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* Predictions That Work * - Proven profit.

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Replies: 184
By:
mesmerised
When: 23 Feb 14 18:38
If it's not going to lead to anything then why did you report my comment and get it deleted?

I'm watching you sunshine.
By:
theserbian
When: 23 Feb 14 19:01
Because Mesmerised,he's another bull**** Numpty,just like Dragon,who disappeared when sussed.
By:
Mike Bassett England Manager
When: 23 Feb 14 19:05
The only person who believes this a proven profit thread is Money Tree because you are losing less than he does.
By:
Soren24
When: 23 Feb 14 21:22
Mesmerised - I didn't report or delete anything? I have the ability to report someones posts, but I can't delete anything as far as I can tell.
By:
Soren24
When: 23 Feb 14 21:45
Profit and statistics will be updated here every day:

NBA:    - Correct 4       Wrong 5       Profit -181£
Soccer: - Correct 4       Wrong 5       Profit -243£
------------------------------------------------------------------
All in all:                                               -424£

* Profit is calculated as follows: - 100£ is placed on all bets
                                                   - Only profit and loss is taken into account (100£ on odds 1.7 = 70% profit. A loss is - 100% profit.)
By:
Meadow X1
When: 23 Feb 14 21:56
Soren,

I am going to give you some good advice here which I strongly advise you to consider.  You have had 18 bets, mostly on odds on shots and are losing an average 23 Euros plus per bet.  You are in danger of becoming a target for ridicule.  Stop guessing/gambling!!
By:
robd270
When: 23 Feb 14 22:30
Hi Soren,

A quick question if I may.  Obviously without going into too much detail, what made you select the bets you advised out of all the matches played around the world today?  Are they picks based on 'value' (i.e price sensitivity), specialist knowledge, statistical comparisons (etc)....?  Thanks
By:
Soren24
When: 24 Feb 14 00:00
Meadow - I deffinately understand what you're saying and it's reasonable to give that advice. I know I can't prove this in any way (and I guess I don't really need to), but today was a horrible day for me in betting and I do normally generate a good profit every day. Please check back in some bets time and if we get to 30 and it hasn't improved, I will happily end the thread :)

Robd - My predictions on NBA are all based on experience. I watch NBA every day for around 5 hours. Football is more from statistics and knowledge of the teams. I don't care that much about value I just pick teams that I believe will win (I understand it sounds like that's what every punter does and fails at).
Every day me and my friend take a look at the markets of the day. NBA I pick the markets that stand out to me. Football I pick my selections from stats and knowledge as I stated before :)
By:
theserbian
When: 24 Feb 14 11:01
The only way people will make any money following this is by laying all his selections,any Numpty can select odds on shots,this is probably the most stupid thread on here,Give it up!
By:
Soren24
When: 24 Feb 14 22:10
***BET 19
New Orleans Pelicans - LA Clippers
Prediction: Clippers -2,5 at odds 1.67 at Unibet

***BET 20
New York Knicks - Dallas Mavericks
Prediction: Dallas at odds 1.75 at Betfair
By:
Soren24
When: 25 Feb 14 03:20
Profit and statistics will be updated here every day:

NBA:    - Correct 6       Wrong 5       Profit -39£
Soccer: - Correct 4       Wrong 5       Profit -243£
------------------------------------------------------------------
All in all:                                               -282£

* Profit is calculated as follows: - 100£ is placed on all bets
                                                   - Only profit and loss is taken into account (100£ on odds 1.7 = 70% profit. A loss is - 100% profit.)
By:
Soren24
When: 25 Feb 14 03:21
Both NBA were WINS!
By:
theserbian
When: 25 Feb 14 16:46
WOOOOOOO!!!! Well done picking two more odds on shots,you're brilliant.
By:
Soren24
When: 25 Feb 14 18:57
***BET 21
Olympiakos - Manchester United
Prediction: Manchester United at odds 2.36 at Betfair

***BET 22
Denver Nuggets - Portland Trailblazers
Prediction: Portland -1,5 at odds 1.80 at Marathonbet
By:
Soren24
When: 25 Feb 14 19:42
***BET 23
Atlanta Hawks - Chicago Bulls
Prediction: Chicago at 1.89 at Betfair

***BET 24
Indiana Pacers - LA Lakers
Prediction: Under 209,5 at odds 1.70 at Unibet
By:
theserbian
When: 26 Feb 14 16:44
Profit and statistics will be updated every day????
Me thinks you had another losing day??
By:
Soren24
When: 26 Feb 14 19:16
It was updated this morning Theserbian :) I will update it when the next predictions are ready in a few hours.
By:
theserbian
When: 26 Feb 14 21:56
Updated where???
Next predictions available when you find your pin you Numpty.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 26 Feb 14 22:07
Serbian,

Give the guy a chance to post his results.  He has clearly said that if it gets to thirty bets with no sign of improvement, he will pack it in. He has posted all his bets clearly in advance, with a daily updated profit/loss.  I wish him the best of luck but think he has the wrong betting stategy.
By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 26 Feb 14 22:08
Follow this thread and you will see profit soon. Feel free to comment.


oh how's it going kn0bhead?
By:
theserbian
When: 26 Feb 14 22:13
Meadow,
He said PROVEN PROFIT,you should not make a statement like that,you do thirty bets THEN if successful state proven profit,he also said feel free to comment-which I'm doing,The op is a NUMPTY end of.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 26 Feb 14 22:46
Serbian,

You are probably right but let Soren post his thirty bets using his current betting strategy.
By:
dizzydavid1
When: 26 Feb 14 23:02
"I do normally generate a good profit every day" and "I don't care that much about value I just pick teams that I believe will win"....dude, long-term it's just not going to happen.

