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citroen999
21 Jan 16 21:40
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Feb 04
| Topic/replies: 695 | Blogger: citroen999's blog
**PLEASE READ - JUST FOR FUN - THESE ARE NOT TIPS**
I started with a bank of £50 on 1st Jan 2016 and as of today 21st Jan 2016 I have a bank of £133.60 - Profit £83.60 - 166% Profit

ok so here goes... I have tried numerous betting systems and all have failed. The martingale system is a loss chasing system that is normally used on roulette. Basically you put £2 red or black if it loses you then double up and put £4 on the same colour and keep doubling up until you win and then start again with £2. So the stakes go 2 4 8 16 32 64 128 256 etc. So after 8 reds in a row you would be staking £512 on a 50/50 outcome, the brain is fooled into thinking that the same colour cannot win again but the Roulette wheel has no memory, meaning the previous results have no bearing on the next result, its still a 50/50.. so this stystem fails as the bettor either runs out of money or nerves or the amount they need to stake is limited.

However!!......

Would the Martingale system work with football?? Not all outcomes are 50/50 eg Arsenal v Crewe - top of premier league v bottom of league 1... odds would be someing like Arsenal 1.45 v Crewe 7.5 . So you are betting on a favourite not a 50/50.

So i started on 1st of Jan 2016 by betting on a teams that are odds. I originally tried to back just home teams between 1.69 and 1.40 but then switched to away teams at the same prices. I have also cashed out if looked at bit dodgy around the 80 minutes mark but not too many times.

The System
Back odds on 1.69 to 1.45 (dont back on friendlies)
Try and let the match run to the end
If the team loses back your next team to recover the loss
If you last match of the day is a loss, carry over tomorrow

Increase profit target £3 per match when I reach £200, and my target is £500

eg Arsenal @ 1.50 - you would need to stake £4 to win £2
if they lose your next bet is on Man Utd @ 1.50 is £12 ( this will recover the £4 lost stake and the £2 profit you want)
I know its bigger stakes but in 20 days I have made £83 - 166% profit. I have been very strict, no silly bets, no over betting, sticking to the system and if the last odds on bet is at 7pm but there are still 20 games left, then so be it, i stop betting until the next day.

Not doing any research lol, just backing teams i have never heard of!!
I am using Betfair as i feel these are better odds
Feel free to follow me, comment or have a go yourself.
I will try and post my selections pre match but i am at work most of the day so i will post my betfair profit and loss each day

I will post my profit and loss sheet from betfair to show upadate profit from 1st of jan then i will post daily profit sheet

Good luck!!!

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Replies: 35
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 21 Jan 16 21:44
Good luck, matey. But be prepared to be slaughtered !!! Blush
By:
tenpins
When: 21 Jan 16 21:49
eg Arsenal v Crewe - top of premier league v bottom of league 1... odds would be someing like Arsenal 1.45 v Crewe 7.5 . So you are betting on a favourite not a 50/50.

If those odds were offered the site would melt down in the stampede to back Arsenal.
Good luck anyway.
By:
RBoyd86
When: 21 Jan 16 21:50
systems....
By:
throwthetellyoutawindow
When: 21 Jan 16 22:20
good luck wot can possibly go wrong ??

You started with a £4 bet then next was a £12 bet and if that lost presumably a £30 bet would follow and then a £70 bet or have i got that wrong  ??
By:
Darlo Bantam
When: 21 Jan 16 22:32
eg Arsenal v Crewe - top of premier league v bottom of league 1... odds would be someing like Arsenal 1.45 v Crewe 7.5 .

Can I have some of what you're having.
By:
citroen999
When: 21 Jan 16 22:38
haha.... yup bound to lose... but hey its £50 and its just a laugh... if i get upto £500 i'll be happy.... seen loads of those "all in" style threads, rather than all in on every bet i get about 4 chances if things go wrong

as i said just giving it a whirl, not claiming its the holy grail or selling owt either lol

