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16/01 Friendlies and other nonsense

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By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:20
So, 5 - 0 at half time. What's the catch? The whole world jumps on Over 5.5/6.5 goals and we see a scoreless second half? Devil
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:22

Jan 20, 2014 -- 10:20AM, Quatsch wrote:


Still, the league table doesn't explain this much of a difference in quality. Jurmala even have 3 points more than Jelgava after 27 games (both are way, way behind the best teams, though). They do score less and concede more, though -- it shows.Are FK Ilūkste/BJSS taking part in this tournament? If you're even thinking of betting on Over 7.5 goals, they're the team to look out for -- -67 goals!


Yes, all teams in top division. Metallurgs have gone bust so will be replaced by Gulbene a lower division outfit.

Massive class difference between first and second tier.

By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:24
Actually scratch that they got relegated last season.
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:26
So Gulbene should be whipping boys too?
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 20 Jan 14 10:28
itfc87 20 Jan 14 10:17 
I got 1.7 on o2.5 absolute VALUE



That is VERY good value. I was impressed with 1.35 for over 1.5 after about 10 minutes. Whoever's laying the goals really can't be watching the game or checking in play stats.
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:30
Gutted I didn't go for more on o2.5! I think that's the issue, people with more money than sense or addicted are laying goals not paying attention
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:30
Is there a schedule for this somewhere? When I do a Google Search ('Latvia Winter Cup'), nothing really useful comes up. A few dogsled racing pages come up, but that's not quite my expertise... Wink

Betfair only have 20/21 January. What happens after that?
By:
weepals
When: 20 Jan 14 10:31
I am at a loss (but healthy profit) to explain how Jurmala , a team that is unbeaten vs Jelgava -10-4-0- can possibly be so poor?...........they have avg 2 gpg on their last 5 visits....if they fail to score here it is surely a HUGE fix....
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:34

Jan 20, 2014 -- 10:26AM, itfc87 wrote:


So Gulbene should be whipping boys too?


Jelgava, Jurmala, BFC, Metta & Gulbene should all be slapped around a little by the big boys.

By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:34

Jan 20, 2014 -- 10:31AM, weepals wrote:


I am at a loss (but healthy profit) to explain how Jurmala , a team that is unbeaten vs Jelgava -10-4-0- can possibly be so poor?...........they have avg 2 gpg on their last 5 visits....if they fail to score here it is surely a HUGE fix....


pre-season indoor tournament and most teams wont have full squads for the season.

By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 20 Jan 14 10:37
second half delayed while they all get their bets on
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:37
This indoor stuff reminds of me my time as a little kid watching German teams play indoor soccer during the winter break. From what I remember, even the big teams took it seriously. Of course the pitch was smaller (5 vs. 5 or 6 vs. 6, probably) and the entourage a lot better, but still. Great times, that was.

Nowadays they fly off to UAE. Sad
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:39
can we expect o2.5 in next game then with Gulbene the lower league side?
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 20 Jan 14 10:41
the market thinks so, last matched at 1.31
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:42
Don't think I'll get my 1.7 this time around :(
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:43
Anyone happened to see what Any Unquoted/Any Unquoted (Half Time) odds were for this match?
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:44

Jan 20, 2014 -- 10:39AM, itfc87 wrote:


can we expect o2.5 in next game then with Gulbene the lower league side?


If Daugava play a decent side o12.5 could be possible.

By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 20 Jan 14 10:44
no chance, I got 2.4 for o3.5, next game it's at 1.69
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:44
Latvian second tier isn't pro
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:45
Doesn't look like a lot more goals are coming. Pace is off and Jelgava don't look interested anymore. Maybe a chance for Jurmala/BTTS?
By:
weepals
When: 20 Jan 14 10:46
Thanks CJ70. Good to know.
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:46
So surely 1.26 on Daugava is printing money on outright market?
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:47
I think I'm going to wait and watch the first 5 mins and see how unmatched the teams are
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:48
Daugava could play the youth team..
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:48
I wouldn't be lumping on anything in these kind of games unless I had a live stream. Wouldn't be the first time the better teams can't be *rsed...
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 20 Jan 14 10:51
itfc87 20 Jan 14 10:46 
So surely 1.26 on Daugava is printing money on outright market?




If it's anything like the indoor Icelandic games, my advice would be to tread carefully. Seen KR and Bredablik both lose at sub 1.4 in the past couple of days.
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:53
The Icelandic indoor pitch looks much much bigger than this one
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:53
This thread was started for a Daugava Riga game in Lithuania on the 16th. So not sure when they got back from Klaipeda.
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 20 Jan 14 10:55
refreshing to watch a match without godawful commentry
By:
Arfur Foxache
When: 20 Jan 14 10:56
6-0
By:
ZCSCS
When: 20 Jan 14 10:56
some skill there
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:56
Was beginning to think they'd given up.
By:
itfc87
When: 20 Jan 14 10:57
32 goal attempts... madness
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:58
25 minutes left, 1.28 for another goal... Confused
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 10:58
Could do with a Jurmala goal now.
By:
ZCSCS
When: 20 Jan 14 10:59
strange as o5.5 a minute ago was 1.13
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 10:59
That's what I don't understand. I was looking at that 1.13 as well and wanted to get on, but the lack of attempts this second half put me off. Now all of a sudden such a jump, can't be normal.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 20 Jan 14 11:01
Only thing i can put the goal odds down to is there's always the risk the ref could blow up early as it's a friendly and ridiculously one sided. Seen these games end on 75-80 mins before
By:
CJ70
When: 20 Jan 14 11:04
Was somebody keeping o5.5 artificially low? o6.5 has been moving as you would expect so didn't notice anything wrong.
By:
Quatsch
When: 20 Jan 14 11:06
Pff. More difficult to hit the post with that header than to put it in. Laugh
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