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mistersjmcg
19 Jan 13 20:43
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Date Joined: 30 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 688 | Blogger: mistersjmcg's blog
1.66 is a good price.
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Report wisewords January 19, 2013 9:43 PM GMT

Jan 19, 2013 -- 9:42PM, mistersjmcg wrote:


I've laid porto, no point in not doing it 1-0... up, I'd do the same... although it's very unlikely that the FT result is anything but a win.


Barca were winning 2-0 at HT. They lost. Mad things happen.

Report taff7 January 19, 2013 9:43 PM GMT
2-0 Porto is likley
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 9:45 PM GMT

Jan 19, 2013 -- 9:39PM, wisewords wrote:


Besiktas.. Lazio...Barcalona....Villa.. all made hard work of winning.


I lost on BarcaLaugh...although a lay of Villa @1.73 recouped my loss and a little profitHappy

but yeah some muggy chokes today, Whoops

Report taff7 January 19, 2013 9:48 PM GMT
Getting a feeling Porto are goon concede late...
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
2-0 porto
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
2-0 hehe, I jinxed it for youCool
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
So the biggest mugs of the day award has to go to Barca.
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 9:52 PM GMT
just Malaga for the accy...
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 9:53 PM GMT
malaga hasn't had a match this season where there would be goal(s) scored only in the first half.  as long as at least one goal went in (anytime) there was at least one in the second half.
but i'm not sure this is too helpful stat, judge yourselves Plain
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 9:54 PM GMT
For sure wisewords, that was a pathetic choke for a full team...Although..In my mind I knew they where due an epic slip up, and funny enough look what happened last year when Barca went to sociedad :

http://www.flashscore.com/match/vJhKQJeo/#match-summary

^^LaughCryLaugh^^
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 9:59 PM GMT
Bergy, I've been thinking for a while that not one team can win every match. So some sort of system should be made where you lay them heavier and heaver after each victory..
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 9:59 PM GMT
cannot*
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 9:59 PM GMT
wow 2-2 again last year.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:04 PM GMT
Malaga gonna mug themselves off?
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:05 PM GMT
If they were away, they certainly would. At home they should win though.
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:05 PM GMT
Yeah agree totally ww, just one of those days where I got caught by them (barca)Whoops

Infact it was a v.v poor decision to get on them, i am still in profit for today though..which is all that matters....!!

have you tried that system yet ww ?? ...sounds a bit like martingale?
Report MadVlad January 19, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
unders Plain
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:06 PM GMT
I've started laying Malaga. Did overs too Confused
Report jmaguire January 19, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
it will be 3-0 ft but late...
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:07 PM GMT
I'd settle for that
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:08 PM GMT
Nope not tried doing it. But if you notice say that Juventus have won their last 5 leagues matches.. surely it becomes value to start laying them when they take the lead in games..
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:09 PM GMT
Because you'll be laying at 1.05-1.1 so if it takes you two or three times, you don't lose that much.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:10 PM GMT
There's no such thing as a perfect system.. but all I know is that no football team wins every game.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:10 PM GMT
Infact, lay Barca seems a pretty good strategy recently..
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:12 PM GMT
wtf? by recently do you mean today?

Barcelona    20    18    1    1    66:23    55
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:12 PM GMT
Haven't Barca won 17 of 19?
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:13 PM GMT
They drew midweek, and lost today.
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:13 PM GMT
Yeah I agree wisewords, it can be v.difficult and tricky for any team to win5-6 games in a row...and it is rarely done except for barca and madrid maybe on occasion...so I think you make a good point and a possible door opener :)..and as you say at them odds it is really worth giving it a go Excited
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:13 PM GMT
Both from 2-0 leads.
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:14 PM GMT
Any late night tips?
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
get some sleep?
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:15 PM GMT
Roger!
Report brassneck January 19, 2013 10:19 PM GMT
lull
Report jmaguire January 19, 2013 10:20 PM GMT
any chances?
Report brassneck January 19, 2013 10:21 PM GMT
dont know ,im not watching.
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:21 PM GMT
Malaga look comfortable, J
Report brassneck January 19, 2013 10:22 PM GMT
i need 3 more goals,not looking
Report md49vd January 19, 2013 10:23 PM GMT
anyone watching this? are malaga in control of this game or celta look like they can get equaliser?
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 10:23 PM GMT

Jan 19, 2013 -- 10:20PM, jmaguire wrote:


any chances?


fairly uneventful atm

Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:24 PM GMT
celta going for it a bit more now...malaga need to be really careful imo...they need the second
Report brassneck January 19, 2013 10:27 PM GMT
come on somebody and score,make cash for brassGrin
Report larrence January 19, 2013 10:28 PM GMT
so much for late goals.
Report taff7 January 19, 2013 10:28 PM GMT
Its very open at the moment brass...
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:29 PM GMT
knew it
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:29 PM GMT
1-1
Report scott1092 January 19, 2013 10:29 PM GMT
bollocks just laying off
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
FOOTBALL IS A MUGFEST
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
Cry
Report jmaguire January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
now come on malaga!
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
they needed that second
Report larrence January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
boom perfect timing by me. Grin
Report crete January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
what a day ffs !
Report MadVlad January 19, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
Cry
Report MadVlad January 19, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
how long left ?
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
77th min
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
12 mins plus added time.
Report macca18 January 19, 2013 10:31 PM GMT
"celta going for it a bit more now...malaga need to be really careful imo...they need the second"

