Football
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There's a Belarussian Cup game starting in half an hour where the odds for an away win fell heavily pre-game:
Dinamo Brest v Naftan
Yesterday another Belarussian game's odds followed the same pattern, away win odds dropping pre-game to 1.60 and holding on even when the away team was down 3-0.
Traditional bookies removed the market after 10min of inplay, the away win didn't materialize, the home team won 6-4. My theory was that they called off the fix when bookies removed the market and perhaps the same will happen today.
All in all, perhaps the best strategy for this game is to bet on over2.5 goals?
Dinamo Brest v Naftan
Yesterday another Belarussian game's odds followed the same pattern, away win odds dropping pre-game to 1.60 and holding on even when the away team was down 3-0.
Traditional bookies removed the market after 10min of inplay, the away win didn't materialize, the home team won 6-4. My theory was that they called off the fix when bookies removed the market and perhaps the same will happen today.
All in all, perhaps the best strategy for this game is to bet on over2.5 goals?
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another fixed match in Belarus following the last fixed game that, er, wasn't?
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When you see the odds for a win keep being the same as pre-game's even when the team is down 3-0, to me there's something dodgy going on, regardless of how the game ends.
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There was one in the Ukrainian u-21 league last week. Something like £80k was put on the away side at odds of around 1.2 when there was nothing between them in the league table. Home side won 2-1.
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Something very dodgy went on, but those who got involved in that "fix" will be off to the local foodbank today.
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1-0 ht naftan now 3.5 ish, still a little on the low side, but not unusual?
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The odds in this game in particular don't have to mean fix at all. You'd expect them to have dropped to way lower than 1.6 if people knew they were going to win. Can just be the home side playing their reserves.
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Good point, n88uk
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Well that's another 'fix' that turned out it wasn't. That's the 3rd in the last week I've seen. Glad I refrain from jumping on the bandwagon.
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Most TRUE fixes appear around 75+ mins into the game..... so my own opinion is only take the inflated odds when that late into it the game, less stake, bigger profits, plus a chance to see if it is going as a "fixed" game would be
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30% profit in the Dnipro game, 0-0, who's joining in?
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Over 0.5goals i should have added hehe
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and BOOM, that'll do nicely thankyou :) 0-1
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110% was fixed
Unfortunately pinnie not offering! |