On the face of it Wigan have a hard task as they are 5 points behind the group of 3 on 37 points namely Newcaste, Villa and Sunderland. Norwich are 1 ahead of them on 38 points.
Last season they won 4 of their last 5 games to stay up and on their day can give a game to anyone. Easily beat Everton at Goodison for example and unlucky in recent games against Man City and Spurs. I think of their last 4 games this season they will draw at WBA, beat Swansea, lose to Arsenal then beat Villa on the last day. So 7 points and a total of 39.
Newcastle will lose at West Ham, draw at QPR then draw with Arsenal so 2 points and a total of 39
Sunderland will beat Stoke, draw with Soton and then lose at Spurs so 4 points and a total of 41
Norwich will lose to Villa, draw with WBA and lose to Man City so 1 point and a toatl of 39
So my guess is 3 teams on 39 points Wigan, Newcastle and Norwich. Goal differnces are virtually identical so any one of these 3. At current odds with Billy Mountains I'll split my bet and say that either Newcastle or Norwich to be relegated. At 6/1 and 12/1 good odds.
Views and input welcome
Villa will beat Norwich, lose v Chelsea and lose to Wigan so 3 points and a total of 40
i was looking at this yesterday and the thing i noticed is that wigan have 5 games in 15 days, 2 league games either side of the cup final. they play arsenal on the tuesday after the cup final, they did well there last year but can't see them getting anything this year. I would love to see them stay up but i think it will be a bridge to far and the cup final will also disrupt them, win or lose it IMO
i was looking at this yesterday and the thing i noticed is that wigan have 5 games in 15 days, 2 league games either side of the cup final. they play arsenal on the tuesday after the cup final, they did well there last year but can't see them getting
I think Wigan will get away with it again. They have three winnable games left and they have been there and produced more than once. I think the loser of the Norwich/Villa game will go down. Personally I'd love one of the bigger teams to go down.
I think Wigan will get away with it again. They have three winnable games left and they have been there and produced more than once. I think the loser of the Norwich/Villa game will go down. Personally I'd love one of the bigger teams to go down.
I agree , i think Villa will survive but i would worry if i supported Norwich ( Villa & WBA at home , Man City away ), but they are 6 points clear of Wigan OR Newcastle five points clear ( WestHam & QPR away & Arsenal at home ). Wigan def need a result at WBA & to beat Swansea & Villa at home , Arsenal away dodgy , I think Sunderland are safe with Stoke & Southampton at home.
I agree , i think Villa will survive but i would worry if i supported Norwich ( Villa & WBA at home , Man City away ), but they are 6 points clear of Wigan OR Newcastle five points clear ( WestHam & QPR away & Arsenal at home ). Wigan def need a res
Reading, QPR definitely, with one of Wigan (probably), Villa, Newcastle, Sunderland, Norwich, Southampton, Stoke, Fulham, Swansea, or WestHam.
Who is going down? Reading, QPR definitely, with one of Wigan (probably), Villa, Newcastle,Sunderland, Norwich, Southampton, Stoke, Fulham, Swansea, or WestHam.
Have to say I am very worried about the survival of my Canaries. :(
Chris (Mr Negative) Hughton has transformed a team who always looked likely to score last season into a team that has managed an average of only 2 goals every 3 games since the turn of the year. In two of the last three away games we haven't managed a single shot on target.
If Wigan can manage to win their last two home games against Swansea and Aston Villa (who should be safe by then) then we are in real danger of slipping through the trapdoor.
Paul Lambert knows most of the Norwich players inside-out and Villa absolutely tore Norwich apart on their last visit to Carrow Road in the League Cup earlier this season, winning 4-1. His players are on a high after their 6 goal mauling of Sunderland and Lambert is likely to have too much tactical awareness for Chris Hughton. Let's face it, my cat has more tactical awareness than Hughton. So a defeat for Norwich is likely on Saturday along with a few more goals to add to an already poor goal difference.
Last game of the season against Manchester City is likely to be hide behind the sofa time for Norwich fans. We have conceded an average of 5 goals per game against them over the past two seasons and I don't have any great confidence that record will improve, especially if the nerves are jangling on that last day and we need a result.
So, I feel that our survival chances are likely to depend on getting something out of the game at home against unpredictable West Brom. Hughton, as usual, is likely to set his team up to try and nick a point in a 0-0 draw, but with the likes of Lukaku waiting to pounce, that is a dangerous game to play.
Sorry to sound so pessimistic on a bright, sunny morning, but the negativity that exudes from Chris Hughton appears to have spread, first to his players and now to the supporters.
Have to say I am very worried about the survival of my Canaries. :(Chris (Mr Negative) Hughton has transformed a team who always looked likely to score last season into a team that has managed an average of only 2 goals every 3 games since the turn o
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan A to defend and no plan B so i think Villa will tear us apart. West Brom looks like the team we might get something off, but there again we`ve got no striking force so i think the Brummies might get a 0-1 win. Then Man City away, say no more.I hope i`m wrong as i am Norwich through and through. So good luck to them they`ll need it
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan A to defend and no plan B so i think Villa will tear us apart. West Brom looks like the team we might get something off, but there again we`ve got no striking force so i think the Brummies might get a 0-1 win. Then Man City away, say no more.I hope i`m wrong as i am Norwich through and through. So good luck to them they`ll need it
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan
I would like to agree with you Roker, but the way I see it is that anything Wigan get from the game with West Brom it is a bonus for them. If Norwich fail to get anything from THEIR game with West Brom, then I fear Wigan will only have to win their remaining two home games to nudge ahead of us.
I would like to agree with you Roker, but the way I see it is that anything Wigan get from the game with West Brom it is a bonus for them. If Norwich fail to get anything from THEIR game with West Brom, then I fear Wigan will only have to win their r
draw with villa and we're safe, as villa can't throw their game with wigan to pull other clubs in
draw not a decent result for villa unless they can get something against chelsea
draw with villa and we're safe, as villa can't throw their game with wigan to pull other clubs indraw not a decent result for villa unless they can get something against chelsea