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1.66 is a good price.
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Jan 19, 2013 -- 9:42PM, mistersjmcg wrote:
I've laid porto, no point in not doing it 1-0... up, I'd do the same... although it's very unlikely that the FT result is anything but a win.
Barca were winning 2-0 at HT. They lost. Mad things happen.
Jan 19, 2013 -- 9:39PM, wisewords wrote:
Besiktas.. Lazio...Barcalona....Villa.. all made hard work of winning.
I lost on Barca
...although a lay of Villa @1.73 recouped my loss and a little profit
but yeah some muggy chokes today, 
So the biggest mugs of the day award has to go to Barca.
malaga hasn't had a match this season where there would be goal(s) scored only in the first half. as long as at least one goal went in (anytime) there was at least one in the second half.
but i'm not sure this is too helpful stat, judge yourselves
but i'm not sure this is too helpful stat, judge yourselves
For sure wisewords, that was a pathetic choke for a full team...Although..In my mind I knew they where due an epic slip up, and funny enough look what happened last year when Barca went to sociedad :
http://www.flashscore.com/match/vJhKQJeo/#match-summary
^^
^^
http://www.flashscore.com/match/vJhKQJeo/#match-summary
^^
^^
Bergy, I've been thinking for a while that not one team can win every match. So some sort of system should be made where you lay them heavier and heaver after each victory..
If they were away, they certainly would. At home they should win though.
Yeah agree totally ww, just one of those days where I got caught by them (barca)
Infact it was a v.v poor decision to get on them, i am still in profit for today though..which is all that matters....!!
have you tried that system yet ww ?? ...sounds a bit like martingale?
Infact it was a v.v poor decision to get on them, i am still in profit for today though..which is all that matters....!!
have you tried that system yet ww ?? ...sounds a bit like martingale?
Nope not tried doing it. But if you notice say that Juventus have won their last 5 leagues matches.. surely it becomes value to start laying them when they take the lead in games..
Because you'll be laying at 1.05-1.1 so if it takes you two or three times, you don't lose that much.
There's no such thing as a perfect system.. but all I know is that no football team wins every game.
Infact, lay Barca seems a pretty good strategy recently..
wtf? by recently do you mean today?
Barcelona 20 18 1 1 66:23 55
Barcelona 20 18 1 1 66:23 55
Yeah I agree wisewords, it can be v.difficult and tricky for any team to win5-6 games in a row...and it is rarely done except for barca and madrid maybe on occasion...so I think you make a good point and a possible door opener :)..and as you say at them odds it is really worth giving it a go 
anyone watching this? are malaga in control of this game or celta look like they can get equaliser?
Jan 19, 2013 -- 10:20PM, jmaguire wrote:
any chances?
fairly uneventful atm
celta going for it a bit more now...malaga need to be really careful imo...they need the second
"celta going for it a bit more now...malaga need to be really careful imo...they need the second"
Spot on Bergy. I'm happy as I lumped on 1.5+ at half time. Was begining to worry though.
Spot on Bergy. I'm happy as I lumped on 1.5+ at half time. Was begining to worry though.
sickening i was so close to ****g laying ARGH, cmon win this start playing you lazy ****.
WP pal, yeah even though they game looks boring, it had the feel of another goal...malaga really should have finished celta, then celta game into it more and punished 
Another mid table team malaga are going to slip up to this season at home..!!
Another mid table team malaga are going to slip up to this season at home
..!!
Barca, Lazio, Villa, Newcastle, Besiktas.. lets add Malaga to the list
Malaga will probably still win. But this demonstrates how stupid the prices are.
nothing wrong with the prices, stupidly not greening out is the problem. No excuses, same as Barca.
Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga
I greened out my stake when they scored in the first half, and then layed them to equal green on all at 1.2
but should have implemented my strategy that I spelt out above.
if there is another goal to be seen here Celta is more likely to score
Bergy, I've decided, the above is going to be my stragegy from now on. CBA sweating it out anymore.
could have made so much green off Mugaga if I went with it.
nice pal, go for it.....that would have been a shrewd move (strategy) for this game to
Bergy, crazy how many games it works for. And if it doesn't come off, you just end up getting your stake back/1
Jan 19, 2013 -- 10:38PM, wisewords wrote:
Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga
What if the other side score first?
the 0-0 and the other side scoring first are where the strategy comes unstuck.
but favourites tend to score first. and even if they do go behind, they can comeback. no strategy is perfect.
Never back odds on, you will lose out in the long term IMHO
Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga
you're right. you've got to find the right opening price to get into the market. back malaga at 1.9x today, not 1.7
mousetrap, if you think the fav can win it for certain, then adjust as so. if you don't know, just equal green it out.
Well net result on that game is -£8.00, lost on the asians, traded out of my O2.5 but managed to claw some back with 1-1, could have been much worse if Celta took the 1 on 1 chance.
if you think the fav can win it for certain, then adjust as so. if you don't know, just equal green it out.
if you think the fav can win it for certain
lay them hard when they go below 1.2
if you think the fav can win it for certain
lay them hard when they go below 1.2
it's a trading strategy, to take advantage of the prices. you lay because the price is so low. not every fav who take the lead, win.
i thought today that malaga would most likely win, but they didn't. nothing is certain in football.
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