C'mon!!
By:
brassneck
When: 21 Jan 16 22:58
just lay rooney to score (OR SOMEONE ELSE )in every game.Or some other striker @ 1/1.
it will not be long before your striker fails to score and you will get 2 quid more.
Laying teams to win could catch you out but most strikers fail to score on a regular basis.
You can thank me later,
good luck to you,but if you do as I say it will take a while,but you should run it up to 10 grand and increase stakes when you realize this system can not be beaten.
By:
brassneck
When: 21 Jan 16 23:09
By the way Citreon if youwant to get the 10 grand quickly run ten strikers concurrently ,and change your forum name to rolls Royce because that is what you will be driving next year now you have the knowledge,as I say you can thank me later.Cool
By:
kellydamo
When: 21 Jan 16 23:11
you should do it laying barca or madrid been successful with it before
By:
citroen999
When: 24 Jan 16 09:06


Havent had much chance to bet over the last few days due to a crappy internet connection while i have been away but back on it yesterday

Profit Since 1st jan £92.96 - Yesterdays profit £9.36 - 185% profit - new bank £142.96

Be nice if i could get to a bank £160 today


c'mon!!!
By:
DAFFODIL1
When: 24 Jan 16 12:03
How many bets a day are you doing
By:
citroen999
When: 24 Jan 16 17:53
around 5-6 depending on how busy i am at work..lol

not gone more than 2 losers, 3rd bet has always come in upto now...

but i am betting on some crazy daytime leagues so anything could happen
By:
citroen999
When: 26 Jan 16 12:25


Total Profit Since 1st jan £104.93 - 24th Jan profit £11.97 - 208% profit - new bank £154.93

going to try and get to £170 today

c'mon!!!
By:
JC1326
When: 26 Jan 16 12:37

Jan 24, 2016 -- 5:53PM, citroen999 wrote:


around 5-6 depending on how busy i am at work..lolnot gone more than 2 losers, 3rd bet has always come in upto now...but i am betting on some crazy daytime leagues so anything could happen


This is what trips a lot of people up, imo. No reason to back six games a day, or even a single game a day, other than for the thrill of it. Imo, to have a successful system requires discipline and patience, the kind of patience that results in you sometimes going an entire week without a bet

By:
Charlie
When: 26 Jan 16 14:53
Oh dear, a poor man's Schalke.
By:
kellydamo
When: 26 Jan 16 18:59
Real drew the other night so you would have won with my one
By:
citroen999
When: 28 Jan 16 22:58


Total Profit Since 1st jan £118.45 - 208% profit - new bank £168.45
By:
TheBetfairBuddy
When: 28 Jan 16 23:55

Jan 26, 2016 -- 6:59PM, kellydamo wrote:


Real drew the other night so you would have won with my one


LOL
you love stalking a newby

By:
DAFFODIL1
When: 29 Jan 16 20:57
citroen999 28 Jan 16 22:58 Joined: 12 Feb 04 | Topic/replies: 688 | Blogger: citroen999's blog


Total Profit Since 1st jan £118.45 - 208% profit - new bank £168.45
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Well done.keep it going
By:
themightymac
When: 29 Jan 16 21:25
I stopped reading when op stated Arsenal would be 1.45 to beat Crewe LaughLaugh

tbh one can't take him serious after that.
By:
citroen999
When: 29 Jan 16 22:27
I stopped reading when op stated Arsenal would be 1.45 to beat Crewe LaughLaugh

tbh one can't take him serious after that.


haha... numpty!! you are still following the thread though aren't you daft lad... thought you'd stop reading ;)

dont take life too serious mate, who cares if the odds were not spot on it was a rough example of what i was doing.. anyway keep following the thread, glad you like it
By:
citroen999
When: 29 Jan 16 22:34
Betting Profit & Loss

29-Jan-2016 22:27

2015-01-01 00:00 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm) to 2016-01-29 22:27 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm)   


Football: £132.65  Total P&L:  £132.65



Total Profit Since 1st jan £132.65 - 264% profit - new bank £182.65

i'm gunning for £200 by sunday, and i will increase to £3 profit per game
By:
themightymac
When: 29 Jan 16 23:37
The numpty Shocked wishes you well and I hope you achieve your goal.

It just shocks me that 99% of gamblers have little knowledge of true odds and betting in general. Odds are the most serious aspect of gambling. I've got to take them seriously. I got 33/1 on a bet from a bookie when I knew that the true odds were approximately 3/1. That's how I make my money, by spotting major errors.

