**********What %age of your bank do you want to make ***********

50% monthly, is a realistic profit

ok then lets start with you posting your last 3 months p&l ta

i do have target 1% daily

As I'm only a recreational player I don't have a target to hit but my bets are between 1-5% of total bankroll depending on confidence and odds.  I did go to 20% of BR yesterday on the "fix" in the Levski Sofia game yesterday

I see Godsforth is upto his usual BS of lets see P&L - I will repeat this for the last time - posting P&L is total BS - I have proved over and over how posting it can be manipulated as much as you wish it to be!!
Do you want me to show +£1000 or +£50K, your choice - the only prf is with posting of games before the KO and then check results after a week or two.  THATS proof - anything else is total and utter BS!!
My posts are in my fred - easy really

To the more intelligent guys :)
make a spreadsheet of 50 games - assume its for 1.5goals so for this purpose just use odds of 1.25 all the way down the 50
columns -
Method 1
Assume a £100 start and you use £10 as your first bet
bet 1 - stake £10 - wins = £12.50 (Ignore comission-its just an example)
bet 2 - stake £10... keep that up all the way down the page

for every 1 in 7 games (randomly) put a loss
check your P&L after 50 games

method 2
change the stakes to +£1
bet 1 - stake £10
bet 2 - stake £11 etc etc   assume same games lost

Methd 3
As method 2 but when you have a loss change the next game back to £10

Now check all P&L's for each method

The question is - Which method should you use when -
Gosforth seems to know the answers already - perhaps he can help you ;)

Method 4
Use 10% stakes of your overall bank for each 'next game'
again, which method is winning?

Advantages/Disadvantages of each method?

TBH I pick a game I'm interested in.  Look at the relative home/away form, consider league positions and geographical location (for possible fixes) and then work out my line for goals.  Then I decide whether overs/unders is best for me.  Then I apply my BR management.  Then after all that I watch the game and promptly sh*t myself for 90 mins

lmfao - I love it - At last, a NORMAL person with a sense of humour!!

interesting. I like to wait 20 minutes for o1.5, better odds and early goals don't happen often enough. Also, if i'm betting overs I usually have a corners covering bet. No goals usually means heaps of corners.

@ darthginge - you on my site mate?

@winwin -  I have a fred for 23 games over the weekend for 1.5gls - the P&L is odds from KO to keep it fair and accountable - I must admit though i prefer to hit the magic 1.27+ mark as this rolled over for 3 games = double your money (comission taken into account)

You should make your picks on price alone
i.e if you have over 1.5 goals at 1.2 and it's 1.3 it's a back

May 11, 2013 -- 8:39AM, GTFI wrote:

@ darthginge - you on my site mate?

No I'm not, I'll check it out though

@winwin - I try to keep off the overs now as 1.5 seems to be doing so well - Wolfsburg has a 10/10 for last 5 homes/aways for respective teams BTTS - so try that for 3 goals +

I love games i have down for 2 goals and still 0-0 at HT ;)   great odds and booms in most of them. green it after a goal for way more than the 1.25ish average from KO

you looking at the Daejeon Citizen game?

@darth - section for 1.5gls might interest you
Also stats section with league positions - rating for last 2-3-4-5 games (goals) and a BTTS rating etc to help you decide on a game before looking in more detail at it m8  - All in one spreadsheet - saves you trudging the net for individual games (It wil narrow your search down a little)

sounds like good stuff that.  Where are you skinning the data from?

I try to avoid J - K - S league as too many fixes are thrown up mate - although on average they are good for goals - ive also een asked to put them in my prog so I may do so over the weekend and attach a health warning lol

the data- it's all my own programme and i update the scores twice weekly to keep it all upto date mate
I post it at http://goaltipz.freeforums.net/  (my site)

200mb excel prog - great for freezing your computer when pressing the update button for 30-60 seconds lol

typical line from stats - THIS IS NOT A TIP!!!!!!

11/May/13    2.0    Malaysia    Terengganu FA v Pahang FA    4 - 9v5    (4-2-2)    1-1    (6/4)    3/10    Under

Read more: http://goaltipz.freeforums.net/thread/3/stats#ixzz2Sy7OuAML

ko IS 9:30
4-9V5    = 4 LEAGUE POSITIONS BETWEEN THEM 9th v 5th
(4-2-2)   4 of 10 have finished over 1.5gls  (ie 2 of 5 for home - 2 of 5 for away team respectively)
1-1 predicted ROUGH score
(6-4)   6unders,4overs out of last 10 - (5 homes& 5aways for respective teams)
3/10  3 out of 10 have had BTTS

So basically it looks like a low scoring game - Back unders and green out for 20% - (Thats my advice but NOT a tip)