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uptheboro
22 Jan 13 17:14
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Date Joined: 09 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 6,831 | Blogger: uptheboro's blog
Well i think the bookmakers have got this right to some extent. I think on recent form Brentford deserve to be favourites though maybe not quite as short as they are. Brentfords recent League One home form is as follows:

Brentford    1-2    Tranmere Rovers
Brentford    0-0    AFC Bournemouth
Brentford    3-2    Milton Keynes Dons
Brentford    2-0    Sheffield United
Brentford    2-1    Carlisle United


Three wins, one draw and one loss

Orient's recent League One away form is:

Doncaster Rovers    2-0    Leyton Orient
Yeovil Town    3-0    Leyton Orient
Bury    0-2    Leyton Orient
Portsmouth    2-3    Leyton Orient
Carlisle United    1-4    Leyton Orient

So Orient's recent away performances have seen 3 wins and two defeats. Those defeats coincided with the loss of top scorer Kevin Lisbie to injury. This is what im sure gives Brentford the edge in this game and makes them the favourites to win. However as i was saying, i'm not sure there is a great deal of value in backing Brentford at around 8/11, and in Dean Cox, Orient do have a midfielder capable of creating enough chances for whoever takes the place of Lisbie.

But the market that does interest me is the Over 2.5 goals. Currently 11/10 at the time of posting, there are reasons for thinking this is good value. The last time these two sides met at Griffin Park, Orient found themselves on the end of a 5-0 hammering. It is also noticeable that Orient have not been as strong defensively since losing Centre Half Nathan Clarke to injury. All things measured, i think the best that Orient can hope for here is a Draw, but in order to get that they are going to have to score at least twice (Which is entirely possible). If i was going to play the win market, the Draw is probably where the value lies, currently around the 3/1 mark. That of course opens up the possibility of looking at the correct score market for a result of 2-2 or 3-3 which are currently trading at 25 and 130 respectively.

However the safer option for me is just to back Over 2.5 at 11/10

Best of Luck if having a bet on this game
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Report hippie January 22, 2013 6:09 PM GMT
Brentford's FA Cup tie on Sunday is an absolutely massive West London derby for them and I can't believe it won't effect their performance tonight.
Report The Dragon January 22, 2013 6:19 PM GMT
nicewrite up and good luck, this is ano bet match for me as it could be anything. I like Bournemoth at evens to beat Hartlepool and have backed accordinglyr
Report Panther65 January 22, 2013 6:22 PM GMT
i agree with hippie...

small punt on orient for me
Report sevey January 22, 2013 6:30 PM GMT
Brentford half time Draw full time And the same for L/Orient
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 6:52 PM GMT
That is true hippie, huge game at the weekend and i suppose it could affect their performance and they may in fact rest a couple of players. On the other hand you may get those players who want to stake a claim for a place in the team and therefore the performance improves.
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 6:53 PM GMT
Good luck with that one Dragon. Bournemouth really should win that game though i do think their chance is reflected in the odds.
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 6:56 PM GMT
I think thats a fair bet Sevey, as one of my initial thoughts on the game was the possibility of a high scoring draw. Best of Luck thereHappy
Report sevey January 22, 2013 7:11 PM GMT
Boro man had Brentford Twice this season at Juices Prices they are Knowen to draw a Few Games which they have already Done G/Luck
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 7:55 PM GMT
Mmm and its Orient who strike first 0-1
Report itfc87 January 22, 2013 7:56 PM GMT
Brentford were never going to win this, eye on Chelsea match on Sunday
Report supersmith January 22, 2013 7:57 PM GMT
That wasnt in the script!! ScaredSad
Report sevey January 22, 2013 7:59 PM GMT
Waiting to put an Order in at 2.5 laying the 0 0 at half score to cover both Stakes swings in Roundabouts
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 8:04 PM GMT
And the Bees have stung 1-1
Report MadVlad January 22, 2013 8:05 PM GMT
CrazyCrazyCrazy
Report supersmith January 22, 2013 8:05 PM GMT
Bees Bees!!!Excited
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 8:27 PM GMT
And Brentford grab the lead 2-1

Collect on the oversHappy
Report MadVlad January 22, 2013 8:28 PM GMT
Cool
Report Craigyboy77. January 22, 2013 8:30 PM GMT
Well done boro. Bet up before h/t
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 10:01 PM GMT
Cheers Craigyboy, well pretty much got this game spot on and indeed the 25 that was available in the correct score market turned out to be a winner. Must say i was tempted by the 2-2 3-3 scorelines and i could kick myself a bit now.
Report uptheboro January 22, 2013 10:03 PM GMT
Oh and Well done Sevey with your half time/full time betsHappy
Report sevey January 22, 2013 10:11 PM GMT
Cheers Boro 23 at 20 the Bees 17 at 22 the 0zs layed 1.25 for 300 the draw at the death not bad bit pay in the End
Report The Dragon January 23, 2013 8:56 AM GMT
great call and vwd. my bet on bournemouth came in so happy days all round . doubled up with walsall at the weekend who look overpriced at 2.7
Report uptheboro January 23, 2013 10:25 AM GMT
Yep well done there Dragon, hope you won plentyHappy
Report The Dragon January 23, 2013 10:50 AM GMT
yes thanks boro be areally big win if walsall beat colchester at the weekend i have 6/4 - 10/11 double on it as well as numerous single bets
Report uptheboro January 23, 2013 12:19 PM GMT
Well i wish you the very best of luck with that one Dragon, havent had a look at that game yet though funnily enough, having beaten Bournemouth last weekend, you would expect them to be going there full of confidence.
Report The Dragon January 23, 2013 12:24 PM GMT
won 5 out of last 6 whereas colchester have lost 10 out of last 11
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