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Philby_Walsh
17 Apr 23 10:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Jun 04
| Topic/replies: 31 | Blogger: Philby_Walsh's blog
I have a (largely irrational) gut feeling that there's going to be piles of goals in the Leeds-Liverpool game tonight. Big atmosphere, night game, yadda yadda.

There's been an average of 4.8 goals across Leeds' last 5 games. Although a draw would put them 3 points clear of safety, with superior GD, they don't seem to know how to play steady, controlled games.

Liverpool may have recovered some of their attacking mojo against Arsenal and know that if they want to put any kind of pressure on the 4th spot contenders then 3 wins from Leeds, Forest & West Ham are vital.

The exchange makes the goal-line at a nudge over 3 goals.

These lines look tempting to back on a sliding scale.

over 3.5 @ 2.46
over 4.5 @ 4.4
over 5.5 @ 9.0
over 6.5 @ 21.0
over 7.5 @ 55.0
over 8.5 @ 150.0
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Report Wist April 17, 2023 3:40 PM BST
Good Afternoon all.

Anything over 2.0 for Mo Salah to score is a good value imo.
Tonight odds 2.38. I'll have some of those.
Regards
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 7:05 PM BST
Leeds : Meslier, Kristensen, Koch, Struijk, Firpo, McKennie, Roca, Harrison, Sinisterra, Aaronson, Rodrigo.

Liverpool : Alisson, Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson, Fabinho, Henderson, Jones, Salah, Jota, Gakpo.
Report Crisp77 April 17, 2023 7:05 PM BST
Everton fans cheering on Liverpool tonight Grin
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 7:23 PM BST
5-4 either way, cover aod on hear

Good luck all

Dance for goals.
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 7:31 PM BST
0-0 is @ 23.0. That'll do for me.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 7:35 PM BST
Probably the value bet slippy.

Good luck
Report TameTheTiger April 17, 2023 7:39 PM BST
your 0-0 bet wont last 20 mins
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 7:54 PM BST
Probably won't, it's 24.0 now.Laugh
Report The Dragon April 17, 2023 7:57 PM BST
liverpool win salah to score . simples
Report SirNorbertClarke April 17, 2023 8:05 PM BST
I've laid Liverpool Happy
Report lurka April 17, 2023 8:06 PM BST
Liverpool not scored more than 1 away to bottom half sides and Jota not scored in a year? Did I hear that right?
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:08 PM BST
Liverpool on the beach now they won't want Europa next season?

2-1 overe and btts
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:09 PM BST
0-0 after 9 minutes Mischief
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:12 PM BST
3-1 to Leeds ......get on now !
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:14 PM BST
My Goldfish told me telepathically..... He is certain !
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:17 PM BST
0-0 after 16 Devil
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 8:22 PM BST
0-0 after 22 minutes and have taken my stake out @ 12.0.
As you must do of course.


Happy
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 8:23 PM BST
Bit flat innit. Crowd not quiet. Need a tackle or two, a 50/50 or summit.
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 8:24 PM BST
*Crowd quiet
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:25 PM BST
Dull
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:27 PM BST
If this stays 0-0 then I'll be having fish for supper…… And it will be your fault Slippy Mischief
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 8:27 PM BST
Think you might have went well early taking ya sreak out. Good shout to start with though Cool
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 8:27 PM BST
ffs stake
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 8:28 PM BST
It is a rather tepid game so far. Leeds were a bit unfortunate at the weekend, they should have scored in the first half and it would have been a totally different match.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:32 PM BST
5-1 or 1-0 .... same number of points......so.....
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:34 PM BST
Leeds winning is bad for us it only leaves Everton down there to overtake then

Leicester are more than capable as well
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:35 PM BST
No goal !
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:35 PM BST
Handball !
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:36 PM BST
West Han are far to good as well and four points buffer now with a game in hand

Got to hope Everton and Leeds keep getting beat
Report hulk23 April 17, 2023 8:37 PM BST
didn't he move his arm to the ball ??
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 8:37 PM BST
Time for a few more before half time
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:37 PM BST
Was it handball ?
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 8:37 PM BST
It was fun while it lasted.
Report Trackman April 17, 2023 8:40 PM BST
here come the gurls Love
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:40 PM BST

Apr 17, 2023 -- 8:28PM, SlippyBlue wrote:


It is a rather tepid game so far. Leeds were a bit unfortunate at the weekend, they should have scored in the first half and it would have been a totally different match.


Didn't see the game because I had to go out and I've not got round to watching the recording...... So don't know how it went ...will watch it soon

Report SirNorbertClarke April 17, 2023 8:41 PM BST
TTA clearly controlled the ball with his elbow. The VAR joke continues.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 8:42 PM BST
Taa didn't score, so no auto cancel goal.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 8:43 PM BST

Apr 17, 2023 -- 8:41PM, SirNorbertClarke wrote:


TTA clearly controlled the ball with his elbow. The VAR joke continues.


