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Celtic Vigo vs Ath. Bilbao (the usual Sunday night chase) thoughts?

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Replies: 681
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:39
the money definitely has varying success depending on what league you're betting on
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 00:44
the olimpio game ive no idea how to interpret, minutes before the penalty 7k was matched 2.02 on o3.5, price went to 2.1 with the usual robots running the market pushing it there in stages, it was stopped again for 4k and then 3k at 2.12.  since the missed pen nothing as the price has taken its natural course to where it should be with the normal amounts traded.

not saying its a fix, i really dont want to be the guy that says everything is a fix, its just crazy timing for unusual bets to come into a market.

it has an unfair reputation for being bent the argie league, these sums mean very little to professional players out there.  its the central american stuff where the players ar eon peanuts that you tend to find these moves make a difference
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:47
when The Strongest went 1-0 up, people were deperately trying to push the unders price down from 4.1 to like 3.4 3.3. shows they didn't know much as it ended 5-1.
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:47
but other times the money definitely does know, like in that Colombian Dep Cali match last night
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:48
wow 1-2 Rafaela.
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 00:48
olimpio 1-2
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 00:52
i might be looking at this wrong but it looks like most of the money is trying to lay o2.5, that could well be the earlier 15k backer tryign to trade out
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:54
how can it be laying o2.5 when it's 1-2?
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:54
you mean trying to lay o3.5?
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:55
I was hoping Boca would do me a favour and have 5 goals in there match. them going o1.5 covered my stakes and gave me a bit of a profit
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:55
it went 3-1 on around 70 mins but disallowed and then nothing happened since then, shame
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 00:56
no, somebody is trying to BACK under 3.5 and LAY over 3.5


it could well just be the early money tryign to get out of their position
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:58
yes I understand what backing and laying means. you said o2.5 when the score was 1-2 which confused things.
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 00:58
ive no idea how to interpret this, it probably all means nothing Laugh
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 00:59
Guarani tired from their trip to Gremio midweek? big price on them at home to beat General Diaz if they were fresh
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:02
resting players?

they did get a bit of a run around v gremio though they looked ok before the red card
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:04
just tired. playing in Brazil Thursday night then playing at home in Paraguay Sunday night?
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:04
big money man looks to have been gone for a few minutes from the olimpo market

im goign to go with it means nothing, big freak bets just before ht trading out
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:05
Boca annoyed me. thought I was about to win a decent amount when it went 3-1 around 70 mins. stupid disallowed goals
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:06
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/marketactivity?id=1.131235534&selectionId=489163

volume spikes Grin


i need to stop looking at these
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:08
yeah but they might just end up sneaking it 1-0. or they might draw 0-0 or lose 0-1. we don't know
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:08
just saw Guarani had a pen on 45 mins and missed it. 0-0 half time
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:18
Necaxa 1-0 Love  ive little knowledge of the mexican stuff so going GREEN, backed at 3.6, laid just now at 1.68.  just following the money
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:25
1-2FT in Argentina. didn't end a draw but not the result I expected
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:25
looks like olimpo and rafaela are getting their under3.5 goals after all
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:27
well the big money in the market won this time

seems all through the match on the Guarani unders was backed all the way down to u0.5 with significant money for the level
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:28
tonight has been a horrible night for me really. can't get anything going. that Colo Colo match was terrible and I missed out on The Strongest goalfest while concetrating on the crap Colo Colo mugs
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:31
I reached my peak balance of the day at 11:30pm tonight. the last 2 hours have been terrible
By:
sofaking
When: 01 May 17 01:33
Rubbish day for me too. Nothing went right (besides Spurs beating the Arse). Cry
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:34
god I hate the Colombian league with a passion. when I decide not to play it, there's a late goal in every match
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:35
think everyones had a pretty crap day on here, mine was the mls Mischief
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:35
nah I did very well up until 11:30pm, avoiding many of the pitfalls and the few times I did get caught out I rebounded with an instant winner to wipe out the loss
By:
sofaking
When: 01 May 17 01:35
Hate that MLS crap. Every time I touch it I lose.
By:
clacherholiday2
When: 01 May 17 01:37
i really cant figure out the money in the puebla v necaxa market on the goals, looking at it youd have to say theres just some nutter out there with thousands who tinks itll be under2.5 but over1.5, its significant bets for a betfair market but peanuts in real terms at around 5/6k
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:38
i've noticed lately huge money matched on the late Sunday Mexican match
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:38
it happened in Santos Laguna last week and in something else the week before
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:39
no idea why. in the Santos Laguna match there were huge amounts backing o2.5 and it did eventually end up 2-1FT but all the goals came late and it busted u2.5 1.02
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:39
no idea if it's guessers or system players or people in the know
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:40
Santos Laguna match was 0-0HT. 0-0 on 80 minutes.

1-0 Santos 83 minutes
1-1 88 minutes
2-1 Santos 90+2 minutes FULL TIME.
By:
wisewords
When: 01 May 17 01:40
so the o2.5 backers from prematch surely can't have "known" that was gonna happen at the end?
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