Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Raluca
19 Mar 13 19:22
Joined:
Date Joined: 03 Jul 07
| Topic/replies: 9,911 | Blogger: Raluca's blog
Probably was discussed before but it never gets old
I read everyday how "traders" here bet 100 on 1.05 and they are happy,probably only the small fishes post on forum the sharks swim in other oceans

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 1 of 2  •  Previous 1 | 2 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 45
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:29
not sure I agree with that, suppose it depends what you call a big bet to be called a shark? Silly
By:
Raluca
When: 19 Mar 13 19:31
I personally lay low odds (under 1.2) and back big odds over 5
Seems to me this is the only way to happines here
Why?!Because you can lose 7-8 bets in row and with a low lay that comes in you can still be in profit
By:
smithy91
When: 19 Mar 13 19:32
kenilworth is the best person to ask on football forumLaugh
By:
kenilworth
When: 19 Mar 13 19:34
Bet against the market.
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:35
I think you will find their are many different approaches Raluca, some good ones and some bad ones.
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:35
*there
*they're

ffs I hate spelling that wrong Cry
By:
kenilworth
When: 19 Mar 13 19:36
mover, only the good ones win money, don't you think?
By:
smithy91
When: 19 Mar 13 19:36
Laugh
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:37
not really kenilworth I have some really good losing bets regularly CoolLaugh
By:
kenilworth
When: 19 Mar 13 19:38
..but you don't win money with them.
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:40
it's the taking part that counts Tongue Out
By:
CJ70
When: 19 Mar 13 19:42
Can I be the first to say 'Lay Liverpool'?

*Tin helmet on*
By:
scaredmoney
When: 19 Mar 13 19:44
backing against milan12 after he's been on a good run would seem to be a good avenue to go down
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:45
I like backing wrong prices, or should I say what are wrong in my opinion, laying Liverpool is a good example. Tonights example is Yeovil at 3.15, surely they should be favorites? Silly
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:47
and my back of Rayo to beat Barcelona at 29/1 was a good bet and I won't have anyone tell me otherwise Cry
By:
Raluca
When: 19 Mar 13 19:48
why risk to lay a odds of 3.15?!
the liability is to high and chances are against you
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:49
I'm backing Yeovil not laying it
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:52
2 draws in last 10 fixtures between the two clubs so wouldn't mind laying the draw at 3.5 though
By:
Raluca
When: 19 Mar 13 19:56
can't you see that bookmakers hope "you" see this?
By:
Raluca
When: 19 Mar 13 19:57
the only thing they can't predict is how a team is playing in that moment
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 19:58
what have bookamakers got to do with it, I'm pricing it up as I see it
By:
Chief_Inspector_Wiggum
When: 19 Mar 13 20:04
lay the tractors Happy
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:04
I'm sure 1.01 under 6.5 layers do well. Half the time when I lose money its because a goal happened as I back unders and I don't notice because some people's bets don't get cleared. Work out how to do that ;)
By:
Coachbuster
When: 19 Mar 13 20:07
Wiggum returns Shocked
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:19
My
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:22
under 6.5 just got smashed on that dutch game. Backed it at 1.03 at what I thought was 1-0. It turned out the 2nd goal had just happened (hadn't shown for me yet) and there was money in the market indicating nothing had changed. ~8 seconds later (when normal punters got past the betting delay) the price shot up to a more realistic 1.09ish, and I redded out.

So there you go, both things I was talking about in 1 example, laying unders at tiny prices and magically being able to put prices up half a second following an unsuspend for a goal.
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:24
Can't lose with an unbeatable system like that. Another highly respected strategy is hoovering spanish football matches and tennis, top drawer stuff. I'd rather have naff all liquidity and 30 second betting delay than leak money to these parasites.

(rant over)
By:
Arai
When: 19 Mar 13 20:30
IC, having the software to get round the 8 seconds seems the way to go then ......
By:
loui
When: 19 Mar 13 20:30
yeovil v swindon will be a draw imo,its due,and it looks like a high draw possibility match
By:
Zeze22
When: 19 Mar 13 20:34
Some tip on how to win money:

1. Stick to certain leagues (and only bet on them if you know roughly what happens in most games, i.e are the teams high scorers or low scorers, when do they usually score, league positions and motivations etc.) Soon enough you'll probably know what's expected in most leagues.

2. NEVER use your full bank like a gom. Have a strategy and stick to it.

3. NEVER bet on emotions or because you love/hate a team.

4. Some may disagree with this but: Use stats to your advantage. They are the only reason I'm here.Love
By:
The Bhoys
When: 19 Mar 13 20:38
back nadal, barca and messi to score. lay murray Wink
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:39
I don't know what the story is Arai. But its a common occurrance. The market suspends for a goal, bets are "cleared" and then you immediately see prices appear for backing 'unders' that are the same price as prior to the goal. In my example today I'm backing under 6.5 at 1.03 which was the price reflecting 1 goal having being scored but I'm actually being decieved because a second goal has gone in. Then a few seconds later the normal bets fly in and the price of backing unders shoots up to 1.09/1.1.

This always happens to benefit unders layers and if you aren't religiously checking the next applicable market (like checking under 1.5 to see if its suspended in a game you think is 1-0, to make sure a second hasn't been scored) then you can be decieved. I guess its the price to pay for getting liquidity in random under 6.5 markets? I'm not sure its a software thing, I just don't know though.
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 20:42
they are keep bets that remain in the market after the suspension
By:
Trigger_66
When: 19 Mar 13 20:43
Do I Not Like Orange.Slightly burnt by Jong- and Jong also Redded out.
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:43
I don't understand how u can have a keep bet in an in-play football game following a goal? Maybe I'm being obtuse here and I'm about to learn something. I hope so!
By:
themover
When: 19 Mar 13 20:44
they are bets placed before the suspension as a "keep" bet
By:
IC
When: 19 Mar 13 20:54
Well its news to me that you could do that with in-play football. I was only aware of being able to do "keep" bets pre-KO which would remain after the match went in-play. I'm struggling to find where to specify a keep bet when placing an in-play football bet. Any chance of discussing it in PM?

Thats another part of winning on here, knowing the system inside out.

I also think the laying at 1.01 if you can stomach it is a decent way to start. Most of my profit comes from very Betfair specific stuff (like trading) and I'm trying to branch out into more "generic" betting styles. I find that much harder though since its not taking advantage of Betfair's features.
By:
Arai
When: 20 Mar 13 00:21
There is so much "additional" functionality via API that unless using geeks toy etc is your route, trading on betfair using the basic interface is a very amateur approach.
By:
IC
When: 20 Mar 13 03:07
Personally I've never been very easy with logging into Betfair through 3rd party software. Perhaps I should bite the bullet at some point. I was just curious if using the api would let you place a keep bet during in-play? The only keep bet you can do in the normal (old) site is a pre KO-bet afaik. Perhaps someone was just fortunate to put in a pre-KO keep bet of 1.03 on under 6.5 and that was the price the market had dropped to just as the goal went in.
Page 1 of 2  •  Previous 1 | 2 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com