Spot on Bergy. I'm happy as I lumped on 1.5+ at half time. Was begining to worry though.
Report mistersjmcg January 19, 2013 10:32 PM GMT
sickening i was so close to ****g laying ARGH, cmon win this start playing you lazy ****.
Report larrence January 19, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
gl gents hope bets come in. Wink
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
WP pal, yeah even though they game looks boring, it had the feel of another goal...malaga really should have finished celta, then celta game into it more and punished Crazy

Another mid table team malaga are going to slip up to this season at homeWhoops..!!
Report brassneck January 19, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
come on boys two more quick goals.
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:33 PM GMT
just backed malaga again Crazy
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:34 PM GMT
Barca, Lazio, Villa, Newcastle, Besiktas.. lets add Malaga to the list
Report larrence January 19, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
i've just backed malaga as well.
Report Alf012 January 19, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
pls over here....
SUSPENDED pls
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
Shocked
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 10:35 PM GMT
almost 1-2
Report scott1092 January 19, 2013 10:37 PM GMT
im out took a loss ,bloody first one today
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:37 PM GMT
Malaga will probably still win. But this demonstrates how stupid the prices are.
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:38 PM GMT
nothing wrong with the prices, stupidly not greening out is the problem.  No excuses, same as Barca.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:38 PM GMT
Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:39 PM GMT
I greened out my stake when they scored in the first half, and then layed them to equal green on all at 1.2
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:39 PM GMT
but should have implemented my strategy that I spelt out above.
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 10:40 PM GMT
if there is another goal to be seen here Celta is more likely to score
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:41 PM GMT
Bergy, I've decided, the above is going to be my stragegy from now on. CBA sweating it out anymore.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:41 PM GMT
strategy*
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:42 PM GMT
could have made so much green off Mugaga if I went with it.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:42 PM GMT
i'm winning £34 from this game, instead of £230.
Report jmaguire January 19, 2013 10:43 PM GMT
how much injury time???
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:44 PM GMT
4min
Report Bergkamp93 January 19, 2013 10:44 PM GMT
nice pal, go for it.....that would have been a shrewd move (strategy) for this game toCool
Report jmaguire January 19, 2013 10:44 PM GMT
please a goal!
Report drastyk January 19, 2013 10:45 PM GMT
chasing badly  on 1.56 at draw
Report themover January 19, 2013 10:45 PM GMT
Shocked
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:45 PM GMT
Bergy, crazy how many games it works for. And if it doesn't come off, you just end up getting your stake back/1
Report terrible tenant January 19, 2013 10:47 PM GMT
rubbish day
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:47 PM GMT
1-1FT
Report Helissio January 19, 2013 10:47 PM GMT

Jan 19, 2013 -- 10:38PM, wisewords wrote:


Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga


What if the other side score first?

Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:48 PM GMT
the 0-0 and the other side scoring first are where the strategy comes unstuck.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:48 PM GMT
but favourites tend to score first. and even if they do go behind, they can comeback. no strategy is perfect.
Report Helissio January 19, 2013 10:49 PM GMT
Never back odds on, you will lose out in the long term IMHO
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 10:49 PM GMT
Back Malaga, lay off when they score, lay them hard when they go below 1.2.. back them at 5's to equal green / put all the green on Malaga

Confused
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:49 PM GMT
you're right. you've got to find the right opening price to get into the market. back malaga at 1.9x today, not 1.7
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:50 PM GMT
mousetrap, if you think the fav can win it for certain, then adjust as so. if you don't know, just equal green it out.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:51 PM GMT
depends how badly you need your green..
Report TheNorthEnd January 19, 2013 10:51 PM GMT
Well net result on that game is -£8.00, lost on the asians, traded out of my O2.5 but managed to claw some back with 1-1, could have been much worse if Celta took the 1 on 1 chance.
Report mouse trap January 19, 2013 10:53 PM GMT
if you think the fav can win it for certain, then adjust as so. if you don't know, just equal green it out. 

Confused

if you think the fav can win it for certain
lay them hard when they go below 1.2


Confused
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:55 PM GMT
it's a trading strategy, to take advantage of the prices. you lay because the price is so low. not every fav who take the lead, win.
Report wisewords January 19, 2013 10:57 PM GMT
i thought today that malaga would most likely win, but they didn't. nothing is certain in football.
Report cs2007new January 19, 2013 11:00 PM GMT

Jan 19, 2013 -- 10:57PM, wisewords wrote:


i thought today that malaga would most likely win, but they didn't. nothing is certain in football.


agree me too. Lucky only a small punt on Malaga Sad

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