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iamhewho
12 Dec 13 09:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Jan 07
| Topic/replies: 5,675 | Blogger: iamhewho's blog
Ok gonna give this a go and keep results to give me liability which is a good way of maintaining discipline.

Bank 100%
stake 10%
compound interest? = yes
i have no minimum odds requirements

i have a strategy for picking selections which i will keep to myself , nothing complexed tho
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Report iamhewho January 3, 2014 3:46 PM GMT

Jan 2, 2014 -- 10:58AM, iamhewho wrote:


49.East Fife - Arbroath @1.22  = 2.09%50.Kilmarnock - St Mirren @1.16 = 1.48%50 bets in and bank stands at -24.77%out of 50 bets 8 of them have been over 4.5 ive taken an average price of 1.15ive only hit a 0-0 3 times ive hit over 2.5 goals 26 times longest run without hitting 2.5 is 3 (most the picks have nice prices on the over 2.5 markets, well over evens)


from here on out im implementing a new option to the strategy.

everything else is the same 10% stake on under 4.5 if the match adheres to my pre defined criteria.

the new option will be a further 2.5% stake on each of up to 2 first half early goals,as long as the odds are greater than my original investment  this is to hopefully gain a bit of
an edge on inplay odds. eg , 1-0 after 15 minutes odds are > (an extra 2.5% bet) then 1-1 after 25 mins and odds are > (another 2.5% bet).

so the pre kick off stake is still 10% but i have an option of a further 5% in total to invest on any one game

Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 1:02 PM GMT
51.Cannes - St Etienne @1.19
Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 1:50 PM GMT

Jan 4, 2014 -- 7:02AM, iamhewho wrote:


51.Cannes - St Etienne @1.19


cancel this,  i dont know wtf is going on but it isnt starting

Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 1:53 PM GMT
51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16
Report cloughandtaylor January 4, 2014 2:29 PM GMT
Malaga v A Madrid. 1.15.
Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 3:24 PM GMT

Jan 4, 2014 -- 7:53AM, iamhewho wrote:


51.West Brom - C Palace @1.1352. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16


51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13 + extra 2.5% @ 1.23

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16 + extra 2.5% @1.2

Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 4:39 PM GMT

Jan 4, 2014 -- 8:29AM, cloughandtaylor wrote:


Malaga v A Madrid. 1.15.


WD

Report iamhewho January 4, 2014 4:46 PM GMT
51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13 + extra 2.5% @ 1.23     = 1.77%

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16 + extra 2.5% @1.2   = 1.95%

an extra 1% from the new option
Report cloughandtaylor January 4, 2014 8:35 PM GMT
Cool
Report iamhewho January 5, 2014 11:53 AM GMT
53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2
Report iamhewho January 5, 2014 12:14 PM GMT
53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.38
Report iamhewho January 5, 2014 2:37 PM GMT
shocking display from west ham

53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.38 = -12.78%
Report iamhewho January 5, 2014 2:46 PM GMT
54.Sunderland - Carlisle inplay bet , 10% at 1-1 @1.34
Report iamhewho January 6, 2014 5:17 PM GMT
54.Sunderland - Carlisle inplay bet , 10% at 1-1 @1.34 = 3.13%
Report cloughandtaylor January 6, 2014 9:11 PM GMT
Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal 1.17.
Report iamhewho January 7, 2014 2:32 PM GMT

Jan 6, 2014 -- 3:11PM, cloughandtaylor wrote:


Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal 1.17.


did this end 5-2?

Report iamhewho January 7, 2014 4:22 PM GMT
55.Shrewsbury - Leyton Orient @1.13
Report cloughandtaylor January 7, 2014 4:57 PM GMT
Yes 5-2, but the goal less period between 2-3 goal was welcome, so much for Villareal missing the four regulars.
Report iamhewho January 7, 2014 10:20 PM GMT
55.Shrewsbury - Leyton Orient @1.13 = 1.2%
Report iamhewho January 8, 2014 5:23 PM GMT
56.Betis - Ath Bilbao @1.16
57.Alcorcon - Espanyol @1.08
Report iamhewho January 9, 2014 12:55 PM GMT
56.Betis - Ath Bilbao @1.16   = 1.47%
57.Alcorcon - Espanyol @1.08  = 0.73%
Report iamhewho January 9, 2014 4:22 PM GMT
58. Rayo Vallecano - Levante @1.16
Report iamhewho January 10, 2014 2:12 PM GMT
58. Rayo Vallecano - Levante @1.16 = 1.48%
Report iamhewho January 10, 2014 2:36 PM GMT
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11
Report iamhewho January 10, 2014 7:12 PM GMT
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23
Report iamhewho January 10, 2014 7:24 PM GMT
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.5
Report iamhewho January 10, 2014 9:04 PM GMT
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09 = 0.84%
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.5 = -15%
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 12:22 PM GMT
61.Angers v Nancy @1.08
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 2:36 PM GMT
61.Angers v Nancy @1.08 = 0.48%

