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northbound
16 Nov 15 09:38
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Date Joined: 25 Sep 03
| Topic/replies: 35 | Blogger: northbound's blog
There's a Belarussian Cup game starting in half an hour where the odds for an away win fell heavily pre-game:

Dinamo Brest v Naftan

Yesterday another Belarussian game's odds followed the same pattern, away win odds dropping pre-game to 1.60 and holding on even when the away team was down 3-0.

Traditional bookies removed the market after 10min of inplay, the away win didn't materialize, the home team won 6-4. My theory was that they called off the fix when bookies removed the market and perhaps the same will happen today.

All in all, perhaps the best strategy for this game is to bet on over2.5 goals?
Pause Switch to Standard View Another fixed match in Belarus?
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Report DIE LINKE November 16, 2015 9:44 AM GMT
another fixed match in Belarus following the last fixed game that, er, wasn't?
Report northbound November 16, 2015 9:49 AM GMT
When you see the odds for a win keep being the same as pre-game's even when the team is down 3-0, to me there's something dodgy going on, regardless of how the game ends.
Report philjack82 November 16, 2015 9:52 AM GMT
There was one in the Ukrainian u-21 league last week. Something like £80k was put on the away side at odds of around 1.2 when there was nothing between them in the league table. Home side won 2-1.
Report DIE LINKE November 16, 2015 9:53 AM GMT
Something very dodgy went on, but those who got involved in that "fix" will be off to the local foodbank today.
Report johnizere November 16, 2015 11:05 AM GMT
1-0 ht naftan now 3.5 ish, still a little on the low side, but not unusual?
Report n88uk November 16, 2015 11:38 AM GMT
The odds in this game in particular don't have to mean fix at all. You'd expect them to have dropped to way lower than 1.6 if people knew they were going to win. Can just be the home side playing their reserves.
Report northbound November 16, 2015 11:52 AM GMT
Good point, n88uk
Report philjack82 November 16, 2015 11:55 AM GMT
Well that's another 'fix' that turned out it wasn't. That's the 3rd in the last week I've seen. Glad I refrain from jumping on the bandwagon.
Report GTFI November 16, 2015 12:00 PM GMT
Most TRUE fixes appear around 75+ mins into the game.....  so my own opinion is only take the inflated odds when that late into it the game,  less stake,  bigger profits,  plus a chance to see if it is going as a "fixed" game would be Wink
Report GTFI November 16, 2015 12:03 PM GMT
30% profit in the Dnipro game,   0-0,  who's joining in? Happy
Report GTFI November 16, 2015 12:03 PM GMT
Over 0.5goals i should have added hehe
Report GTFI November 16, 2015 12:08 PM GMT
and BOOM,    that'll do nicely thankyou :)    0-1
Report TheBetfairBuddy November 17, 2015 2:40 AM GMT
110% was fixed
Unfortunately pinnie not offering!
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