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how did they score 2 goals
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stoke. i've told ya
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PSV are 35% in ten years, over 2.5 goals
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or, 65% overs
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Home matches, I'm referring to
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Stoke are 54% unders at home
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glory glory man united?
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over 10 years, got to be United then?
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I can use the stats to combine the home and away team's %s, calculate what the odds should be according to historical stats, compare them to what is on the markets, and then determine the variance. How I determine the stake, Im not yet sure.
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Man Utd are 56% overs.
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Agree this weekend a league best in the world for goal backers
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If you are going back years it's likely to be someone like Newcastle. Not sure I'd be backing them now though.
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AFC Wimbledon is the team. But that is not based on ten years of course, as they are reasonably new to the league.
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The question is, what relevance do results from 8/9/10 years ago have when working out your present day odds. For example, 10 years ago Man City were sh*te and their results not that good, whereas now they win almost every home game. So you shouldn't really go back more than 18 months for them.
Although i'm convinced people use Liverpool's results from the 80s when working out their current day odds. |
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wow
i'd definitely back overs in the next Wimledon's game in premier league |
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who said Premier League?
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oh
i didn't know that league 2 is a "major european league" now |
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It is none of the teams you mentioned in the Premier League anyway.
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Biscuit, I know what you mean. I was thinking of a way of lessening the stats from the furthest seasons away, somehow, but not sure how.
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i.e. the stats from the most recent season count for more.
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but I also know that there are some teams which have a defensive philosophy which goes back a few years at least, some grounds which are not as easy to score goals on etc. and that will be shown in the stats too.
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For example, if you look at the Dutch league, most teams score lots of goals, but Vitesse, for example, low scoring for many seasons. There must be a reason for it.
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I personally never go back more than 2 seasons. Teams change players, managers, tactics so often these days.
Sometimes that is even too long. For example what is the point of looking at last years results for AC Milan, when this season they've sold Ibra, Silva and Cassano |
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and shevchenko!
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There is a team in Scotland which has less than 1% of matches finishing 0-0 over 10 years. On the bookies, you can regularly get 1.05+ on the under 0.5 market.
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Likewise Roma, this year they've got Zeman in charge who plays all out attack every week, so results beyond this season are pretty much irrelevant
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ffs
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You'd think that, because of their goals scored being high this season, and conceded. But if you take a look at Roma stats, for ten years prior to this season, they are normally a high scoring team. Just 19% of matches under 2 goals, which is the sixth lowest % in Italian Serie A and B.
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1 more please
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2-1
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2-1
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2-1
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SorA - i'm intrigued about the Scottish team.
is it Elgin? |
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And the second lowest % in Serie A, behind Palermo.
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no, although they did go on a run of seven seasons without a 0-0 home or away until this season.
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I think they have had one or two 0-0s this year though.
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but if you bet overs on that lowest Scottish league, you'll win more often than you lose, I think.
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2-1 get on under 3.5 and under 4.5
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Funnily enough Rangers are the least likely to go o2.5 in the Scottish third division at the moment.
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