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The Dragon
22 Aug 13 11:37
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 40,446 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys and gals here is my new thread as promised re the above, ,

Last season produced a very nice profit for my HIGHEST RATED tips although Best VALUE tips made a loss, but overall a healthy profit was made and I am hoping to do the same again this year.

I do not normally use my system until 6 games have been played as this allows enough matches to be played to see reliable form trends.

I have however bashed the numbers into the system for this weekend and have come up with some interesting results which i thought you maybe interested in.

The HIGHEST RATED are COLCHESTER at 1.82(amazing price and Playing friday) and OXFORD at 1.66(Both teams have an equal rating of 23 -Highest possible rating is 28)

Colchester have made a good start to the season winning 2 and drawing 1 of their 3 matches . they are at home to carlilse who have lost their first 3 games without scoring a goal and conceding 12!!! This will be my main bet for the weekend.

OXFORD look good on Saturday too they have made a great start wining all 3 matches and are at home to wycombe who have lost 2 out of 3 of their matches.

The BEST VALUE bet is EXETER at 2.60 who are away to Moreconbe who have lost 2 out of 3 games so far and only have 1pt. EXETER are unbeaten in the league winning 2 and drawing 1 of their games.

as i say please take these tips with a degree of caution as they are based on 3 games and not the usual six.

Good luck if you give any of them a go

as usual all comments on the selections will be gratefully received

Read more: http://www.topfooty.proboards.com/thread/404/dragons-football-tips-2013-2014#ixzz2ch1drrtW
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Report kenilworth January 19, 2014 12:24 AM GMT
HIGHEST RATED SCUNTHORPE to beat wimbledon at 5/6

BEST VALUE SPURS at swansea at 7/5

lay bet Wimbledon


Scunny v Wimbledon drew 0-0
Spurs play tomorrow.

He had a fun treble that was down.
That's it.
Report dsmith January 19, 2014 9:07 AM GMT
On well I'm sure in his crazy world this wont have affected his p&l
Report kenilworth January 19, 2014 9:14 AM GMT
The way he works things out, his 'profit'
will have increased, methinks!!
Report maggot January 19, 2014 9:32 AM GMT
Dear Oh Dear, Ken...

How many times have you said that you would not revisit this thread ? The last time was only a few days ago.

Yet here you are again.

Why?

What exactly is the point ?

Obsessive stalkers should not be allowed on here, and you are the most obsessed of the lot.

For a man at supposed retirement age, your behaviour is very disturbing.

Pathetic.
Report kenilworth January 19, 2014 1:51 PM GMT
I was asked a question and I politely
answered. Good manners are invaluable,
eventually you may learn some, although
I wouldn't bet on it.
Report The Dragon January 19, 2014 3:01 PM GMT
comp probs so not beenon
Report The Dragon January 19, 2014 3:02 PM GMT
sunny let me doen for win, lay bet obliges

spuds looking good as 3 up so bv bet should land
Report mesmerised January 19, 2014 3:14 PM GMT
At what price did you lay Wimbledon at? you leave the impression that if Wimbledon had of won, you would have made up a price to suit your profit and loss ?
Report tenpins January 19, 2014 3:30 PM GMT
Well done dragon Happy
Report Solano1 January 19, 2014 3:31 PM GMT
Another profitable weekend.

Well in dragon lad.
Report frogamatic January 19, 2014 3:34 PM GMT
wd dragon, nice profit plus you've got ken seething again Happy
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2014 4:24 PM GMT
Wd dragonCool
Report The Dragon January 19, 2014 5:17 PM GMT
cheers guys pity all 3 did not land but as you say another profitable weekend 7/5 on spuds was a great price, had a few quid today on chelsea so looks like being a profitable weekend

