
Bournemouth 39
Brentford 42
Fulham 42
Wolverhampton 42
Everton 42
Nottm Forest 46
Southampton 50
Ipswich 50
Leicester 51
By:
loui
When: 11 Aug 24 14:26
Palace worth a pop
By:
The Dragon
When: 11 Aug 24 14:30
yup they looked like the ones to be on to me also- think it looks like they have a decent manager on board
By:
brentford
When: 11 Aug 24 14:34
no Olise and possibly no Guehi this year (though both missed parts of last season)..

quite like West Ham though not a market I'd get involved in..
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 11 Aug 24 14:34
Palace, West ham, Brighton all look capable of reaching 100
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Aug 24 15:39
The money spent by West Ham warrants a top 6 finish. 62-66 puts them in contention, so they would be my bet.
By:
Aspro
When: 11 Aug 24 17:15
West Ham would need to have their new-signings all firing from the off... not very likely. Top 6 would be a huge triumph imo, but certainly not impossible.
By:
Emitdeb
When: 11 Aug 24 17:33
@ 23 I'll have West Ham to be relegated Cool That would be comedy Gold! LaughLaughLaugh
By:
duffy
When: 11 Aug 24 17:41
Palace nd Villa will be ones to avoid in this market, not because I think they won't do well necessarily although I do think Villa will struggle but because the market would have over-reacted to how they went last season.

I want a side who were poor last year and who may have a better one as they'll be given too much leeway in this market, so Everton +42 for me, although they do have another threat of a points deduction hanging over them though they think they will be alright !!
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Aug 24 18:10
Not sure about having to be poor last year. Palace are kind of in the same boat as Villa were - bad start to the season but finished strongly. Although, yeah, I don't think they are on the same trajectory. Tell you what, Forest at +47 could give you a run.
By:
mecca
When: 11 Aug 24 18:26
Wolves at +42 for me ... new signings looking good pre season (esp. Brazilian Right wing back Pedro Lima)
By:
duffy
When: 11 Aug 24 18:35
Yeah, Wolves good shout also.
By:
duffy
When: 11 Aug 24 18:36
United +18...who reckons they are getting 70+ pointsSurprised
By:
Lifter
When: 11 Aug 24 21:15
They would need around 80 points Duffy - even more lol
By:
penzance
When: 12 Aug 24 15:23
Still not a mkt on here.Can't be doing it can they?
By:
tobermory
When: 12 Aug 24 20:33
market up now
By:
Emitdeb
When: 12 Aug 24 22:05
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/football/market/1.231743265
By:
tobermory
When: 14 Aug 24 00:48
West Ham favs by miles Surprised
By:
Emitdeb
When: 14 Aug 24 06:50
New manager at west ham.. Looks like a totally new direction.. who knows?? Not for me, I'm guessing it's gonna end in disappointment.. Wan-Bissaka is the complete opposite to what David Moyes would pick..
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Aug 24 13:42
Yep, depends how quickly they bed in new players, but
West ham were decent last season with Moyes like
Southgate holding back to attacking talent.

What happens should be fun for West ham getting their
swagger back, or bursting dem bubbles...
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Aug 24 13:42
The attacking talent
By:
TheGoddess
When: 14 Aug 24 15:05
Sporting Life Fancy Notts Forest +47:

There is the cliché cloud of uncertainty surrounding Nottingham Forest but they can take confidence from a solid enough end to last season which saw them secure Premier League survival - three of their final four defeats came against sides playing in Europe this time around.

They’ve aimed to address their set-piece problems of last season by signing 6ft 8” goalkeeper Carlos Miguel and 6ft 5” centre-back Nikola Milenković - sometimes it really is that simple - with the overall balance of the squad solid enough. Bournemouth, Fulham and Wolves finished in the top six of the handicap table with starts of 46 and above in 23/24, making Forest +47 a bet worth considering.

Best bet - Nottingham Forest (+47) to win the Premier League handicap table e.w. at 15/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3,4)
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 14 Aug 24 19:01
Dunno why my c+p has forest on 46?

How odd.
By:
SlippyBlue
When: 14 Aug 24 20:07
I wouldn't touch Palace with stolen @ + 34. That handicap is nowhere near high enough, in my book anyway.

