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kenilworth
22 Apr 14 10:12
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Date Joined: 04 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 15,627 | Blogger: kenilworth's blog
Lowest expectation I have seen for a long time
at 1.60, spread middle price 2.2, very low.

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By:
goooner
When: 22 Apr 14 11:30
Probably correct. After all Chelsea don't have any strikers, do they? More interesting is that you can a better price on Atletico on the Sportsbook on here (1.9) than on the exchange (1.88 pre commission).
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 13:42
BTTS is also big,(2.38) reflecting the expected
dearth of goals.
By:
SallyCinnamon
When: 22 Apr 14 13:55
Some stats that I posted in the PSG Chelsea thread before their first leg which I think are relevant tonight when it comes to goals betting: -

Mourinhos sides in the CL have played 24 away leg knockout ties and scored in 20 of them. (now 25 and 21)

One of the non-scoring games was the Inter game in Barca where they were just aiming not to concede two.  Never not scored in an away first leg knockout game in the CL  (still stands after Paris).
By:
songsforthedeaf
When: 22 Apr 14 14:18
Good stat Sally, I might back goals. Athletico could definitely put a few past Chelsea.
By:
songsforthedeaf
When: 22 Apr 14 14:19
2.6 for overs. Thats huge. Worth a punt.
By:
Horangi.
When: 22 Apr 14 14:21
Don't see how this match will have 3+ goals.  Wait to see lineups I suppose but both sides would probably accept 0-0 and take their chances in the second leg.
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 14:24
Horangi.
Joined: 26 Jul 04
Replies: 8502
    22 Apr 14 14:21   

Don't see how this match will have 3+ goals


I agree somewhat, but that is why 3+ is 2.6.
By:
SallyCinnamon
When: 22 Apr 14 14:27
I think an early goal is a possibility, especially with the way Atletico came out blazing in the QF 2nd leg.
By:
Horangi.
When: 22 Apr 14 14:30
In Argentina 3+ can be 4's! lol  Who say 2.6 is enough?
By:
high_lander
When: 22 Apr 14 14:39
i cant see many goals here but then who can? you never know - some ppl swear by contrarian strategies - go against the crowd if you want real value.
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 15:45
horangi, we are not talking about Argentinian football, and overs and 'unders'
are usually pretty close to each other, 'unders' being slightly the most common,
around 52% historically, that being an average of 2.6 goals per game.
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 22 Apr 14 16:00
Can't see more than 1
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 16:05
None of us can!!
By:
southerner101
When: 22 Apr 14 16:17
All I can see is a Madrid win. Easy win also!!!

Top of their league battling with Barca and Real............. Chelsea are poor from home this season and cant finish for ****. 1 nil win away to Swansea and lost to Sunderland....... Just isnt exceptable from a supposedly top team.

Atl Madrid win here as they are a power house at home........ Attack hard n fast like when they beat Barca hopefully!

Ov 2.5 and to qualify
By:
egner
When: 22 Apr 14 16:22
..did an argie contrarianism bet the other night on high overs....failed spectacularly....

..will have another go on this......

over and 4.5 and 5.5
By:
funkymonkey
When: 22 Apr 14 16:34
if this does start to play out in a tight cagey manner as many expect, then I would have to favour Atletico.

In all comparable matches this season for both clubs, against quality opposition, when presented with very few openings, Atletico have managed to convert those chances almost twice as effectively as Chelsea.

So if a similar pattern evolves and both teams only conjure up say a couple of clear openings, I fully expect Atletico to convert at least one of theirs, and Chelsea to fluff em.
By:
rommel
When: 22 Apr 14 16:38
on the match,overs-just give this 10 to 15 mins....
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 17:25
...then what?
By:
jajabink
When: 22 Apr 14 17:31
does anyone know if the bookings market is in play,its says if reopened for in play,will they or wont they
By:
marychain1
When: 22 Apr 14 17:34
Two bets for me in this
First is ht draw/ft Atletico @ 5.1 in the ht/ft market
Second is 1-0 Atletico with a bit of cover on 0-0.

I take what you say about Chelsea's record but Atletico's defence is very solid, and Chelsea lack a credible attacking threat tonight. Both teams will b
By:
marychain1
When: 22 Apr 14 17:34
Both teams will be relatively happy with 0-0 here.
By:
starfish and coffee
When: 22 Apr 14 17:52
Can't see AM being that happy with a 0-0 tbh. This is a great chance for them to win tonight then have a good advantage going into 2nd leg
By:
kenilworth
When: 22 Apr 14 18:10
The booking markets are not 'in play' on here but are
on the spreads.
By:
southerner101
When: 22 Apr 14 18:17
best defence in  la liga !!!!!!!!
By:
robbie fowler is god
When: 22 Apr 14 18:46
athletico 3-1,and  2-2 madrid will think they can win the game in 1st leg and will surely want to win after even 3-1 wasnt good enough for paris to take to chelsea,i carnt see why theyd be happy with 0-0  at all
By:
PMac
When: 22 Apr 14 18:47
Madrid to win and win well for me. Still to decide but likely to pick Madrid -1 (9/4) gl
By:
PMac
When: 22 Apr 14 18:51
13     T. Courtois    
23     Miranda    
20     Juanfran    
3     Filipe Luis    
2     D. Godín    
26     Diego    
14     Gabi    
4     Mario Suárez    
8     Raúl García    
6     Koke    
19     Diego Costa    


1     P. Čech    
3     A. Cole    
26     J. Terry    
24     G. Cahill    
4     David Luiz    
28     Azpilicueta    
8     F. Lampard    
12     J. Obi Mikel    
22     Willian    
7     Ramires    
9     Fernando Torres
By:
marychain1
When: 22 Apr 14 18:52
What a strange Chelsea team Shocked
By:
southerner101
When: 22 Apr 14 18:53
no Villa???? ;(
By:
marychain1
When: 22 Apr 14 18:54
Four holding midfielders + Willian and Torres?
By:
Achtung Baby!!!
When: 22 Apr 14 18:54
Chelsea team LaughLaughLaugh
By:
robbie fowler is god
When: 22 Apr 14 18:55
nightmare chelsea team for goals i hope they end up 2-0 down after 15 mins and he realizes hes fuked it by picking that team the boring ****

i might put madrid 2-0 half time .think there shoeins now with that chelsea team
By:
CLYDEBANK29
When: 22 Apr 14 18:55
THEY knew
By:
marychain1
When: 22 Apr 14 18:56
Lump on 0-0 & 1-0. Unders. Can't see any other outcome.
By:
TerryHurlock
When: 22 Apr 14 19:00
money back at paddy on the draw for correct scores
1-0 or 0-1 for me
By:
Half Loser 22
When: 22 Apr 14 19:00
Atletico 2-0 3-0 Done
By:
Super Hans
When: 22 Apr 14 19:01
Going against the grain.

Costa hat-trick at 44.
By:
Half Loser 22
When: 22 Apr 14 19:01
It's A Race Of Life Trying To Get Goals Hammered In...
Versus Mr Mourinho's tactical exp[oition
By:
TerryHurlock
When: 22 Apr 14 19:02
go hans
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