oh im sticking to my policy of ignoring the knockers they are not worth the effort of a replyDevil
Report okeydokey January 19, 2014 5:40 PM GMT
Dragon mate. you really are leaving yourself open to your critics when you say
you had a few quid on Chelsea when they were already 3-0 up !!
Report mesmerised January 19, 2014 5:45 PM GMT
Not knocking it was a straightforward question
Report carlos12345 January 19, 2014 5:47 PM GMT
Okeydokey, Dragon is not an aftertimer. He is many things, not an aftertimer though
Report kenilworth January 19, 2014 5:58 PM GMT
Don't forget to put Chelsea on your P/L.
Report tenpins January 19, 2014 6:00 PM GMT
Thought you were staying away from this thread ken?
Report The Dragon January 19, 2014 6:05 PM GMT
chelsea not part of my system just looked to good tbe true at the price, take your point though so will not post any bets i have made after game has started

my bets on my system are placed days before the game
Report The Dragon January 19, 2014 6:07 PM GMT
just ignore kenilworth ten pins he is not worth your time posting about or replying to i have learnt Devilthat over time
Report GLASGOWCALLING January 19, 2014 9:26 PM GMT
thought i was on the wrong thread after trawling my way through all of kens posts.   GrinGrin, could have sworn he said he wasnt

coming back ( AGAIN ).......LaughLaugh


  well done dragon on another profitable saturday. Happy
Report The Dragon January 20, 2014 10:13 PM GMT
cheers glasgowCool

hopefully get some more this weekeng

still bombed out at work so its going to be no detail just tipsShocked
Report The Dragon January 20, 2014 10:14 PM GMT
kenilworth has issues and he is best ignored m8Wink
Report cloughandtaylor January 21, 2014 12:25 AM GMT
Kenilworth and his baldrick are pretty consistent in the bile department.

And how would mentioning backing chavski be classed as aftertiming, they were playing Man Utd ffs.
Report Magic__Daps January 21, 2014 12:38 PM GMT
Dragon has hardly came on and said "Chelsea were bet of the century" or he had "lumped on". Surely he has just said hes "had a few quid on" - cannot see a massive problem with that myself.

Is there any difference between when ken says on one thread that he would be a backer at the price or be against something because of the price - then come on and say "I didn't back it though"?
Report Biscuit1979 January 21, 2014 1:26 PM GMT
kenilworth 12 Jan 14 14:48 
Good to see I'm not the only one who sees the
ridicule of this thread so that's me out (again)
and let them get on with it
. GL.

kenilworth 18 Jan 14 19:27 
Where have the guys and gals gone to?




LaughLaugh
Report kenilworth January 21, 2014 2:04 PM GMT
Can't resist it at times, especially
as it was a valid wonder, and curiosity
won the day.
Report kenilworth January 21, 2014 2:11 PM GMT
btw, where have I commented on
after timing on Chelsea?
Report The Dragon January 21, 2014 10:06 PM GMT
fa cup this weekend so ltyd numbers for my system.

got a few teams of interest though, so will post later in the week

need to check out conference fixtures following tonight's results
Report The Dragon January 23, 2014 9:30 PM GMT
hi guys and gals

Ratings now in and the advice is as follows:

Highest Rated : NO BET

Best Value: SCUNTHORPE away at Dagenham & Redbridge  at 7/5 at Bet V


LAY BET : NO BET


so its all in on scunny againWink

lets hope it comes in

will try an away treble of cambridge, york and chesterfield just for interest

good luck all and comments on your tips very welcomeWink
Report The Dragon January 23, 2014 10:19 PM GMT
msg sent pantherCool
Report Solano1 January 23, 2014 10:57 PM GMT
Very commendable dragon.

Nice to see someone clearly recommend No Bet, as opposed to potentially misleading naive forumites.
Report dsmith January 24, 2014 8:29 AM GMT
I would have thought Dragons were rather large for sitting fences.
Report dr . atkins January 24, 2014 6:20 PM GMT
to start the weekend off notts forest 4t6
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 9:51 AM GMT
palace look big at wigan today 13/5
Report dsmith January 25, 2014 9:57 AM GMT
Why do they? Pretty even teams, one went up last year via the playoffs, one came came on the last day and are the cup holders.