3pm kick offs

62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 3:43 PM GMT
3pm kick offs

62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16     + extra 2.5% inplay @1.34
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 4:51 PM GMT
62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12                             = 1.07%
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15                             = 1.33%
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08                             = 0.69%
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.34   = - 11.67%
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15                             = 1.43%
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 4:52 PM GMT
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 5:05 PM GMT
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 7:05 PM GMT
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25 = 1.54%
Report iamhewho January 11, 2014 7:07 PM GMT
68.Elche v Sevilla @1.13
Report cloughandtaylor January 12, 2014 10:45 AM GMT
That Fulham result was a shocker, one of those rogue results.
Just found inbox and will have time later.
Report iamhewho January 12, 2014 1:41 PM GMT
yea , i knew sunderland where on the up , but didnt think fulham would be so poor, at the moment reversing this strategy seems the way to go Confused
Report iamhewho January 12, 2014 1:41 PM GMT
68.Elche v Sevilla @1.13 1.14%
Report iamhewho January 12, 2014 1:44 PM GMT
69.San Marino Calcio - Reggiana inplay @1.22
Report iamhewho January 12, 2014 1:48 PM GMT
69.San Marino Calcio - Reggiana inplay @1.22 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.42
Report iamhewho January 12, 2014 1:51 PM GMT
70. Atalanta - Catania @1.13
Report iamhewho January 13, 2014 5:13 PM GMT
69.San Marino Calcio - Reggiana inplay @1.22 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.42 = 2.79%

70. Atalanta - Catania @1.13     = 1.1%
Report iamhewho January 13, 2014 5:25 PM GMT
71.Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon inplay 25min@1-0  @ 1.14
Report iamhewho January 13, 2014 5:31 PM GMT
71.Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon inplay 25min@1-0  @ 1.14  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.3 = 2.79%
Report iamhewho January 13, 2014 5:31 PM GMT
71.Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon inplay 25min@1-0  @ 1.14  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.3 *
Report iamhewho January 13, 2014 6:47 PM GMT
71.Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon   = 1.79%
Report iamhewho January 14, 2014 6:15 PM GMT
72.Charlton - Oxford Utd @1.13
Report iamhewho January 15, 2014 6:49 PM GMT
72.Charlton - Oxford Utd @1.13 = 1.08%
Report iamhewho January 15, 2014 6:50 PM GMT
73. Lyon v Marseille @1.12
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 1:40 PM GMT
73. Lyon v Marseille @1.12 = 0.98%
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 2:02 PM GMT
3pm's

74.Doncaster v Wigan @1.12
75.QPR v Huddersfield @ 1.12
76.Norwich - Hull @1.1
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 3:11 PM GMT
74.Doncaster v Wigan @1.12 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 5:53 PM GMT
74.Doncaster v Wigan @1.12 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25 = 1.59%
75.QPR v Huddersfield @ 1.12                         = 1.04%
76.Norwich - Hull @1.1                               = 0.86%


77.Braga B v Covilha @1.06
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 6:10 PM GMT
77.Braga B v Covilha @1.06 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.14
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 6:30 PM GMT
77.Braga B v Covilha @1.06 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.14 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.27
Report iamhewho January 18, 2014 7:52 PM GMT
77.Braga B v Covilha @1.06 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.14 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.27 = 1.57%
Report iamhewho January 19, 2014 12:21 PM GMT
78. Aris - Atromitos @1.06
Report iamhewho January 19, 2014 1:20 PM GMT
79.Swansea - Tottenham @1.13
Report iamhewho January 19, 2014 3:51 PM GMT
78. Aris - Atromitos @1.06     = 0.62%
79.Swansea - Tottenham @1.13   = 1.32%



80.Flamengo - Audax Rio @1.21
Report iamhewho January 20, 2014 2:47 PM GMT
80.Flamengo - Audax Rio @1.21 = 2.07%
Report iamhewho January 20, 2014 2:58 PM GMT
81.West Brom v Everton  @1.15
Report badboyscientist January 20, 2014 6:35 PM GMT
Hi iam, Interesting strategy and nice little run you got here. I see you're up to bet 81. Can you tell me how much money you've accumulated so far?

