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1.5gls Market - Making a living on bf? Is it possible?

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By:
dukeofpuke
When: 07 Sep 14 00:40
wtf,cant you find that for yourself.
By:
Bergkamp93
When: 07 Sep 14 02:34
LaughShocked
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 09:31
Sorry - I fell asleep :(   I would have replied Brazil B  -  finished 2-0
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 10:00
This weeks games up until Friday look pretty crap -  Bahia on the other hand looks like one to send you to sleep, perhaps go unders if youre an unders backer for ticks
There are quite a few good ones for next weekend,  will post them Friday night

Date League Rating 1.5gls total Pred' score Positions under/over BTTS
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Internacional v Figueirense 3.1 (6-3-3) 3-1 12 - 2v14 (8/2) 1/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A São Paulo v Sport Club Recife 2.2 (6-4-2) 2-1 4 - 3v7 (5/5) 4/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Atlético PR v Palmeiras 2.1 (8-4-4) 1-1 5 - 11v16 (6/4) 3/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Criciúma v Corinthians 2.1 (5-3-2) 1-2 13 - 17v4 (6/4) 4/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Atlético Mineiro v Botafogo 1.9 (6-4-2) 2-0 5 - 8v13 (8/2) 4/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Fluminense v Cruzeiro 1.8 (6-4-2) 1-1 5 - 6v1 (8/2) 4/10
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Bahia v Coritiba 1.6 (4-2-2) 1-1 1 - 19v18 (9/1) 2/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Joinville v Paraná 3.4 (6-3-3) 3-1 12 - 1v13 (5/5) 6/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B América RN v Oeste 3.2 (7-3-4) 2-1 1 - 15v16 (4/6) 5/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Vasco da Gama v Luverdense 2.9 (9-4-5) 2-1 4 - 3v7 (5/5) 5/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Santa Cruz v Portuguesa 2.9 (8-5-3) 2-1 8 - 11v19 (5/5) 4/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Vila Nova v Nautico 2.6 (10-5-5) 1-1 10 - 20v10 (6/4) 4/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Ceará v América Mineiro 2.6 (8-5-3) 2-1 2 - 4v6 (4/6) 6/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Boa v ABC Natal 2.5 (7-5-2) 2-1 4 - 8v12 (5/5) 5/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Sampaio Correa v Icasa 2.2 (5-3-2) 1-1 9 - 9v18 (8/2) 3/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Ponte Preta v Atlético GO 2.2 (7-2-5) 1-1 9 - 5v14 (8/2) 2/10
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Bragantino v Avai 2.1 (5-2-3) 1-2 15 - 17v2 (6/4) 4/10
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Grêmio v Atlético PR 3.1 (8-3-5) 2-1 6 - 5v11 (5/5) 6/10
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Figueirense v Fluminense 2.4 (7-3-4) 1-1 8 - 14v6 (6/4) 4/10
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Palmeiras v Criciúma 1.8 (7-3-4) 1-1 1 - 16v17 (8/2) 4/10
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Corinthians v Atlético Mineiro 2.8 (9-5-4) 2-1 4 - 4v8 (5/5) 8/10
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Goiás v CR Flamengo 2 (5-2-3) 1-1 2 - 12v10 (6/4) 3/10
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Vitória v Internacional 1.4 (3-2-1) 1-2 18 - 20v2 (7/3) 3/10
12/Sep/14 Norway(1) - Tippeligaen Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt 3.3 (8-4-4) 2-1 5 - 3v8 (3/7) 7/10
12/Sep/14 Sweden - Superettan Husqvarna v Hammarby 2.8 (9-5-4) 1-3 12 - 15v3 (4/6) 4/10
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Oeste v Sampaio Correa 2.8 (7-4-3) 2-1 7 - 16v9 (3/7) 7/10
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Nautico v Ceará 2.5 (7-2-5) 1-1 6 - 10v4 (6/4) 5/10
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Icasa v Joinville 2.2 (8-4-4) 1-2 17 - 18v1 (7/3) 4/10
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 10:02
International and Joinville look good for goals,  but they dont have the required 3.5 rating,  so it is your choice if you go for them (ov 1,5gls)
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 10:29
Date League Game Predicted score Last 5 Last 4 Last 3 Last 2 What to back
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Internacional v Figueirense 3-1 3.10 3.13 2.83 2.25 -
07/Sep/14 Brazil A São Paulo v Sport Club Recife 2-1 2.20 2.25 2.83 3.00 -
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Atlético PR v Palmeiras 1-1 2.10 2.13 2.17 2.00 -
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Criciúma v Corinthians 1-2 2.10 1.88 1.67 1.50 -
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Atlético Mineiro v Botafogo 2-0 1.90 1.88 2.00 1.75 Unders
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Fluminense v Cruzeiro 1-1 1.80 1.88 1.83 1.75 Unders
07/Sep/14 Brazil A Bahia v Coritiba 1-1 1.60 1.63 1.67 1.00 Unders
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Joinville v Paraná 3-1 3.40 3.75 4.17 4.50 2gls
09/Sep/14 Brazil B América RN v Oeste 2-1 3.20 2.88 2.67 3.75 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Vasco da Gama v Luverdense 2-1 2.90 2.75 2.83 3.25 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Santa Cruz v Portuguesa 2-1 2.90 3.25 3.33 2.50 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Vila Nova v Nautico 1-1 2.60 2.75 2.50 2.50 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Ceará v América Mineiro 2-1 2.60 2.38 2.50 2.25 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Boa v ABC Natal 2-1 2.50 2.38 2.50 2.25 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Sampaio Correa v Icasa 1-1 2.20 2.38 2.17 1.25 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Ponte Preta v Atlético GO 1-1 2.20 2.25 2.50 2.75 -
09/Sep/14 Brazil B Bragantino v Avai 1-2 2.10 2.00 2.33 3.25 -
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Grêmio v Atlético PR 2-1 3.10 3.38 2.83 3.00 -
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Figueirense v Fluminense 1-1 2.40 2.25 2.00 1.50 -
10/Sep/14 Brazil A Palmeiras v Criciúma 1-1 1.80 1.63 1.50 1.00 Unders
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Corinthians v Atlético Mineiro 2-1 2.80 2.75 3.00 3.00 -
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Goiás v CR Flamengo 1-1 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.50 -
11/Sep/14 Brazil A Vitória v Internacional 1-2 1.40 1.38 1.17 1.50 -
12/Sep/14 Norway(1) - Tippeligaen Rosenborg v Bodo/Glimt 2-1 3.30 3.25 2.50 2.75 -
12/Sep/14 Sweden - Superettan Husqvarna v Hammarby 1-3 2.80 2.63 2.67 2.50 -
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Oeste v Sampaio Correa 2-1 2.80 3.00 3.33 3.25 -
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Nautico v Ceará 1-1 2.50 2.38 2.67 2.25 -
12/Sep/14 Brazil B Icasa v Joinville 1-2 2.20 2.13 2.33 2.50 -
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 10:30
ONLY BACK UNDERS after so long into the game and shots OT are low - taking a few ticks is better than the game turning on its head!!
Remember - This thread is for 1.5gls ONLY - back unders at your own risk
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 12:30
PROFIT AND LOSS

