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Sica Dan
29 Jul 19 16:00
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Date Joined: 06 Oct 00
| Topic/replies: 3,245 | Blogger: Sica Dan's blog
You can have 20/1 that neither Celtic or Rangers are involved in a 0-0  game this season, doesnt seem very generous.

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Replies: 7
By:
TheGoddess
When: 29 Jul 19 17:23
None of their specials are generous - MUG BETS!
By:
feedthepony
When: 29 Jul 19 22:18
Just the 72 games then (assuming it’s league only).

Be better off backing over 0.5 and rolling the winnings into the next bet - they only play at the same time when they play each other.

Either way tho you’ll end up losing your stake.
By:
lurka
When: 29 Jul 19 23:33
They had 3 between them last season. Seems a disgraceful price shouldn't even be allowed offer it
By:
curlywatt
When: 30 Jul 19 00:38
if they had 3 between them last season why is the price disgraceful ?
By:
Sica Dan
When: 30 Jul 19 10:32
in 2018/19 Celtic alone had 5 with the first coming as early as September.
By:
longbridge
When: 30 Jul 19 10:40
@lurka

Why disgraceful?

If they had 3 last year out of 72 games, that's a 1 in 24 chance of a 0-0, or a 23/24 chance of not 0-0.

So the chance of them all being not 0-0 is (23/24) ^ 72 = 0.0467ish which is 1/21.4

20-1 seems pretty fair on that basis unless my maths is faulty somewhere?
By:
lurka
When: 30 Jul 19 22:40
I didn't do the maths. I just thought it looked like a mug price. I wasn't basing it on the amount of 0-0 draws they had last season either. But I checked again and they actually had 7 between them last season. Don't know where I got 3 from.

A season special bet from a bookie with your money tied up for 72 games is muggy in itself but they always offer a mug price as well. You don't really need to work out the price, it's always way off.
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