Good luck in the chase. When will you stop this trial i.e. how much profit will you want before you call it time and cash out?
Report iamhewho January 21, 2014 12:58 PM GMT
hi scientist , ive accumulated -26.78% loss. Happy this is more of an observational trial, im keeping fairly detailed records and it is interesting.  out of 81 bets ive lost 11. this trial will evolve as i tweek it, january looks to be much better than december,  also interesting is that out of 81 bets ive hit over 2.5 43 times and most of the time the odds are well over evens, so that could be a spin of trial which would have been well in profit by now, i plan on changing the staking plan again at the end of the month , details to come.
Report iamhewho January 21, 2014 12:59 PM GMT
81.West Brom v Everton  @1.15 = 1.46%
Report iamhewho January 21, 2014 1:00 PM GMT

Jan 20, 2014 -- 12:35PM, badboyscientist wrote:


Hi iam, Interesting strategy and nice little run you got here. I see you're up to bet 81. Can you tell me how much money you've accumulated so far? Good luck in the chase. When will you stop this trial i.e. how much profit will you want before you call it time and cash out?


i am on a good run at the mo, 16 without loss

Report iamhewho January 21, 2014 1:05 PM GMT
82.Crewe v MK Dons @1.21
Report iamhewho January 22, 2014 11:56 AM GMT
82.Crewe v MK Dons @1.21 = 2.04%
Report iamhewho January 22, 2014 12:09 PM GMT
83.Porto B v Aves @1.07
Report iamhewho January 22, 2014 4:53 PM GMT
83.Porto B v Aves @1.07 = 0.67%
84.Man Utd - Sunderland  @1.24
Report iamhewho January 23, 2014 11:46 AM GMT
84.Man Utd - Sunderland  @1.24 = 2.33%
Report iamhewho January 23, 2014 11:49 AM GMT
85.Atl Madrid - Ath Bilbao @1.19
Report iamhewho January 24, 2014 12:34 PM GMT
85.Atl Madrid - Ath Bilbao @1.19 = 1.85%

20 without loss and currently in profit for the month of January
Report iamhewho January 24, 2014 12:35 PM GMT
86.Celta Vigo - Betis @1.15
Report iamhewho January 24, 2014 10:12 PM GMT
86.Celta Vigo - Betis @1.15 = -10.22%

that was due, something to think about would be setting a side a few percent to back over 4.5 in cases were im due a loss based on previous results , that was the first loss in 20 also the first game over 2.5 in 7 bets
Report ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK January 24, 2014 11:44 PM GMT
sorry lost as well on u4.5
Report iamhewho January 25, 2014 1:28 PM GMT
87.Blackburn v Derby @1.13
88.Blackpool v Doncaster @1.11
89.Ipswich v Reading @1.14
Report ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK January 25, 2014 3:53 PM GMT
u4.5 on 1.1 real madrid at 40 min. when was 0-0 superb value.
Report iamhewho January 25, 2014 4:00 PM GMT

Jan 25, 2014 -- 9:53AM, ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK wrote:


u4.5 on 1.1 real madrid at 40 min. when was 0-0 superb value.


nice.

over 1.6 near kick off ... wow

Report iamhewho January 25, 2014 5:18 PM GMT
87.Blackburn v Derby @1.13    = 1.34%
88.Blackpool v Doncaster @1.11 = 1.1%
89.Ipswich v Reading @1.14 = 1.4%
Report iamhewho January 25, 2014 5:28 PM GMT
90.Mons - KV Mechelen @1.18
Report ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK January 25, 2014 5:48 PM GMT
u4.5 herta and valladolid 1.1 each
Report yonan January 25, 2014 6:20 PM GMT
thx for the tips and good luck i will be following you i did something similar last year from june to august i made from 4o$ to 6900$ in two month but i went all in all the time!!!
Report iamhewho January 26, 2014 8:38 PM GMT
91.Deportivo Petare - Deportivo Tachira @1.08
Report iamhewho January 26, 2014 10:30 PM GMT
91.Deportivo Petare - Deportivo Tachira @1.08 = 0.83%
Report iamhewho January 27, 2014 3:27 PM GMT
92.Braga B - Feirense @1.08
Report iamhewho January 27, 2014 6:04 PM GMT
92.Braga B - Feirense @1.08 = 0.78%
Report iamhewho January 28, 2014 6:55 PM GMT
93.Birmingham v Leicester @1.17
94.Barnsley v Blackburn @1.14
95.QPR v Bolton @1.12
Report iamhewho January 28, 2014 9:49 PM GMT
93.Birmingham v Leicester @1.17  = 1.65%
94.Barnsley v Blackburn @1.14    = 1.33%
95.QPR v Bolton @1.12            = 1.13%

