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Under 4.5 goals trial

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Replies: 179
By:
iamhewho
When: 03 Jan 14 15:46

Jan 2, 2014 -- 4:58PM, iamhewho wrote:


49.East Fife - Arbroath @1.22  = 2.09%50.Kilmarnock - St Mirren @1.16 = 1.48%50 bets in and bank stands at -24.77%out of 50 bets 8 of them have been over 4.5 ive taken an average price of 1.15ive only hit a 0-0 3 times ive hit over 2.5 goals 26 times longest run without hitting 2.5 is 3 (most the picks have nice prices on the over 2.5 markets, well over evens)


from here on out im implementing a new option to the strategy.

everything else is the same 10% stake on under 4.5 if the match adheres to my pre defined criteria.

the new option will be a further 2.5% stake on each of up to 2 first half early goals,as long as the odds are greater than my original investment  this is to hopefully gain a bit of
an edge on inplay odds. eg , 1-0 after 15 minutes odds are > (an extra 2.5% bet) then 1-1 after 25 mins and odds are > (another 2.5% bet).

so the pre kick off stake is still 10% but i have an option of a further 5% in total to invest on any one game

By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 13:02
51.Cannes - St Etienne @1.19
By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 13:50

Jan 4, 2014 -- 1:02PM, iamhewho wrote:


51.Cannes - St Etienne @1.19


cancel this,  i dont know wtf is going on but it isnt starting

By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 13:53
51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 04 Jan 14 14:29
Malaga v A Madrid. 1.15.
By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 15:24

Jan 4, 2014 -- 1:53PM, iamhewho wrote:


51.West Brom - C Palace @1.1352. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16


51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13 + extra 2.5% @ 1.23

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16 + extra 2.5% @1.2

By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 16:39

Jan 4, 2014 -- 2:29PM, cloughandtaylor wrote:


Malaga v A Madrid. 1.15.


WD

By:
iamhewho
When: 04 Jan 14 16:46
51.West Brom - C Palace @1.13 + extra 2.5% @ 1.23     = 1.77%

52. Aston Villa - Sheff Utd @1.16 + extra 2.5% @1.2   = 1.95%

an extra 1% from the new option
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 04 Jan 14 20:35
Cool
By:
iamhewho
When: 05 Jan 14 11:53
53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2
By:
iamhewho
When: 05 Jan 14 12:14
53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.38
By:
iamhewho
When: 05 Jan 14 14:37
shocking display from west ham

53.Nottm Forest v West Ham @1.2  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.38 = -12.78%
By:
iamhewho
When: 05 Jan 14 14:46
54.Sunderland - Carlisle inplay bet , 10% at 1-1 @1.34
By:
iamhewho
When: 06 Jan 14 17:17
54.Sunderland - Carlisle inplay bet , 10% at 1-1 @1.34 = 3.13%
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 06 Jan 14 21:11
Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal 1.17.
By:
iamhewho
When: 07 Jan 14 14:32

Jan 6, 2014 -- 9:11PM, cloughandtaylor wrote:


Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal 1.17.


did this end 5-2?

By:
iamhewho
When: 07 Jan 14 16:22
55.Shrewsbury - Leyton Orient @1.13
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 07 Jan 14 16:57
Yes 5-2, but the goal less period between 2-3 goal was welcome, so much for Villareal missing the four regulars.
By:
iamhewho
When: 07 Jan 14 22:20
55.Shrewsbury - Leyton Orient @1.13 = 1.2%
By:
iamhewho
When: 08 Jan 14 17:23
56.Betis - Ath Bilbao @1.16
57.Alcorcon - Espanyol @1.08
By:
iamhewho
When: 09 Jan 14 12:55
56.Betis - Ath Bilbao @1.16   = 1.47%
57.Alcorcon - Espanyol @1.08  = 0.73%
By:
iamhewho
When: 09 Jan 14 16:22
58. Rayo Vallecano - Levante @1.16
By:
iamhewho
When: 10 Jan 14 14:12
58. Rayo Vallecano - Levante @1.16 = 1.48%
By:
iamhewho
When: 10 Jan 14 14:36
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11
By:
iamhewho
When: 10 Jan 14 19:12
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23
By:
iamhewho
When: 10 Jan 14 19:24
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.5
By:
iamhewho
When: 10 Jan 14 21:04
59.CA Bastia - Niort @1.09 = 0.84%
60.Dijon - Istres    @1.11  + extra 2.5% inplay @1.23 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.5 = -15%
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 12:22
61.Angers v Nancy @1.08
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 14:36
61.Angers v Nancy @1.08 = 0.48%

3pm kick offs

62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 15:43
3pm kick offs

62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16     + extra 2.5% inplay @1.34
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 16:51
62.Blackpool - Middlesbrough @1.12                             = 1.07%
63.Blackburn - Doncaster     @1.15                             = 1.33%
64.Ipswich - QPR             @1.08                             = 0.69%
65.Fulham - Sunderland       @1.16 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.34   = - 11.67%
66.Cardiff - West Ham        @1.15                             = 1.43%
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 16:52
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 17:05
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 19:05
67.Livorno - Parma @1.11 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.25 = 1.54%
By:
iamhewho
When: 11 Jan 14 19:07
68.Elche v Sevilla @1.13
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 12 Jan 14 10:45
That Fulham result was a shocker, one of those rogue results.
Just found inbox and will have time later.
By:
iamhewho
When: 12 Jan 14 13:41
yea , i knew sunderland where on the up , but didnt think fulham would be so poor, at the moment reversing this strategy seems the way to go Confused
By:
iamhewho
When: 12 Jan 14 13:41
68.Elche v Sevilla @1.13 1.14%
By:
iamhewho
When: 12 Jan 14 13:44
69.San Marino Calcio - Reggiana inplay @1.22
By:
iamhewho
When: 12 Jan 14 13:48
69.San Marino Calcio - Reggiana inplay @1.22 + extra 2.5% inplay @1.42
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