What price were you expecting?
Report marychain1 January 25, 2014 10:49 AM GMT
Three aways for me.

Sheff Weds 7/5
Cardiff 19/10
Crewe 19/10
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 3:31 PM GMT
scuuny 1 up
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 3:55 PM GMT
amazing ht score at citySurprised
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 4:13 PM GMT
cardiff and sheff wd going well mary
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 4:19 PM GMT
scunny 2 up
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 4:21 PM GMT
scunny have 3Cool
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 4:40 PM GMT
2-3Scared
Report Lucky Sod January 25, 2014 4:47 PM GMT
ABANDONED AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARGH
Report Lucky Sod January 25, 2014 4:47 PM GMT
Im in shockDevilDevilDevil
Report Lucky Sod January 25, 2014 4:51 PM GMT
may resume in 15 minutesExcitedExcited
Report The Dragon January 25, 2014 5:00 PM GMT
back on 3-3Cry
Report dsmith January 25, 2014 7:09 PM GMT
Unlucky with Scunthorpe dragon 3-0 to 3-3 FFS very unlucky

But I see no mention of palace typically
Report cod-eyed-inbread January 25, 2014 8:48 PM GMT
unlucky fiery one hope you traded out at 3-0Wink
Report mesmerised January 25, 2014 9:05 PM GMT
^^Going by the crying emoticon he's yet to discover the lay button, or the notion of real value not useless ratings system that conjure up 'NO BET'S Laugh
Report The Dragon January 26, 2014 1:37 PM GMT
whats your problem mesmerised every time you come on here its to be critical

deano, yes palace was a surprising result, no mention as it was not in my betting system outcomes jusy my own view. it looks like the critics are destroying this thread
Report mesmerised January 26, 2014 2:01 PM GMT
No no you've got me all wrong - I am your biggest fan, worship the ground you fly over, all my life I've searched for the Holy Grail, a winning system that throws up no bets and doesn't allow you trade out at 3-0 upLaugh
Report The Dragon January 26, 2014 2:50 PM GMT
well im glad have found your holy grail
Report tobermory January 26, 2014 5:29 PM GMT
tbf he just posts his tips as straight bets , so why would he start laying them when they were in front (or redding out when they weren't winning) ?

If he came on and said he'd 'greened up' on ones that conceded late goals he would get a lot more criticism .
Report mesmerised January 26, 2014 5:38 PM GMT
Tober, if you don't lay off your bet at 1.01 when 3-0 up, then it's pointless him being on a exchange site, he can post straight away what he's done one here so no aftertiming needed, he's using a points system for p/l but say it's not an actual reflection on his real profit, which imo, makes it a pretty pointless tipping thread if he's not being honest.
Like a good tipping thread but fail to see the objective of this one, if it please others oh well.
Report tobermory January 26, 2014 5:48 PM GMT
Greening up bets is not inherently better than letting them ride : You win on more markets but you cut the profit on every single winner and that will usually add up to as much of a loss as straightforward losers do long term.

If he were doing that on this thread he'd have to be sat at the screen for the whole time the games were in progress in order to post his in running lays ,; otherwise people would say ''yeah of course you did'' etc   .

I think Dragon is an honest guy  but it's a fair criticism that his P&L updates are not very professionally done .If he had to additionally factor in further in running bets it would be a lot more confusing than it already is.
Report David Icke January 26, 2014 7:01 PM GMT
I think Dragon is an honest guy