West Ham (+34) with a saver on Man Utd (+18) & Everton (+42) is my shout.
By:
the_don
When: 14 Aug 24 21:58
Couldn't back Utd with stolen money, even adding 10pts to that handicap Laugh

Without deductions, Everton got 48pts last season, so they would be the pick for me. Others with potential to overachieve would be West Ham and......Ipswich Whoops
By:
Lifter
When: 14 Aug 24 23:01
It's deff going to one of the lesser teams with those huge handicaps. Fulham, Forest, Everton, Hammers of course, all in the mix
By:
tobermory
When: 15 Aug 24 00:04
Lifter is right that 100pts total is a ballpark figure for winning this. There have been a few where mid 90s was enough, when the handicappers got it right. But usually they don't.

Quite a few teams came up short with 100+ ; 2 years ago the Top 5 all had 102 or more.

Man United would probably need a decent title challenge to get close in the h'cap.

The promoted teams perform strongest historically. It's just more likely that a team expected to be relegated will get 50+ than a team expected to finish 6th will get 80+.
By:
tobermory
When: 15 Aug 24 00:05
Though last year's 3 were nowhere near
By:
Lifter
When: 15 Aug 24 00:19
Thanks for the info, tobermory - I've only been playing the last two seasons, but it's an interesting market.
By:
madhatter
When: 15 Aug 24 08:00
Hndcp Points    Diff on last season
                                                                                                                   
Leicester    51    ~~~                                                                               
Ipswich    50    50    ~~~                                                                                                                                                   
Southampton    50    ~~~                                                                                                                                                       
Notts Forest    47    -3                                                                                                                                                       
Wolves      42    -6                                                                                                                                                   
Everton     42    -6                                                                                                                                                   
Fulham      42    -4                                                                                                                                                   
Brentford     42    +2                                                                                                                                                       
Crystal Palace    41    -7                                                                                                                                                       
Bournemouth    39     -11                                                                                                                                                       
West Ham    34    -4                                                                                                                                                       
Brighton    32    +2                                                                                                                                                       
Aston Villa    24    -8                                                                                                                                                       
Tottenham    20    -6                                                                                                                                                       
Newcastle    19    +1                                                                                                                                                       
Man Utd        18    +4                                                                                                                                                   
Chelsea        16    +3                                                                                                                                                   
Liverpool    9    -3                                                                                                                                                       
Arsenal            2    -8                                                                                                                                                   
Man City    0     0
By:
madhatter
When: 15 Aug 24 08:02
Seems to me they've given Man City every chance to go from bottom to top this season...
By:
madhatter
When: 15 Aug 24 08:05
But, as said, normally one of the promoted sides gives you a good run for your money and an opportunity to trade out.
I'm going with Leicester and Southampton with a saver on Man City
By:
madhatter
When: 15 Aug 24 08:09

Aug 14, 2024 -- 3:05PM, TheGoddess wrote:


Sporting Life Fancy Notts Forest +47:There is the cliché cloud of uncertainty surrounding Nottingham Forest but they can take confidence from a solid enough end to last season which saw them secure Premier League survival - three of their final four defeats came against sides playing in Europe this time around.They’ve aimed to address their set-piece problems of last season by signing 6ft 8” goalkeeper Carlos Miguel and 6ft 5” centre-back Nikola Milenković - sometimes it really is that simple - with the overall balance of the squad solid enough. Bournemouth, Fulham and Wolves finished in the top six of the handicap table with starts of 46 and above in 23/24, making Forest +47 a bet worth considering.Best bet - Nottingham Forest (+47) to win the Premier League handicap table e.w. at 15/1 (bet365 1/4 1,2,3,4)


But Forest, Luton (Cry), Sheff U, Burnley and Everton didn't....

By:
madhatter
When: 15 Aug 24 08:31
Man City finished just 9 points off Villa, eight off Arsenal and 7 off of Bournemouth at end of last seasons handicap.
They are available at 48 on here (was higher!...) and that's about two to three times the price of most of the others and over 5 times the price of WHU. Definitely looks a team that will trade a fair bit shorter even if they dont quite get there.
Do have an inquiry hanging over them in January though so that is a worry and would explain the inflated odds available.
By:
Lifter
When: 15 Aug 24 09:33
I guess it comes down to what chances you give city of getting 100 points this season. Personally, I think they will be slightly weaker than usual for various reasons, so to equal their best ever points total in a competitive season? Hmmm maybe 20/1? Then I think the chances of sanctions this year are greater than 50% so got to double those odds at least.
By:
Clarky9
When: 15 Aug 24 14:56
West Ham are a certainty for this.
By:
Lifter
When: 19 Aug 24 09:05
Bit of an overeaction to GW. Fulham moved to 20/1 after a 1-0 loss at Old Trafford, while West Ham move from 9/1 to 14/1 after a narrow defeat to Villa.
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