On the other hand, one positive thing about this thread is that it's about the only one staying anywhere near the top that's not about Moyes/ManU/Jose/the Big 5 or 6, all those endless monotonous threads about the same subjects, same old, same old, yaaawwwn.
By:
egner
When: 26 Feb 14 23:15
"I don't care that much about value I just pick teams that I believe will win"

..agree wholeheartedly with this...the concept of "value" in sports betting is utterly ludicrous.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 26 Feb 14 23:26
Egner,

That,to be frank, is nuts.  Value is everything.  Whether it's a premier league top quarter of the table at home or a conference level away side, you have to try and weigh up value.  Everyone can work out what the "likely" result is.
By:
egner
When: 26 Feb 14 23:33
disagree profoundly.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 26 Feb 14 23:37
Egner,

Well, fair enough.  Let's hear your approach to football betting.  I an quite open to hearing your thoughts.
By:
egner
When: 26 Feb 14 23:46
..well first of all value is subjective....

....what you or me or someone else considers value may be entirely different depending on many factors.....

....so how are actually going to define and measure it in order to know whether you actually have actually obtained it!!!!!

I am sure many people perceive value simply to be a winning bet when they have....consciously or subconsciously.... taken the contrarian position!!!
By:
marychain1
When: 26 Feb 14 23:54
People that disagree with the concept of value are thick as pig ****. There is no getting away from it. These are people that think that it is possible in the long term to make a profit on things that are badly priced. There is only one world for this sort of person. Ignorant. Either that or thick as pig ****, but that's more than one word.

mugmerised is a classic example of a thick as pigshit oik, and also falls into this category. He laughed at my fred where I posted 100 x level £10 stakes bets - because my strike rate was around 40% for the bets I chose, and apprently a 40-45% strike rate is a joke. How can I only win 40% of the time? That's ****. What a crap better. But the average price of my bets was about 2/1. And I posted around £200 profit over those 100 bets.
By:
egner
When: 26 Feb 14 23:59
...then I am happy to be classified as pig ****.....and will continue on my merry money making way as I have been.

..although I should point out marychain that just because you have a 40% strike rate...an average price of 2/1 and £200 profit is in no way proof or otherwise that you obtained value.
By:
Meadow X1
When: 27 Feb 14 00:00
Egner,

Value is subjective...and of course personal.  There is no hard fast way to make consistent money gambling on football unless you are a skilled trader (with a massive bank) both leading up to a match or in running.
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 00:02
***BET 25
LA Clippers – Houston Rockets
prediction: Clips – 4,5 at odds 1.89 at Pinnacle

***BET 26
Dallas Mavericks - New Orleans Hornets
Prediction: Dallas – 5 at odds 1.70 at Betvictor
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 00:06
**THESE DO NOT INCLUDE TONIGHTS UNSETTLED BETS**
Profit and statistics will be updated here every day:

NBA:    - Correct 8       Wrong 6       Profit +30£
Soccer: - Correct 4       Wrong 6       Profit -343£
------------------------------------------------------------------
All in all:                                               -313£

* Profit is calculated as follows: - 100£ is placed on all bets
                                                   - Only profit and loss is taken into account (100£ on odds 1.7 = 70% profit. A loss is - 100% profit.)
By:
Meadow X1
When: 27 Feb 14 00:07
Soren ,

your p/l plese?
By:
Meadow X1
When: 27 Feb 14 00:08
sorry, p/l posted after my post.
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 00:24
Meadow - No problem. And thanks for being someone who is willing to wait my results out and see if I perform :)
By:
Money Chaser
When: 27 Feb 14 04:00
The true loss is more after commission. Am not sure why this is not included in the P/L?
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 05:53
Hi Money Chaser! Most of the wins haven't been from Betfair but from other bookmakers. They simply are bets that aren't available on Betfair. For the few wins that are on Betfair I will start to deduct commision though :)
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 06:06
Profit and statistics will be updated here every day:

NBA:    - Correct 10       Wrong 6       Profit +189£
Soccer: - Correct 4        Wrong 6       Profit -343£
------------------------------------------------------------------
All in all:                                               -154£

* Profit is calculated as follows: - 100£ is placed on all bets
                                                   - Only profit and loss is taken into account (100£ on odds 1.7 = 70% profit. A loss is - 100% profit.)
By:
Soren24
When: 27 Feb 14 06:06
That's two more NBA wins.
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