Still following the thread!
By:
TheBetfairBuddy
When: 30 Jan 16 00:36
Noooice work!!Excited
By:
citroen999
When: 30 Jan 16 22:06
The numpty Shocked wishes you well and I hope you achieve your goal.


sorry i take it back...Blush its just that people love to jump in and tear a thread apart when they know full well what i was saying... rather than arsenal v crewe i should have said i will back arsenal everytime at 1.40 - 1.69..

as i said its just a bit of fun, but i think with a bit more research on the teams rather than just picking any game i might stand more of a chance...

dont know how long i will last picking teams like teams in the kazakhstan u19 womens 3rd divsion, and if that divison does not exist please dont bother to post and tell me that i dont know anything about football. i'm being sarcastic ExcitedExcited
By:
themightymac
When: 30 Jan 16 22:13
No worries mate, you are doing well. Greed beats most punters, stick to your targets and up the stake only when you reach it. Good luck.
By:
themightymac
When: 30 Jan 16 22:15
A winning team at 1.9 in Kazakhstan, pays the same profit as a 1.9 shot in English Premier!
By:
pauliow
When: 31 Jan 16 14:02
Not posted on this thread before but have been following it. Pleased it's working so far but wanted to say dont give yourself targets of say £200 or £300 as that may lead you to lose your discipline. You're doing great, keep it up. Happy
By:
citroen999
When: 02 Feb 16 22:34
Betting Profit & Loss

02-Feb-2016 22:27

2015-01-01 00:00 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm) to 2016-02-02 22:27 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm)   


Football: £162.23  Total P&L:  £162.23



Total Profit Since 1st jan £162.23 - 324% profit - new bank £212.23

hit the £200 now going for £3 profit per match... not betting as much and now doing a bit of research :)
By:
citroen999
When: 02 Feb 16 22:48
i should have said "not betting as often" in the above post
By:
DartsnBooze
When: 03 Feb 16 10:39
This is the first time I have posted on the football forum (thought it'd be full of bs and no mark armchair grunters).
Now and again I leave the darts forum (taking a hiatus) and go on a little trawl through chit chat. I enjoy reading threads like this regardless of the sport, as the OP leaves his bollocks dangling for ridicule. E.G. Derek McGowan daily bet in the mirror. He got absolutely slaughtered by many. Though these clever ones couldn't/wouldn't post up their own daily tips. Why? Because it's hard as feck to retain a profit backing one selection a day, with odds on shots day after day, or any odd for that matter, and you'll become the latest laughing stock. Go on, try it!

Keep at it citroen.

Good luck
By:
DartsnBooze
When: 03 Feb 16 10:50
BTW, themightymac
themightymac 29 Jan 16 23:37 Joined: 05 Apr 02 | Topic/replies: 15,193 | Blogger: themightymac's blog

I got 33/1 on a bet from a bookie when I knew that the true odds were approximately 3/1.

Really? Another sub human punter distracting/taking advantage of a cashier just doing their job.

I don't want to burst your bubble but if the bet was placed in a bookie's shop with an epos machine, the true odds when the bet was struck will show up regardless what odds are on your slip and you'll be paid out accordingly. However, If the odds have been signed off by the cashier you'll be in a better position for a payout, though your card will be marked the next time you try placing a bet with said bookie in town.

Good luck.
By:
citroen999
When: 04 Feb 16 20:37


Total Profit Since 1st jan £175.43 - 350% profit - new bank £225.43

Slowly slowyly catch ye monkey an all that :)
By:
citroen999
When: 07 Feb 16 20:25

Betting Profit & Loss

07-Feb-2016 20:07

Period:         
Download to Spreadsheet
     
2016-01-01 00:00 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm) to 2016-02-07 20:06 (yyyy-mm-dd hh:mm)

Get P & L

Football: £205.21  Total P&L:  £205.21



Total Profit Since 1st jan £205.21 - 410% profit - new bank £255.21....

in hindsight i wish i had used 10x my stake lol... could have had £2050 in the bank ;)
By:
freddiewilliams
When: 10 Feb 16 19:52
any chance u can throw some of us a few crumbs...............especailly as valentines coming up......we need some cash to get out birds a card and chocolates
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