Date Rating Game Odds Won/Lost PnL to win 10 PnL Level £5 stakes
25/08/2014 5.2 Tromso v Honefoss    1.1 W £10.00 £0.50
25/08/2014 3.8 Jönköpings v Syrianska    1.16 W £10.00 £0.80
30/08/2014 3.5 Joinville v Oeste 1.28 W £10.00 £1.40
31/08/2014 4.6 Viking v Rosenborg 1.14 W £10.00 £0.70
31/08/2014 4.6 Sundsvall v Assyriska 1.16 W £10.00 £0.80
31/08/2014 4.0 Lillestrom v Haugesund 1.22 W £10.00 £1.10
31/08/2014 3.9 Tromsdalen v Nest-Sotra 1.15 W £10.00 £0.75
31/08/2014 3.9 Strommen v HamKam 1.08 W £10.00 £0.40
31/08/2014 3.9 Ljungskile v Östers    1.24 W £10.00 £1.20
31/08/2014 3.8 Bodo/Glimt v Valerenga 1.13 W £10.00 £0.65
31/08/2014 3.8 Norrköping v AIK Fotboll 1.18 W £10.00 £0.90
31/08/2014 3.7 Häcken v Mjällby 1.17 W £10.00 £0.85
31/08/2014 3.6 Göteborg v Kalmar 1.25 W £10.00 £1.25
31/08/2014 3.6 Örebro v Brommapojkarna  1.16 W £10.00 £0.80
31/08/2014 3.5 Stabaek v Sandnes 1.16 W £10.00 £0.80
31/08/2014 3.5 Kristiansund v Bryne 1.11 W £10.00 £0.55
31/08/2014 3.5 Sirius v Landskrona 1.13 W £10.00 £0.65
02/09/2014 3.5 Atlético GO v Boa 1.3 W £10.00 £1.50
05/09/2014 3.2 Mjondalen v Tromso 1.25 W £10.00 £1.25
06/09/2014 3.4 Avai v América RN 1.25 L -£40.00 -£5.00
07/09/2014 3.9 Luverdense v Vila Nova 1.25 W £10.00 £1.25
total 0.0 £190.00 £16.85
By:
waccoe75
When: 07 Sep 14 15:09
everyone over 3.5 as won
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 16:47
yes mate,  to date if it has had a rating of 3.5 or above,  it has had the required 2 goals....   it wont last forever of course.

