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100 Bet Challenge. Feel free to have a go.

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Replies: 719
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 16:53
This weekend illustrates why backing short priced favourites never works long term, weeks of tiny profits wiped out for many banks after Lpool and city on the same weekend fail to win against crap teams which looked bankers pre kick off
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 16:53
Man city Lost Pool were 2 up , very hard level staking and not greening
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 16:54
same thing applies with greening, if the bet wins you're throwing profits away so same principle
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 17:13
yes , but teams losing with mins to go , throw cauction and often a later goal kills our bet , i nearly always green up .anyway happy for fun othing more to see how 100 bets total
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 17:14
teams throw cauction
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 17:16
bet 7 Bournemouth @1.76
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 17:19
I don't agree Gibmark, 50 winning bets - 50 losing.. if you green up in all the winning bets you are throwing away profit in 50 bets, some of the losing bets you can't green up in so a winning bet = 80% or whatever it is and a loss is often 100% of loss stake. If you are greening up I hope it isnt via the yellow button on here as it chucks profit down the pan compared to manually doing it
By:
belperbloke
When: 30 Oct 21 17:22
Bet 38 Bournemouth @ 1.76
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 17:26
Wolf you have never cash out then
By:
The Dragon
When: 30 Oct 21 17:36
3 wins 2 losses from recent bets

Profit is now £20.20
By:
The Dragon
When: 30 Oct 21 17:40
sorry 20.19  profit from 11 bets
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 17:42

Oct 30, 2021 -- 5:26PM, gibmark wrote:


Wolf you have never cash out then


I never said that, I'm saying if you think you can keep cashing out making money when there is no edge on SPs, you're kidding yourself. Do you actually use the betfair cash out each bet? If so you're chucking money away- you realise manual cash outs will give you more profit than the automated one here presumably?

By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 18:00
That said there are probably occasions where limiting your liability is advisable which I prefer putting the weight of profit on one option contrary to cashing out. The fact the cash out option doesn't give the same result as the manual one is my biggest gripe behind the premium charge when I queried the implied commission madness meaning it comes to over 20% commission when hitting it for the first time
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 18:04
so sometimes its better to green up/cash out
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 18:07
It depends whether the current odds pre cash out are disproportional to the probability of the event which in most instances it isn't. I don't believe someone blindly backing team x to beat team Y and then cashing out every bet will generate profit long term
By:
wolf3011
When: 30 Oct 21 18:07
Assuming team x takes the lead obviously
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 18:30
exactly , sometimes its worth it sometimes it isnt , but if its late in a game , and only winning by one goal and you only lose potential very small winnngs ,there are cases where its better to green , too many last goals ruin bets .......its a risk assessetment , whch is guesswork of course ......judgement call
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 18:31
imo level stake betting is almost impossible to show decent long term profit , but for a  bit of fun
By:
keyboard_line
When: 30 Oct 21 19:32
well i nearly managed to keep my patience with level £2 stakes for 50 bets, but not quite ,oh well, aberdeen played well today, and an exciting comeback win, COYR, good luck all
By:
gibmark
When: 30 Oct 21 21:53
Bet 6 Bournemouth won , 5/6 ,+£7.45 , £10 level stakes , r/t now +£24.31
By:
everyone's a winner
When: 31 Oct 21 08:22
bet 7 lost, bet 8 is back draw in norwich game at 3.8

        Bet                Event                Odds                 Stake                 Outcome                 Net P/L                  Balance                Tot p/l                Tot % p/l       
                                                                                                         £100.00                                        
        1                Back Brighton (A) v Norwich                2.16                 £2.00                 Lose                -£2.00                   £98.00                 -£2.00                  -2.00%        
        2                Lay Chelsea (A) v Brentford                1.65                 £2.00                 Lose                -£2.00                   £96.00                 -£4.00                  -4.00%        
        3                Back Everton (H) v West Ham                2.66                 £2.00                 Lose                -£2.00                   £94.00                 -£6.00                  -6.00%        
        4                Lay Arsenal (H) v Palace                1.71                 £2.00                 Win                 £2.75                    £96.75                 -£3.25                  -3.25%        
        5                Lay Palace (H) v Newcastle                1.93                 £2.00                 Win                 £2.11                    £98.86                 -£1.14                  -1.14%        
        6                Back Liverpool (A) v Man U                2.38                 £2.00                 Win                 £2.70                    £101.56                  £1.56                   1.56%         
        7                Lay Southamton (A) v Watford                2.42                 £2.00                 Lose                -£2.00                   £99.56                 -£0.44                  -0.44%        
By:
bigmo
When: 31 Oct 21 11:05
Bet 25 - 7.66
Bet 26 - 17.66
Bet 27 - 16.16
By:
bigmo
When: 31 Oct 21 11:55
Bet 28 Inter v Udinese 1.38
By:
bigmo
When: 31 Oct 21 12:00
Bet 28 Inter to beat Udinese 1.38
Bet 29 Rangers to beat Motherwell 1.30
By:
bigmo
When: 31 Oct 21 12:12
Bet 30 Napoli to beat Salernitana 1.30
By:
bigmo
When: 31 Oct 21 12:19
Bet 31 Bodo/Glimt to beat Sandefjord 1.22
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 12:28
Bet 7 £10 win bet Chelsea women FA Cup game @1.87
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 15:35
bet 7 Chelsea woman won , 6/7 , +£8.53 , £10 leve stakes , r/t now +£32.84
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 15:37
bet 8 £10 win bet Napoli -1g @1.9
By:
The Dragon
When: 31 Oct 21 16:04
bet 11 won 2/11  == 1.82

profit now at 22,00
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 17:16
bet 9 £10 Arsenal women o2.5g @1.38
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 20:07
bet 8 Napoli -1g lost, should of just done straigh win  so 6/8 ,-£10 =r/t with £10 level stakes now +£22.84
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 20:10
bet 9 Arsenal 02,5g won , 7/9 , so +£3.69 , r/t with £10 level stakes now +£26.53
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 20:11
woud of had 8/8 if i did just straight win bets , not -1g
By:
gibmark
When: 31 Oct 21 20:49
* thats incorect pool drew 2-2
By:
keyboard_line
When: 01 Nov 21 05:31
bet 45 won   +44.58 / +0.38   7/45
By:
keyboard_line
When: 01 Nov 21 05:33
bet 46 atalanta v man u  £10 man u @ 2.52
By:
everyone's a winner
When: 01 Nov 21 08:27
bet 8 lost, bet 9 back wolves v everton at 2.32. will update table after that
By:
gibmark
When: 01 Nov 21 11:06
bet 10 £10 win bet Sligo Rovers @1.34
By:
belperbloke
When: 01 Nov 21 13:41
current P/L after 38 bets is +£12.71
I'm away this week so will resume on my return. Good luck everyone
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