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ClayDavis
16 Feb 13 22:36
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Date Joined: 07 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 8,456 | Blogger: ClayDavis's blog
What a game this promises to be. The Champions against one of Argentina's biggest clubs who are staring down the barrel of relegation.
Make no mistake Independiente are in a desperate situation. For those not familiar with Argentinian football, Independiente being relegated is the equivalent of Liverpool dropping into the Championship.
Independiente are running out of time and this is without doubt the worst moment in the club's history. Vargas will be missing from their midfield tonight and they have a mini crisis at right back.
Also looming large for Independiente is the Clasico against Racing Club next weekend. One of the biggest Derby games in the World and Racing Club will love nothing better than to rub their rivals noses in it.
Independiente were actually very unlucky in their 3-1 home defeat to Newell's last week. They missed a penalty at 1-1. But herein lies their problem. They have to pick up wins and they threw everybody forward in search of the winner only for 10-men Newell's to punish them on the break.
Velez are the best team in Argentina but not playing like it at the moment. They narrowly beat a muggy Argentinos Juniors last weekend and then put in a miserable performance during the week in their 1-0 Copa Libertadoes defeat to Emelec. They were very poor in midweek.
They have a very important Libertadores game coming up in midweek but I think they will be focused on this game too. But they will be missing striker Ferreyra tonight.
Velez are a team that have been excellent at bouncing back from disappointing performances in past few years. They are famed for it. They are a tough team.
We can dress this game up anyway we want but the simple fact is that Velez are better than Independiente - much better. I think they will dominate Independiente's midfield and that will be telling. Also with Independient's dreadful situation I can see Velez doing what Newell's did last week and killing them on the break when Indy get desperate.
I've had a serious bet on Velez. It's time to bet like a man. Win. lose or draw I'm happy with the fact that Velez are much better than Independiente and today, hopefully, they will prove it


P.S Word of warning...I fully expect the Indy fans to go on the rampage at some point...maybe they are saving it for later in the season but it will happen!!!

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Replies: 381
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 22:45
Excellent write up again.

Struggling to get a bet on at the moment as there is very little pre-off liquidity.
By:
addicted
When: 16 Feb 13 23:07
Nice balanced preview cheers
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:09
im chasing and i dont know if this is the best match to chase CryCryCryCry
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:11
Finally been matched! Taken u3.5 with a view to trade if Independiente don't score an early goal.
By:
badlayer
When: 16 Feb 13 23:14
Any live streams? Thanks.
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:15
It's live on Betfair.
By:
ClayDavis
When: 16 Feb 13 23:16
http://www.futbolarg.com/22900-Velez-Sarsfield-Independiente-en-vivo-16-02-13.html
By:
addicted
When: 16 Feb 13 23:17
Thinking of laying Indi
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:21
i'm happy to take on Velez lacking Chucky and Peruzzi in the starting lineup and it being a sandwich match between 2 copa lib ties...plus sizeable away section here it looks like so can't rule out crowd trouble if Indepen behind
By:
ClayDavis
When: 16 Feb 13 23:22
Joe, u heard anything about Newell's tomorrow? I heard they could be resting players, that would mean Lanus are a must bet surely?
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:23
Commentator is getting stuck for things to talk about.
By:
ClayDavis
When: 16 Feb 13 23:24
Huge Indy support tonight - and they seem very fiery
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:26
yup, lots of changes 4 newells it looks like - http://www.ole.com.ar/newells-old-boys/Tata-variando_0_866913345.html
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:26
Is there a large chance this could get abandoned if things go the wrong way?
By:
ClayDavis
When: 16 Feb 13 23:27
if indy go behind then don't rule anything out
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:28
Cheers, will look to green off then instead of leaving a liability
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:30
10/1 crowd trouble im already on
By:
sniperAYR
When: 16 Feb 13 23:30
chasin on Velez
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:32
sniper to take out Indie forwards when running at goal
By:
sniperAYR
When: 16 Feb 13 23:33
id go for that
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:35
how is this game going ?
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:35
impact of being involved in copa lib is massive. Barca Guayaquil just got turned over 5-2 at home 4 example
By:
lmcgbob
When: 16 Feb 13 23:37
am i missing something here. any place I look for an updated table says there have only been 2 games played....
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:39
I'm out of the unders. May go back in if there's a goal.
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:39
PMSL CJ70 out already are u mad ?
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:39
question for Claypigeon are you there ?
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:40
No, I think there's a good chance of a goal between 15-30 mins.
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:40
Velez have played 19 games so have Indie
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:40

Feb 16, 2013 -- 11:37PM, lmcgbob wrote:


am i missing something here. any place I look for an updated table says there have only been 2 games played....


how many games u want them 2 have played??!!

By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:40
who are you mystic bleedin meg
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:40
hardly in relegation battle after 2 games lol
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:41
go on wikipedia lads....unless sum1 can b bothered 2 explain it 2 ye
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:41
No, just a person who's looked at when both sides generally score and see there's a correlation with 15-30 mins.
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:42
wood indy
By:
Steveirll
When: 16 Feb 13 23:42
indy hit wood ?
By:
CJ70
When: 16 Feb 13 23:42
Ooch, that was a shot.
By:
ClayDavis
When: 16 Feb 13 23:43
3 year averages Imcgbob
By:
addicted
When: 16 Feb 13 23:43
The old relegation misunderstanding... it must crop up at least a dozen times every 'half season'Laugh
By:
joe9000
When: 16 Feb 13 23:43

Feb 16, 2013 -- 11:43PM, addicted wrote:


The old relegation misunderstanding... it must crop up at least a dozen times every 'half season'


way more lol

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