The main question is...as OP says,  "is it possible to make a living from it?"
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 17:07
Very early days but if on 1.5 goals and intend to make £10 from each bet to date it would actually be £240 profit in just over a week (Avai loss was not 3.5 rating but also Mjondalen would not have been placed to win £10)
I await the results when Europe leagues are added to see if it is really possible to make a living from the 1.5 goals market when aiming for £10 per win.
Obviously with some games having very low odds a decent bank would be needed to cover losses - Also do you set a limit of not backing any game unless the odds hit 1.2+

Read more: http://topfooty.proboards.com/thread/219/stats-galore?page=3&scrollTo=24506#ixzz3Ce9DRBRx

(2 **** games have been missed from the table that also won - will update it when further games have been played....   (next weekend)
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 17:07
no idea why it blocked J ap......
By:
waccoe75
When: 07 Sep 14 17:16
I normally place 40th minute mark if still 0-0 better returns then
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 17:29
with average odds so far of 1.2, it would take 38 bets in a row to make up a 1000/1 winner.... (accumalative staking ob')
22 bets to date have won in a row.... can it hit the magical 38?

When Europe is added there is/will be 38 bets in a single weekend :)
By:
GTFI
When: 07 Sep 14 23:15
Internacional 2-0 by Halftime,  recommended 2 goals,   Bahia 0-0 HT,  recommended unders  (See above)
By:
GTFI
When: 08 Sep 14 23:13
Are YOU on Joinville 2 goals for a 35% profit?  No?  Fair enough, then I presume you are waiting for it to go inplay to take 40% for the 2 goals....  there cannot possibly be any other reason you aren't on it Wink
By:
GTFI
When: 08 Sep 14 23:19
Brazil B - 1am (UK time) for those too idle to find it lol
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 08 Sep 14 23:36
or because it doesnt have a 3.5 rating ?
By:
GTFI
When: 08 Sep 14 23:46
That could be another reason lol,  but in general 3-1 forecast and a rating over 3 will also return 2 goals+
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 00:03
both teams have had 7 games with less than  2 goals , out of 20 ,and average 2.4/2.25 goals per game  respectively.