You need to be sectioned.
Report colupaul January 26, 2014 7:11 PM GMT
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

pot, kettle, black... Laugh
Report toffee87 January 26, 2014 8:58 PM GMT
Tober, if you don't lay off your bet at 1.01 when 3-0 up, then it's pointless him being on a exchange site

but would you not have laid off a bit at 1-0 and then 2-0 ?
Report The Dragon January 29, 2014 9:57 PM GMT
i just post my ratings outcomes no talk of laying off that is an individual choice and not for me to comment on the ratings are what they are
Report The Dragon January 29, 2014 9:59 PM GMT
mesmerised if you fail to see the point of this thread then please stay off itCrazy
Report The Dragon January 31, 2014 2:07 PM GMT
Hi Guys and gals

Really busy at work so agin no time for in depth analysis. Only advise last week was Scunthorpe who somehow managed to let a Cry0-3 lead slip in the last 17 MinsSad

Anyway my system has not produced a great deal of highly rated teams this weeken bit this is what we hve:

HIGHEST RATED : ALFETON at 2/5 to beat Hyde. Due to the shortness of the price I am doubling the bet with BRENTFORD away at shrewsbury at at around 5/6

BEST VALUE : Guess what its SCUNTHORPE again away at Hartlepool at 6/4. Lets hope they can finish it off this time!!!

LAY BET: No bet advised,

Good luck all if you give any of them a go.
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 12:09 AM GMT
Kiddy a big price tomorrow at 5/2+ n'est pas? Look to have had a decent transfer window, and whilst Gateshead are having a very good season, you'd have to think that when all's said and done Kiddy are a superior side?

And I also like Villa at 6/1 and Sunderland at 10/3. Tempted to do both BTTS as well.

Might do a Villa, Sunderland, Kiddy BTTS & win trixie too.
Report The Dragon February 1, 2014 9:07 AM GMT
i think sunderland are in with a shout too mary and like spurs away at 2.16 on here
Report Over2.5 February 1, 2014 11:25 AM GMT
alfreton game called off ???????/
Report armagnac February 1, 2014 11:30 AM GMT
looks that way, backed over 2.5 Cry


alfretontownfc ‏@alfretontownfc 34m
Today's @alfretontownfc v @hydefclive Skrill Premier Division game has been postponed due to a waterlogged Impact Arena playing surface.
Expand
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 2:42 PM GMT
Good start to the weekend, Sunderland landing at 10/3. Shame about the Sunderland + BTTS. How poor are Newcastle? Wouldn't like to a police horse in Newcastle this afternoon.
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 3:38 PM GMT
Come on Villa 1-0
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 3:43 PM GMT
Sunderland - Newcastle v Sunderland - To Win and Both Teams to Score    13/2     Lost
                        
Aston Villa - Everton v Aston Villa - To Win and Both Teams to Score    11/1     Open
                        
Reading - Millwall v Reading - To Win and Both Teams to Score    4/1     Open
                        
Crewe - Crewe v Sheff Utd - To Win and Both Teams to Score    6/1     Open


Done this £1 doubles, £1 trebles and an £1 acca, going to really regret just not doing match odds here CryLaugh
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 4:29 PM GMT
Kiddy not going to happen 3-0 down but I'd happily settle for Villa and Sunderland if Villa can hang on
Report marychain1 February 1, 2014 4:31 PM GMT
Knew I shouldn't have posted that...it only took seconds Cry
Report dsmith February 1, 2014 5:08 PM GMT
Oh dear Dragon down again bad luck, question is will brentford not winning mean a minus £10 on the p&l, tricky one, I'd say it should but its not my call is it
Report The Dragon February 1, 2014 5:13 PM GMT
scunny let me down againCry alferton off so double bet discounted

bad run at the moment Sad
Report dsmith February 1, 2014 5:18 PM GMT
Youve still lost your bet though havent you?
Report mesmerised February 1, 2014 5:24 PM GMT
Unlucky sunshine, that's the thing with rating systems in Football, you can always blame them you lose and take credit when they win. Update please.
Report maggot February 1, 2014 5:25 PM GMT
Don't mean to be rude Dragon, but this thread has now become totally meaningless...

You never post your P+L, unless constantly asked to do so. A tipping thread without weekly P+L updates, is just pointless. Utterly pointless.