all over 2.5 Cool
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 2:37 PM GMT
96.Covilha v Chaves @1.07
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 4:54 PM GMT
96.Covilha v Chaves @1.07 = 0.68%

back into profit for January
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 6:18 PM GMT
97.Aston Villa - West Brom @1.13
98.Sunderland - Stoke @1.1
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 7:55 PM GMT
97.Aston Villa - West Brom @1.13 + extra 5% inplay 0-2 @1.66
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 8:06 PM GMT
97.Aston Villa - West Brom @1.13 + extra 5% inplay 0-2 @1.66
98.Sunderland - Stoke @1.1 + extra 2.5% inplay  @1.15
Report ALEXANDER_THE_GREEK January 29, 2014 8:24 PM GMT
omg 3-2 aston
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 8:28 PM GMT
before HT aswell LaughLaugh
Report iamhewho January 29, 2014 9:36 PM GMT
97.Aston Villa - West Brom @1.13 + extra 5% inplay 0-2 @1.66 = -15.96%
98.Sunderland - Stoke @1.1 + extra 2.5% inplay  @1.15 = 1.52%
Report iamhewho January 30, 2014 3:59 PM GMT
last 2 bets


99.Steaua Bucharest v IFK Goteborg @1.2
100.Racing Santander v Sociedad  @ 1.18
Report iamhewho January 30, 2014 8:55 PM GMT
99.Steaua Bucharest v IFK Goteborg @1.2   = 1.97%
100.Racing Santander v Sociedad  @ 1.18   = void
Report iamhewho January 30, 2014 9:20 PM GMT
1    PSV - Chernomorets Odesa    1.17    1.65%
2    Estoril - Slovan Liberec    1.12    1.18%
3    Tottenham - Anzhi Makhachkala    1.25    -10.05%
4    Otelul Galati v Corona Brasov    1.16    1.55%
5    Aalen - SV Sandhausen    1.11    1.07%
6    Levante v Elche    1.08    0.77%
7    Cottbus - Fortuna Dusseldorf    1.34    3.29%
8    Cardiff - West Brom    1.14    1.35%
9    Blackburn - Millwall    1.09    -10.04%
10    Blackpool - QPR    1.12    0.96%
11    Watford - Sheff Wed    1.22    2.28%
12    Crawley Town - Preston     1.11    1.11%
13    .Lausanne - Sion    1.1    0.93%
14    Ceahlaul - Steaua Bucharest     1.13    1.22%
15    Nantes - Toulouse    1.08    0.75%
16    Guingamp - Monaco    1.1    0.93%
17    Norwich - Swansea    1.2    1.93%
18    Sevilla v Ath Bilbao    1.17    1.61%
19    Charleroi - Club Brugge    1.15    1.44%
20    Lyon - Marseille    1.1    0.94%
21    Almeria B - Arroyo    1.06    0.58%
22    Estoril v Gil Vicente    1.13    1.25%
23    Getafe v Girona    1.17    -10.16%
24    Excelsior v Zwolle    1.24    -11.31%
25    Mansfield - Oldham    1.14    -12.75%
26    Lyon - Reims     1.12    -10.24%
27    ACS Poli Timisoara    1.11    1.19%
28    Crawley Town -Bristol Rovers    1.13    1.27%
29    Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid    1.16    1.57%
30    St Pauli v Karlsruhe    1.14    1.38%
31     Elche v Malaga     1.09    0.86%
32    C Palace v Newcastle    1.12    1.17%
33    milwall v boro     1.15    1.46%
34     Marseille - Bordeaux    1.08    0.78%
35    Lleida - Badalona     1.06    0.59%
36    Bucaspor - Karsiyaka    1.12    1.17%
37    Celta Vigo - Osasuna    1.15    1.45%
38    Oud-Heverlee Leuve - Cercle Brugge    1.18    1.74%
39    Cardiff - Southampton    1.95    9.23%
40    Nottm Forest - QPR    1.09    0.87%
41    West Ham - West Brom    1.24    -10.20%
42    Denizlispor - Boluspor    1.09    0.97%
43     Cardiff - Sunderland    1.11    1.07%
44    Trofense - Porto B     1.1    0.98%
45    Doncaster v Millwall    1.15    1.45%
46    Estoril - Braga    1.1    0.97%
