Football
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I'm thinking of getting involved in this, I know QPR have a mean defence, but derby score plenty of goals. Austin's back for Rangers, the pitch should be slick and the youthful Derby lads, might prove a handful for the ageing QPR defence. Both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets of late. Any thoughts?
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Replies: 16
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Draw at 12/5 looks fair, usually tight affairs
these playoff matches. Unders looks a bit short although I hate backing goals, bit like watching paint dry waiting for goals to be scored. GL. |
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theres so much on it,,,,...overs is a stretch
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unders fairly juicy@1.82
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Play-Off Final goals:
2013-0 2012-3 2011-6 2010-5 2009-1 2008-1 2007-1 2006-3 |
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That suggests unders 20/ 8 = 2.5 goals
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laughable that qpr wagebill bigger than ath madrids
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one thing i never do, is go on how many goals theres been. i dont think its relevant.
if a game has 3 goals or if it has 9 its over 2.5. if a game has 0 goals or if it has 2 goals its under 2.5. presuming those stats are right, 4 have gone over and 4 have gone under. so an even money shot either way. i think overs is generous, but i wont be going on it. finals are hard to predict but derby are clearly a much better team than qpr. if they turn up, they could win 3 or 4-0. play off finals are notorious for teams frezing though. ive layed qpr in 90 mins at 3.4, think theyre a poor price. |
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to illustrate what i mean...
this season stenhousemuir in home games have had an average of 3.39 goals per game. but only 9 have gone over 2.5, 9 have gone under. east fife have only had 2.67 goals in their home games, but 11 have gone over and 7 under. if youre betting on overs or unders the number of goals dont matter beyond winning or losing the bet. its no use betting overs on a team that wins 6-3 one week then draws 0-0 the next. its the number of games that go over or under that matters. |
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20 goals in 8 matches, average 2.5, but
seems to me distorted by 2 games producing 11 of them, so I can understand why 'unders' is around 1.82. A hard call. |
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Over 4.5 goals for ..just fancy it
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pity there is no man of the match market on here, also none for champions league final or fa cup lastweek
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sideshow, With respect where you are wrong IMO,
is making points based on 8 games, also freakish results. From a good sample perhaps 500 matches, the sides with lowest average goals per game, will produce the majority of 'unders'. How many 0-0 do we get? How many 6 goal games do we get? |
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McClaren has forgotten his umbrella!!!
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McClaren and Twitchy are mugs.
Imagine going out in that with no brolly |
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Over 2.5 goals @ 2.26 for me gl. one goal must lead to another and another this is it no play offs got to be done today.
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qpr and both teams to score for me small 7/1 also small anytime goalscorer niko krankjaer just over 7/1
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