You now claim that the double bet is discounted, when we all know that a double automatically becomes a single when one leg is cancelled.

I don't like to have a go, because I thought that this was a great thread.

I have changed my mind.
Report theserbian February 1, 2014 5:32 PM GMT
Dragon I did a double in midweek,one game the Spanish one where the players protested and walked off was abandoned,the other one won,(over 2.5 goals in forest game) I was paid out on a single,you can't discount a bet just because you lost.
Report The Dragon February 1, 2014 5:47 PM GMT
hey guys

p and l posted soon no need to hide it coz it is what it is, still in profit but going down by the minuteCry

with regard to the alferton / brentford bet i agree its a loss as brentford did not win. both bets will b e recorded as losses on pand l
Report Daveyboymoyes February 1, 2014 5:49 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh


The time has almost arrived for dragon to leave this thread saying the abuse is too much

Will be back next season though, telling how his system has produced 4 years profit LaughLaughLaugh
Report The Dragon February 1, 2014 5:53 PM GMT
thanks magott

sorry m8 but really busy at the moment so not able to update as often as i wd like, i note your commentsCool

respect
Report maggot February 1, 2014 6:00 PM GMT
Well.. Surely if you have time to post chitty chatty comments like that, then you have time to post your P+L.

Obviously not.
Report carlos12345 February 1, 2014 6:43 PM GMT
haha was going to discount the double coz one of the games was abandoned.

1. It shows Dragon is always trying to pull a fast one with his Profit and Loss

2. He must be deluded if he thought people on this thread thought he could get away with that.

Entire thread is a complete joke.
Report Daveyboymoyes February 2, 2014 9:24 AM GMT
Report colupaul February 2, 2014 2:07 PM GMT
I see Kennelworth's 5-a-side team have assembled... they must be having a game this weekend... Laugh
Report mesmerised February 8, 2014 10:57 AM GMT
No tips today? Just when I was thinking of subscribing.
Report marychain1 February 8, 2014 2:10 PM GMT
Southampton, Forest & Crewe
Report The Dragon February 8, 2014 2:44 PM GMT
sorry for delay mad at work only bet today is highest rated notts forest at 11/10 good luck all
Report The Dragon February 8, 2014 3:49 PM GMT
0-1Cool
Report marychain1 February 8, 2014 3:51 PM GMT
Forest and Crewe 1-0, surprised that Southampton letting me down despite leading twice
Report marychain1 February 8, 2014 4:54 PM GMT
Impressed that my three teams managed to throw 5 leads away between them and none of them managed a win. Love it.
Report theserbian February 8, 2014 5:14 PM GMT
Any P&l Dragon?
Report Daveyboymoyes February 8, 2014 5:16 PM GMT
Report The Dragon February 8, 2014 5:17 PM GMT
another late goal does for me will post pand l in the morn as off out now luck musat change soon surley
Report carlos12345 February 8, 2014 7:24 PM GMT
theserbian, Dragon does the same thing when his 'system' produces losers.

He states he is busy at work and therefore too busy to post his profit and loss.

Hope that helps.
Report theserbian February 8, 2014 8:58 PM GMT
Yeah have noticed that Carlos,as soon as he's winning he's on all the time,but full of excuses when he's losing,someone asked him for P@l last week,I've come to the conclusion he's a bulls....ing Numpty.
Report carlos12345 February 8, 2014 9:19 PM GMT
i doubt you are the only one that has come to that conclusion
Report theserbian February 9, 2014 5:43 PM GMT
Just sat down and reading the threads and notice still no P&l from NUMPTY.
Report scotbet February 14, 2014 7:12 PM GMT
tips coming?
Report The Dragon November 4, 2017 9:31 AM GMT
this ones a blast from the past!!!
Report morpteh mackem November 4, 2017 9:32 AM GMT
villa, ,dumbarton, montrose.
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