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Good morning today sees a lot of games as per usual and one will do me,tomorrow there will be hundreds of opportunities and to pick two or three on a Saturday may be easier than trying to find one on a non descript Monday,and therein lies one of the quandarys in trying to make this work and at the same time retain discipline.
Pajjo thanks for your input,would you care to elaborate a bit on your success with the strategy you employ. |
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7/7 bank up to 20.40 backed 0ver 1.5 in Hoverla yth v Metalurg Z yth when the score was 1-0, at price of 1.11 after approximately 25 minutes.
Long term this can't work but a run of 70 would be nice. I am interested in how pajjo operates,but I can't stress how difficult I am finding it to maintain discipline. |
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I don't usually do too well, but that's down to my impatience. So, 10 a week is the new current plan... I started this time on €50 and i am up to €124 after 10 games which i started last Thursday. So i am on to a new gameweek of 10 games. I will let you know how i get on. Here is the first 10 games i did.
Krasnodar vs Slovan Bratislava 2 - 0 Bordeaux vs AEK Larnaca 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional vs Envigado 1 - 0 Austria Klagenfurt vs FAC Team fur Wien 1 - 0 Molde vs Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 3 Ajax vs Rapid Vienna 2 - 3 Club Brugge vs Panathinaikos 3 - 0 Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahce 3 - 0 Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto 4 - 0 Trabzonspor vs Rabotnicki 1 - 0 |
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I am backing the 0-0 all season in the Premiership, the Championship & Real Madrid's & Barca's games.
Money for old rope. |
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Pajjo thanks for sharing that,do you withdraw the profit after each game week.
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if you are going to bet full bank each time you will fail, that's not the way to do it. Do it for a while and then change once you've made a bit. If i get to 996k (or anywhere near that) i'm not going to risk it all to win 10k and i'm not going to get matched either
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new season , new lay 0-0 thread -expect to be out by the end of the weekend though
bet 1 bahia v boa @11.0 |
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Ifound a good system put it up on here and got slated but it makes me a bit . only played it when 2 high scoring team played each other , might try more teams this year. pick a match . im going prem this season. go to the ht mkt and lay the o.o . then bet the draw in the same ht mkt
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I prefer to back 0.5 goals or more ...0-0 Prem results average over the season 8%
You win 92 times out of a 100 ...by carefully selecting teams - I've got this up to to 98%.. last season ...luvvly jubbly. I try and take between ... 1.10 to 1.15+ - no less it's not worth it. My average Top teams 1st goal timing - 28 minutes. |
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My prdiction results last year ...1st. long run (getting filled) 54 games, next 40 games ..
At say 50 games start with £100 bank :- compounded at 1.10 = £9,347.73 compounded at 1.12 = £22,093.25 compounded at 1.15 = £78,128.67 takes into account Betfair 5% commission. I'm using excel fomula =SUM(E21*0.1425+E21)for calcs. But let's be realistic guys ...from memory amounts matched on 0.5 goals around £250k ? total so any bets over £10,000 - don't know how long it would take you to get "filled" Hope this helps. |
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bet2 cardiff v fulham @12.0
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Afternoon gents, 8/8 backed over 0.5 goals in Manchester United v Tottenham Hotspur at 1.1 after about 15 minutes or so,I didn't realise they had scored so soon after I placed the bet.
Now here I am itching to get involved in the 3pm kick offs,I will have to go to do some gardening,I am so frustrated by having to wait until tomorrow,I will have to come up with a plan,as I will end up doing something stupid,and blowing the lot. |
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bet3
bournemouth v aston villa @12.5 |
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bet4
chelsea v swansea @15.0 |
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well done gotitwrong, if I may suggest that if you wait for about 15 minutes you can get better odds and statistically goals are seldom scored that early.
I struggled with discipline today stayed out in the garden,and so many goals everywhere lol. I am determined to get to at least 10K so must get the head right. |
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cheers Golden Fleece .
I realise I could get better odds by waiting , but once I have decided to lay the 0-0 , I dont want to miss out due to an early goal bet5 mechelen v mouscron @14.0 |
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gotitwrong
what is your strategy do you view this as long term or do you play Russian roulette with it? |
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bet6
marseille v caen @ 16.5 strategy ? just having a dabble , tried this loads of times , not a millionaire (yet) |
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bet7
toronto v kansas city @ 16.0 |
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bet8
emelec v muhuc runa @18.0 |
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Man U v Spurs an example of why it's smarter to back no goalscorer than 0-0 (assuming same price)
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bet9
aberdeen v kilmarnock @16.5 |
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bet10
hammarby v elfsborg @17.0 |
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no goals here-cant even make it to ten
![]() goal dance started |
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speaking from experience, I would avoid anything to do with 0 0
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you get greedy and impatient too. Unless you are a machine maybe then you might have a small chance.
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Evening gents,been out with the family all day. I am really sorry to see you get blown out gotitwrong,it could be me tomorrow.
I did an early game this morning 9/9 backed over 0.5 goals at 1.1 after about 30 minutes and the goal followed about 3 minutes later. |
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be careful
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attempt2
bet1 lyon v lorient @14.0 |
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Surely being patient and picking the games that could possibly be 0-0 or a method of back to lay is a better option. If you say you know which games to avoid the possibility of 0-0's in just back them?
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do your homework on the 0 0 , have a look at its stats and odds and you wont get involved. Theres better scorelines to get involved with.
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I find it pretty easy and relatively low risk to make 10% or more trading/scalping unders late in a game eg when the ball goes out for a GK or when there's a substitution. You should use trading software tho as you have to be quick. You can do this in way more games than you'll select as a 0-0 lay. why don't you try something like that? you might have to scalp a few times in a match but it's far easier once you familiarise yourself with the way the markets move and the trading software ladder interface.
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Look at the stongest v Blooming , the 0 0 was 25/1 now its 6/1 at ht.. what would you do if you layed the 0 0 at those odds. It would take you 25 games to make it back. Can you then manage 25 games without hitting a 0 0 ? probably not as 1 in 10 roughly is a 0 0.
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Done okay backing the 0-0 this weekend.
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backing the 0 0 ? expand ?
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That's why if you set a maximum price of 10 then maybe it can work,not sure what price arsenal game went to before the goal,but probably less than 10,I like to watch the game develop and take a stand when I am happy with the price.
Nobody said it was easy or would work but we shall see,one day at a time. |
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Petr Cech was probably the reason arsenal/west ham didn't end 0-0.
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french football ,schoolboy error ,goal dance started again
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give it u gotitwrong..dont throw any more money at it
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