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ElMago21
10 Apr 13 03:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 May 12
| Topic/replies: 76 | Blogger: ElMago21's blog
I am going to bet on 100% certainty bets with full bank!

*Rules *Statistics
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Report ElMago21 April 10, 2013 3:48 AM BST
I am going to bet on 100% certainty bets with full bank!

The rules below I will stick to, however I am going to start with £3.57 as I am experimenting and those are the leftovers of my account at the precise moment. :)

* Rule 1: Only start with a bank you can afford to lose
* Rule 2: Bet full bank till I have doubled my starting bank
* Rule 3: Withdraw half the bank I started with when I have doubled my start bank
* Rule 4: Mainly focus on football bets as I have more knowledge in football than other sports
* Rule 5: will bet full bank and withdraw £5 from £10 and carry on after
* Rule 6: Patience is a virtue, do not try to force bets to increase the bank quickly.

Starting Bank £3.57 / Current Bank £3.57 /

Bet 1. Juventus v B Munich / Over 1.5 Goals / £3.57 @ 1.33 / Potential Returns £1.18 / Result Pending

Reasons I am confident about bet 1:

* With Juventus needing to win here by 2 goals or more they will need to go on the attack, with that said it will leave space for Bayern to exploit on the counter, Juventus in their own back yard will be fired up for this and I can honestly see both teams scoring here.

Goal statistics:
                          Juventus         Bayern
Avg. goals scored p/m       1.89            2.22   
Avg. goals conceded p/m       0.67            1.11
Report ElMago21 April 10, 2013 10:24 PM BST
Starting Bank £3.57 / Current Bank £4.69 /

Bet 1. Juventus v B Munich / Over 1.5 Goals / £3.57 @ 1.33 / Potential Returns £1.18 / Result (WON)

Stake After Result: £4.69
Report ElMago21 April 10, 2013 11:27 PM BST
Starting Bank £3.57 / Current Bank £4.69 /

Bet 1. Juventus v B Munich / Over 1.5 Goals / £3.57 @ 1.33 / Potential Returns £1.18 / Result (WON)

Bet 2. Barbarense v Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo DRAW NO BET / £4.69 @ 1.2 / Potential Returns £0.94p / Result Pending

Reasons I am confident about bet 2:

* Sao paulo are superior to Barbarense, Sao paulo are currently 1st in paulista a division with Barbarense 18th, 2nd from bottom, i cannot see Sao paulo losing this one, if its a draw bet will be voided but i only see a win for Sao paulo here possibly by 2 goals
Report ElMago21 April 11, 2013 1:30 AM BST
Starting Bank £3.57 / Current Bank £5.14 /

Bet 1. Juventus v B Munich / Over 1.5 Goals / £3.57 @ 1.33 / Potential Returns £1.18 / Result (WON)

Bet 2. Barbarense v Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo DRAW NO BET / £4.69 @ 1.2 / Potential Returns £0.94p / Result (WON) *Returns £0.45p

*Layed at Sao paulo 2-1 up with 10 men away from home to guarantee profit (Sao paulo won in the end)

Stake after result: £5.14
Report gotitwrong- April 11, 2013 1:37 AM BST
good luck EM21
Report casemoney April 11, 2013 1:40 AM BST
g luck with this challenge
Report ElMago21 April 11, 2013 1:46 AM BST
Starting Bank £3.57 / Current Bank £5.14 /

Bet 1. Juventus v B Munich / Over 1.5 Goals / £3.57 @ 1.33 / Potential Returns £1.18 / Result (WON)

Bet 2. Barbarense v Sao Paulo / Sao Paulo DRAW NO BET / £4.69 @ 1.2 / Potential Returns £0.94p / Result (WON) *Returns £0.45p
*Layed at Sao paulo 2-1 up with 10 men away from home to guarantee profit (Sao paulo won in the end)

Bet 3. Gremio v Fluminense / Over 1.5 Goals / £5.14 @ 1.43 / Potential Returns £2.21 / Result Pending

Reasons I am confident about bet 3:

* Gremio and Fluminense have cracking games and are most high scoring, the previous 5 results between the sides were 0-3 gremio, 2-2, gremio 1-0, fluminense 5-4 and gremio 2-1. The two sides have an attacking ray of talent in Fred, Elano, Vargas, Ze Roberto, Welliton, Wellington nem and Barcos.

Goal statistics:

Gremio average goals 2.67
Fluminense avergae goals 2.25
Report ElMago21 April 11, 2013 1:48 AM BST
Thanks Gotitwrong and casemoney, seeing how this goes and feel free to join or watch this thread for the time being
Report McNulty April 11, 2013 1:59 AM BST
The two sides have an attacking ray of talent in Fred, Elano, Vargas, Ze Roberto, Welliton, Wellington nem and Barcos.

Highlighted players not in starting line up.  Still think you'll be ok though, GL!
Report casemoney April 11, 2013 3:25 AM BST
struggling with this one el
Report casemoney April 11, 2013 3:37 AM BST
ROLLS ! ROLLS ! WE WANT MORE ROLLS,
GET ANOTHER ROLL IN ! GET ANOTHER ROLL IN !

helps if u sing this sometimes BACON ROLLS slang for goals gl
Report ElMago21 April 11, 2013 4:00 AM BST
That was a bad choice, im gonna go again with a fiver and be abit more accurate with the bets, shame a goal was disallowed which would have meant the 10 men of gremio would have had to attack, also a sitter from sobis and a chance cleared of the line, both teams looked satisfied to take a point. i probs should have waited till the starting line up was announced Mcnulty
Report ElMago21 April 11, 2013 4:12 AM BST
Going for an approach of backing over 0.5 goals at half time in games that i know will be a goal in the 2nd half, lets see how well i get on.

Starting Bank £5 / Current Bank £5 /

Bet 1. Atlante v Cruz Azul / Over 0.5 Goals IP / £5 @ 1.55 / Potential Returns £2.75 / Result (...)
Report eindra April 11, 2013 6:51 AM BST
well ... that sucks
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