47     Palace - Norwich     1.09    0.87%
48    Burnley - Huddersfield     1.1    -10.12%
49    East Fife     1.22    2.14%
50    Kilmarnock - St Mirren    1.16    1.52%
51    West Brom - C Palace    1.13    1.26%
    West Brom - C Palace (inplay )    1.23    0.55%
52    Aston Villa - Sheff Utd    1.16    1.52%
    Aston Villa - Sheff Utd  (inplay )    1.2    0.47%
53    Nottm Forest v West Ham    1.2    -10.22%
    Nottm Forest v West Ham(inplay )    1.38    -2.84%
54    Sunderland - Carlisle    1.34    3.30%
55    Shrewsbury - Leyton Orient    1.13    1.26%
56    Betis - Ath Bilbao    1.16    1.55%
57    Alcorcon - Espanyol    1.08    0.76%
58    Rayo Vallecano - Levante    1.16    1.56%
59    CA Bastia - Niort    1.09    0.88%
60    Dijon - Istres     1.11    -10.14%
    Dijon - Istres (inplay )    1.23    -2.82%
    Dijon - Istres (inplay )    1.5    -2.90%
61    Angers v Nancy    1.08    0.77%
62    Blackpool - Middlesbrough    1.12    1.17%
63    Blackburn - Doncaster    1.15    1.44%
64    Ipswich - QPR     1.08    0.75%
65    Fulham - Sunderland    1.16    -9.92%
    Fulham - Sunderland (inplay )    1.34    -2.75%
66    Cardiff - West Ham    1.15    1.61%
67    Livorno - Parma    1.11    1.08%
    Livorno - Parma (inplay )    1.25    0.65%
68    Elche v Sevilla     1.13    1.27%
69    San Marino Calcio - Reggiana    1.22    2.11%
    San Marino Calcio - Reggiana (inplay )    1.42    0.99%
70    Atalanta - Catania    1.13    1.21%
71    Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon    1.14    1.29%
    Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Katamon    1.3    0.67%
72    Charlton - Oxford Utd     1.13    1.17%
73     Lyon v Marseille     1.12    1.07%
74    Doncaster v Wigan    1.12    1.05%
    Doncaster v Wigan    1.25    0.54%
75    QPR v Huddersfield    1.12    1.04%
76    Norwich - Hull    1.1    0.86%
77    Braga B v Covilha     1.06    0.58%
    Braga B v Covilha     1.14    0.33%
    Braga B v Covilha     1.27    0.65%
78     Aris - Atromitos     1.06    0.62%
79    Swansea - Tottenham    1.13    1.32%
80    Flamengo - Audax Rio    1.21    2.07%
81    West Brom v Everton    1.15    1.46%
82    Crewe v MK Dons    1.21    2.04%
83    Porto B v Aves    1.07    0.67%
84    Man Utd - Sunderland    1.24    2.33%
85    Atl Madrid - Ath Bilbao     1.19    1.85%
86    Celta Vigo - Betis    1.15    -10.22%
87    Blackburn v Derby    1.13    1.34%
88    Blackpool v Doncaster     1.11    1.10%
89    Ipswich v Reading    1.14    1.40%
90    Mons - KV Mechelen    1.18    1.75%
91    Deportivo Petare - Deportivo Tachira    1.08    0.83%
92    Braga B - Feirense    1.08    0.78%
93    Birmingham v Leicester    1.17    1.65%
94    Barnsley v Blackburn     1.14    1.33%
95    QPR v Bolton     1.12    1.13%
96    Covilha v Chaves    1.07    0.68%
97    Aston Villa - West Brom    1.13    -10.21%
    Aston Villa - West Brom    1.66    -5.75%
98    Sunderland - Stoke    1.1    1.08%
    Sunderland - Stoke    1.15    0.44%
99    Steaua Bucharest v IFK Goteborg     1.2    1.97%
Report iamhewho January 31, 2014 4:04 PM GMT
month end


january = - 9.54%
december = -20.88%

total bank = -30.42% loss


if i had ended january in profit a may have carried on but i think i have seen enough to end this trial, i will be switching to an over 2.5 trial but dont think i will make a thread.
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