looks a slightly better 3.4 shot than avai v america rn , but not by much -and that finished 0-0
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:24
look only at home games for Joinville,  and away games for Parana,   also league games only,  tells a slightly different story.....  Joinville are pretty strong at home mate
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:32
btw,  quite a few 3.5+ for the weekend,  will post them all on the site Friday
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 00:33
played 10 w8 d 1 l1 f15 a 5  , thats 2goals per game
i know parana away are 2 3 5 12 14  , ,and i dont think 1.35 is bad odds , but its not that out of line imo
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:40
fair enough mate...  your opinion is appreciated
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:47
The odds are actually drifting..  I will still be going for it though..
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 00:47
even though ,1.01 nailed on ,I am acquiesce12 ,lol ?

your program ,3.5 or above is 100% , the 3.4 pick failed -if this fails at 3.4 , the evidence is ,dont force a bet at 3.4?
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:49
2 others have won... internacional being one of them that i outlined at the same time as joinville,  i think was 4 goals.  Also with those two i said about an unders game,  it finished 0-0
nailed on lol,   yep...   we all make mistakes now and again :)
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 00:52
no problem ,just think it looks better to keep going on the 100% track , for as long as ..
anyway ,gl i might watch to see how game looks
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 00:54
cheers mate,  appreciate your words
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 01:10
ok- joined in @1.44 for a laugh ,gl
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 01:11
gl us then :)
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 01:31
A few shots OT would be nice :)
By:
GTFI
When: 09 Sep 14 02:35
thats the 2 gls in
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 09 Sep 14 06:20
never in doubt ,lol
By:
GTFI
When: 11 Sep 14 19:59
100% strike rate for a rating of 3.5 or above.  Here are the next few days games
Are YOU on Cruz for 1.5gls?
All the 1.5gl games


11/Sep/14    4.1    Brazil A    Cruzeiro v Bahia
13/Sep/14    4.2    J -League    Kawasaki Frontale v Tokushima   
13/Sep/14    4.1    Norway(1) - Tippeligaen    Stromsgodset v Brann   
13/Sep/14    3.6    J -League    Omiya Ardija v Kashima
13/Sep/14    3.5    Sweden - Superettan    Degerfors v Sundsvall   
13/Sep/14    3.5    Brazil B    Avai v Vila Nova
14/Sep/14    4.3    Sweden - Superettan    Ljungskile v Assyriska   
14/Sep/14    4.2    Norway(1) - Tippeligaen    Valerenga v Haugesund
14/Sep/14    4.1    Norway(2) - Div' 1    Mjondalen v Tromsdalen   
14/Sep/14    4.0    Norway(1) - Tippeligaen    Start v Stabaek
14/Sep/14    3.8    Norway(2) - Div' 1    Sandefjord v Ullensaker/Kisa
14/Sep/14    3.8    Sweden - Allsvenskan    Halmstads v Mjällby
14/Sep/14    3.5    Norway(2) - Div' 1    HamKam v Honefoss
15/Sep/14    4.3    Norway(2) - Div' 1    Tromso v Hodd
15/Sep/14    4.1    Sweden - Allsvenskan    Norrköping v Brommapojkarna
15/Sep/14    3.6    Sweden - Allsvenskan    Helsingborg v AIK Fotboll

ALL games can be found on the site

Read more: http://topfooty.proboards.com/thread/219/stats-galore?page=4#ixzz3D2CBg45m
By:
GTFI
When: 12 Sep 14 00:23
8 mins to KO,  are YOU on it ??????????????????
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 12 Sep 14 00:32
4/1 on hoping for 2 goals or more is not the future imho....good luck to you though.   Happy
By:
gotitwrong-
When: 12 Sep 14 01:01
0-1 , should mean a winning bet surely
By:
GTFI
When: 12 Sep 14 01:12
As the home team are favs,  hopefully yes :)
By:
GTFI
When: 12 Sep 14 01:46
1-1  55mins,  tooooooooooooooo easy :)
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