My goldfish says the goal will be disallowed at halftime after a review

Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 8:45 PM BST
Well done T.D.Happy
Report brassneck April 17, 2023 8:45 PM BST
Hand ball is not hand ball when you handle it.=new rule .LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report SirNorbertClarke April 17, 2023 8:46 PM BST
I honestly don't know what is going on with VAR. It seems that there is absolutely no consistency in applying the laws of the game.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 8:46 PM BST
Hand ball is becoming as complex as offside because of var.

It's ridiculous
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 8:47 PM BST
Maguire handball not given by var because he was
in a congested area!!!
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:48 PM BST
As I say they make it up as they go

All fixing quite clearly
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:50 PM BST
Yet they've given them as handball in the past few weeks yhtl so that would be nonsense
Report SontaranStratagem April 17, 2023 8:52 PM BST
I think until we take our game back they'll continue to keep going
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 8:56 PM BST
It was a bad decision, Leeds got very hard done by there for me.
Report tobermory April 17, 2023 8:57 PM BST
Bizarre. Saying it was too early in the passage of play?
Report tobermory April 17, 2023 8:59 PM BST
I can understand if Leeds won the ball back, lost it and Liverpool scored without a stop in play....

But it was


TAA takes possession with handball and passes to Salah
Salah back to TAA
TAA to Gakpo
Gakpo scores
Report SirNorbertClarke April 17, 2023 9:00 PM BST
Bizarre. Saying it was too early in the passage of play?

Handball is handball especially when it allows you to control the ball
Report TCat April 17, 2023 9:00 PM BST
Carragher just taken half time analysis to a new low; how he could come out with that drivel and keep a straight face is beyond belief.
Report tobermory April 17, 2023 9:01 PM BST
Basically you can start a move with a handball and score, as long as there are at least 3 passes between the hand ball and the goal.
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:03 PM BST
Imagine Carragher if it were Leeds that scored in that way, he'd be absolutely foaming at the mouth.
Report SirNorbertClarke April 17, 2023 9:03 PM BST
I'd like to see the Handball Law and the guidance the VAR has in front of him.
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:04 PM BST
God I loathe that bloke.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:05 PM BST
Nice !
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:05 PM BST
Goal ....
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:05 PM BST
1-2
Report mesmerised April 17, 2023 9:06 PM BST
I can't get my head around players who grew up supporting Everton but then passionately support Liverpool after playing for them Like Carragher, same with Harry Kane who was an Arsenal fan, funny what money does to people.
Report tobermory April 17, 2023 9:07 PM BST

Apr 17, 2023 -- 8:47PM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:


Maguire handball not given by var because he wasin a congested area!!!


ha ha, I wondered how that was gonna be justified. Never heard of 'congested area- law.

Report hulk23 April 17, 2023 9:09 PM BST
Carragher just taken half time analysis to a new low; how he could come out with that drivel and keep a straight face is beyond belief.

look on ben mee's face was like wtf are you talking about ... Scared
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:10 PM BST
1-3
Report tobermory April 17, 2023 9:11 PM BST
Carragher embarrassing
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:18 PM BST
4
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:18 PM BST
offside
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:21 PM BST
Sweet goal that.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:21 PM BST
btw.......Expressions of religious affinity should be banned on the football pitches…… Catholics crossing themselves and Muslims bowing down to the ground…… it's just advertising !
Report hulk23 April 17, 2023 9:21 PM BST
could get double figures here, leeds wide-open ...
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:22 PM BST
4
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 9:23 PM BST
I think taa moved his hand to ball so it's hand ball.



Had the ball hit his hand/arm accidentally it's not handball as he didn't score.

If ball hits players arm and he scores as a result
of accidental handball, then it's given as handball.
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:25 PM BST
Conceding 9+ goals to two mid-table sides in two home games. Leeds probably deserve to go down after this.
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:27 PM BST
With Soton & Forest looking in deep trouble I think that there's enough about Leeds for them to stay up.
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:28 PM BST
Laugh Really I'm just hoping Everton go down.
Report Crisp77 April 17, 2023 9:31 PM BST
They should send 4 or 5 down this year
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 9:31 PM BST
Tobermory

I put a thread up on this forum with link
to var reviews... It's interesting stuff.
Report sofaking April 17, 2023 9:31 PM BST
5
Report Latalomne April 17, 2023 9:32 PM BST
Great shout, OP!
Report Crisp77 April 17, 2023 9:32 PM BST
How nice to start cricket season up in Yorkshire
Report hulk23 April 17, 2023 9:32 PM BST
marching all together out the exits ...
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 17, 2023 9:33 PM BST
3 or 4 more for Leeds would be nice.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:34 PM BST
Keep attacking !....no points just sitting back !
Report Crisp77 April 17, 2023 9:34 PM BST
Salah and Jota fighting for Everton player of the season
Report roache April 17, 2023 9:42 PM BST
The only thing that has surprised me tonight is that we actually scored that was a bigger surprise than the truly absurd VAR non handball that led directly to a goal
Report Crisp77 April 17, 2023 9:48 PM BST
6 shots on target 6 goals
Report 11kv April 17, 2023 9:49 PM BST
WD op
Report Emitdeb April 17, 2023 9:51 PM BST
mesmerised

17 Apr 23 21:06
I can't get my head around players who grew up supporting Everton but then passionately support Liverpool after playing for them Like Carragher, same with Harry Kane who was an Arsenal fan, funny what money does to people.


