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Whitburn
30 Apr 13 13:52
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Date Joined: 26 Oct 02
| Topic/replies: 84 | Blogger: Whitburn's blog
On the face of it Wigan have a hard task as they are 5 points behind the group of 3 on 37 points namely Newcaste, Villa and Sunderland. Norwich are 1 ahead of them on 38 points.

Last season they won 4 of their last 5 games to stay up and on their day can give a game to anyone. Easily beat Everton at Goodison for example and unlucky in recent games against Man City and Spurs. I think of their last 4 games this season they will draw at WBA, beat Swansea, lose to Arsenal then beat Villa on the last day. So 7 points and a total of 39.

Newcastle will lose at West Ham, draw at QPR then draw with Arsenal so 2 points and a total of 39

Sunderland will beat Stoke, draw with Soton and then lose at Spurs so 4 points and a total of 41

Norwich will lose to Villa, draw with WBA and lose to Man City so 1 point and a toatl of 39

So my guess is 3 teams on 39 points Wigan, Newcastle and Norwich. Goal differnces are virtually identical so any one of these 3. At current odds with Billy Mountains I'll split my bet and say that either Newcastle or Norwich to be relegated. At 6/1 and 12/1 good odds.

Views and input welcome

Villa will beat Norwich, lose v Chelsea and  lose to Wigan so 3 points and a total of 40
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Report tobermory May 1, 2013 1:27 AM BST
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm
Report lybertyne May 1, 2013 1:39 AM BST
i did the predictor ^^ and found wigan in 18th place.  arsenal got 4th, 2points ahead of spurs.
Report lurka May 1, 2013 2:01 AM BST
i was looking at this yesterday and the thing i noticed is that wigan have 5 games in 15 days, 2 league games either side of the cup final. they play arsenal on the tuesday after the cup final, they did well there last year but can't see them getting anything this year. I would love to see them stay up but i think it will be a bridge to far and the cup final will also disrupt them, win or lose it IMO
Report lurka May 1, 2013 2:04 AM BST
they have villa on the last day tho, villa would want to be out of the woods by then. i'd fancy wigan to beat them at home if they need to
Report pantsonfire May 1, 2013 8:03 AM BST
I think Wigan will get away with it again. They have three winnable games left and they have been there and produced more than once. I think the loser of the Norwich/Villa game will go down. Personally I'd love one of the bigger teams to go down.
Report ffffmmmm May 1, 2013 9:46 AM BST
I agree , i think Villa will survive but i would worry if i supported Norwich ( Villa & WBA at home , Man City away ), but they are 6 points clear of Wigan OR Newcastle five points clear ( WestHam  & QPR away & Arsenal at home ). Wigan def need a result at WBA & to beat Swansea & Villa at home , Arsenal away dodgy , I think Sunderland are safe with Stoke & Southampton at home.
Report viva el presidente! May 1, 2013 9:52 AM BST
wigan
Report kenilworth May 1, 2013 10:15 AM BST
Who is going down?

Reading, QPR definitely, with one of
Wigan (probably), Villa, Newcastle,
Sunderland, Norwich, Southampton,
Stoke, Fulham, Swansea, or WestHam
.
Report budgiebird. May 1, 2013 10:36 AM BST
Have to say I am very worried about the survival of my Canaries. :(

Chris (Mr Negative) Hughton has transformed a team who always looked likely to score last season into a team that has managed an average of only 2 goals every 3 games since the turn of the year. In two of the last three away games we haven't managed a single shot on target.

If Wigan can manage to win their last two home games against Swansea and Aston Villa (who should be safe by then) then we are in real danger of slipping through the trapdoor.

Paul Lambert knows most of the Norwich players inside-out and Villa absolutely tore Norwich apart on their last visit to Carrow Road in the League Cup earlier this season, winning 4-1. His players are on a high after their 6 goal mauling of Sunderland and Lambert is likely to have too much tactical awareness for Chris Hughton. Let's face it, my cat has more tactical awareness than Hughton. So a defeat for Norwich is likely on Saturday along with a few more goals to add to an already poor goal difference.

Last game of the season against Manchester City is likely to be hide behind the sofa time for Norwich fans. We have conceded an average of 5 goals per game against them over the past two seasons and I don't have any great confidence that record will improve, especially if the nerves are jangling on that last day and we need a result.

So, I feel that our survival chances are likely to depend on getting something out of the game at home against unpredictable West Brom. Hughton, as usual, is likely to set his team up to try and nick a point in a 0-0 draw, but with the likes of Lukaku waiting to pounce, that is a dangerous game to play.

Sorry to sound so pessimistic on a bright, sunny morning, but the negativity that exudes from Chris Hughton appears to have spread, first to his players and now to the supporters.
Report kennysolo May 1, 2013 12:44 PM BST
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will  both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan A to defend and no plan B so i think Villa will tear us apart. West Brom looks like the team we might get something off, but there again we`ve got no striking force so i think  the Brummies might get a 0-1 win. Then Man City away, say no more.I hope i`m wrong as i am Norwich through and through. So good luck to them they`ll need it
Report kennysolo May 1, 2013 12:44 PM BST
I agree entirely with you Mr.Budgiebird, norwich are looking very much like the side to take third relegation spot, no attacking strengths and central pairing looks as though they will  both be out of action due to injuries. Mr Houghton only has plan A to defend and no plan B so i think Villa will tear us apart. West Brom looks like the team we might get something off, but there again we`ve got no striking force so i think  the Brummies might get a 0-1 win. Then Man City away, say no more.I hope i`m wrong as i am Norwich through and through. So good luck to them they`ll need it
Report Roker_Park May 1, 2013 12:48 PM BST
This Saturday will decide it, if Wigan fail to beat West Brom then it's game set match for them.
Report budgiebird. May 1, 2013 1:11 PM BST
I would like to agree with you Roker, but the way I see it is that anything Wigan get from the game with West Brom it is a bonus for them. If Norwich fail to get anything from THEIR game with West Brom, then I fear Wigan will only have to win their remaining two home games to nudge ahead of us.
Report viva el presidente! May 1, 2013 1:18 PM BST
norwich won't go down. there's not enough games left, too many teams below them, and too big a gap to wigan. one of those things will save them,
Report Has this ever happened before? May 1, 2013 5:15 PM BST
draw with villa and we're safe, as villa can't throw their game with wigan to pull other clubs in

draw not a decent result for villa unless they can get something against chelsea
Report kenilworth May 1, 2013 7:31 PM BST
Wigan the most likely.
Report nortons May 1, 2013 9:21 PM BST
Seeing as Wigan are 2/5 to go down and its 7/1 bar that statement is not too enlightening.
Report kenilworth May 1, 2013 9:46 PM BST
..not too enlightening? Perhaps you would
like to post a more enlightening suggestion.
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