In life mes, we grow up/mature and sometimes see the error of our ways.. He obviously realised he didn't want to be a **** all his life!

Nice tip from OP.. Cool
Report SlippyBlue April 17, 2023 9:54 PM BST
Fantastic shout Philby, well done.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:54 PM BST
Same points as 0-1 !
Report Philby_Walsh April 17, 2023 9:54 PM BST
These lines look tempting to back on a sliding scale.

over 3.5 @ 2.46
over 4.5 @ 4.4
over 5.5 @ 9.0
over 6.5 @ 21.0

over 7.5 @ 55.0
over 8.5 @ 150.0


Sorry guys, only managed to get to step 4 of the 6 step ladder tonight Excited
Report leif April 17, 2023 9:55 PM BST
Who needs a bellingham midfielder when you can shift trent
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 9:56 PM BST
F....GD ...who cares ! Laugh
Report roache April 17, 2023 10:00 PM BST
We need relegating now put us out of our misery total carp all season the signings made both pre season and in the window absolute garbage and totally overloaded with wide players Harrison,Summerville,Sinistera,Gnonto,Dan James before loaned out to Fulham then the absurdity of £36 million for Rutter a 20 yr old wide player as hes not a centre forward and the last time i did maths from a football starting 11 you can only play 2 wide attacking players in the line up meanwhile we have needed a new centre forward ever since our championship days,amateurs running the club.
Report The Leopard April 17, 2023 10:09 PM BST
We'll be alright ....Everton are going down
Report penzance April 17, 2023 10:21 PM BST
What I've seen of Gnonto,he looks a good player.
Leeds fans will know different.Is he?
Report mesmerised April 17, 2023 10:27 PM BST
it's been obvious for ages that Trent is either a midfielder or his nothing, said on the has Klopp flopped in England thread that's where he should be, there's your 100 million pound mid.

Leeds were doing OK under Ted Lasso, they hadn't downed tools, always looked to attacked, lacked a striker when Bamford or Rodygo was out, though his American signings look Pap.
Report roache April 17, 2023 10:28 PM BST
Gnonto is a good player and has quite a few caps for Italy so is Sinisterra but they are the exception to the rest and they will not be wanting to play in the championship but my point is the squad was totally overloaded with wide players and it was totally unbalanced when we have been desperate for a goal scoring centre forward and a decent centre half, Wober may also prove to be a good signing at centre back or left back
Report penzance April 17, 2023 10:34 PM BST
Cheers.If he does go they'll definetly get a good return
on the money they paid for him.Cost around £5m,didn't he?
Report roache April 17, 2023 10:38 PM BST
Mes Leeds were doing Sheight under Marsch and if he had still been in charge we would undoubtedly not have picked up as many points we had not won a game in absolute ages whereas we have won 3 recently under the new guy but he has inherited the mess left behind by Marsch, just take a look at Marsch's previous job at Leipzig they finished the German season 3rd 2 seasons back then Marsch got the job for the start of the following season which was last season and he lasted about 3 months as they were doing really poor so he was sacked then a new guy came in and they finished the season in the top 6 with Marsch being given the Leeds job later on in that same season,so he has failed in both the German league and the Premier league.
Report mesmerised April 17, 2023 10:51 PM BST
I backed them for Relegation start of season along with Bournemouth and Southampton as I didn't rate him either, but they were not that bad when I saw them, we (Arsenal) were lucky to get a win at Elland Road this season. You could argue Marsch took over the mess Bielsa left, he was still managing most of his players, and Bielsa was taken them down with those hammerings week after week.
Report roache April 17, 2023 11:02 PM BST
I will give you Marsch did ok last season saving us from relegation but this season shows he is not up to it in the major leagues as he was bringing in his signings so it was his team who clearly were very poor and wide open in defence with chaotic football and nearly every signing was an American or someone he had previously managed before at RB Salzburg or RB Leipzig and now he has gone i expect most of then to abandon ship as well especially if we get relegated,the Arsenal game was one of our better performances but it still ended up in defeat and Marsch was an expert in getting defeats out of so called decent performances which is always the sign of a bad team,play well and lose so you can be damm sure you are going to lose when you dont play well.
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